Florida vs Missouri Volleyball: Florida Wins 3-0 (Oct 9)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPNU

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Florida 81.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Florida won at Missouri 3-0 (25-13, 26-24, 25-13) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Florida's Kamryn Chaney led with 12 kills, and Lily Hayes added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FLA	25	26	25	3
MIZZOU	13	24	13	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.519 to .149: Florida outhit Missouri.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.2 points. Missouri peaked at 17% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Florida 82% before first serve.

FloridaMissouri

Break %+27.1 pts
46.719.6
35 of 75 on serve vs 10 of 51, so Missouri's sideout was 53.3%.
Hitting+.370
.519.149
Kills and errors: 44–3 vs 29–15.
Longest run+3
63
Up 13–9 in the first set, Florida scored 6 straight to make it 19–9. That set ended 25–13.

Missouri above 50Florida belowMax swing 5.2%

FloridaMissouri

Aces: Florida 6·Missouri 3
Serve err: Florida 13·Missouri 8
Blocks: Florida 6·Missouri 02 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 0 BA
Digs: Florida 38·Missouri 29

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Missouri above 50 · Florida below

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Florida — set 2, FLA 25-24 MIZZOU. Kill by Kamryn Chaney (set by Taylor Parks). MIZZOU win probability 13% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FLA 79.3%20.7% MIZZOU

Florida wins

3-0

30.8%

3-1

30.0%

3-2

18.4%

Missouri wins

3-0

3.4%

3-1

6.9%

3-2

10.4%

FLA break %: 43.8% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %: 37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kamryn ChaneyKill+5.2%
Kill by Kamryn Chaney (set by Taylor Parks)
Set 2 · FLA 25-24 MIZZOU · FLA 87% → 92%
02
Paige FelderAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Paige Felder
Set 2 · FLA 26-24 MIZZOU · FLA 92% → 97%
03
Selena LebanKill+4.2%
Kill by Selena Leban (set by Taylor Parks)
Set 2 · FLA 24-24 MIZZOU · FLA 83% → 87%
04
Paige FelderKill+4.2%
Kill by Paige Felder (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 2 · FLA 23-24 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 13% → 17%
05
Alec RotheAttack error+4.0%
Attack error by Alec Rothe
Set 2 · FLA 21-22 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 11% → 15%
06
Kimani JohnsonKill+3.3%
Kill by Kimani Johnson (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 2 · FLA 22-23 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 13% → 16%
07
FloridaAce+3.1%
Florida ace on Paige Felder
Set 2 · FLA 21-20 MIZZOU · FLA 88% → 91%
08
Logan KingKill+3.0%
Kill by Logan King (set by Taylor Parks)
Set 2 · FLA 23-23 MIZZOU · FLA 84% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Floridaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Kamryn ChaneyOH	3	12	1	21	.524	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	12
25Alec RotheMB	3	8	1	12	.583	2	0	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
8Logan KingOPP	3	7	0	16	.438	1	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	8
4Brooklyn BriscoeMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	6
5Selena LebanOH	3	5	0	6	.833	1	0	3	4	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
20Taylor ParksS	3	3	0	5	.600	34	1	1	9	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
14Jordyn ByrdOH	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
21Bella LeeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	2	5	1	0	0	0	3
3Emerson HoyleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
13Lily HayesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	10	0	0	0	0	1
23Bri DenneyS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Kira HutsonOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Nadi'ya ShelbyOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	3	79	.519	41	6	13	38	3	2	8	6	76

Missourihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	PTS
40Grace O'ReillyOH	3	7	2	19	.263	0	0	0	0	0	7
15Paige FelderOH	3	4	3	23	.043	0	1	0	2	2	5
21Lydia StahleyOH	3	3	5	15	-.133	0	0	2	3	0	3
11Eva SmithMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	1	0	0	2
2Sierra DudleyS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	1	0	3	0	1
12Lauren LarkinMB	2	3	1	6	.333	0	0	4	0	0	3
7Kimani JohnsonOH	3	8	3	17	.294	0	0	0	1	0	8
4Ainoah CruzDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	9	1	1
0Nina MandovicS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	0	0	5	0	0
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0
18Claire MorrisseyOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0
3Maizy AgnelloOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1
23Tia PhinezyMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		29	15	94	.149	28	3	8	29	6	50

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 FLA · MIZZOU 3

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 6 FLAMIZZOU 3

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 3 FLAMIZZOU 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 4 FLAMIZZOU 2

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	60%9/15
2	88%7/8	46%6/13
3	88%7/8	30%3/10
4	78%7/9	56%9/16
5	78%7/9	30%3/10
6	75%6/8	45%5/11
All	80%41/51	47%35/75

