Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Holy Cross def. Bucknell 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Bucknell 51.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Holy Cross won at Bucknell 3-1 (25-22, 25-20, 22-25, 25-20) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Holy Cross' Kat Teepe led with 16 kills, and Georgia Murphy added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set1234Sets
HOLYCR252522253
BUCKNL222025201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Bucknell pushed; Holy Cross held.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Holy Cross's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Bucknell was RallyIQ's 51% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Holy Cross 7–9 Bucknell

    Down 7–9, Holy Cross scored 6 straight to lead 13–9.

    Holy Cross 67% → 90%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Holy Cross 15–17 Bucknell

    Down 15–17, Holy Cross scored 6 straight to lead 21–17.

    Holy Cross 65% → 95%

Bucknell above 50Holy Cross belowMax swing 6.0%

Holy CrossBucknell

Sideout %
Holy Cross 58.0·Bucknell 52.1
Break %
Holy Cross 47.9·Bucknell 42.0
Hitting
Holy Cross .189·Bucknell .148
Longest run
Holy Cross 6·Bucknell 6

Kat Teepe
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 16 K, .268, 18.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bucknell above 50 · Holy Cross below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.0% HOLYCRrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.0% to Holy Cross — set 4, HOLYCR 18-17 BUCKNL. Kill by Emma Sorensen (set by Drew Flanagan). BUCKNL win probability 26% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOLYCR 44.4%55.6% BUCKNL

Holy Cross wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%

Bucknell wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%
HOLYCR break %
42.9% vs this opp
BUCKNL break %
44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma SorensenKill+6.0%

    Kill by Emma Sorensen (set by Drew Flanagan)

    Set 4 · HOLYCR 18-17 BUCKNL · HOLYCR 74% → 80%

  2. 02
    Kyla HarrisKill+6.0%

    Kill by Kyla Harris (set by Elizabeth Hall)

    Set 4 · HOLYCR 19-17 BUCKNL · HOLYCR 80% → 86%

  3. 03
    Kat TeepeKill+5.6%

    Kill by Kat Teepe (set by Elizabeth Hall)

    Set 4 · HOLYCR 17-17 BUCKNL · HOLYCR 68% → 74%

  4. 04
    Kat TeepeKill+5.3%

    Kill by Kat Teepe (set by Drew Flanagan)

    Set 4 · HOLYCR 20-17 BUCKNL · HOLYCR 86% → 91%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sarah Williams (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 4 · HOLYCR 15-17 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 30% → 35%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sidney Shaffer

    Set 4 · HOLYCR 14-15 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 25% → 30%

  7. 07
    Drew FlanaganKill+4.8%

    Kill by Drew Flanagan (set by Kat Teepe)

    Set 2 · HOLYCR 20-18 BUCKNL · HOLYCR 72% → 77%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sidney Shaffer (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 4 · HOLYCR 13-13 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 20% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413757.105201103010.513.5
49015.60000000132.511.5
44210.20002010153.59.5
4315.4003202140153.56.5
4001.0002211510002
4000–000400000
416541.26812040010.518.5
43519-.10500060010.53.5
4000–9021420000
Team totals4820148.18946666873161197
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414851.11802117002117
410421.2860020004212
4427.2864100140010.54.5
4000–123810002
33411-.091000100003
3147-.429000120001
412339.23110211000012
47323.17400000010.57.5
4000–7321620003
3000–001000000
2103.333000001012
1000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5228162.1485071268618587

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Holy Cross vs Bucknell

Season series · Holy Cross leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 HOLYCR · BUCKNL 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 HOLYCRBUCKNL 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 HOLYCRBUCKNL 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 HOLYCRBUCKNL 5

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 6 HOLYCRBUCKNL 6

Bars above the line = Bucknell leads, below = Holy Cross leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Holy Cross

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
57%12/21
2
56%9/16
44%7/16
3
47%9/19
47%8/17
4
89%8/9
33%4/12
5
50%8/16
43%6/14
6
58%7/12
56%9/16
All
58%51/88
48%46/96

