Texas A&M vs Missouri Volleyball: Missouri Wins 3-0 (Nov 8)

FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026SECN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas A&M 65.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Missouri beat visiting Texas A&M 3-0 (25-20, 25-21, 25-23) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Kimani Johnson led Missouri with 11 kills; Texas A&M's Kyndal Stowers had a match-high 14.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT · final Nov 8

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TX A&M	20	21	23	0
MIZZOU	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Missouri 35%. Missouri won anyway.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Missouri's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Texas A&M was RallyIQ's 65% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Texas A&M 7–7 Missouri
From 7–7, Missouri scored 6 straight to lead 13–7.
Missouri 57% → 75%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Texas A&M 22–22 Missouri
Missouri won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–0.
Missouri 83% → >99%

Missouri above 50Texas A&M belowMax swing 7.5%

Texas A&MMissouri

Sideout %: Texas A&M 52.1·Missouri 60.6
Break %: Texas A&M 39.4·Missouri 47.9
Hitting: Texas A&M .214·Missouri .296
Longest run: Texas A&M 3·Missouri 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Missouri above 50 · Texas A&M below

Biggest swing: 7.5% to Missouri — set 3, TX A&M 22-24 MIZZOU. Kill by Paige Felder (set by Zoey Matias). MIZZOU win probability 88% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX A&M 61.4%38.6% MIZZOU

Texas A&M wins

3-0

17.9%

3-1

23.5%

3-2

20.0%

Missouri wins

3-0

8.3%

3-1

14.0%

3-2

16.3%

TX A&M break %: 42.0% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %: 39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Paige FelderKill+7.5%
Kill by Paige Felder (set by Zoey Matias)
Set 3 · TX A&M 22-24 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 88% → 96%
02
Paige FelderKill+7.0%
Kill by Paige Felder (set by Sierra Dudley)
Set 3 · TX A&M 23-25 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 93% → 100%
03
Kyndal StowersKill+6.1%
Kill by Kyndal Stowers (set by Margot Manning)
Set 3 · TX A&M 22-22 MIZZOU · TX A&M 11% → 17%
04
Kimani JohnsonKill+5.7%
Kill by Kimani Johnson (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 3 · TX A&M 20-22 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 86% → 92%
05
Kimani JohnsonKill+5.6%
Kill by Kimani Johnson (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 3 · TX A&M 20-21 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 81% → 86%
06
Kimani Johnson&Lauren LarkinBlock+5.3%
Natalie Ring stuffed by Kimani Johnson & Lauren Larkin
Set 2 · TX A&M 18-21 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 68% → 74%
07
Kyndal StowersAttack error+5.2%
Attack error by Kyndal Stowers
Set 3 · TX A&M 22-23 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 83% → 88%
08
Lydia StahleyAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Lydia Stahley
Set 2 · TX A&M 18-19 MIZZOU · TX A&M 31% → 36%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Texas A&Maway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
37Kyndal StowersOH	3	14	8	40	.150	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
17Natalie RingOH	3	8	5	22	.136	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	0	8
25Eliza SharpMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	2	1	0	0	2	1	6
19Kaia CastleMB	3	2	4	8	-.250	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	4
10Margot ManningS	3	0	0	1	.000	35	3	0	4	0	0	2	1	4
20Megan FitchOH	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
6Taryn MorrisOPP	3	12	1	25	.440	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
1Gabi RodriguezL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
2Addi ApplegateL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
4Brooke LacewellOPP	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Kirra MusgroveS	1	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Djurdja StanojevicMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Lily NicholsonS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	19	112	.214	41	3	9	39	3	1	8	5	64

Missourihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Kimani JohnsonOH	3	11	1	19	.526	0	0	0	2	0	2	5	4.5	15.5
15Paige FelderOH	3	10	2	30	.267	0	0	2	2	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
11Eva SmithMB	3	4	1	11	.273	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	4	8
12Lauren LarkinMB	3	5	2	9	.333	0	1	0	2	0	0	4	2	8
0Nina MandovicS	3	0	0	0	–	15	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	2
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
21Lydia StahleyOH	3	4	2	13	.154	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
40Grace O'ReillyOH	3	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
4Ainoah CruzDS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	1	13	0	0	0	0	0
2Sierra DudleyS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
8Ceylin KuyanOH	1	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		40	11	98	.296	36	3	5	38	3	4	16	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 TX A&M · MIZZOU 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 TX A&MMIZZOU 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 TX A&MMIZZOU 6

