Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 13, 2026

Missouri def. FGCU 3–1

Missouri beat visiting FGCU 3-1 (25-14, 16-25, 25-17, 25-18) on Sun, Sep 13, 2026. Missouri's Grace O'Reilly and Kimani Johnson led with 13 kills each, and Ainoah Cruz added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 13

Set1234Sets
FGCU142517181
MIZZOU251625253

Win probability

Missouri above 50 · FGCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.5% FGCUrally 165 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.5% to FGCU — set 3, FGCU 11-8 MIZZOU. Kill by Julija Grubisic Cabo (set by Anna Marzella). MIZZOU win probability 77% → 74%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FGCU 10.0%90.0% MIZZOU

FGCU wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
3.0%
3-2
5.6%

Missouri wins

3-0
44.4%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.0%
FGCU break %
36.9% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %
46.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Julija Grubisic Cabo (set by Anna Marzella)

    Set 3 · FGCU 11-8 MIZZOU · FGCU 23% → 26%

  2. 02
    Maizy AgnelloKill+3.5%

    Kill by Maizy Agnello

    Set 3 · FGCU 14-13 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 74% → 77%

  3. 03
    Katie GielasAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Katie Gielas

    Set 3 · FGCU 14-14 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 77% → 81%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kimani Johnson (set by Piper Batie)

    Set 3 · FGCU 15-16 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 81% → 84%

  5. 05
    Katie GielasKill+3.1%

    Kill by Katie Gielas (set by Eliska Vytiskova)

    Set 3 · FGCU 7-3 MIZZOU · FGCU 24% → 27%

  6. 06
    Eva SmithBlock+3.0%

    Amany Kuwa stuffed by Eva Smith

    Set 3 · FGCU 15-17 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 84% → 87%

  7. 07

    Kill by Abby Toeniskoetter (set by Eliska Vytiskova)

    Set 3 · FGCU 14-11 MIZZOU · FGCU 25% → 28%

  8. 08
    FGCUAce+2.9%

    FGCU ace

    Set 3 · FGCU 5-2 MIZZOU · FGCU 21% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FGCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413726.23112151010.515.5
412933.09112140010.514.5
46524.042300100217
4618.625003000217
4112.0001722600003
11011.000000000001
43413-.07700000111.54.5
4114.00000000132.53.5
4000–1523600002
4000–5001300000
1000–010000001
Team totals4328111.13542910354210774
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413018.72200000111.514.5
47129.20700052031.58.5
4306.50001400153.57.5
4102.5001810000002
3418.375000100004
2114.000111500002
413422.40900020031.514.5
4000–2213200001
4001.0002011500000
4000–100000000
3529.333002001227
2203.667000001435
1000–000000000
Team totals499102.392444113094181391

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 FGCU · MIZZOU 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 FGCUMIZZOU 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 7 FGCUMIZZOU 2

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 5 FGCUMIZZOU 5

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 FGCUMIZZOU 6

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = FGCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FGCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
25%2/8
2
46%6/13
25%2/8
3
75%6/8
25%2/8
4
55%6/11
60%9/15
5
38%6/16
40%4/10
6
67%4/6
33%3/9
All
54%35/65
38%22/58

Missouri

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
44%4/9
2
75%6/8
36%4/11
3
67%6/9
50%6/12
4
43%6/14
14%1/7
5
55%6/11
57%8/14
6
63%5/8
58%7/12
All
62%36/58
46%30/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

