CSUN def. Fresno St. 3–0
(25-19, 25-16, 25-19)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRESNO | 19 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| CSUN | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.5% to CSUN — set 1, FRESNO 7-10 CSUN. Attack error by Peyton Bitter. CSUN win probability 84% → 86%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Fresno St. wins
CSUN wins
- FRESNO break %
- 40.0% vs this opp
- CSUN break %
- 47.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Peyton BitterAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Peyton Bitter
Set 1 · FRESNO 7-10 CSUN · CSUN 84% → 86%
- 02FRESNO serverAce+1.5%
Fresno St. ace on Audrey Nuckols
Set 1 · FRESNO 9-11 CSUN · FRESNO 14% → 15%
- 03CSUN serverAce+1.4%
CSUN ace on Alivia Schneider
Set 1 · FRESNO 11-15 CSUN · CSUN 86% → 88%
- 04Fallyn BlotzerKill+1.4%
Kill by Fallyn Blotzer (set by Katie Kolar)
Set 1 · FRESNO 0-2 CSUN · CSUN 83% → 85%
- 05Fallyn BlotzerKill+1.3%
Kill by Fallyn Blotzer (set by Audrey Nuckols)
Set 1 · FRESNO 11-14 CSUN · CSUN 85% → 86%
- 06Peyton BitterKill+1.3%
Kill by Peyton Bitter (set by Anna Bolich)
Set 1 · FRESNO 7-8 CSUN · FRESNO 16% → 17%
- 07FRESNO serverService error+1.3%
Fresno St. service error
Set 1 · FRESNO 7-9 CSUN · CSUN 83% → 84%
- 08CSUN serverAce+1.3%
CSUN ace on Team
Set 1 · FRESNO 7-11 CSUN · CSUN 86% → 87%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 31 | .097 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 17 | .353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 27 | 15 | 90 | .133 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 54 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 1 | 24 | .458 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 30 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .462 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 12 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -.100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 18 | 100 | .270 | 45 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
19-25
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
19-25
Bars above the line = CSUN leads, below = Fresno St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Fresno St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44%7/16 | 30%3/10 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 50%7/14 |
| 3 | 40%6/15 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 100%6/6 | 14%1/7 |
| 5 | 42%5/12 | 0%0/6 |
| 6 | 38%5/13 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 49%36/73 | 32%18/56 |
CSUN
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 78%7/9 | 62%8/13 |
| 2 | 50%7/14 | 42%5/12 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 53%8/15 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 100%6/6 | 14%1/7 |
| 6 | 50%5/10 | 67%10/15 |
| All | 68%38/56 | 51%37/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
129 rallies
Rally log
| # | FRESNO-CSUN | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Iye Okolo | set Katie Kolar | +1.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | CSUN | CSUN | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Katie Kolar | +1.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +1.1 |
| 4 | 1-3 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Tatiana Turgeon | set Katie Kolar | +1.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +1.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +1.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.2 |
| 8 | 3-5 | FRESNO | CSUN | Serve err | FRESNO server | +1.1 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Audrey Nuckols | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +1.2 |
| 11 | 5-6 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Alivia Schneider | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | FRESNO | CSUN | Serve err | FRESNO server | +1.2 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Alivia Schneider | set Anna Bolich | +1.3 |
| 14 | 6-8 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Katie Kolar | +1.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Peyton Bitter | set Anna Bolich | +1.3 |
| 16 | 7-9 | FRESNO | CSUN×3 | Serve err | FRESNO server | +1.3 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | CSUN | CSUN×3 | Attack err | Peyton Bitter | +1.5 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | CSUN | CSUN×3 | Ace | CSUN server | aced Team | +1.3 |
| 19 | 8-11 | CSUN | FRESNO | Attack err | Audrey Nuckols | blk Jenna Legault, Andee May | +0.9 |
| 20 | 9-11 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Audrey Nuckols | +1.5 |
| 21 | 9-12 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +1.2 |
| 22 | 10-12 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.2 |
| 23 | 10-13 | FRESNO | CSUN | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +1.2 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.2 |
| 25 | 11-14 | FRESNO | CSUN×3 | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Audrey Nuckols | +1.3 |
| 26 | 11-15 | CSUN | CSUN×3 | Ace | CSUN server | aced Alivia Schneider | +1.4 |
| 27 | 11-16 | CSUN | CSUN×3 | Attack err | Alivia Schneider | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Alivia Schneider | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.7 |
| 29 | 13-16 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Annie Gilmore | +1.2 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | FRESNO | CSUN×4 | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Katie Kolar | +1.1 |
| 31 | 13-18 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Kill | Annie Gilmore | set Katie Kolar | +1.1 |
| 32 | 13-19 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Ace | CSUN server | aced Peyton Bitter | +0.7 |
| 33 | 13-20 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Attack err | Peyton Bitter | +0.4 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | CSUN | FRESNO | Attack err | Hailey Brockway | blk Alivia Schneider | +0.2 |
| 35 | 14-21 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Annie Gilmore | set Katie Kolar | +0.3 |
| 36 | 14-22 | CSUN | CSUN | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +0.2 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | CSUN | FRESNO×4 | Serve err | CSUN server | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 39 | 17-22 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Jenna Legault | +0.3 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Peyton Bitter | set Anna Bolich | +0.5 |
| 41 | 18-23 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Katie Kolar | +0.6 |
| 42 | 18-24 | CSUN | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.3 |
| 43 | 19-24 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Peyton Bitter | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Tatiana Turgeon | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CSUN | FRESNO | Attack err | Hailey Brockway | +1.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Annie Gilmore | +0.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Alivia Schneider | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | FRESNO | CSUN×4 | Kill | Tatiana Turgeon | set Katie Kolar | +0.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Attack err | Gabby Lombardi | +1.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Kill | Audrey Nuckols | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +1.1 |