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	25%2/8
2	50%7/14	13%1/8
3	64%7/11	13%1/8
4	47%7/15	13%1/8
5	64%7/11	13%1/8
6	50%5/10	36%4/11
All	53%40/75	20%10/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	FLA-MIZZOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Lydia Stahley		+1.6
2	2-0	FLA	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+1.5
3	2-1	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.0
4	3-1	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+1.0
5	3-2	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.1
6	4-2	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+1.0
7	5-2	FLA	FLA	Ace	Florida	aced Ainoah Cruz	+1.4
8	5-3	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+0.9
9	6-3	MIZZOU	FLA×3	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.9
10	7-3	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+1.2
11	8-3	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Alec Rothe	+1.0
12	8-4	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+0.6
13	9-4	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Bella Lee	+0.7
14	9-5	FLA	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Nina Mandovic	+0.6
15	9-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.1
16	9-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Bad set	Taylor Parks		+1.4
17	10-7	MIZZOU	FLA×3	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+1.0
18	11-7	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+1.3
19	12-7	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+1.0
20	12-8	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+0.6
21	13-8	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.7
22	13-9	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+0.6
23	14-9	MIZZOU	FLA×6	Serve err	Missouri		+0.7
24	15-9	FLA	FLA×6	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.7
25	16-9	FLA	FLA×6	Blocked	Lydia Stahley	blk Selena Leban, Logan King	+0.5
26	17-9	FLA	FLA×6	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Alec Rothe	+0.3
27	18-9	FLA	FLA×6	Attack err	Grace O'Reilly		+0.2
28	19-9	FLA	FLA×6	Blocked	Lydia Stahley	blk Logan King, Alec Rothe	+0.1
29	19-10	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	·
30	20-10	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	·
31	20-11	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	·
32	21-11	MIZZOU	FLA×3	Serve err	Missouri		·
33	22-11	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		·
34	23-11	FLA	FLA×3	Ace	Florida	aced Zoey Matias	·
35	23-12	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	·
36	24-12	MIZZOU	FLA	Serve err	Missouri		·
37	24-13	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	·
38	25-13	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	·
Set 2
1	0-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kamryn Chaney		+1.3
2	0-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Missouri		+1.5
3	1-2	MIZZOU	FLA	Attack err	Lydia Stahley		+0.9
4	1-3	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Ainoah Cruz	+1.1
5	1-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
6	2-4	MIZZOU	FLA	Serve err	Missouri		+1.0
7	2-5	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+1.1
8	3-5	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+1.0
9	4-5	FLA	FLA	Ace	Florida	aced Paige Felder	+1.5
10	4-6	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.2
11	5-6	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+1.0
12	5-7	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+1.2
13	6-7	MIZZOU	FLA	Blocked	Lauren Larkin	blk Brooklyn Briscoe	+1.0
14	6-8	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Nina Mandovic	+1.2
15	7-8	MIZZOU	FLA	Attack err	Grace O'Reilly		+1.1
16	7-9	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+1.3
17	8-9	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+1.1
18	8-10	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+1.3
19	9-10	MIZZOU	FLA	Serve err	Missouri		+1.1
20	9-11	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.4
21	9-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+2.0
22	10-12	MIZZOU	FLA	Bad set	Eva Smith		+1.2
23	10-13	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Ainoah Cruz	+1.5
24	11-13	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+1.2
25	12-13	FLA	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+1.9
26	12-14	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.5
27	13-14	MIZZOU	FLA×3	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+1.3
28	14-14	FLA	FLA×3	Bad set	Nina Mandovic		+2.0
29	15-14	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+2.0
30	15-15	FLA	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.4
31	15-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	Missouri	aced Bella Lee	+2.3
32	15-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Jordyn Byrd		+2.5
33	16-17	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Taylor Parks		+1.5
34	16-18	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+1.9
35	17-18	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Logan King	+1.6
36	17-19	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+2.0
37	18-19	MIZZOU	FLA	Serve err	Missouri		+1.7
38	19-19	FLA	FLA	Ace	Florida		+2.7
39	19-20	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+2.2
40	20-20	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+2.0
41	21-20	FLA	FLA	Ace	Florida	aced Paige Felder	+3.1
42	21-21	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+2.2
43	21-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Alec Rothe		+4.0
44	22-22	MIZZOU	FLA	Serve err	Missouri		+2.6
45	22-23	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+3.3
46	23-23	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+3.0
47	23-24	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+4.2
48	24-24	MIZZOU	FLA×3	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+4.2
49	25-24	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+5.2
50	26-24	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Paige Felder		+4.4
Set 3
1	1-0	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Taylor Parks	set Sierra Dudley	+0.6
2	2-0	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Lydia Stahley		+0.5
3	3-0	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Selena Leban	+0.5
4	3-1	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+0.3
5	4-1	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Taylor Parks		+0.3
6	5-1	FLA	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
7	5-2	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
8	6-2	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
9	7-2	FLA	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
10	7-3	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
11	8-3	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
12	8-4	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+0.2
13	9-4	MIZZOU	FLA×3	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
14	10-4	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Selena Leban	set Bella Lee	+0.3
15	11-4	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.2
16	11-5	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
17	12-5	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
18	13-5	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.1
19	13-6	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		+0.1
20	14-6	MIZZOU	FLA×3	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
21	15-6	FLA	FLA×3	Ace	Florida		+0.1
22	16-6	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	·
23	16-7	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Nina Mandovic	·
24	17-7	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	·
25	17-8	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		·
26	18-8	MIZZOU	FLA	Attack err	Eva Smith		·
27	18-9	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		·
28	19-9	MIZZOU	FLA×4	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	·
29	20-9	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	·
30	21-9	FLA	FLA×4	Serve err	Florida		·
31	22-9	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	·
32	22-10	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		·
33	22-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Missouri	aced Kamryn Chaney	·
34	23-11	MIZZOU	FLA	Serve err	Missouri		·
35	23-12	FLA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Florida		·
36	24-12	MIZZOU	FLA	Blocked	Grace O'Reilly	blk Jordyn Byrd	·
37	24-13	FLA	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Sierra Dudley	·
38	25-13	MIZZOU	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Lily Hayes	·

Score shown after each rally, Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Florida def. Missouri 3–0

.519 to .149: Florida outhit Missouri.