FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

AwayCUSA

0:3

HomeBIG-SOUTH

UNC Asheville def. Jacksonville St. 3–0

(25-22, 25-23, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
JAX ST	22	23	21	0
UNC A	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC A above 50 · JAX ST below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to UNC Asheville — set 2, JAX ST 23-25 UNC A. Kill by Sarah Wadsworth (set by Olivia Callipo). UNC A win probability 96% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

JAX ST 12.8%87.2% UNC A

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0

1.8%

3-1

4.0%

3-2

7.0%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0

40.1%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.6%

JAX ST break %: 37.9% vs this opp
UNC A break %: 46.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sarah WadsworthKill+2.4%
Kill by Sarah Wadsworth (set by Olivia Callipo)
Set 2 · JAX ST 23-25 UNC A · UNC A 96% → 98%
02
Addie BrookbankAttack error+1.5%
Addie Brookbank stuffed by Anna Ray & Azavia Thomas
Set 2 · JAX ST 19-20 UNC A · JAX ST 4% → 6%
03
Claire EvansKill+1.5%
Kill by Claire Evans (set by Reese Tiesing)
Set 2 · JAX ST 23-24 UNC A · JAX ST 3% → 4%
04
Azavia ThomasAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Azavia Thomas
Set 2 · JAX ST 13-13 UNC A · UNC A 91% → 92%
05
UNC A serverAce+1.5%
UNC Asheville ace on Sophia Schweikert
Set 2 · JAX ST 14-15 UNC A · UNC A 92% → 94%
06
Lily BannisterKill+1.4%
Kill by Lily Bannister (set by Olivia Callipo)
Set 2 · JAX ST 20-22 UNC A · UNC A 94% → 96%
07
Claire EvansKill+1.4%
Kill by Claire Evans (set by Addison Stone)
Set 1 · JAX ST 2-1 UNC A · JAX ST 13% → 14%
08
Sofia VarelaBad set+1.4%
Bad set by Sofia Varela
Set 2 · JAX ST 20-23 UNC A · UNC A 96% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Jacksonville St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
26Claire EvansOH	3	10	7	28	.107	1	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	10
13Taya NordmannMB	3	5	4	13	.077	1	0	0	1	0	3	1	3.5	8.5
8Lauren BuchananOH	3	4	0	12	.333	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	0	4
6Anna RayOH	3	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	4
2Addison StoneS	3	2	2	4	.000	11	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
1Sophia SchweikertOH	3	1	3	5	-.400	1	0	1	4	3	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Azavia ThomasOH	3	8	4	18	.222	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	9
23Sofia VarelaS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
16Delaney MoonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	12	1	0	0	0	0
5Izzy WhittakerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Reese TiesingDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
7Gemma MorrisDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	21	83	.120	29	1	9	38	7	5	6	8	66

UNC Ashevillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Addie BrookbankOH	3	11	5	31	.194	1	0	3	4	0	0	2	1	12
23Sarah WadsworthOH	3	8	5	28	.107	0	2	5	7	0	0	0	0	10
14Lydia PateMB	3	4	3	8	.125	0	2	1	0	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
32Albertine van der GootOH	3	6	2	15	.267	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
13Cadence NicholsMB	3	3	4	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
18Elise JensenS	3	0	0	0	–	16	3	2	2	0	0	0	0	3
7Lily BannisterOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
22Olivia CallipoS	3	1	0	1	1.000	15	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
4Izzy PerkinsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	10	1	0	0	0	0
15Olivia PhilpotL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	21	102	.157	34	7	13	29	1	2	8	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 JAX ST · UNC A 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 JAX STUNC A 7

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 2 JAX STUNC A 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 JAX STUNC A 4

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Jacksonville St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	43%6/14
2	67%8/12	33%4/12
3	58%7/12	27%3/11
4	78%7/9	13%1/8
5	70%7/10	42%5/12
6	54%7/13	30%3/10
All	59%44/74	33%22/67

UNC Asheville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%9/14	60%12/20
2	67%8/12	33%4/12
3	100%7/7	30%3/10
4	58%7/12	36%4/11
5	64%7/11	13%1/8
6	64%7/11	46%6/13
All	67%45/67	41%30/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

