FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-SKY

0:3

HomeSEC

Missouri def. Idaho 3–0

(25-18, 25-21, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IDAHO	18	21	12	0
MIZZOU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MIZZOU above 50 · IDAHO below

Biggest swing: 0.3% to Idaho — set 1, IDAHO 11-11 MIZZOU. Ceylin Kuyan stuffed by Koen Makaula & Sophie Danielson. MIZZOU win probability 99% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IDAHO 1.3%98.7% MIZZOU

Idaho wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.3%

3-2

0.8%

Missouri wins

3-0

71.9%

3-1

22.5%

3-2

4.4%

IDAHO break %: 34.4% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %: 51.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ceylin KuyanAttack error+0.3%
Ceylin Kuyan stuffed by Koen Makaula & Sophie Danielson
Set 1 · IDAHO 11-11 MIZZOU · IDAHO 1% → 2%
02
Paige FelderAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Paige Felder
Set 1 · IDAHO 7-6 MIZZOU · IDAHO 1% → 2%
03
Maca LobaglioAttack error+0.3%
Maca Lobaglio stuffed by Koen Makaula & Kiana Greer
Set 1 · IDAHO 2-0 MIZZOU · IDAHO 1% → 2%
04
Kiana GreerAttack error+0.3%
Kiana Greer stuffed by Maca Lobaglio & Eva Smith
Set 1 · IDAHO 11-13 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 99% → 99%
05
Anika PrisbyKill+0.3%
Kill by Anika Prisby (set by Zola Zuccolo)
Set 1 · IDAHO 4-2 MIZZOU · IDAHO 2% → 2%
06
Kiana GreerAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Kiana Greer
Set 1 · IDAHO 7-8 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 98% → 99%
07
Csenge KrakoczkiBad set+0.2%
Bad set by Csenge Krakoczki
Set 1 · IDAHO 4-4 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 98% → 99%
08
Kiana GreerKill+0.2%
Kill by Kiana Greer (set by Zola Zuccolo)
Set 1 · IDAHO 10-11 MIZZOU · IDAHO 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Idahoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Sophie DanielsonOPP	3	6	2	15	.267	0	1	0	3	0	4	2	9
4Zola ZuccoloS	3	0	0	2	.000	15	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
12Kyriah TrefrenL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
9Kiana GreerOH	2	8	6	25	.080	0	0	1	3	2	1	0.5	8.5
11Koen MakaulaMB	2	2	1	6	.167	2	0	0	2	0	4	2	4
16Anika PrisbyMB	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
13Allie FerrinOH	3	4	2	8	.250	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	5
5Sarah SullivanOH	3	4	1	15	.200	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	4
6Gabrielle SmithMB	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Lucy RyanOH	2	1	2	3	-.333	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
21Csenge KrakoczkiS	2	1	0	1	1.000	10	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
7Keira KleidonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
2Alaina ArmstrongOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
1Kailee WakatakeDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	17	90	.133	29	2	7	27	5	10	5	51

Missourihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Lauren LarkinMB	3	10	0	16	.625	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	12
15Paige FelderOH	3	8	4	20	.200	0	1	0	3	0	0	2	1	10
11Eva SmithMB	3	4	0	9	.444	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
8Ceylin KuyanOH	2	6	5	18	.056	0	1	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
10Maca LobaglioOH	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
0Nina MandovicS	2	1	0	1	1.000	11	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
18Claire MorrisseyOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	1
4Ainoah CruzDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	13	0	0	0	0	0
40Grace O'ReillyOH	2	7	0	11	.636	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
3Maizy AgnelloOH	2	3	1	6	.333	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	4
2Sierra DudleyS	2	0	0	1	.000	23	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
22Millie BauerMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Kaylen RushL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Lydia StahleyOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
23Tia PhinezyMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	11	87	.356	37	5	8	34	2	1	13	7.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 IDAHO · MIZZOU 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 IDAHOMIZZOU 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 IDAHOMIZZOU 4

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 4 IDAHOMIZZOU 5

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Idaho leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Idaho

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	54%7/13
2	44%7/16	22%2/9
3	50%6/12	42%5/12
4	45%5/11	0%0/6
5	42%5/12	29%2/7
6	57%4/7	17%1/6
All	47%34/73	32%17/53