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
31%4/13
2
45%9/20
47%8/17
3
82%9/11
44%7/16
4
47%8/17
40%6/15
5
47%7/15
43%6/14
6
47%7/15
46%6/13
All
52%50/96
42%37/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#HOLYCR-BUCKNLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1HOLYCRBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.9
21-1BUCKNLHOLYCR×3Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+1.9
32-1HOLYCRHOLYCR×3Bad setPeyton McGee+2.5
43-1HOLYCRHOLYCR×3Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+2.5
53-2HOLYCRBUCKNLServe errHoly Cross+1.9
64-2BUCKNLHOLYCRBlockedSidney Shafferblk Kyla Harris+2.0
74-3HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.9
85-3BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+2.0
96-3HOLYCRHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Drew Flanagan+2.5
106-4HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.8
117-4BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Emma Sorensen+2.0
127-5HOLYCRBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.8
137-6BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errKK Green+2.6
148-6BUCKNLHOLYCRAttack errStephanie Eroh+2.2
159-6HOLYCRHOLYCRBlockedStephanie Erohblk Lacey Murphy, Drew Flanagan+2.7
169-7HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.9
1710-7BUCKNLHOLYCR×5Serve errBucknell+2.1
1811-7HOLYCRHOLYCR×5Attack errCameron Lloyd+2.5
1912-7HOLYCRHOLYCR×5Bad setPeyton McGee+2.2
2013-7HOLYCRHOLYCR×5Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+1.8
2114-7HOLYCRHOLYCR×5BlockedCameron Lloydblk Lacey Murphy, Drew Flanagan+1.4
2214-8HOLYCRBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Isabella Charlton+0.8
2315-8BUCKNLHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Drew Flanagan+1.1
2415-9HOLYCRBUCKNLAttack errEmma Sorensen+0.8
2516-9BUCKNLHOLYCR×3KillKyla Harrisset Drew Flanagan+1.0
2617-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×3KillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+0.9
2718-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×3KillEmma Sorensenset Elizabeth Hall+0.6
2818-10HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.3
2919-10BUCKNLHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Drew Flanagan+0.4
3019-11HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.2
3119-12BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errKK Green+0.4
3220-12BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+0.5
3320-13HOLYCRBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.3
3421-13BUCKNLHOLYCRAttack errKaitlyn Taylor+0.4
3521-14HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Katie O'Sullivan+0.2
3622-14BUCKNLHOLYCRAttack errPeyton McGee+0.3
3722-15HOLYCRBUCKNL×4Serve errHoly Cross+0.1
3822-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Bad setDrew Flanagan+0.3
3922-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceBucknellaced Elizabeth Hall+0.6
4022-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.0
4123-18BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+1.4
4223-19HOLYCRBUCKNLKillSarah Hilliardset Peyton McGee+0.6
4324-19BUCKNLHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Drew Flanagan+1.1
4424-20HOLYCRBUCKNL×3Serve errHoly Cross+0.3
4524-21BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.8
4624-22BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Emma Sorensen+1.9
4725-22BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+3.4
Set 2
11-0BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+1.9
21-1HOLYCRBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Katie O'Sullivan+1.9
32-1BUCKNLHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Elizabeth Hall+2.0
43-1HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+2.5
53-2HOLYCRBUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.9
63-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.6
73-4BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceBucknellaced Georgia Murphy+2.6
83-5BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.6
94-5BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+2.0
104-6HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.1
115-6BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+2.0
126-6HOLYCRHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Drew Flanagan+2.8
136-7HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.2
