FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayOVC

0:3

HomeSEC

Missouri def. Western Ill. 3–0

(25-9, 25-11, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
W ILL	9	11	14	0
MIZZOU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MIZZOU above 50 · W ILL below

Biggest swing: 0.0% to Western Ill. — set 1, W ILL 2-2 MIZZOU. Kill by Kennedy Adair (set by Jaleah Bauss). MIZZOU win probability 100% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W ILL 0.1%99.9% MIZZOU

Western Ill. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.1%

Missouri wins

3-0

89.1%

3-1

10.1%

3-2

0.7%

W ILL break %: 31.9% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %: 56.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kennedy AdairKill+0.0%
Kill by Kennedy Adair (set by Jaleah Bauss)
Set 1 · W ILL 2-2 MIZZOU · W ILL 0% → 0%
02
Kennedy AdairKill+0.0%
Kill by Kennedy Adair (set by Jaleah Bauss)
Set 1 · W ILL 1-1 MIZZOU · W ILL 0% → 0%
03
Emilia KouriKill+0.0%
Kill by Emilia Kouri (set by Grace Ulatowski)
Set 1 · W ILL 6-8 MIZZOU · W ILL 0% → 0%
04
MIZZOU serverAce+0.0%
Missouri ace on Kennedy Adair
Set 1 · W ILL 2-4 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 100% → 100%
05
Nina MandovicKill+0.0%
Kill by Nina Mandovic (set by Ainoah Cruz)
Set 1 · W ILL 2-3 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 100% → 100%
06
W ILL serverService error+0.0%
Western Ill. service error
Set 1 · W ILL 1-2 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 100% → 100%
07
Audrey PenderKill+0.0%
Kill by Audrey Pender (set by Jaleah Bauss)
Set 2 · W ILL 1-0 MIZZOU · W ILL 0% → 0%
08
W ILL serverService error+0.0%
Western Ill. service error
Set 1 · W ILL 0-1 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Western Ill.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Kennedy AdairOH	3	4	5	29	-.034	1	0	0	5	2	1	0.5	4.5
1Georgia HaynesOH	3	4	2	14	.143	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4
15Jaleah BaussS	3	2	0	3	.667	14	0	3	4	1	0	0	2
3Audrey PenderOH	3	1	1	9	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Hillary EstesMB	2	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
11Jacqueline AdairOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0
16Melaina HawblitzelOH	3	6	2	15	.267	1	3	2	1	2	0	0	9
17Emilia KouriOH	3	3	3	10	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
5Grace UlatowskiOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	10	0	0	0	0
4Karlie LaneL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Madelyn NortonS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Maria Eduarda Pereira TonellaMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
14Alysia PerezS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Maria Eduarda Oliveira da Silva FrizzoOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	14	90	.100	23	3	8	23	9	4	2	34

Missourihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Paige FelderOH	3	13	0	23	.565	0	5	0	8	0	1	0.5	18.5
8Ceylin KuyanOH	3	14	2	19	.632	0	0	0	5	1	2	1	15
10Maca LobaglioOH	3	6	2	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
11Eva SmithMB	3	3	2	10	.100	0	1	0	0	0	4	2	6
23Tia PhinezyMB	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
0Nina MandovicS	3	3	0	3	1.000	26	1	1	11	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	1	0	5	0	0	0	2
4Ainoah CruzDS	3	0	0	0	–	9	1	0	19	0	0	0	1
40Grace O'ReillyOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Maizy AgnelloOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
22Millie BauerMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Kaylen RushL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Sierra DudleyS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	6	75	.507	38	9	1	49	3	16	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 W ILL · MIZZOU 9

Set 1

9-25

Longest run 3 W ILLMIZZOU 9

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 W ILLMIZZOU 7

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 W ILLMIZZOU 8

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Western Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	46%6/13	29%2/7
2	33%5/15	33%3/9
3	36%5/14	0%0/5
4	31%4/13	17%1/6
5	23%3/13	33%2/6
6	60%3/5	0%0/3
All	36%26/73	22%8/36

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%6/7	33%2/6
2	67%6/9	65%11/17
3	83%5/6	64%9/14
4	100%4/4	78%14/18
5	67%4/6	33%2/6
6	75%3/4	75%9/12
All	78%28/36	64%47/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