165 rallies

#FGCU-MIZZOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.0
21-1MIZZOUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+0.8
31-2FGCUMIZZOU×3Serve errFGCU+0.7
41-3MIZZOUMIZZOU×3AceMissouriaced Julija Grubisic Cabo+0.9
51-4MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillEva Smithset Piper Batie+0.8
62-4MIZZOUFGCUAttack errKimani Johnson+0.6
72-5FGCUMIZZOU×3KillLydia Stahleyset Piper Batie+0.6
82-6MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.7
92-7MIZZOUMIZZOU×3AceMissouri+0.5
103-7MIZZOUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Julija Grubisic Cabo+0.4
114-7FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Katie Gielas+0.6
124-8FGCUMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Piper Batie+0.5
134-9MIZZOUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.6
145-9MIZZOUFGCUKillErica Muhiziset Eliska Vytiskova+0.4
155-10FGCUMIZZOUServe errFGCU+0.4
166-10MIZZOUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+0.4
176-11FGCUMIZZOUKillSierra Dudley+0.4
186-12MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+0.4
197-12MIZZOUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.3
208-12FGCUFGCUBlockedLydia Stahleyblk Maju Hildebrand, Abby Toeniskoetter+0.5
218-13FGCUMIZZOU×3KillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+0.4
228-14MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillEva Smithset Ainoah Cruz+0.4
238-15MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.3
249-15MIZZOUFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.2
259-16FGCUMIZZOUServe errFGCU+0.2
269-17MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errCamila Soto+0.2
2710-17MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+0.1
2810-18FGCUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.1
2911-18MIZZOUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+0.1
3011-19FGCUMIZZOUServe errFGCU+0.1
3112-19MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+0.1
3212-20FGCUMIZZOU×5KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.1
3312-21MIZZOUMIZZOU×5KillCeylin Kuyanset Lydia Stahley·
3412-22MIZZOUMIZZOU×5Attack errMaju Hildebrand·
3512-23MIZZOUMIZZOU×5KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley·
3612-24MIZZOUMIZZOU×5AceMissouri·
3713-24MIZZOUFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Dinara Sabitova·
3814-24FGCUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Maju Hildebrand·
3914-25FGCUMIZZOUServe errFGCU·
Set 2
11-0FGCUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+0.8
21-1FGCUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.5
31-2MIZZOUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.7
42-2MIZZOUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Anna Marzella+0.6
52-3FGCUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.5
62-4MIZZOUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.7
73-4MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+0.5
83-5FGCUMIZZOUBlockedKatie Gielasblk Eva Smith, Kimani Johnson+0.5
94-5MIZZOUFGCU×7Serve errMissouri+0.5
105-5FGCUFGCU×7AceFGCU+0.8
116-5FGCUFGCU×7Attack errCeylin Kuyan+1.0
127-5FGCUFGCU×7BlockedKimani Johnsonblk Amany Kuwa, Katie Gielas+1.1
138-5FGCUFGCU×7KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.2
149-5FGCUFGCU×7KillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+1.2
1510-5FGCUFGCU×7AceFGCU+1.2
1610-6FGCUMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Piper Batie+0.7
1710-7MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errDinara Sabitova+1.1
1811-7MIZZOUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+1.0
1911-8FGCUMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+0.7
2012-8MIZZOUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.0
2112-9FGCUMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+0.8
2213-9MIZZOUFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.0
2313-10FGCUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.8
2414-10MIZZOUFGCU×3KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+1.1
2515-10FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCU+1.4
2616-10FGCUFGCU×3KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Anna Marzella+1.2
2716-11FGCUMIZZOUBlockedCamila Sotoblk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith+0.6
2817-11MIZZOUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+0.9
2917-12FGCUMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Piper Batie+0.5
3018-12MIZZOUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+0.8
3119-12FGCUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+0.8
3219-13FGCUMIZZOUServe errFGCU+0.3
3320-13MIZZOUFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.6
3421-13FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCU+0.5
3522-13FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCUaced Ceylin Kuyan+0.2
3622-14FGCUMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Ainoah Cruz·
3723-14MIZZOUFGCUBlockedLauren Larkinblk Amany Kuwa+0.1
3823-15FGCUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley·
3924-15MIZZOUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+0.1
4024-16FGCUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley·
4125-16MIZZOUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova·
Set 3
10-1MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.9
20-2MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Maizy Agnello+1.6
31-2MIZZOUFGCU×5KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.2
42-2FGCUFGCU×5AceFGCUaced Ceylin Kuyan+2.0
53-2FGCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
