FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

Navy def. Holy Cross 3–0

Navy won at Holy Cross 3-0 (25-16, 25-20, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Navy's Farrah Eike led with 11 kills, and Amara Chambers added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
NAVY2525253
HOLYCR1620160

Win probability

Holy Cross above 50 · Navy below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.2% NAVYrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Navy — set 2, NAVY 19-15 HOLYCR. Attack error by Emma Sorensen. HOLYCR win probability 23% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAVY 45.2%54.8% HOLYCR

Navy wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.7%
3-2
17.9%

Holy Cross wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
19.4%
NAVY break %
43.6% vs this opp
HOLYCR break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma SorensenAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Emma Sorensen

    Set 2 · NAVY 19-15 HOLYCR · NAVY 77% → 80%

  2. 02
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+3.1%

    Point Holy Cross (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · NAVY 17-15 HOLYCR · HOLYCR 23% → 26%

  3. 03
    Grace BurgoyneAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Grace Burgoyne

    Set 2 · NAVY 16-12 HOLYCR · NAVY 75% → 78%

  4. 04

    Kill by Caroline Buffum (set by Kinamoni Jerome)

    Set 2 · NAVY 18-15 HOLYCR · NAVY 74% → 77%

  5. 05
    NavyAce+3.0%

    Navy ace on KK Green

    Set 2 · NAVY 8-6 HOLYCR · NAVY 68% → 71%

  6. 06

    Kill by Caroline Buffum (set by Kinamoni Jerome)

    Set 2 · NAVY 7-6 HOLYCR · NAVY 65% → 68%

  7. 07
    Ellen GundlachAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Ellen Gundlach

    Set 2 · NAVY 14-12 HOLYCR · HOLYCR 24% → 27%

  8. 08

    Kill by Grace Burgoyne

    Set 2 · NAVY 9-6 HOLYCR · NAVY 71% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Navyaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311127.3701019000011
3405.8000201018511
37426.115000600218
36311.273000200217
32021.0001831300005
3308.375000100214
34113.23100000052.56.5
3000–2211510002
3011-1.0001411500001
1102.50000000010.51.5
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals391096.30235844211201175
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310524.20800094010.510.5
37011.63600000031.58.5
37532.063001700218
3002.0001410300001
2026-.33300020052.52.5
2022-1.000100001222
36113.38500030010.56.5
3519.4441402400005
3000–200810000
2000–001000000
11011.000000010001
1000–001000211
1011-1.000001100000
1000–000000000
1000–300000000
1000–001000000
Team totals3617101.1883417378116952

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Navy vs Holy Cross

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NAVY · HOLYCR 3

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 NAVYHOLYCR 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 NAVYHOLYCR 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 4 NAVYHOLYCR 2

Bars above the line = Holy Cross leads, below = Navy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Navy

No clean sets to split.

