Final · 4 setsThu, Nov 5, 2026Watch on YouTube

San Diego St. def. Fresno St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: San Diego St. 95.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

San Diego St. beat visiting Fresno St. 3-1 (25-12, 25-23, 23-25, 25-19) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. San Diego St.'s Layla Austin led with 14 kills, and Zara Stewart added 16 digs.

Data through · final Nov 5

Set1234Sets
FRESNO122325191
SDSU252523253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

San Diego St. broke it open with a 9–0 run in the first set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.7 points. Fresno St. peaked at 8% in Set 4. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had San Diego St. at 96%.

Fresno St.San Diego St.
  • Break %+11.7 pts
    38.850.5

    On serve: 49/97 against 31/80 (Fresno St. sideout 49.5%).

  • Hitting+.183
    .067.250

    Kills and errors: 48–18 vs 35–27.

  • Longest run+5
    49

    Up 16–12 in the first set, San Diego St. scored 9 straight to make it 25–12. That set ended 25–12.

San Diego St. above 50Fresno St. belowMax swing 1.7%

Fresno St.San Diego St.

Aces
Fresno St. 8·San Diego St. 6
Serve err
Fresno St. 15·San Diego St. 18
Blocks
Fresno St. 8·San Diego St. 63 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Fresno St. 45·San Diego St. 50

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

San Diego St. above 50 · Fresno St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.7% FRESNOrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Fresno St. — set 4, FRESNO 10-8 SDSU. Layla Austin stuffed by Michon Sailors & Alivia Schneider. SDSU win probability 94% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FRESNO 4.5%95.5% SDSU

Fresno St. wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
2.8%

San Diego St. wins

3-0
56.9%
3-1
29.2%
3-2
9.3%
FRESNO break %
35.9% vs this opp
SDSU break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Layla Austin stuffed by Michon Sailors & Alivia Schneider

    Set 4 · FRESNO 10-8 SDSU · FRESNO 6% → 8%

  2. 02

    Kill by Taelyn Bentley (set by Kendall Mairs)

    Set 4 · FRESNO 10-10 SDSU · SDSU 93% → 95%

  3. 03
    Alivia SchneiderAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Alivia Schneider

    Set 4 · FRESNO 10-11 SDSU · SDSU 95% → 96%

  4. 04
    Annelise RisingAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Annelise Rising

    Set 4 · FRESNO 6-5 SDSU · FRESNO 4% → 5%

  5. 05

    Kill by Tessa Schouten

    Set 4 · FRESNO 11-13 SDSU · SDSU 96% → 97%

  6. 06
    Kendall MairsService error+1.1%

    Service error by Kendall Mairs

    Set 4 · FRESNO 9-8 SDSU · FRESNO 5% → 6%

  7. 07
    Layla AustinKill+1.1%

    Kill by Layla Austin (set by Kendall Mairs)

    Set 4 · FRESNO 10-9 SDSU · SDSU 92% → 93%

  8. 08
    Tessa SchoutenService error+1.1%

    Service error by Tessa Schouten

    Set 4 · FRESNO 8-7 SDSU · FRESNO 5% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48832.00002551212.512.5
49216.438000000009
3138-.250002620001
2215.200002001013
2000–511200001
2048-.500000100000
411529.2070115002113
4102.5002711100010.52.5
4000–1101100001
4000–001310000
3117.00002200052.55.5
22313-.07710021010.52.5
Team totals3527120.06734815456310879
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414630.26702110000016
411939.05100230031.512.5
410117.5291010012212
46010.6000363012211
4001.00040151300001
4000–001420000
4001.0004001630000
4000–000010000
34110.300000000004
33112.16700001010.53.5
2000–002100000
Team totals4818120.2504561850828698

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Fresno St. vs San Diego St.

