Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Missouri def. Arkansas St. 3–1

Missouri beat visiting Arkansas St. 3-1 (15-25, 25-21, 25-23, 26-24) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Grace O'Reilly led Missouri with 13 kills, and Ainoah Cruz added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
ARK ST252123241
MIZZOU152525263

Win probability

Missouri above 50 · Arkansas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.6% MIZZOUrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.6% to Missouri — set 4, ARK ST 24-25 MIZZOU. Devyn Lewis stuffed by Eva Smith & Grace O'Reilly. MIZZOU win probability 82% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK ST 24.1%75.9% MIZZOU

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
4.2%
3-1
8.2%
3-2
11.7%

Missouri wins

3-0
27.8%
3-1
29.0%
3-2
19.2%
ARK ST break %
39.2% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Devyn Lewis stuffed by Eva Smith & Grace O'Reilly

    Set 4 · ARK ST 24-25 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 82% → 92%

  2. 02
    MissouriAce+8.5%

    Missouri ace on Kaitlin Whitlock

    Set 4 · ARK ST 24-26 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 92% → 100%

  3. 03

    Devyn Lewis stuffed by Kimani Johnson & Eva Smith

    Set 4 · ARK ST 24-24 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 74% → 82%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 4 · ARK ST 24-23 MIZZOU · ARK ST 18% → 26%

  5. 05
    Ceylin KuyanKill+7.3%

    Kill by Ceylin Kuyan (set by Sierra Dudley)

    Set 3 · ARK ST 23-25 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 80% → 87%

  6. 06
    Parker StearnsAttack error+6.7%

    Attack error by Parker Stearns

    Set 4 · ARK ST 22-22 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 76% → 82%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Maya Joska)

    Set 4 · ARK ST 23-22 MIZZOU · ARK ST 18% → 24%

  8. 08
    Arkansas St.Service error+5.7%

    Arkansas St. service error

    Set 3 · ARK ST 22-24 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 77% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414733.21214170010.518.5
414437.270131121010.517.5
411523.2610124000012
4429.222121101017
4307.42900000031.54.5
4102.5002700800001
47425.12000010010.57.5
41011.0001900800001
4003.0002011100000
Team totals5522140.2365110652616493
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410638.105121101031.513.5
49223.3041001100009
48216.375000000219
4338.000021200638
24111.27300000010.54.5
1000–300100000
413325.40000020031.514.5
4407.571362250010.56.5
4000–3021510000
4000–1021020000
1001.000000110000
1000–000000000
1000–301000000
Team totals5117129.26448695710016891

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ARK ST · MIZZOU 6

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 4 ARK STMIZZOU 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 ARK STMIZZOU 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 ARK STMIZZOU 6

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 3 ARK STMIZZOU 4

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
44%7/16
2
73%11/15
42%8/19
3
71%10/14
15%2/13
4
60%9/15
33%5/15
5
67%8/12
47%8/17
6
41%7/17
50%7/14
All
62%56/90
39%37/94