109 rallies

Rally log

#	W ILL-MIZZOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	W ILL	MIZZOU	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
2	1-1	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
3	1-2	W ILL	MIZZOU	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
4	2-2	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
5	2-3	W ILL	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
6	2-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Kennedy Adair	+0.0
7	2-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
8	2-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Kennedy Adair	+0.0
9	2-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Jacqueline Adair	+0.0
10	3-7	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
11	3-8	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
12	4-8	MIZZOU	W ILL×3	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+0.0
13	5-8	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+0.0
14	6-8	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.0
15	6-9	W ILL	MIZZOU×9	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
16	6-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×9	Attack err	Emilia Kouri	blk Tia Phinezy, Maca Lobaglio	+0.0
17	6-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×9	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
18	6-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×9	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
19	6-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×9	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
20	6-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×9	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Madelyn Norton	+0.0
21	6-15	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×9	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Jacqueline Adair	+0.0
22	6-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×9	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan		+0.0
23	6-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×9	Attack err	Jacqueline Adair	blk Tia Phinezy, Maca Lobaglio	+0.0
24	7-17	MIZZOU	W ILL	Attack err	Emilia Kouri		+0.0
25	7-18	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
26	8-18	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+0.0
27	8-19	W ILL	MIZZOU	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
28	9-19	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
29	9-20	W ILL	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
30	9-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Kennedy Adair	blk Eva Smith, Nina Mandovic	+0.0
31	9-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Zoey Matias	+0.0
32	9-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
33	9-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Georgia Haynes		+0.0
34	9-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Zoey Matias	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Audrey Pender	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
2	1-1	W ILL	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+0.0
3	1-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel	blk Maca Lobaglio, Eva Smith	+0.0
4	1-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
5	2-3	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
6	2-4	W ILL	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
7	2-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
8	2-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+0.0
9	2-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Team	+0.0
10	3-7	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
11	3-8	W ILL	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
12	3-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
13	3-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
14	4-10	MIZZOU	W ILL	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan	blk Emilia Kouri, Hillary Estes	+0.0
15	4-11	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
16	4-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Melaina Hawblitzel	+0.0
17	5-12	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Madelyn Norton	+0.0
18	5-13	W ILL	MIZZOU	Attack err	Emilia Kouri	blk Tia Phinezy, Ceylin Kuyan	+0.0
19	6-13	MIZZOU	W ILL	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.0
20	7-13	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio		+0.0
21	7-14	W ILL	MIZZOU	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
22	8-14	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
23	8-15	W ILL	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
24	8-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Kennedy Adair	blk Maca Lobaglio, Eva Smith	+0.0
25	8-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
26	9-17	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Jaleah Bauss	set Melaina Hawblitzel	+0.0
27	9-18	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
28	10-18	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
29	11-18	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Eva Smith		+0.0
30	11-19	W ILL	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
31	11-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Melaina Hawblitzel	+0.0
32	11-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
33	11-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan		+0.0
34	11-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
35	11-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Jacqueline Adair	+0.0
36	11-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
2	1-1	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
3	2-1	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.0
4	3-1	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	W ILL server	aced Ceylin Kuyan	+0.0
5	3-2	W ILL	MIZZOU	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
6	3-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Audrey Pender		+0.0
7	4-3	MIZZOU	W ILL	Attack err	Eva Smith	blk Audrey Pender, Kennedy Adair	+0.0
8	4-4	W ILL	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
9	4-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
10	4-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
11	5-6	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
12	5-7	W ILL	MIZZOU	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
13	6-7	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
14	6-8	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
15	6-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
16	7-9	MIZZOU	W ILL	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan		+0.0
17	7-10	W ILL	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
18	7-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
19	7-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
20	8-12	MIZZOU	W ILL	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio		+0.0
21	8-13	W ILL	MIZZOU×8	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
22	8-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×8	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
23	8-15	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×8	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel		+0.0
24	8-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×8	Attack err	Georgia Haynes	blk Eva Smith, Maca Lobaglio	+0.0
25	8-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×8	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.0
26	8-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×8	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
27	8-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×8	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
28	8-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×8	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+0.0
29	9-20	MIZZOU	W ILL×3	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
30	10-20	W ILL	W ILL×3	Ace	W ILL server	aced Maizy Agnello	+0.0
31	11-20	W ILL	W ILL×3	Ace	W ILL server	aced Maizy Agnello	+0.0
32	11-21	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
33	12-21	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Jaleah Bauss	set Kennedy Adair	+0.0
34	12-22	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
35	13-22	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
36	13-23	W ILL	MIZZOU	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
37	13-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Emilia Kouri		+0.0
38	14-24	MIZZOU	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Alysia Perez	+0.0
39	14-25	W ILL	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Western Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.