Season series · San Diego St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 FRESNO · SDSU 9

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 3 FRESNOSDSU 9

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 FRESNOSDSU 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 FRESNOSDSU 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 FRESNOSDSU 3

Bars above the line = San Diego St. leads, below = Fresno St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fresno St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%7/20
36%4/11
2
64%7/11
42%5/12
3
28%5/18
22%2/9
4
63%5/8
44%4/9
5
83%5/6
38%3/8
6
50%5/10
29%2/7
All
47%34/73
36%20/56

San Diego St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
54%7/13
2
58%7/12
63%12/19
3
67%6/9
68%13/19
4
71%5/7
29%2/7
5
63%5/8
38%3/8
6
71%5/7
29%2/7
All
64%36/56
53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#FRESNO-SDSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SDSUSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.5
21-1SDSUFRESNOServe errKendall Mairs+0.4
32-1FRESNOFRESNOKillAndee Mayset Anna Bolich+0.6
42-2FRESNOSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.4
53-2SDSUFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Anna Bolich+0.5
64-2FRESNOFRESNOBlockedElla Schabortblk Jenna Legault+0.8
74-3FRESNOSDSU×4KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.5
84-4SDSUSDSU×4Bad setJenna Legault+0.6
94-5SDSUSDSU×4AceTaelyn Bentleyaced Brooke Jenkins+0.6
104-6SDSUSDSU×4Attack errKiley Devery+0.5
115-6SDSUFRESNO×3Serve errTaelyn Bentley+0.4
126-6FRESNOFRESNO×3AceJenna Legaultaced Haylee Brown+0.6
137-6FRESNOFRESNO×3AceJenna Legault+0.8
147-7FRESNOSDSUServe errJenna Legault+0.5
158-7SDSUFRESNOAttack errHaylee Brown+0.6
168-8FRESNOSDSUServe errAndee May+0.5
179-8SDSUFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.6
189-9FRESNOSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.6
199-10SDSUSDSUAttack errBrooke Jenkins+0.7
2010-10SDSUFRESNOAttack errLayla Austin+0.6
2110-11FRESNOSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.5
2210-12SDSUSDSU×3Attack errIsabel Smart+0.6
2310-13SDSUSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.5
2411-13SDSUFRESNOServe errKendall Mairs+0.4
2511-14FRESNOSDSU×3KillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.4
2611-15SDSUSDSU×3KillElla Schabortset Zara Stewart+0.4
2711-16SDSUSDSU×3AceSan Diego St.aced Jenna Legault+0.3
2812-16SDSUFRESNOKillAndee Mayset Anna Bolich+0.2
2912-17FRESNOSDSU×9Serve errGabby Lombardi+0.2
3012-18SDSUSDSU×9KillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.2
3112-19SDSUSDSU×9Attack errKiley Devery+0.1
3212-20SDSUSDSU×9KillAnnelise Risingset Kendall Mairs·
3312-21SDSUSDSU×9BlockedJenna Legaultblk Tessa Schouten, Ella Schabort·
3412-22SDSUSDSU×9BlockedJenna Legaultblk Tessa Schouten, Ella Schabort·
3512-23SDSUSDSU×9Attack errKiley Devery·
3612-24SDSUSDSU×9KillTessa Schouten·
3712-25SDSUSDSU×9AceSan Diego St.aced Brooke Jenkins·
Set 2
11-0FRESNOFRESNOAttack errLayla Austin+0.4
21-1FRESNOSDSUServe errBrooke Jenkins+0.3
31-2SDSUSDSUBlockedIsabel Smartblk Haylee Brown, Taelyn Bentley+0.3
42-2SDSUFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Anna Bolich+0.3
53-2FRESNOFRESNOBlockedElla Schabortblk Andee May+0.4
63-3FRESNOSDSUAttack errIsabel Smart+0.3
74-3SDSUFRESNOServe errTaelyn Bentley+0.3
84-4FRESNOSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.3
95-4SDSUFRESNOServe errElla Schabort+0.3
105-5FRESNOSDSUServe errJenna Legault+0.3
115-6SDSUSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.4
126-6SDSUFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.3
136-7FRESNOSDSUServe errAndee May+0.3
147-7SDSUFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+0.3
158-7FRESNOFRESNOAceAnna Bolichaced Nazare Judd+0.5