Missouri

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
40%6/15
2
73%11/15
35%6/17
3
83%10/12
41%7/17
4
56%10/18
17%2/12
5
50%8/16
44%7/16
6
58%7/12
46%6/13
All
61%57/94
38%34/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#ARK ST-MIZZOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MIZZOUARK ST×4KillErin Madiganset Kaitlin Whitlock+1.5
22-0ARK STARK ST×4Attack errLauren Larkin+2.2
33-0ARK STARK ST×4BlockedCeylin Kuyanblk Calea Bush, Kaitlin Whitlock+2.3
44-0ARK STARK ST×4Attack errKimani Johnson+2.3
54-1ARK STMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Ceylin Kuyan+1.4
65-1MIZZOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.7
75-2ARK STMIZZOU×3KillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+1.4
85-3MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedAddison Collumblk Paige Felder, Eva Smith+2.1
95-4MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errDevyn Lewis+2.2
106-4MIZZOUARK STBad setPaige Felder+1.8
116-5ARK STMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+1.6
126-6MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errDevyn Lewis+2.3
137-6MIZZOUARK STServe errMissouri+1.8
147-7ARK STMIZZOUAttack errDevyn Lewis+1.6
158-7MIZZOUARK ST×4KillParker Stearnsset Erin Madigan+1.8
169-7ARK STARK ST×4Attack errGrace O'Reilly+2.6
1710-7ARK STARK ST×4KillHaley Glunz+2.7
1811-7ARK STARK ST×4Attack errEva Smith+2.6
1911-8ARK STMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+1.6
2012-8MIZZOUARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+2.0
2113-8ARK STARK ST×3Bad setSierra Dudley+2.4
2214-8ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.+2.1
2314-9ARK STMIZZOUServe errArkansas St.+1.1
2415-9MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+1.5
2515-10ARK STMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+1.0
2616-10MIZZOUARK ST×3Attack errPaige Felder+1.5
2717-10ARK STARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.6
2818-10ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Ainoah Cruz+1.1
2918-11ARK STMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Ainoah Cruz+0.4
3019-11MIZZOUARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.7
3120-11ARK STARK STAttack errPaige Felder+0.5
3220-12ARK STMIZZOUBlockedAddison Collumblk Paige Felder, Eva Smith+0.2
3320-13MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouri+0.4
3421-13MIZZOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.5
3522-13ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewis+0.3
3622-14ARK STMIZZOUServe errArkansas St.+0.1
3722-15MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouri+0.2
3823-15MIZZOUARK ST×3KillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+0.3
3924-15ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Mia Maloney+0.1
4025-15ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.·
Set 2
11-0ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.9
21-1ARK STMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+2.0
32-1MIZZOUARK STAttack errPaige Felder+2.2
42-2ARK STMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+2.0
53-2MIZZOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+2.2
63-3ARK STMIZZOUKillSierra Dudleyset Claire Morrissey+2.1
74-3MIZZOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+2.3
85-3ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.+3.3
95-4ARK STMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+2.2
105-5MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+3.1
116-5MIZZOUARK ST×3Serve errMissouri+2.4
127-5ARK STARK ST×3Attack errPaige Felder+3.5
138-5ARK STARK ST×3KillCalea Bushset Maya Joska+3.6
148-6ARK STMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.3
159-6MIZZOUARK STAttack errGrace O'Reilly+2.7
169-7ARK STMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+2.3
1710-7MIZZOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.8
1810-8ARK STMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+2.4
1911-8MIZZOUARK STServe errMissouri+2.9
2011-9ARK STMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+2.4
2111-10MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errAddison Collum+3.7
2212-10MIZZOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+3.0
2312-11ARK STMIZZOUServe errArkansas St.+2.7
2413-11MIZZOUARK STServe errMissouri+3.1
2513-12ARK STMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+2.8
2614-12MIZZOUARK STAttack errGrace O'Reilly+3.3
2714-13ARK STMIZZOUAttack errPaige Felder+2.9
2814-14MIZZOUMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+4.3
2915-14MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+3.4
3015-15ARK STMIZZOU×4KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+3.2
3115-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×4AceMissouri+4.5
3215-17MIZZOUMIZZOU×4Bad setErin Madigan+4.1
3315-18MIZZOUMIZZOU×4AceMissouri+3.5
3416-18MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.1
3517-18ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+4.0
3617-19ARK STMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+3.3
3718-19MIZZOUARK STBlockedLauren Larkinblk Devyn Lewis, Calea Bush+3.1
3818-20ARK STMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+3.5
3918-21MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedDevyn Lewisblk Sierra Dudley, Lauren Larkin+4.0
4019-21MIZZOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.1
4119-22ARK STMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+3.0
4220-22MIZZOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+2.0
4320-23ARK STMIZZOUServe errArkansas St.+3.1
4420-24MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.2
4521-24MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+0.5
4621-25ARK STMIZZOUServe errArkansas St.+1.1
Set 3
10-1MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errAddison Collum+2.7
21-1MIZZOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.1
31-2ARK STMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.0
42-2MIZZOUARK STAttack errCeylin Kuyan+2.1
52-3ARK STMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+2.0
62-4MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errHaley Glunz+2.7
73-4MIZZOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+2.0