Holy Cross

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#NAVY-HOLYCRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NAVY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
22-0NAVYNAVYAceNavy+2.4
32-1NAVYHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.8
43-1HOLYCRNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.0
54-1NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced Elizabeth Hall+2.4
64-2NAVYHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.8
75-2HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+2.0
85-3NAVYHOLYCR×3BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Sarahya College, Kyla Harris+1.8
95-4HOLYCRHOLYCR×3KillEmma Sorensen+2.5
105-5HOLYCRHOLYCR×3BlockedGrace Burgoyneblk Kyla Harris+2.6
116-5HOLYCRNAVYServe errHoly Cross+2.1
127-5NAVY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.7
137-6NAVYHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+2.1
148-6HOLYCRNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+2.2
159-6NAVYNAVYKillCaroline Buffum+2.7
169-7NAVYHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Kyla Harris+2.0
1710-7NAVY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
1810-8NAVYHOLYCRKillKK Green+2.0
1911-8HOLYCRNAVYAttack errSarahya College+2.3
2012-8NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced KK Green+2.6
2112-9NAVYHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.8
2212-10HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.7
2313-10HOLYCRNAVY×4KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.4
24–2515-10NAVY 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+5.1
2616-10NAVYNAVY×4KillAvery Maddux+1.9
2716-11NAVYHOLYCRBad setFarrah Eike+1.1
28–2918-11NAVY 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.8
3019-11NAVYNAVY×5Serve errNavy+0.8
31–3221-11NAVY 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
3321-12NAVYHOLYCRKillKeira Mullen+0.1
34–3522-13NAVY · HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
3623-13NAVYNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+0.1
3723-14NAVYHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Keira Mullen·
3824-14HOLYCRNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd·
3924-15NAVYHOLYCRKillKK Green·
4024-16HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Tuana Ozarpaci·
4125-16HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd·
Set 2
10-1HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.0
20-2HOLYCRHOLYCRKillLacey Murphy+2.5
31-2HOLYCRNAVYKillIsa Boydset Farrah Eike+1.9
41-3NAVYHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Keira Mullen+2.0
52-3HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eike+1.9
6–73-4NAVY · HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
83-5NAVYHOLYCRKillKeira Mullen+2.1
94-5HOLYCRNAVYAttack errKeira Mullen+2.0
104-6NAVYHOLYCRKillKeira Mullenset Tuana Ozarpaci+2.1
115-6HOLYCRNAVY×5BlockedKyla Harrisblk Avery Maddux+2.1
126-6NAVYNAVY×5AceNavyaced KK Green+2.8
137-6NAVYNAVY×5KillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+2.9
148-6NAVYNAVY×5AceNavyaced KK Green+3.0
159-6NAVYNAVY×5KillGrace Burgoyne+2.9
169-7NAVYHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+2.1
1710-7HOLYCRNAVYBlockedKK Greenblk Siena Morgan, Grace Burgoyne+2.3
18–2012-8NAVY 2 · HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.1
2112-9NAVYHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Keira Mullen+1.9
2213-9HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.2
2314-9NAVYNAVYBlockedKK Greenblk Avery Maddux, Ellen Gundlach+2.5
2414-10NAVYHOLYCR×3KillKeira Mullenset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.5
2514-11HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
2614-12HOLYCRHOLYCR×3Attack errEllen Gundlach+2.9
2715-12HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.7
2816-12NAVYNAVYAttack errGrace Burgoyne+3.0
2916-13NAVYHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.9
3017-13HOLYCRNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+2.5
31–3217-15HOLYCR 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+5.1
3318-15HOLYCRNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+3.0
3419-15NAVYNAVY×3Attack errEmma Sorensen+3.2
3520-15NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+2.5
3620-16NAVYHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+1.2
3721-16HOLYCRNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+1.9
3821-17NAVYHOLYCRKillKat Teepe+1.1
3921-18HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKK Green+2.2
4022-18HOLYCRNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+2.6
4123-18NAVYNAVYBlockedKK Greenblk Siena Morgan, Ellen Gundlach+2.0
4223-19NAVYHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Keira Mullen+0.6
4323-20HOLYCRHOLYCRAceTuana Ozarpaciaced Amara Chambers+1.6
4424-20HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.3
4525-20NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.9
Set 3
11-0HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.4
21-1NAVYHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Keira Mullen+1.4
32-1HOLYCRNAVYServe errHoly Cross+1.5
43-1NAVYNAVYBad setKeira Mullen+1.9
53-2NAVYHOLYCRKillKeira Mullenset Elizabeth Hall+1.4
64-2HOLYCRNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+1.5
7–85-3NAVY · HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
96-3NAVYNAVYServe errNavy+1.9
106-4NAVYHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.4
117-4HOLYCRNAVYServe errHoly Cross+1.5
12–138-5NAVY · HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
149-5NAVYNAVY×3Serve errNavy+1.9
1510-5NAVYNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.7
1610-6NAVYHOLYCRBlockedEllen Gundlachblk KK Green, Lacey Murphy+1.1
1711-6HOLYCRNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.3
1811-7NAVYHOLYCRServe errNavy+1.1
1912-7HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.3
2012-8NAVYHOLYCRServe errNavy+1.1
2112-9HOLYCRHOLYCRBlockedKinamoni Jeromeblk Emma Sorensen, Sarahya College+1.7
2213-9HOLYCRNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+1.6
2314-9NAVYNAVYBlockedEmma Sorensenblk Grace Burgoyne, Avery Maddux+1.7
24–2514-11HOLYCR 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.8
2615-11HOLYCRNAVYAttack errKK Green+1.7
2715-12NAVYHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.4
2816-12HOLYCRNAVY×4KillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+1.7
2917-12NAVY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
3018-12NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced KK Green+1.3
3119-12NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Georgia Murphy+0.9
3219-13NAVYHOLYCRServe errNavy+0.4
3320-13HOLYCRNAVY×3KillIzzy Picardset Isa Boyd+0.7
3421-13NAVYNAVY×3Bad setDrew Flanagan+0.5
3522-13NAVYNAVY×3Attack errLily Eigner+0.2
3622-14HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
3722-15HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Emilia Powderly+0.1
3823-15HOLYCRNAVYServe errHoly Cross+0.2
39–4125-16NAVY 2 · HOLYCR
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Navy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).