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 TX A&MMIZZOU 3

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Texas A&M leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas A&M

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	42%5/12
2	44%8/18	20%2/10
3	55%6/11	50%8/16
4	75%6/8	33%3/9
5	71%5/7	25%2/8
6	28%5/18	55%6/11
All	52%38/73	39%26/66

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	54%7/13
2	80%8/10	50%8/16
3	47%7/15	42%5/12
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	67%6/9	25%2/8
6	50%5/10	62%8/13
All	61%40/66	48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#	TX A&M-MIZZOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Margot Manning	+2.3
2	1-1	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Serve err	Natalie Ring		+1.6
3	2-1	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Attack err	Eva Smith		+1.6
4	2-2	TX A&M	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.7
5	2-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Blocked	Kyndal Stowers	blk Eva Smith, Grace O'Reilly	+2.6
6	2-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Kyndal Stowers		+2.7
7	2-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Blocked	Kaia Castle	blk Eva Smith	+2.6
8	2-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Grace O'Reilly		+2.5
9	3-6	MIZZOU	TX A&M×3	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Margot Manning	+1.5
10	4-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Ace	Margot Manning	aced Paige Felder	+2.5
11	5-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Blocked	Grace O'Reilly	blk Kaia Castle, Kyndal Stowers	+2.6
12	5-7	TX A&M	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Zoey Matias	set Ainoah Cruz	+2.0
13	5-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Bad set	Kyndal Stowers		+2.8
14	5-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Ainoah Cruz	+2.7
15	5-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Blocked	Kaia Castle	blk Eva Smith	+2.4
16	6-10	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+1.3
17	7-10	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Margot Manning	+2.3
18	7-11	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.9
19	7-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+2.5
20	8-12	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+1.3
21	8-13	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Bad set	Margot Manning		+1.7
22	9-13	MIZZOU	TX A&M×3	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+1.3
23	10-13	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Margot Manning	+2.4
24	11-13	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Blocked	Lydia Stahley	blk Eliza Sharp, Margot Manning	+2.8
25	11-14	TX A&M	MIZZOU×6	Serve err	Megan Fitch		+2.3
26	11-15	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Blocked	Eliza Sharp	blk Kimani Johnson	+3.0
27	11-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Blocked	Natalie Ring	blk Kimani Johnson, Lauren Larkin	+2.5
28	11-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Bad set	Margot Manning		+1.9
29	11-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Blocked	Natalie Ring	blk Kimani Johnson, Lauren Larkin	+1.3
30	11-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.8
31	12-19	MIZZOU	TX A&M×3	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.3
32	13-19	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.7
33	14-19	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+1.1
34	14-20	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Nina Mandovic	+1.2
35	14-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Eliza Sharp		+1.0
36	15-21	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.3
37	15-22	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Serve err	Gabi Rodriguez		+0.5
38	16-22	MIZZOU	TX A&M×3	Serve err	Sierra Dudley		+0.2
39	17-22	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+0.5
40	18-22	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Ace	Margot Manning		+1.0
41	18-23	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Zoey Matias	+1.3
42	19-23	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+0.5
43	19-24	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Ainoah Cruz	+1.0
44	20-24	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+0.2
45	20-25	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Serve err	Brooke Lacewell		+0.5
Set 2
1	1-0	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+1.9
2	1-1	TX A&M	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+1.9
3	1-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Kyndal Stowers		+3.0
4	1-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Blocked	Kyndal Stowers	blk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith	+3.1
5	1-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Ace	Lauren Larkin	aced Addi Applegate	+3.1
6	2-4	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+1.9
7	3-4	TX A&M	TX A&M	Bad set	Nina Mandovic		+3.0
8	3-5	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+2.2
9	4-5	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Serve err	Sierra Dudley		+2.1
10	4-6	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+2.3
11	5-6	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Serve err	Paige Felder		+2.1
12	6-6	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Margot Manning	+3.2
13	6-7	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Serve err	Eliza Sharp		+2.3
14	7-7	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Serve err	Ainoah Cruz		+2.3
15	7-8	TX A&M	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+2.4
16	7-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Ainoah Cruz	+3.6
17	7-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Ace	Nina Mandovic	aced Natalie Ring	+3.6
18	7-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Ace	Nina Mandovic		+3.3
19	7-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Lauren Larkin		+3.0
20	7-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+2.5