147-7BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+2.2
157-8HOLYCRBUCKNLKillSarah Hilliardset Peyton McGee+2.3
168-8BUCKNLHOLYCR×6Attack errCameron Lloyd+2.2
179-8HOLYCRHOLYCR×6Attack errSarah Hilliard+3.0
1810-8HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillDrew Flanaganset Georgia Murphy+3.0
1911-8HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillLacey Murphyset Drew Flanagan+2.9
2012-8HOLYCRHOLYCR×6Attack errStephanie Eroh+2.6
2113-8HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillEmma Sorensenset Drew Flanagan+2.3
2213-9HOLYCRBUCKNLKillSarah Hilliardset Katie O'Sullivan+1.4
2313-10BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.3
2414-10BUCKNLHOLYCRBlockedSidney Shafferblk Lacey Murphy+2.1
2514-11HOLYCRBUCKNL×4Attack errEmma Sorensen+1.8
2614-12BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.8
2714-13BUCKNLBUCKNL×4BlockedDrew Flanaganblk Sidney Shaffer, Cameron Lloyd+3.2
2814-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errEmma Sorensen+3.6
2915-14BUCKNLHOLYCRAttack errPeyton McGee+2.9
3015-15HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.9
3115-16BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errKat Teepe+4.0
3216-16BUCKNLHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Drew Flanagan+3.0
3316-17HOLYCRBUCKNLServe errHoly Cross+3.2
3417-17BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+3.2
3518-17HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKyla Harrisset Drew Flanagan+4.5
3618-18HOLYCRBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Katie O'Sullivan+3.4
3719-18BUCKNLHOLYCR×3KillKat Teepeset Elizabeth Hall+3.7
3820-18HOLYCRHOLYCR×3KillDrew Flanaganset Kat Teepe+4.8
3921-18HOLYCRHOLYCR×3KillKK Greenset Drew Flanagan+4.2
4021-19HOLYCRBUCKNLAttack errEmma Sorensen+2.4
4122-19BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Drew Flanagan+3.4
4223-19HOLYCRHOLYCRAceHoly Crossaced Kaitlyn Taylor+3.0
4323-20HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.1
4424-20BUCKNLHOLYCRKillDrew Flanaganset Elizabeth Hall+2.1
4525-20HOLYCRHOLYCRBlockedSarah Hilliardblk Emma Sorensen, Kyla Harris+0.8
Set 3
11-0HOLYCRHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Drew Flanagan+1.6
21-1HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.3
32-1BUCKNLHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Drew Flanagan+1.3
42-2HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.3
53-2BUCKNLHOLYCRBlockedKlea Tarjablk Kyla Harris, Drew Flanagan+1.3
63-3HOLYCRBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Klea Tarja+1.3
74-3BUCKNLHOLYCR×4KillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+1.4
85-3HOLYCRHOLYCR×4KillKat Teepeset Elizabeth Hall+1.8
96-3HOLYCRHOLYCR×4BlockedSarah Hilliardblk Kyla Harris, KK Green+1.7
107-3HOLYCRHOLYCR×4Attack errCameron Lloyd+1.6
117-4HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.1
128-4BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKyla Harrisset Drew Flanagan+1.2
139-4HOLYCRHOLYCRAceHoly Crossaced Kaitlyn Taylor+1.4
149-5HOLYCRBUCKNL×3BlockedKat Teepeblk Sidney Shaffer, Cameron Lloyd+1.0
159-6BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Emma Sorensen+1.5
169-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errKat Teepe+1.7
1710-7BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+1.4
1811-7HOLYCRHOLYCRAceHoly Crossaced Isabella Charlton+1.7
1911-8HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.1
2011-9BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedKK Greenblk Sidney Shaffer, Peyton McGee+1.7
2112-9BUCKNLHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Drew Flanagan+1.5
2212-10HOLYCRBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.4
2313-10BUCKNLHOLYCR×4KillEmma Sorensenset Georgia Murphy+1.6
2414-10HOLYCRHOLYCR×4KillEmma Sorensenset Drew Flanagan+1.8
2515-10HOLYCRHOLYCR×4KillEmma Sorensenset Elizabeth Hall+1.5
2616-10HOLYCRHOLYCR×4Attack errStephanie Eroh+1.2
2716-11HOLYCRBUCKNL×4KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.7
2816-12BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errEmma Sorensen+1.2
2916-13BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errEmma Sorensen+1.5
3016-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillSarah Hilliardset Peyton McGee+1.9
3117-14BUCKNLHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Elizabeth Hall+1.8
