Alabama vs Missouri Volleyball: Missouri Wins 3-0 (Oct 18)

FinalSun, Oct 18, 2026SECN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Missouri 75.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Missouri beat visiting Alabama 3-0 (25-13, 25-21, 25-11) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Missouri's Paige Felder led with 15 kills, and Nina Mandovic added 9 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 10:40 PM CT · final Oct 18

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ALA	13	21	11	0
MIZZOU	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Paige Felder hit .448 with 15 kills as Missouri rolled past Alabama.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.0 points. Alabama peaked at 24% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Missouri at 75%.

AlabamaMissouri

Break %+29.3 pts
26.155.4
41 of 74 on serve vs 12 of 46, so Alabama's sideout was 44.6%.
Hitting+.232
.144.376
41 kills, 9 errors vs 30 kills, 17 errors.
Longest run+2
46
6 straight Missouri points in the first set broke a 2–2 tie and made it 8–2. That set ended 25–13.

Missouri above 50Alabama belowMax swing 2.0%

AlabamaMissouri

Aces: Alabama 3·Missouri 8
Serve err: Alabama 6·Missouri 3
Blocks: Alabama 3·Missouri 51 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Alabama 25·Missouri 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Missouri above 50 · Alabama below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Alabama — set 2, ALA 9-6 MIZZOU. Attack error by Kimani Johnson. MIZZOU win probability 82% → 80%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ALA 12.1%87.9% MIZZOU

Alabama wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.8%

3-2

6.6%

Missouri wins

3-0

41.1%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.2%

ALA break %: 39.1% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %: 48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kimani JohnsonAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Kimani Johnson
Set 2 · ALA 9-6 MIZZOU · ALA 18% → 20%
02
Laney HennesseeAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Laney Hennessee
Set 2 · ALA 11-12 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 85% → 87%
03
Ainoah CruzAce+2.0%
Ace by Ainoah Cruz on Dionii Fraga
Set 2 · ALA 12-14 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 87% → 89%
04
Eva SmithBlock+1.9%
Kaleigh Palmer stuffed by Eva Smith
Set 2 · ALA 21-24 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 92% → 94%
05
Tea SimicAce+1.9%
Ace by Tea Simic on Lydia Stahley
Set 2 · ALA 7-5 MIZZOU · ALA 16% → 17%
06
Paige FelderKill+1.9%
Kill by Paige Felder (set by Sierra Dudley)
Set 2 · ALA 20-23 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 92% → 94%
07
Lauren LarkinAce+1.9%
Ace by Lauren Larkin on Lindsey Brown
Set 2 · ALA 9-9 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 84% → 86%
08
Kimani JohnsonKill+1.9%
Kill by Kimani Johnson (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 2 · ALA 9-8 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 82% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Alabamaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Laney HennesseeOH	3	11	7	34	.118	1	0	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Mya AllenOH	3	7	2	19	.263	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
11Kaleigh PalmerOH	3	5	4	16	.063	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
9Lily GervaseMB	3	2	2	8	.000	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Hannah ParantS	3	2	0	4	.500	25	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	3
14Addison EngelMB	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
19Tea SimicOH	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	1	3	2	0	0	0	1
2Dionii FragaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	0
18Leilia ToailoaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Lindsey BrownDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
7Ava WallisS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
10Maddie SniderOH	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
3Audrey SimpsonMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	17	90	.144	28	3	6	25	8	1	4	3	45

Missourihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Paige FelderOH	3	15	2	29	.448	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	1	16
7Kimani JohnsonOH	3	8	3	17	.294	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
11Eva SmithMB	3	4	2	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
12Lauren LarkinMB	3	2	1	3	.333	0	2	0	2	0	0	2	1	5
0Nina MandovicS	3	0	0	0	–	16	3	1	9	0	0	0	0	3
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
21Lydia StahleyOH	3	6	1	15	.333	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1.5	7.5
40Grace O'ReillyOH	3	6	0	13	.462	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
4Ainoah CruzDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
2Sierra DudleyS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
3Maizy AgnelloOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	9	85	.376	36	8	3	33	3	1	8	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ALA · MIZZOU 6

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 ALAMIZZOU 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 ALAMIZZOU 4

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 ALAMIZZOU 5

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Alabama leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Alabama

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	50%5/10
2	64%7/11	36%4/11
3	44%7/16	13%1/8
4	29%4/14	13%1/8
5	50%4/8	0%0/4
6	40%4/10	20%1/5
All	45%33/74	26%12/46