21	8-13	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Gabi Rodriguez	+1.2
22	9-13	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+2.3
23	9-14	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+2.1
24	10-14	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+1.6
25	11-14	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+2.9
26	11-15	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kyndal Stowers		+2.5
27	11-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+3.0
28	12-16	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+1.5
29	12-17	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+2.1
30	13-17	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+1.4
31	14-17	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Margot Manning	+2.9
32	14-18	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+2.6
33	15-18	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Serve err	Paige Felder		+1.9
34	15-19	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Serve err	Brooke Lacewell		+2.7
35	16-19	MIZZOU	TX A&M×3	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+1.9
36	17-19	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Ace	Margot Manning	aced Lydia Stahley	+3.7
37	18-19	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Lydia Stahley		+4.8
38	18-20	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+4.1
39	18-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Natalie Ring	blk Kimani Johnson, Lauren Larkin	+5.3
40	19-21	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+2.5
41	19-22	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Serve err	Natalie Ring		+3.8
42	20-22	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+2.4
43	20-23	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Blocked	Kyndal Stowers	blk Kimani Johnson, Lauren Larkin	+4.0
44	20-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Taryn Morris	blk Eva Smith, Paige Felder	+3.2
45	21-24	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+0.6
46	21-25	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.5
Set 3
1	0-1	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.6
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+1.6
3	1-2	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.7
4	2-2	MIZZOU	TX A&M×3	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+1.6
5	3-2	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Blocked	Paige Felder	blk Margot Manning, Eliza Sharp	+2.3
6	4-2	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Grace O'Reilly		+2.2
7	4-3	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+1.5
8	5-3	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Margot Manning	+1.5
9	6-3	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Sierra Dudley	+2.1
10	6-4	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+1.4
11	6-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+2.3
12	7-5	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Margot Manning	+1.6
13	8-5	TX A&M	TX A&M	Bad set	Paige Felder		+2.2
14	8-6	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Serve err	Eliza Sharp		+1.4
15	9-6	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+1.5
16	9-7	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+1.4
17	9-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Taryn Morris	+2.4
18	10-8	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kaia Castle	+1.8
19	11-8	TX A&M	TX A&M	Blocked	Lauren Larkin	blk Kaia Castle	+2.4
20	11-9	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Serve err	Natalie Ring		+1.5
21	12-9	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Gabi Rodriguez	+1.7
22	12-10	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.5
23	13-10	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+1.7
24	14-10	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Margot Manning	+2.1
25	14-11	TX A&M	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.2
26	14-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+2.3
27	14-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Blocked	Kyndal Stowers	blk Eva Smith, Grace O'Reilly	+2.8
28	15-13	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+2.1
29	15-14	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+2.0
30	16-14	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Margot Manning	+2.2
31	16-15	TX A&M	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Sierra Dudley	+2.1
32	16-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Ceylin Kuyan	set Ainoah Cruz	+3.6
33	16-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Gabi Rodriguez	+4.0
34	17-17	MIZZOU	TX A&M×3	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Margot Manning	+2.7
35	18-17	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+4.1
36	19-17	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Blocked	Ceylin Kuyan	blk Taryn Morris, Kaia Castle	+3.9
37	19-18	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+2.4
38	19-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Natalie Ring	blk Kimani Johnson	+4.4
39	20-19	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Margot Manning	+3.3
40	20-20	TX A&M	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+3.3
41	20-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+5.6
42	20-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+5.7
43	21-22	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+2.9
44	22-22	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+6.1
45	22-23	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kyndal Stowers		+5.2
46	22-24	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Zoey Matias	+7.5
47	23-24	MIZZOU	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Margot Manning	+2.7
48	23-25	TX A&M	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+7.0

Score shown after each rally, Texas A&M first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Missouri def. Texas A&M 3–0

RallyIQ gave Missouri 35%. Missouri won anyway.