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	44%4/9
2	54%7/13	56%9/16
3	100%7/7	56%9/16
4	100%5/5	55%6/11
5	71%5/7	58%7/12
6	83%5/6	44%4/9
All	68%36/53	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	IDAHO-MIZZOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan	blk Koen Makaula, Sophie Danielson	+0.2
2	2-0	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio	blk Koen Makaula, Kiana Greer	+0.3
3	2-1	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Bad set	Zola Zuccolo		+0.2
4	3-1	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.2
5	3-2	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
6	4-2	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Anika Prisby	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.3
7	4-3	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
8	4-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Bad set	Csenge Krakoczki		+0.2
9	4-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Team	+0.2
10	5-5	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
11	5-6	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Nina Mandovic	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.2
12	6-6	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.2
13	7-6	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.3
14	7-7	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.2
15	7-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+0.3
16	7-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
17	8-9	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
18	8-10	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
19	8-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin		+0.2
20	9-11	MIZZOU	IDAHO×3	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.1
21	10-11	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.2
22	11-11	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan	blk Koen Makaula, Sophie Danielson	+0.3
23	11-12	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.2
24	11-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Kiana Greer	blk Maca Lobaglio, Eva Smith	+0.3
25	11-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
26	12-14	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.2
27	12-15	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
28	12-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
29	12-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Kiana Greer	+0.1
30	13-17	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Keira Kleidon	+0.1
31	13-18	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
32	13-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+0.1
33	14-19	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.0
34	14-20	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Bad set	Csenge Krakoczki		+0.0
35	14-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
36	14-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Kiana Greer	+0.0
37	15-22	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Anika Prisby	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.0
38	16-22	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.0
39	16-23	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
40	17-23	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.0
41	18-23	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Koen Makaula	+0.0
42	18-24	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.0
43	18-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Koen Makaula		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan	blk Koen Makaula, Sophie Danielson	+0.1
2	1-1	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Bad set	Kiana Greer		+0.1
3	1-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Kyriah Trefren		+0.1
4	1-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Eva Smith		+0.1
5	2-3	MIZZOU	IDAHO×5	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.1
6	3-3	IDAHO	IDAHO×5	Kill	Csenge Krakoczki	set Sarah Sullivan	+0.1
7	4-3	IDAHO	IDAHO×5	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan		+0.2
8	5-3	IDAHO	IDAHO×5	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
9	6-3	IDAHO	IDAHO×5	Attack err	Ceylin Kuyan		+0.2
10	6-4	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+0.1
11	6-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.2
12	7-5	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
13	7-6	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.1
14	7-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Anika Prisby	blk Lauren Larkin	+0.2
15	8-7	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
16	8-8	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.1
17	9-8	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.2
18	9-9	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.1
19	10-9	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Koen Makaula	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.2
20	10-10	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.1
21	11-10	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.2
22	11-11	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Sierra Dudley	+0.2
23	12-11	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.2
24	12-12	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.2
25	12-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.2
26	13-13	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
27	13-14	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Allie Ferrin	blk Paige Felder, Grace O'Reilly	+0.2
28	14-14	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
29	14-15	IDAHO	MIZZOU×4	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.2
30	14-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+0.2
31	14-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Kaylen Rush	+0.1
32	14-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.1
33	15-18	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.1
34	15-19	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Sophie Danielson	blk Sierra Dudley, Ceylin Kuyan, Lauren Larkin	+0.1
35	16-19	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Koen Makaula	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.1
36	16-20	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Sierra Dudley	+0.1
37	16-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+0.1
38	17-21	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.0
39	18-21	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Koen Makaula	+0.1
40	18-22	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+0.1
41	19-22	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.1
42	20-22	IDAHO	IDAHO	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Team	+0.1
43	20-23	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kiana Greer	blk Grace O'Reilly, Eva Smith	+0.2
44	21-23	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.1
45	21-24	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+0.2
46	21-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Allie Ferrin	blk Lauren Larkin, Grace O'Reilly	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.0
2	0-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Alaina Armstrong	+0.0
3	1-2	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.0
4	1-3	IDAHO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
5	1-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Lucy Ryan		+0.0
6	1-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Alaina Armstrong		+0.0
7	1-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Sophie Danielson		+0.0
8	2-6	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Lucy Ryan	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.0
9	2-7	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
10	2-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
11	3-8	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.0
12	3-9	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.0
13	3-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Alaina Armstrong	+0.0
14	3-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Lucy Ryan	blk Paige Felder, Eva Smith	+0.0
15	4-11	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.0
16	4-12	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.0
17	4-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
18	4-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
19	5-14	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Kill	Gabrielle Smith	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.0
20	5-15	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
21	5-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin		+0.0
22	6-16	MIZZOU	IDAHO×4	Bad set	Ainoah Cruz		+0.0
23	7-16	IDAHO	IDAHO×4	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.0
24	8-16	IDAHO	IDAHO×4	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.0
25	9-16	IDAHO	IDAHO×4	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Maizy Agnello	+0.0
26	9-17	IDAHO	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
27	9-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Grace O'Reilly		+0.0
28	9-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
29	9-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Sarah Sullivan		+0.0
30	9-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
31	10-21	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.0
32	11-21	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Maizy Agnello	blk Sophie Danielson, Zola Zuccolo	+0.0
33	11-22	IDAHO	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.0
34	11-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
35	11-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
36	12-24	MIZZOU	IDAHO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+0.0
37	12-25	IDAHO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Idaho first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.