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	54%7/13
2	64%7/11	46%6/13
3	88%7/8	53%8/15
4	100%5/5	64%9/14
5	100%4/4	43%3/7
6	50%4/8	67%8/12
All	74%34/46	55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#	ALA-MIZZOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Bad set	Kaleigh Palmer		+1.8
2	1-1	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+1.5
3	1-2	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.4
4	2-2	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Mya Allen	set Hannah Parant	+1.5
5	2-3	ALA	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Paige Felder	set Kimani Johnson	+1.5
6	2-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Laney Hennessee		+1.8
7	2-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
8	2-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Kaleigh Palmer		+1.4
9	2-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Zoey Matias	+1.2
10	2-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Grace O'Reilly		+1.0
11	3-8	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Mya Allen	set Hannah Parant	+0.7
12	4-8	ALA	ALA	Kill	Mya Allen	set Hannah Parant	+1.1
13	4-9	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.0
14	4-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.0
15	5-10	MIZZOU	ALA	Serve err	Missouri		+0.7
16	5-11	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Grace O'Reilly	+0.8
17	5-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Ainoah Cruz		+0.8
18	6-12	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Lily Gervase	set Hannah Parant	+0.5
19	6-13	ALA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Lily Gervase		+0.6
20	6-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Laney Hennessee	blk Kimani Johnson, Lauren Larkin	+0.5
21	7-14	MIZZOU	ALA×3	Serve err	Missouri		+0.3
22	8-14	ALA	ALA×3	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+0.6
23	9-14	ALA	ALA×3	Ace	Hannah Parant		+0.8
24	9-15	ALA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Hannah Parant		+0.8
25	10-15	MIZZOU	ALA	Blocked	Lauren Larkin	blk Addison Engel	+0.6
26	10-16	ALA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Laney Hennessee		+0.8
27	10-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.7
28	11-17	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Mya Allen	set Hannah Parant	+0.4
29	12-17	ALA	ALA	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+0.7
30	12-18	ALA	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.7
31	12-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Kaleigh Palmer		+0.6
32	12-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
33	13-20	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Mya Allen	set Hannah Parant	+0.1
34	13-21	ALA	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.2
35	13-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Lily Gervase		+0.1
36	13-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	·
37	13-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Blocked	Tea Simic	blk Lydia Stahley	·
38	13-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	·
Set 2
1	1-0	ALA	ALA	Attack err	Paige Felder		+1.6
2	1-1	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.2
3	2-1	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+1.3
4	2-2	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.2
5	3-2	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Hannah Parant		+1.3
6	3-3	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.2
7	4-3	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+1.4
8	4-4	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+1.3
9	5-4	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Mya Allen	set Hannah Parant	+1.4
10	5-5	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+1.3
11	6-5	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Kaleigh Palmer	set Hannah Parant	+1.4
12	7-5	ALA	ALA	Ace	Tea Simic	aced Lydia Stahley	+1.9
13	7-6	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Nina Mandovic	+1.4
14	8-6	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+1.6
15	9-6	ALA	ALA	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+2.0
16	9-7	ALA	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Nina Mandovic	+1.4
17	9-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.9
18	9-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	Lauren Larkin	aced Lindsey Brown	+1.9
19	10-9	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+1.6
20	10-10	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.5
21	11-10	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+1.7
22	11-11	ALA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Hannah Parant		+1.6
23	11-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Laney Hennessee		+2.0
24	12-12	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+1.6
25	12-13	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
26	12-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Ainoah Cruz	aced Dionii Fraga	+2.0
27	13-14	MIZZOU	ALA	Serve err	Ainoah Cruz		+1.5
28	13-15	ALA	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
29	13-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Ace	Nina Mandovic	aced Lily Gervase	+1.8
30	13-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Ace	Nina Mandovic		+1.5
31	13-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Mya Allen		+1.1
32	14-18	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Kaleigh Palmer	set Hannah Parant	+0.6
33	14-19	ALA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Tea Simic		+0.8
34	14-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.7
35	15-20	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Hannah Parant		+0.3
36	15-21	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.5
37	16-21	MIZZOU	ALA×4	Kill	Lily Gervase	set Hannah Parant	+0.3
38	17-21	ALA	ALA×4	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.6
39	18-21	ALA	ALA×4	Blocked	Kimani Johnson	blk Addison Engel, Laney Hennessee	+1.1
40	19-21	ALA	ALA×4	Attack err	Eva Smith		+1.7
41	19-22	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.8
42	20-22	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Addison Engel	set Hannah Parant	+1.3
43	20-23	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.9
44	21-23	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Kaleigh Palmer	set Hannah Parant	+1.2
45	21-24	ALA	MIZZOU	Blocked	Kaleigh Palmer	blk Eva Smith	+1.9
46	21-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin		+1.0
Set 3
1	0-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Blocked	Lily Gervase	blk Lauren Larkin, Paige Felder	+0.8
2	0-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Ace	Zoey Matias	aced Tea Simic	+0.7
3	0-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.7
4	0-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Zoey Matias	+0.6
5	0-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Laney Hennessee		+0.5
6	1-5	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+0.4
7	2-5	ALA	ALA	Ace	Lily Gervase		+0.6
8	2-6	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.5
9	2-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Zoey Matias	+0.5
10	3-7	MIZZOU	ALA	Attack err	Eva Smith		+0.4
11	3-8	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.4
12	3-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Dionii Fraga	+0.4
13	4-9	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Kaleigh Palmer	set Hannah Parant	+0.3
14	4-10	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
15	5-10	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Hannah Parant	+0.3
16	5-11	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
17	6-11	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Mya Allen	set Hannah Parant	+0.3
18	6-12	ALA	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Laney Hennessee		+0.3
19	6-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
20	6-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Ace	Nina Mandovic	aced Tea Simic	+0.2
21	6-15	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Bad set	Hannah Parant		+0.1
22	6-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Mya Allen		+0.1
23	7-16	MIZZOU	ALA	Blocked	Lydia Stahley	blk Maddie Snider, Lily Gervase	·
24	8-16	ALA	ALA	Kill	Laney Hennessee	set Ava Wallis	+0.1
25	8-17	ALA	MIZZOU	Serve err	Lindsey Brown		+0.1
26	9-17	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Maddie Snider	set Ava Wallis	+0.1
27	9-18	ALA	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
28	9-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	Lauren Larkin		+0.1
29	9-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Eva Smith		·
30	10-20	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Maddie Snider	set Laney Hennessee	·
31	10-21	ALA	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	·
32	11-21	MIZZOU	ALA	Kill	Kaleigh Palmer	set Hannah Parant	·
33	11-22	ALA	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Laney Hennessee		·
34	11-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Audrey Simpson		·
35	11-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Serve err	Missouri		·
36	11-25	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Kaleigh Palmer		·

Score shown after each rally, Alabama first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Missouri def. Alabama 3–0

Paige Felder hit .448 with 15 kills as Missouri rolled past Alabama.