3217-15HOLYCRBUCKNL×5KillSarah Hilliardset Peyton McGee+1.5
3317-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+2.4
3417-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillSarah Hilliardset Katie O'Sullivan+2.8
3517-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×5Attack errEmma Sorensen+3.0
3617-19BUCKNLBUCKNL×5Attack errKat Teepe+2.9
3718-19BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+2.0
3818-20HOLYCRBUCKNLBlockedKyla Harrisblk Sarah Williams+2.4
3919-20BUCKNLHOLYCRBlockedCameron Lloydblk Kyla Harris, Kat Teepe+2.1
4019-21HOLYCRBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.6
4120-21BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+2.2
4220-22HOLYCRBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.9
4320-23BUCKNLBUCKNLBad setDrew Flanagan+3.0
4421-23BUCKNLHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Drew Flanagan+1.3
4522-23HOLYCRHOLYCRAceHoly Crossaced Katie O'Sullivan+3.1
4622-24HOLYCRBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.9
4722-25BUCKNLBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.9
Set 4
11-0BUCKNLHOLYCRAttack errSidney Shaffer+2.5
22-0HOLYCRHOLYCRBlockedKlea Tarjablk Kyla Harris, Drew Flanagan+3.3
32-1HOLYCRBUCKNLServe errHoly Cross+2.5
43-1BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+2.6
53-2HOLYCRBUCKNLServe errHoly Cross+2.5
64-2BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+2.7
74-3HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.6
85-3BUCKNLHOLYCR×3Attack errCameron Lloyd+2.7
96-3HOLYCRHOLYCR×3KillKat Teepeset Emma Sorensen+3.4
107-3HOLYCRHOLYCR×3AceHoly Crossaced Katie O'Sullivan+3.2
117-4HOLYCRBUCKNL×6Attack errKat Teepe+2.2
127-5BUCKNLBUCKNL×6AceBucknellaced Elizabeth Hall+3.2
137-6BUCKNLBUCKNL×6KillSarah Hilliardset Katie O'Sullivan+3.5
147-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×6KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.8
157-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×6KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+3.9
167-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×6AceBucknell+3.9
178-9BUCKNLHOLYCR×6KillKK Greenset Drew Flanagan+2.9
189-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×6Bad setPeyton McGee+4.0
1910-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×6AceHoly Cross+4.2
2011-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×6BlockedCameron Lloydblk Lacey Murphy, Drew Flanagan+4.1
2112-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×6Attack errCameron Lloyd+3.9
2213-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillLacey Murphyset Drew Flanagan+3.6
2313-10HOLYCRBUCKNL×4BlockedKK Greenblk Sidney Shaffer, Sarah Hilliard+2.3
2413-11BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errKK Green+3.6
2513-12BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceBucknellaced Emma Sorensen+4.2
2613-13BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+4.6
2714-13BUCKNLHOLYCRBlockedSidney Shafferblk Drew Flanagan+3.7
2814-14HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+3.7
2914-15BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shaffer+5.0
3015-15BUCKNLHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Drew Flanagan+3.9
3115-16HOLYCRBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+4.1
3215-17BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSarah Williamsset Peyton McGee+5.2
3316-17BUCKNLHOLYCR×6Serve errBucknell+3.7
3417-17HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillKat Teepeset Elizabeth Hall+5.6
3518-17HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillEmma Sorensenset Drew Flanagan+6.0
3619-17HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillKyla Harrisset Elizabeth Hall+6.0
3720-17HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+5.3
3821-17HOLYCRHOLYCR×6Attack errKlea Tarja+4.2
3921-18HOLYCRBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.1
4022-18BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+3.2
4122-19HOLYCRBUCKNLAttack errKyla Harris+1.9
4223-19BUCKNLHOLYCRServe errBucknell+3.1
4324-19HOLYCRHOLYCRKillLacey Murphy+1.9
4424-20HOLYCRBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.4
4525-20BUCKNLHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Drew Flanagan+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Holy Cross first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).