Fresno St. def. Southern Utah 3–0
(25-14, 25-12, 25-18)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S UTAH | 14 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| FRESNO | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 0.2% to Southern Utah — set 2, S UTAH 2-0 FRESNO. Attack error by Isabel Smart. FRESNO win probability 99% → 99%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Southern Utah wins
Fresno St. wins
- S UTAH break %
- 36.7% vs this opp
- FRESNO break %
- 53.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02Jenna LegaultKill+0.2%
Kill by Jenna Legault (set by Aryam Munoz)
Set 1 · S UTAH 0-2 FRESNO · FRESNO 98% → 99%
- 03
- 04Jenna LegaultKill+0.2%
Kill by Jenna Legault (set by Anna Bolich)
Set 2 · S UTAH 2-2 FRESNO · FRESNO 99% → 99%
- 05Brooklyn WashingtonKill+0.1%
Kill by Brooklyn Washington (set by Anna Bolich)
Set 2 · S UTAH 2-1 FRESNO · FRESNO 99% → 99%
- 06Isabel SmartKill+0.1%
Kill by Isabel Smart (set by Anna Bolich)
Set 1 · S UTAH 0-3 FRESNO · FRESNO 99% → 99%
- 07Audrey AtwoodKill+0.1%
Kill by Audrey Atwood (set by Celeste Uruena Jensen)
Set 2 · S UTAH 1-0 FRESNO · S UTAH 1% → 1%
- 08
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 22 | .136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 15 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | .077 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | -.316 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 27 | 22 | 100 | .050 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 44 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 13 | 4 | 35 | .257 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 22.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .467 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 6 | 0 | 9 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 23 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 9 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 38 | 7 | 84 | .369 | 34 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
14-25
Set 2
12-25
Set 3
18-25
Bars above the line = Fresno St. leads, below = Southern Utah leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Southern Utah
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38%6/16 | 17%1/6 |
| 2 | 50%6/12 | 40%4/10 |
| 3 | 25%4/16 | 33%3/9 |
| 4 | 31%4/13 | 56%5/9 |
| 5 | 30%3/10 | 43%3/7 |
| 6 | 50%3/6 | 40%2/5 |
| All | 36%26/73 | 39%18/46 |
Fresno St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%6/9 | 0%0/4 |
| 2 | 75%6/8 | 73%16/22 |
| 3 | 50%5/10 | 29%2/7 |
| 4 | 57%4/7 | 78%14/18 |
| 5 | 57%4/7 | 64%7/11 |
| 6 | 60%3/5 | 73%8/11 |
| All | 61%28/46 | 64%47/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
119 rallies
Rally log
| # | S UTAH-FRESNO | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | S UTAH | FRESNO×6 | Attack err | Maya Banks | +0.2 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | FRESNO | FRESNO×6 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Aryam Munoz | +0.2 |
| 3 | 0-3 | FRESNO | FRESNO×6 | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 4 | 0-4 | FRESNO | FRESNO×6 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 5 | 0-5 | FRESNO | FRESNO×6 | Kill | Andee May | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 6 | 0-6 | FRESNO | FRESNO×6 | Attack err | Audrey Atwood | blk Isabel Smart, Andee May | +0.1 |
| 7 | 1-6 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +0.1 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 9 | 2-7 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Emilia Zug | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.1 |
| 10 | 2-8 | S UTAH | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Maya Banks | +0.1 | |
| 11 | 2-9 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.1 |
| 12 | 2-10 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Team | +0.0 |
| 13 | 2-11 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Zorana Stankovska | +0.0 |
| 14 | 2-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Team | +0.0 |
| 15 | 3-12 | FRESNO | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Maya Banks | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.0 |
| 16 | 4-12 | S UTAH | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Emilia Zug | +0.0 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | S UTAH | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Talea Berry | set Emilia Zug | +0.0 |
| 18 | 5-13 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.0 |
| 19 | 5-14 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Emilia Linden | blk Brooke Jenkins | +0.0 |
| 20 | 6-14 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Emilia Zug | set Talea Berry | +0.0 |
| 21 | 7-14 | S UTAH | S UTAH | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +0.0 | |
| 22 | 7-15 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Attack err | Audrey Atwood | +0.0 | |
| 23 | 7-16 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | +0.0 | |
| 24 | 8-16 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Emilia Linden | set Talea Berry | +0.0 |
| 25 | 8-17 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Serve err | S UTAH server | +0.0 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Molly Mitchell | set Talea Berry | +0.0 |
| 27 | 9-18 | S UTAH | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 28 | 9-19 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 29 | 9-20 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 30 | 10-20 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Maya Banks | set Audrey Atwood | +0.0 |
| 31 | 10-21 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 32 | 11-21 | FRESNO | S UTAH×4 | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 12-21 | S UTAH | S UTAH×4 | Ace | S UTAH server | aced Team | +0.0 |
| 34 | 13-21 | S UTAH | S UTAH×4 | Attack err | Jenna Legault | blk Natalie Moore, Maya Banks | +0.0 |
| 35 | 14-21 | S UTAH | S UTAH×4 | Kill | Natalie Moore | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | S UTAH | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Amanda Mendoza | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Attack err | Maya Banks | blk Andee May, Brooke Jenkins | +0.0 |
| 39 | 14-25 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Olivia Lombardi | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Audrey Atwood | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | S UTAH | S UTAH | Attack err | Isabel Smart | +0.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | S UTAH | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Emilia Zug | +0.1 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Maya Banks | blk Jenna Legault | +0.1 |