| 7 | 2-5 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +1.0 |
| 8 | 3-5 | CSUN | FRESNO | Serve err | CSUN server | +0.7 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | CSUN | FRESNO | Serve err | CSUN server | +0.8 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | FRESNO | CSUN | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.8 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | CSUN | FRESNO | Attack err | Hailey Brockway | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Iye Okolo | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.8 |
| 14 | 5-9 | CSUN | CSUN | Kill | Annie Gilmore | set Katie Kolar | +0.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Peyton Bitter | set Anna Bolich | +0.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Iye Okolo | set Katie Kolar | +0.7 |
| 17 | 6-11 | CSUN | CSUN | Kill | Iye Okolo | set Katie Kolar | +0.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Andee May | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Hailey Brockway | +0.8 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Iye Okolo | set Katie Kolar | +0.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.7 |
| 22 | 10-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Annie Gilmore | +1.1 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Tatiana Turgeon | set Katie Kolar | +0.9 |
| 24 | 10-14 | CSUN | CSUN | Kill | Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | set Hailey Brockway | +1.0 |
| 25 | 11-14 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.7 |
| 26 | 11-15 | FRESNO | CSUN | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.8 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | CSUN | FRESNO | Serve err | CSUN server | +0.7 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.8 |
| 29 | 12-17 | CSUN | CSUN | Ace | CSUN server | aced Jenna Legault | +0.8 |
| 30 | 13-17 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Alivia Schneider | +0.5 |
| 31 | 13-18 | FRESNO | CSUN×4 | Kill | Iye Okolo | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.6 |
| 32 | 13-19 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +0.5 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Ace | CSUN server | aced Olivia Lombardi | +0.3 |
| 34 | 13-21 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Attack err | Jenna Legault | blk Iye Okolo, Annie Gilmore | +0.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | CSUN | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Iye Okolo | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Annie Gilmore | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Hailey Brockway | +0.2 |
| 38 | 16-22 | FRESNO | CSUN×4 | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Katie Kolar | +0.3 |
| 39 | 16-23 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Ace | CSUN server | aced Alivia Schneider | +0.2 |
| 40 | 16-24 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Attack err | Kiley Devery | blk Iye Okolo, Julia Bazylevych | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Ace | CSUN server | aced Alivia Schneider | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Annie Gilmore | blk Jenna Legault, Andee May | +0.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | FRESNO | CSUN×4 | Attack err | Kiley Devery | blk Iye Okolo | +0.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Katie Kolar | +0.6 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Kill | Tatiana Turgeon | set Katie Kolar | +0.5 |
| 5 | 1-4 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Attack err | Andee May | +0.5 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | CSUN | FRESNO | Serve err | CSUN server | +0.4 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Annie Gilmore | set Katie Kolar | +0.4 |
| 8 | 2-6 | CSUN | CSUN | Attack err | Brooke Jenkins | +0.4 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.3 |
| 10 | 3-7 | FRESNO | CSUN×6 | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | CSUN | CSUN×6 | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.4 |
| 12 | 3-9 | CSUN | CSUN×6 | Kill | Audrey Nuckols | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.3 |
| 13 | 3-10 | CSUN | CSUN×6 | Attack err | Brooke Jenkins | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 3-11 | CSUN | CSUN×6 | Kill | Tatiana Turgeon | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.2 |
| 15 | 3-12 | CSUN | CSUN×6 | Attack err | Brooklyn Washington | blk Tatiana Turgeon | +0.1 |
| 16 | 4-12 | CSUN | FRESNO | Serve err | CSUN server | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 18 | 5-13 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.1 |
| 19 | 6-13 | CSUN | FRESNO | Attack err | Audrey Nuckols | blk Peyton Bitter | +0.1 |
| 20 | 6-14 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Audrey Nuckols | +0.1 |
| 21 | 6-15 | CSUN | CSUN | Kill | Iye Okolo | set Katie Kolar | +0.1 |
| 22 | 7-15 | CSUN | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Anna Bolich | +0.0 |
| 23 | 8-15 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Fallyn Blotzer | blk Andee May, Peyton Bitter | +0.1 |
| 24 | 9-15 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Annie Gilmore | +0.2 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Katie Kolar | +0.2 |
| 26 | 9-17 | CSUN | CSUN | Attack err | Andee May | +0.1 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.1 |
| 28 | 10-18 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Katie Kolar | +0.1 |
| 29 | 11-18 | CSUN | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.1 |
| 30 | 12-18 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Ace | FRESNO server | aced Team | +0.1 |
| 31 | 13-18 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Attack err | Tatiana Turgeon | +0.2 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Attack err | Hailey Brockway | +0.3 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Katie Kolar | +0.3 |
| 34 | 15-19 | CSUN | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.2 |
| 35 | 16-19 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Hailey Brockway | +0.5 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Tatiana Turgeon | blk Brooklyn Washington, Brooke Jenkins | +0.7 |
| 37 | 17-20 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Paige Sentes | +0.6 |
| 38 | 18-20 | CSUN | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.5 |
| 39 | 18-21 | FRESNO | CSUN | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Jan Marie Duhaylungsod | +0.7 |
| 40 | 19-21 | CSUN | FRESNO | Attack err | Audrey Nuckols | +0.5 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | FRESNO | CSUN×4 | Serve err | FRESNO server | +0.7 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Ace | CSUN server | aced Olivia Lombardi | +0.6 |
| 43 | 19-24 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Kill | Hailey Brockway | set Katie Kolar | +0.2 |
| 44 | 19-25 | CSUN | CSUN×4 | Kill | Fallyn Blotzer | set Paige Sentes | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Fresno St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.