FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayCAA

0:3

HomeSEC

Missouri def. Towson 3–0

(25-19, 25-17, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TOWSON	19	17	21	0
MIZZOU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MIZZOU above 50 · TOWSON below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Missouri — set 1, TOWSON 0-1 MIZZOU. Kill by Maca Lobaglio (set by Nina Mandovic). MIZZOU win probability 94% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TOWSON 6.1%93.9% MIZZOU

Towson wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.7%

3-2

3.6%

Missouri wins

3-0

52.5%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

11.0%

TOWSON break %: 35.9% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %: 47.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Maca LobaglioKill+0.7%
Kill by Maca Lobaglio (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 1 · TOWSON 0-1 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 94% → 95%
02
Maca LobaglioKill+0.6%
Kill by Maca Lobaglio (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 1 · TOWSON 0-2 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 95% → 95%
03
Maca LobaglioAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Maca Lobaglio
Set 3 · TOWSON 19-19 MIZZOU · TOWSON 1% → 1%
04
Clara VorelAttack error+0.5%
Clara Vorel stuffed by Eva Smith
Set 1 · TOWSON 0-3 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 95% → 96%
05
Anna RiceKill+0.5%
Kill by Anna Rice (set by Kaitlyn Moran)
Set 3 · TOWSON 13-10 MIZZOU · TOWSON 2% → 2%
06
Maca LobaglioKill+0.5%
Kill by Maca Lobaglio (set by Ainoah Cruz)
Set 3 · TOWSON 19-21 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 99% → 99%
07
TOWSON serverService error+0.4%
Towson service error
Set 1 · TOWSON 18-22 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 96% → 97%
08
TOWSON serverAce+0.4%
Towson ace on Team
Set 1 · TOWSON 18-21 MIZZOU · TOWSON 3% → 4%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Towsonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Anna RiceOH	3	12	3	29	.310	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
18Destini PickettOH	3	9	7	28	.071	0	1	1	5	4	1	1	1.5	11.5
14Evi PriniotakiOH	3	6	4	20	.100	0	1	4	3	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
6Malinah Purcell-TelefoniOPP	3	5	0	6	.833	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
23Clara VorelMB	3	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
22Kaitlyn MoranS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
4Ava DryeOPP	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
2Megan PlattL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
3Natalia PebenitoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0
11Peyton MeyerS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
16Taylor PaganOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
21Bjanka StojanovicOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	18	105	.190	35	2	12	35	7	1	6	4	57

Missourihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Paige FelderOH	3	13	1	31	.387	1	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	15
10Maca LobaglioOH	3	10	3	23	.304	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	12.5
11Eva SmithMB	3	3	0	4	.750	0	4	1	1	0	1	4	3	10
0Nina MandovicS	3	5	0	8	.625	28	0	1	11	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
8Ceylin KuyanOH	3	4	4	14	.000	0	0	1	4	0	1	2	2	6
23Tia PhinezyMB	3	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
4Ainoah CruzDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	10	0	0	0	0	1
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
3Maizy AgnelloOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	10	87	.299	34	7	6	37	2	2	18	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 TOWSON · MIZZOU 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 TOWSONMIZZOU 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 TOWSONMIZZOU 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 TOWSONMIZZOU 5

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Towson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Towson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%8/21	40%4/10
2	50%7/14	33%4/12
3	78%7/9	13%1/8
4	50%6/12	13%1/8
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	45%5/11	40%4/10
All	53%39/74	31%18/58