64-2FGCUFGCU×5KillMaju Hildebrandset Eliska Vytiskova+2.6
75-2FGCUFGCU×5AceFGCU+2.9
85-3FGCUMIZZOUServe errFGCU+1.8
96-3MIZZOUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+2.2
107-3FGCUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+3.1
117-4FGCUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.8
128-4MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+2.4
138-5FGCUMIZZOUServe errFGCU+1.9
148-6MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedKatie Gielasblk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith+2.8
159-6MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+2.4
169-7FGCUMIZZOUAttack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+2.0
179-8MIZZOUMIZZOUKillTia Phinezy+2.9
1810-8MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+2.4
1911-8FGCUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Anna Marzella+3.5
2011-9FGCUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+2.1
2112-9MIZZOUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Maju Hildebrand+2.7
2212-10FGCUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.2
2313-10MIZZOUFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Anna Marzella+2.8
2413-11FGCUMIZZOUBlockedCamila Sotoblk Maizy Agnello, Tia Phinezy+2.2
2514-11MIZZOUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+2.9
2614-12FGCUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.3
2714-13MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillMaizy Agnello+3.5
2814-14MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errKatie Gielas+3.5
2915-14MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+2.9
3015-15FGCUMIZZOU×5KillMaizy Agnelloset Ainoah Cruz+2.5
3115-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×5KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+3.5
3215-17MIZZOUMIZZOU×5BlockedAmany Kuwablk Eva Smith+3.0
3315-18MIZZOUMIZZOU×5BlockedCamila Sotoblk Eva Smith, Ceylin Kuyan+2.4
3415-19MIZZOUMIZZOU×5Attack errKatie Gielas+1.8
3516-19MIZZOUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+1.0
3616-20FGCUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+1.2
3716-21MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errMaju Hildebrand+1.1
3817-21MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+0.5
3917-22FGCUMIZZOU×4KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.7
4017-23MIZZOUMIZZOU×4BlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Tia Phinezy, Ceylin Kuyan+0.4
4117-24MIZZOUMIZZOU×4BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Grace O'Reilly, Tia Phinezy+0.1
4217-25MIZZOUMIZZOU×4Attack errJulija Grubisic Cabo·
Set 4
10-1FGCUMIZZOUBlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Grace O'Reilly+1.0
21-1MIZZOUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+1.1
31-2FGCUMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Sierra Dudley+1.0
42-2MIZZOUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+1.1
53-2FGCUFGCUAceFGCU+1.7
63-3FGCUMIZZOUServe errFGCU+1.2
74-3MIZZOUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+1.3
84-4FGCUMIZZOU×4Serve errFGCU+1.2
94-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillEva Smith+1.6
104-6MIZZOUMIZZOU×4Attack errKatie Gielas+1.4
114-7MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillMaizy Agnelloset Zoey Matias+1.2
125-7MIZZOUFGCU×3KillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+0.9
136-7FGCUFGCU×3KillKatie Gielas+1.5
147-7FGCUFGCU×3BlockedKimani Johnsonblk Maju Hildebrand, Amany Kuwa+1.8
157-8FGCUMIZZOU×6KillMaizy Agnelloset Piper Batie+1.2
167-9MIZZOUMIZZOU×6Attack errKatie Gielas+1.6
177-10MIZZOUMIZZOU×6Attack errKatie Gielas+1.3
187-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×6KillCeylin Kuyanset Piper Batie+1.1
197-12MIZZOUMIZZOU×6Attack errKatie Gielas+0.8
207-13MIZZOUMIZZOU×6KillCeylin Kuyanset Piper Batie+0.6
218-13MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+0.3
229-13FGCUFGCUServe errFGCU+0.7
239-14FGCUMIZZOUAttack errMaju Hildebrand+0.6
2410-14MIZZOUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Maju Hildebrand+0.5
2510-15FGCUMIZZOUKillTia Phinezyset Piper Batie+0.6
2611-15MIZZOUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.5
2711-16FGCUMIZZOU×4Attack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+0.6
2811-17MIZZOUMIZZOU×4BlockedAbby Toeniskoetterblk Tia Phinezy+0.6
2911-18MIZZOUMIZZOU×4BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Tia Phinezy, Maizy Agnello+0.3
3011-19MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillMaizy Agnelloset Sierra Dudley+0.2
3112-19MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+0.1
3213-19FGCUFGCUBlockedMaizy Agnelloblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Camila Soto+0.2
3313-20FGCUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.2
3414-20MIZZOUFGCUServe errMissouri+0.1
3515-20FGCUFGCUAceFGCU+0.3
3615-21FGCUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.3
3716-21MIZZOUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+0.2
3816-22FGCUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.3
3916-23MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedKatie Gielasblk Ceylin Kuyan, Eva Smith+0.2
4017-23MIZZOUFGCUKillDinara Sabitovaset Anna Marzella·
4118-23FGCUFGCUBlockedKimani Johnsonblk Amany Kuwa, Julija Grubisic Cabo+0.1
4218-24FGCUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.2
4318-25MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouri·

Score shown after each rally, FGCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).