84-4ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.aced Paige Felder+3.0
94-5ARK STMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+2.2
105-5MIZZOUARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Haley Glunz+2.3
116-5ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.+3.4
127-5ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Devyn Lewis+3.7
137-6ARK STMIZZOU×3KillPaige Felderset Ainoah Cruz+2.4
147-7MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errParker Stearns+3.4
157-8MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Eva Smith, Grace O'Reilly+3.3
168-8MIZZOUARK STKillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+2.5
178-9ARK STMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.4
189-9MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+2.6
199-10ARK STMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.5
2010-10MIZZOUARK STServe errMissouri+2.7
2110-11ARK STMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.6
2210-12MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errAddison Collum+3.4
2311-12MIZZOUARK STServe errMissouri+2.4
2411-13ARK STMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Addison Collum+2.5
2511-14MIZZOUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+3.1
2612-14MIZZOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.1
2712-15ARK STMIZZOUAttack errDevyn Lewis+2.3
2813-15MIZZOUARK ST×3Serve errMissouri+2.1
2914-15ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Claire Morrissey+3.7
3015-15ARK STARK ST×3KillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+4.5
3115-16ARK STMIZZOUServe errArkansas St.+3.3
3216-16MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+3.4
3316-17ARK STMIZZOU×6KillPaige Felderset Ainoah Cruz+3.5
3416-18MIZZOUMIZZOU×6BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Eva Smith, Grace O'Reilly+4.5
3516-19MIZZOUMIZZOU×6AceMissouri+3.8
3616-20MIZZOUMIZZOU×6KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.8
3716-21MIZZOUMIZZOU×6Attack errParker Stearns+1.8
3816-22MIZZOUMIZZOU×6Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+0.9
3917-22MIZZOUARK STServe errMissouri+0.3
4018-22ARK STARK STAttack errEva Smith+0.8
4118-23ARK STMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.0
4219-23MIZZOUARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.4
4320-23ARK STARK ST×4AceArkansas St.aced Maizy Agnello+1.2
4421-23ARK STARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.5
4522-23ARK STARK ST×4KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+5.0
4622-24ARK STMIZZOUServe errArkansas St.+5.7
4723-24MIZZOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+3.3
4823-25ARK STMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+7.3
Set 4
11-0ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+2.5
21-1ARK STMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.7
32-1MIZZOUARK ST×3KillMaya Joskaset Maya Joska+1.9
43-1ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.+2.7
54-1ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+2.8
64-2ARK STMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+1.8
75-2MIZZOUARK STAttack errPaige Felder+2.1
85-3ARK STMIZZOUAttack errPaige Felder+1.8
96-3MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.1
106-4ARK STMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+1.9
117-4MIZZOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.2
127-5ARK STMIZZOUKillSierra Dudleyset Paige Felder+1.9
138-5MIZZOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.3
148-6ARK STMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+1.9
158-7MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errParker Stearns+2.9
169-7MIZZOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+2.3
1710-7ARK STARK STKillParker Stearnsset Mia Maloney+3.2
1810-8ARK STMIZZOU×4KillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+2.0
1910-9MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillSierra Dudleyset Maya Joska+3.1
2010-10MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+3.1
2110-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+3.0
2211-11MIZZOUARK STKillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+2.3
2311-12ARK STMIZZOUKillSierra Dudley+2.2
2412-12MIZZOUARK STBlockedPaige Felderblk Parker Stearns, Calea Bush+2.4
2512-13ARK STMIZZOUBad setAddison Collum+2.3
2613-13MIZZOUARK ST×3KillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+2.5
2714-13ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Claire Morrissey+3.8
2815-13ARK STARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+4.0
2915-14ARK STMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+2.6
3016-14MIZZOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+3.1
3117-14ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+4.1
3217-15ARK STMIZZOUServe errArkansas St.+2.4
3318-15MIZZOUARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+3.2
3419-15ARK STARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+3.8
3520-15ARK STARK ST×3BlockedEva Smithblk Haley Glunz+3.0
3620-16ARK STMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.3
3720-17MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errHaley Glunz+2.6
3821-17MIZZOUARK STKillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+2.9
3921-18ARK STMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.7
4021-19MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+3.5
4121-20MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+4.8
4222-20MIZZOUARK STServe errMissouri+4.8
4322-21ARK STMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+3.6
4422-22MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errParker Stearns+6.7
4523-22MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+6.2
4623-23ARK STMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+5.6
4724-23MIZZOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+7.7
4824-24ARK STMIZZOU×3BlockedDevyn Lewisblk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith+7.7
4924-25MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedDevyn Lewisblk Eva Smith, Grace O'Reilly+9.6
5024-26MIZZOUMIZZOU×3AceMissouriaced Kaitlin Whitlock+8.5

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).