168-8FRESNOSDSU×3Serve errAnna Bolich+0.3
178-9SDSUSDSU×3AceKendall Mairsaced Aryam Munoz+0.4
188-10SDSUSDSU×3KillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.4
199-10SDSUFRESNOServe errKendall Mairs+0.3
209-11FRESNOSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.3
219-12SDSUSDSUAttack errIsabel Smart+0.3
2210-12SDSUFRESNO×3KillBrooklyn Washingtonset Anna Bolich+0.2
2311-12FRESNOFRESNO×3BlockedElla Schabortblk Jenna Legault+0.4
2412-12FRESNOFRESNO×3AceOlivia Lombardiaced Gianna Bender+0.5
2512-13FRESNOSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.4
2612-14SDSUSDSUAttack errAndee May+0.5
2713-14SDSUFRESNOServe errTaelyn Bentley+0.3
2813-15FRESNOSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.3
2914-15SDSUFRESNOServe errElla Schabort+0.4
3014-16FRESNOSDSUServe errJenna Legault+0.4
3115-16SDSUFRESNOServe errNazare Judd+0.4
3215-17FRESNOSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.4
3316-17SDSUFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+0.4
3417-17FRESNOFRESNOAceKiley Deveryaced Nazare Judd+0.7
3517-18FRESNOSDSU×3Serve errKiley Devery+0.5
3617-19SDSUSDSU×3KillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.6
3717-20SDSUSDSU×3Attack errBrooke Jenkins+0.5
3818-20SDSUFRESNO×3KillBrooke Jenkinsset Gabby Lombardi+0.3
3919-20FRESNOFRESNO×3KillJenna Legaultset Gabby Lombardi+0.6
4020-20FRESNOFRESNO×3KillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+1.0
4120-21FRESNOSDSU×3Serve errBrooke Jenkins+0.7
4220-22SDSUSDSU×3BlockedJenna Legaultblk Ella Schabort, Taelyn Bentley+0.9
4320-23SDSUSDSU×3Attack errJenna Legault+0.6
4421-23SDSUFRESNOServe errLayla Austin+0.2
4521-24FRESNOSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.4
4622-24SDSUFRESNOServe errTaelyn Bentley+0.2
4723-24FRESNOFRESNOAceGabby Lombardiaced Zara Stewart+0.6
4823-25FRESNOSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.9
Set 3
10-1SDSUSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.1
20-2SDSUSDSUAttack errBrooklyn Washington+0.1
31-2SDSUFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.1
41-3FRESNOSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.1
51-4SDSUSDSUAttack errBrooke Jenkins+0.1
62-4SDSUFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.1
72-5FRESNOSDSU×3Attack errKiley Devery+0.1
82-6SDSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
92-7SDSUSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.1
103-7SDSUFRESNOServe errTaelyn Bentley·
113-8FRESNOSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs·
124-8SDSUFRESNO×4KillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi·
135-8FRESNOFRESNO×4Attack errLayla Austin+0.1
146-8FRESNOFRESNO×4AceMichon Sailorsaced Zara Stewart+0.1
157-8FRESNOFRESNO×4KillJenna Legaultset Gabby Lombardi+0.1
167-9FRESNOSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.1
178-9SDSUFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Gabby Lombardi+0.1
188-10FRESNOSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.1
199-10SDSUFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+0.1
209-11FRESNOSDSUServe errJenna Legault+0.1
2110-11SDSUFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+0.1
2211-11FRESNOFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.2
2311-12FRESNOSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.2
2412-12SDSUFRESNOAttack errElla Schabort+0.2
2513-12FRESNOFRESNOKillAlivia Schneiderset Gabby Lombardi+0.3
2613-13FRESNOSDSU×3KillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.2
2713-14SDSUSDSU×3Attack errAlivia Schneider+0.2
2813-15SDSUSDSU×3Attack errKiley Devery+0.2
2914-15SDSUFRESNO×4Serve errTaelyn Bentley+0.2
3015-15FRESNOFRESNO×4BlockedElla Schabortblk Jenna Legault, Michon Sailors+0.3
3116-15FRESNOFRESNO×4KillJenna Legaultset Gabby Lombardi+0.4