141 rallies

Rally log

#	JAX ST-UNC A	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UNC A	UNC A	Ace	UNC A server	aced Sophia Schweikert	+1.2
2	1-1	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.9
3	2-1	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+1.4
4	2-2	JAX ST	UNC A	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+1.0
5	3-2	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+1.1
6	3-3	JAX ST	UNC A×3	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.0
7	3-4	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Team	+1.3
8	3-5	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Lauren Buchanan	+1.2
9	4-5	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.9
10	4-6	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Elise Jensen	+0.9
11	5-6	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.9
12	5-7	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+0.9
13	6-7	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.9
14	6-8	JAX ST	UNC A	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.9
15	7-8	UNC A	JAX ST	Attack err	Lily Bannister		+1.0
16	7-9	JAX ST	UNC A×7	Serve err	JAX ST server		+1.0
17	7-10	UNC A	UNC A×7	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		+1.2
18	7-11	UNC A	UNC A×7	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Albertine van der Goot	+0.9
19	7-12	UNC A	UNC A×7	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+0.7
20	7-13	UNC A	UNC A×7	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.5
21	7-14	UNC A	UNC A×7	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		+0.4
22	7-15	UNC A	UNC A×7	Ace	UNC A server	aced Sophia Schweikert	+0.2
23	8-15	UNC A	JAX ST×3	Kill	Claire Evans	set Taya Nordmann	+0.1
24	9-15	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Lydia Pate		+0.3
25	10-15	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth		+0.4
26	10-16	JAX ST	UNC A×3	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+0.4
27	10-17	UNC A	UNC A×3	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.3
28	10-18	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Lauren Buchanan	+0.2
29	11-18	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.1
30	11-19	JAX ST	UNC A	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.1
31	12-19	UNC A	JAX ST	Attack err	Cadence Nichols		+0.1
32	12-20	JAX ST	UNC A	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.1
33	13-20	UNC A	JAX ST	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Anna Ray	+0.1
34	13-21	JAX ST	UNC A	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.1
35	14-21	UNC A	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Cadence Nichols	blk Taya Nordmann	+0.0
36	15-21	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Cadence Nichols		+0.1
37	16-21	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Taya Nordmann		+0.2
38	16-22	JAX ST	UNC A	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+0.3
39	17-22	UNC A	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Addison Stone	+0.1
40	18-22	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.3
41	19-22	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Taya Nordmann		+0.7
42	19-23	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.8
43	20-23	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.4
44	20-24	JAX ST	UNC A	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.7
45	21-24	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.2
46	22-24	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Claire Evans	+0.8
47	22-25	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Izzy Perkins	+1.3
Set 2
1	1-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot		+1.0
2	1-1	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.7
3	2-1	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.8
4	3-1	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Lydia Pate	blk Anna Ray	+1.1
5	3-2	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.7
6	4-2	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.9
7	4-3	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Izzy Perkins	+0.8
8	5-3	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+0.9
9	5-4	JAX ST	UNC A	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.8
10	6-4	UNC A	JAX ST	Attack err	Addie Brookbank		+0.9
11	7-4	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Addie Brookbank		+1.3
12	7-5	JAX ST	UNC A	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.8
13	8-5	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+1.0
14	8-6	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+0.9
15	9-6	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.1
16	9-7	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+0.9
17	10-7	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Addison Stone	+1.1
18	10-8	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+0.9
19	11-8	UNC A	JAX ST	Attack err	Addie Brookbank		+1.1
20	11-9	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.9
21	11-10	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Claire Evans		+1.4
22	12-10	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+1.2
23	12-11	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+1.0
24	13-11	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Anna Ray	set Sofia Varela	+1.2
25	13-12	JAX ST	UNC A	Serve err	JAX ST server		+1.0
26	13-13	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+1.5
27	14-13	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+1.2
28	14-14	JAX ST	UNC A×3	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+1.1
29	14-15	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Sophia Schweikert	+1.5
30	14-16	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Taya Nordmann	blk Lydia Pate, Cadence Nichols	+1.3
31	15-16	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.9
32	15-17	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+1.0
33	16-17	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.0
34	16-18	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.0
35	17-18	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Addison Stone	set Lauren Buchanan	+1.0
36	17-19	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.1
37	17-20	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Claire Evans		+1.2
38	18-20	UNC A	JAX ST	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas	+0.7
39	19-20	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas	+1.5
40	19-21	JAX ST	UNC A	Serve err	JAX ST server		+1.3
41	20-21	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.2
42	20-22	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+1.4
43	20-23	UNC A	UNC A	Bad set	Sofia Varela		+1.4
44	21-23	UNC A	JAX ST	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth		+0.6
45	21-24	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+1.0
46	22-24	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.4
47	23-24	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Reese Tiesing	+1.5
48	23-25	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+2.4
Set 3
1	0-1	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.4
2	1-1	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Addison Stone	set Sophia Schweikert	+0.3
3	1-2	JAX ST	UNC A×3	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+0.3
4	1-3	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Anna Ray	blk Lydia Pate, Addie Brookbank	+0.4
5	1-4	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Delaney Moon	+0.3
6	2-4	UNC A	JAX ST×3	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.2
7	3-4	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot		+0.4
8	4-4	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Izzy Perkins	+0.5
9	4-5	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Addie Brookbank	+0.3
10	4-6	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.4
11	5-6	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.3
12	5-7	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+0.3
13	6-7	UNC A	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+0.3
14	7-7	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.5
15	8-7	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Cadence Nichols	blk Taya Nordmann	+0.6
16	8-8	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+0.4
17	9-8	UNC A	JAX ST	Attack err	Lily Bannister		+0.5
18	10-8	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth		+0.7
19	10-9	JAX ST	UNC A×4	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+0.4
20	10-10	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.6
21	10-11	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Olivia Callipo	+0.6
22	10-12	UNC A	UNC A×4	Attack err	Addison Stone		+0.5
23	11-12	UNC A	JAX ST×3	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.4
24	12-12	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Lydia Pate	blk Taya Nordmann	+0.6
25	13-12	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Taya Nordmann, Sophia Schweikert	+0.7
26	13-13	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+0.5
27	13-14	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		+0.7
28	14-14	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.5
29	14-15	JAX ST	UNC A	Attack err	Addison Stone	blk Lydia Pate	+0.5
30	15-15	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.5
31	15-16	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+0.5
32	16-16	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.6
33	16-17	JAX ST	UNC A×3	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Elise Jensen	+0.6
34	16-18	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.7
35	16-19	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Azavia Thomas	blk Addie Brookbank, Cadence Nichols	+0.6
36	17-19	UNC A	JAX ST×3	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.3
37	18-19	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.7
38	19-19	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.9
39	19-20	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+0.7
40	19-21	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols		+0.9
41	20-21	UNC A	JAX ST	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.6
42	20-22	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.7
43	20-23	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Olivia Callipo	set Addie Brookbank	+0.7
44	21-23	UNC A	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.3
45	21-24	JAX ST	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Olivia Callipo	+0.5
46	21-25	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Albertine van der Goot, Lydia Pate	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.