| 7 | 2-5 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Maya Banks | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.1 |
| 9 | 3-6 | S UTAH | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 10 | 3-7 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Natalie Moore | +0.1 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Natalie Moore | blk Andee May, Jenna Legault | +0.1 |
| 12 | 4-8 | FRESNO | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Maya Banks | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | S UTAH | S UTAH×3 | Ace | S UTAH server | aced Aryam Munoz | +0.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | S UTAH | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Natalie Moore | set Talea Berry | +0.1 |
| 15 | 6-9 | S UTAH | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.1 |
| 16 | 6-10 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Audrey Atwood | +0.1 |
| 17 | 6-11 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 6-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Zorana Stankovska | +0.0 |
| 19 | 6-13 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Emilia Linden | blk Brooke Jenkins | +0.0 |
| 20 | 7-13 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.0 | |
| 21 | 7-14 | S UTAH | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Audrey Atwood | blk Kiley Devery, Andee May | +0.0 |
| 22 | 7-15 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.0 |
| 23 | 7-16 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Audrey Atwood | blk Brooklyn Washington, Kiley Devery | +0.0 |
| 24 | 8-16 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Emilia Zug | set Talea Berry | +0.0 |
| 25 | 8-17 | S UTAH | FRESNO×4 | Attack err | Emilia Linden | +0.0 | |
| 26 | 8-18 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 27 | 8-19 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Attack err | Audrey Atwood | +0.0 | |
| 28 | 8-20 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 29 | 9-20 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 9-21 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 31 | 10-21 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Molly Mitchell | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.0 |
| 32 | 11-21 | S UTAH | S UTAH | Bad set | Anna Bolich | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 11-22 | S UTAH | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Olivia Lombardi | +0.0 |
| 34 | 11-23 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Andee May | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 35 | 11-24 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 36 | 12-24 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Kaitlyn Hoelker | set Audrey Atwood | +0.0 |
| 37 | 12-25 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | S UTAH | S UTAH | Kill | Maya Banks | set Zorana Stankovska | +0.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Serve err | S UTAH server | +0.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Maya Banks | +0.1 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | FRESNO | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Kaitlyn Hoelker | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | S UTAH | S UTAH×3 | Ace | S UTAH server | aced Team | +0.1 |
| 6 | 4-2 | S UTAH | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Kaitlyn Hoelker | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Serve err | S UTAH server | +0.1 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Julia Roncero-Ribas | +0.1 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Celeste Uruena Jensen | set Talea Berry | +0.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | S UTAH | S UTAH | Attack err | Kiley Devery | +0.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | S UTAH | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.1 |
| 14 | 7-7 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | +0.1 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Natalie Moore | +0.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Attack err | Audrey Atwood | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Natalie Moore | set Talea Berry | +0.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | S UTAH | S UTAH | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | S UTAH | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Molly Mitchell | blk Isabel Smart, Brooklyn Washington | +0.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Julia Roncero-Ribas | blk Brooke Jenkins, Brooklyn Washington | +0.0 |
| 23 | 9-14 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Audrey Atwood | +0.0 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | FRESNO | S UTAH×3 | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.0 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | S UTAH | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Maya Banks | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | S UTAH | S UTAH×3 | Kill | Emilia Zug | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.1 |
| 27 | 12-15 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 28 | 13-15 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Bad set | Isabel Smart | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | S UTAH | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 30 | 13-17 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 31 | 13-18 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Bad set | Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Maya Banks | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.0 |
| 33 | 14-19 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Serve err | S UTAH server | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Kill | Maya Banks | set Celeste Uruena Jensen | +0.0 |
| 35 | 15-20 | S UTAH | FRESNO×3 | Serve err | S UTAH server | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Emilia Zug | +0.0 |
| 37 | 15-22 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Emilia Zug | +0.0 |
| 38 | 16-22 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Natalie Moore | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 17-24 | FRESNO | S UTAH | Attack err | Brooke Jenkins | +0.0 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | S UTAH | S UTAH | Kill | Emilia Zug | set Molly Mitchell | +0.0 |
| 43 | 18-25 | S UTAH | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Southern Utah first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.