3217-15FRESNOFRESNO×4Attack errElla Schabort+0.4
3317-16FRESNOSDSUKillAnnelise Risingset Kendall Mairs+0.2
3417-17SDSUSDSUAttack errJenna Legault+0.4
3518-17SDSUFRESNOServe errRylie Sengdara+0.3
3618-18FRESNOSDSUServe errMichon Sailors+0.3
3719-18SDSUFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Olivia Lombardi+0.3
3820-18FRESNOFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.5
3920-19FRESNOSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.3
4021-19SDSUFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.4
4121-20FRESNOSDSUServe errJenna Legault+0.3
4222-20SDSUFRESNO×3Serve errKendall Mairs+0.5
4323-20FRESNOFRESNO×3BlockedElla Schabortblk Michon Sailors, Kiley Devery+0.6
4424-20FRESNOFRESNO×3KillAlivia Schneiderset Gabby Lombardi+0.4
4524-21FRESNOSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.1
4624-22SDSUSDSU×3KillElla Schabortset Zara Stewart+0.3
4724-23SDSUSDSU×3AceSan Diego St.aced Alivia Schneider+0.5
4825-23SDSUFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+1.0
Set 4
10-1FRESNOSDSU×3Serve errAryam Munoz+0.6
20-2SDSUSDSU×3KillElla Schabortset Zara Stewart+0.7
30-3SDSUSDSU×3KillElla Schabortset Zara Stewart+0.6
41-3SDSUFRESNOKillMichon Sailorsset Gabby Lombardi+0.4
52-3FRESNOFRESNOAceMichon Sailorsaced Zara Stewart+0.8
62-4FRESNOSDSUServe errMichon Sailors+0.5
73-4SDSUFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+0.6
83-5FRESNOSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.6
94-5SDSUFRESNO×3Serve errRylie Sengdara+0.6
105-5FRESNOFRESNO×3KillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+1.0
116-5FRESNOFRESNO×3Attack errAnnelise Rising+1.3
126-6FRESNOSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.8
137-6SDSUFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Gabby Lombardi+1.0
147-7FRESNOSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.9
158-7SDSUFRESNOServe errTessa Schouten+1.1
168-8FRESNOSDSUAttack errJenna Legault+0.9
179-8SDSUFRESNOServe errKendall Mairs+1.1
1810-8FRESNOFRESNOBlockedLayla Austinblk Michon Sailors, Alivia Schneider+1.7
1910-9FRESNOSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+1.1
2010-10SDSUSDSU×3KillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+1.5
2110-11SDSUSDSU×3Attack errAlivia Schneider+1.3
2211-11SDSUFRESNOAttack errElla Schabort+1.0
2311-12FRESNOSDSUAttack errAnnelise Rising+0.9
2411-13SDSUSDSUKillTessa Schouten+1.2
2512-13SDSUFRESNOAttack errElla Schabort+0.9
2612-14FRESNOSDSU×3KillAnnelise Risingset Tessa Schouten+0.8
2712-15SDSUSDSU×3KillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+1.0
2812-16SDSUSDSU×3KillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.7
2913-16SDSUFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+0.5
3013-17FRESNOSDSU×3KillAnnelise Risingset Kendall Mairs+0.5
3113-18SDSUSDSU×3Attack errJenna Legault+0.5
3213-19SDSUSDSU×3BlockedBrooklyn Washingtonblk Tessa Schouten+0.3
3314-19SDSUFRESNO×4KillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.1
3415-19FRESNOFRESNO×4Attack errTessa Schouten+0.3
3516-19FRESNOFRESNO×4BlockedLayla Austinblk Gabby Lombardi, Michon Sailors+0.6
3617-19FRESNOFRESNO×4KillJenna Legaultset Gabby Lombardi+1.0
3717-20FRESNOSDSUAttack errJenna Legault+0.9
3817-21SDSUSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.8
3918-21SDSUFRESNOKillGabby Lombardiset Alivia Schneider+0.4
4018-22FRESNOSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.6
4119-22SDSUFRESNOBlockedLayla Austinblk Kiley Devery, Michon Sailors+0.4
4219-23FRESNOSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.5
4319-24SDSUSDSU×3BlockedMichon Sailorsblk Taelyn Bentley+0.3
4419-25SDSUSDSU×3Attack errAlivia Schneider+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Fresno St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).