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	63%12/19
2	88%7/8	42%5/12
3	88%7/8	36%4/11
4	78%7/9	30%3/10
5	50%6/12	45%5/11
6	56%5/9	55%6/11
All	69%40/58	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	TOWSON-MIZZOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.7
2	0-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.6
3	0-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Clara Vorel	blk Eva Smith	+0.5
4	0-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Destini Pickett		+0.4
5	0-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Destini Pickett	blk Maca Lobaglio, Eva Smith	+0.3
6	1-5	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.2
7	1-6	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
8	2-6	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
9	2-7	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Zoey Matias	+0.2
10	2-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
11	3-8	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
12	3-9	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
13	3-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Destini Pickett	+0.2
14	4-10	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
15	4-11	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
16	5-11	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	+0.1
17	6-11	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	+0.2
18	6-12	TOWSON	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
19	6-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.2
20	6-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Ava Drye	blk Maca Lobaglio, Paige Felder	+0.1
21	7-14	MIZZOU	TOWSON×4	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
22	8-14	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Tia Phinezy		+0.1
23	9-14	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Natalia Pebenito	+0.2
24	10-14	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Destini Pickett		+0.3
25	10-15	TOWSON	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
26	10-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
27	10-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
28	10-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Destini Pickett		+0.1
29	11-18	MIZZOU	TOWSON×3	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.0
30	12-18	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Paige Felder	+0.1
31	13-18	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Anna Rice	set Natalia Pebenito	+0.2
32	13-19	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
33	14-19	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Bad set	Ceylin Kuyan		+0.1
34	14-20	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
35	15-20	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
36	16-20	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan		+0.3
37	16-21	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Paige Felder	+0.3
38	17-21	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Evi Priniotaki	set Peyton Meyer	+0.2
39	18-21	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Team	+0.4
40	18-22	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.4
41	19-22	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Peyton Meyer	+0.3
42	19-23	TOWSON	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.4
43	19-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Destini Pickett	blk Maca Lobaglio, Tia Phinezy	+0.2
44	19-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Evi Priniotaki	blk Maca Lobaglio, Nina Mandovic	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.4
3	1-2	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Attack err	Anna Rice		+0.3
4	1-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Nina Mandovic	+0.4
5	2-3	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.3
6	2-4	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
7	2-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Evi Priniotaki	+0.3
8	3-5	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.3
9	3-6	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
10	3-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Destini Pickett	+0.3
11	4-7	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.2
12	4-8	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
13	5-8	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.2
14	5-9	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
15	6-9	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Peyton Meyer	+0.2
16	6-10	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.2
17	6-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Destini Pickett		+0.2
18	7-11	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
19	7-12	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
20	8-12	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
21	8-13	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
22	9-13	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Evi Priniotaki		+0.2
23	9-14	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
24	9-15	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Destini Pickett	+0.2
25	10-15	MIZZOU	TOWSON×3	Kill	Evi Priniotaki	set Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	+0.1
26	11-15	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.2
27	12-15	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Tia Phinezy	blk Destini Pickett	+0.3
28	12-16	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.3
29	13-16	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.2
30	13-17	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Attack err	Evi Priniotaki		+0.3
31	14-17	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Peyton Meyer	+0.2
32	14-18	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
33	15-18	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio	blk Anna Rice, Clara Vorel	+0.2
34	15-19	TOWSON	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
35	15-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Evi Priniotaki	blk Nina Mandovic, Eva Smith	+0.3
36	15-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Anna Rice		+0.1
37	16-21	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
38	16-22	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
39	17-22	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Evi Priniotaki	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
40	17-23	TOWSON	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
41	17-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Destini Pickett	blk Nina Mandovic, Ceylin Kuyan	+0.0
42	17-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Team	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MIZZOU	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio		+0.2
2	2-0	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.3
3	3-0	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan		+0.3
4	3-1	TOWSON	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Anna Rice	blk Paige Felder, Eva Smith	+0.2
5	3-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
6	3-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Evi Priniotaki	+0.2
7	3-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
8	4-4	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Evi Priniotaki	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
9	5-4	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Evi Priniotaki	set Natalia Pebenito	+0.3
10	5-5	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
11	6-5	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.2
12	6-6	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
13	6-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Evi Priniotaki	blk Tia Phinezy, Ceylin Kuyan	+0.2
14	7-7	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan	blk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Evi Priniotaki	+0.2
15	8-7	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.3
16	8-8	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
17	8-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Ava Drye	blk Ceylin Kuyan	+0.3
18	9-9	MIZZOU	TOWSON×3	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.2
19	10-9	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Destini Pickett		+0.3
20	11-9	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan	blk Destini Pickett, Clara Vorel	+0.4
21	11-10	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
22	12-10	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.3
23	13-10	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.5
24	13-11	TOWSON	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
25	13-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Clara Vorel		+0.4
26	13-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Bad set	Kaitlyn Moran		+0.4
27	13-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Destini Pickett	+0.3
28	13-15	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Destini Pickett	blk Eva Smith, Maca Lobaglio	+0.3
29	14-15	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
30	14-16	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
31	15-16	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
32	15-17	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
33	16-17	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
34	16-18	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
35	17-18	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.3
36	17-19	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Zoey Matias	+0.3
37	18-19	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.3
38	19-19	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio		+0.5
39	19-20	TOWSON	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.4
40	19-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.5
41	19-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
42	20-22	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.2
43	20-23	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
44	21-23	MIZZOU	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
45	21-24	TOWSON	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
46	21-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Bad set	Anna Rice		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Towson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.