FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-SOUTH

3:0

HomeMEAC

Gardner-Webb def. Morgan St. 3–0

(25-23, 25-21, 25-10)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
G WEBB	25	25	25	3
MORGAN	23	21	10	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MORGAN above 50 · G WEBB below

Biggest swing: 4.8% to Gardner-Webb — set 1, G WEBB 25-23 MORGAN. Michaela Panekova stuffed by Sarina Galyean. MORGAN win probability 16% → 11%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

G WEBB 79.6%20.4% MORGAN

Gardner-Webb wins

3-0

31.2%

3-1

30.1%

3-2

18.4%

Morgan St. wins

3-0

3.3%

3-1

6.8%

3-2

10.2%

G WEBB break %: 46.5% vs this opp
MORGAN break %: 40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Michaela PanekovaAttack error+4.8%
Michaela Panekova stuffed by Sarina Galyean
Set 1 · G WEBB 25-23 MORGAN · G WEBB 84% → 89%
02
Nathalia MoraisAttack error+3.2%
Nathalia Morais stuffed by Sarina Galyean & Parker LaFontaine
Set 2 · G WEBB 23-21 MORGAN · G WEBB 90% → 93%
03
Nicole OsborneAttack error+3.2%
Nicole Osborne stuffed by Jada Williams & Isabelle Brown
Set 2 · G WEBB 21-21 MORGAN · MORGAN 9% → 13%
04
Parker LaFontaineKill+2.9%
Kill by Parker LaFontaine (set by Olivia Lefebvre)
Set 1 · G WEBB 22-20 MORGAN · G WEBB 81% → 84%
05
Isabelle BrownAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Isabelle Brown
Set 1 · G WEBB 24-23 MORGAN · MORGAN 13% → 16%
06
Nicole OsborneAttack error+2.8%
Nicole Osborne stuffed by Zayda Thomas & Aubrey Wilson
Set 1 · G WEBB 20-19 MORGAN · MORGAN 16% → 19%
07
Isabelle BrownBad set+2.8%
Bad set by Isabelle Brown
Set 1 · G WEBB 23-20 MORGAN · G WEBB 84% → 87%
08
Alexis MaeschKill+2.7%
Kill by Alexis Maesch (set by Aleina Manaois)
Set 2 · G WEBB 22-21 MORGAN · G WEBB 87% → 90%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Gardner-Webbaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Sarina GalyeanOH	3	9	4	17	.294	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	12
17Parker LaFontaineMB	3	6	0	11	.545	3	2	3	0	0	1	2	2	10
8Milla LugoMB	3	5	0	7	.714	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2.5	7.5
2Nicole OsborneOH	3	3	3	10	.000	1	2	0	8	1	1	0	1	6
13Isabel SandstrumOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
6Aubrey JordanOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Peyton SloneOH	3	8	0	16	.500	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
16Alexis MaeschOH	3	7	1	14	.429	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	7
21Ivey LucasS	3	1	0	2	.500	11	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	1
12Ella MossL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Kiera VazquezOH	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
10Olivia LefebvreS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
5Haedyn CrumbleyOH	2	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
23Aleina ManaoisS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	8	83	.410	35	4	8	42	3	7	6	10	75

Morgan St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Jada WilliamsMB	3	11	4	24	.292	0	2	2	2	0	0	4	2	15
9Michaela PanekovaOH	3	7	5	21	.095	1	0	1	2	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
10Nathalia MoraisOH	3	3	3	15	.000	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	4
11Aubrey WilsonMB	3	2	3	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
4Isabelle BrownS	3	0	1	5	-.200	22	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
21Kira DevriezeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
16Zayda ThomasOH	3	5	2	15	.200	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	7
5Bailey SwintonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	11	1	0	0	0	0
14Tyrah WeemsMB	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Tameary WardlawL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
7Jenae MasonOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Alaina WalkerS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	19	94	.117	27	3	8	29	4	1	12	7	54

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 G WEBB · MORGAN 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 G WEBBMORGAN 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 7 G WEBBMORGAN 4

Set 3

25-10

Longest run 5 G WEBBMORGAN 2

Bars above the line = Morgan St. leads, below = Gardner-Webb leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Gardner-Webb

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	69%11/16
2	41%7/17	59%10/17
3	75%6/8	50%6/12
4	100%5/5	64%9/14
5	56%5/9	29%2/7
6	63%5/8	29%2/7
All	63%35/56	55%40/73

Morgan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	30%3/10
2	43%6/14	50%7/14
3	63%5/8	45%5/11
4	42%5/12	17%1/6
5	71%5/7	38%3/8
6	36%5/14	29%2/7
All	45%33/73	38%21/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	G WEBB-MORGAN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Nicole Osborne	set Kiera Vazquez	+1.2
2	1-1	G WEBB	MORGAN×6	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+1.3
3	1-2	MORGAN	MORGAN×6	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+1.9
4	1-3	MORGAN	MORGAN×6	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+2.0
5	1-4	MORGAN	MORGAN×6	Ace	MORGAN server	aced Nicole Osborne	+2.1
6	1-5	MORGAN	MORGAN×6	Kill	Jada Williams		+2.2
7	1-6	MORGAN	MORGAN×6	Attack err	Sarina Galyean	blk Michaela Panekova, Jada Williams	+2.1
8	2-6	MORGAN	G WEBB×5	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Ivey Lucas	+1.3
9	3-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Parker LaFontaine	+1.9
10	4-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Ace	G WEBB server	aced Team	+2.0
11	5-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+2.1
12	6-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Ace	G WEBB server	aced Bailey Swinton	+2.0
13	6-7	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Nathalia Morais	+1.7
14	7-7	MORGAN	G WEBB	Serve err	MORGAN server		+1.6
15	8-7	G WEBB	G WEBB	Attack err	Aubrey Wilson	blk Milla Lugo, Peyton Slone	+2.0
16	8-8	G WEBB	MORGAN	Serve err	G WEBB server		+1.6
17	9-8	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.6
18	10-8	G WEBB	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo		+1.9
19	10-9	G WEBB	MORGAN×3	Bad set	Olivia Lefebvre		+1.5
20	10-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
21	10-11	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Isabelle Brown	+2.5
22	11-11	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Alexis Maesch	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.8
23	11-12	G WEBB	MORGAN	Attack err	Nicole Osborne	blk Zayda Thomas	+2.0
24	12-12	MORGAN	G WEBB×4	Kill	Isabel Sandstrum	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.9
25	13-12	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Attack err	Isabelle Brown	blk Nicole Osborne	+2.4
26	14-12	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Attack err	Zayda Thomas		+2.2
27	15-12	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Attack err	Jada Williams	blk Parker LaFontaine	+1.9
28	15-13	G WEBB	MORGAN	Serve err	G WEBB server		+1.4
29	15-14	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Sarina Galyean		+2.3
30	16-14	MORGAN	G WEBB	Serve err	MORGAN server		+1.8
31	17-14	G WEBB	G WEBB	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+2.1
32	17-15	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Nathalia Morais	set Isabelle Brown	+1.4
33	18-15	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Ivey Lucas	+1.7
34	18-16	G WEBB	MORGAN	Serve err	G WEBB server		+1.5
35	19-16	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Kiera Vazquez	+1.7
36	19-17	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+1.5
37	20-17	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.8
38	20-18	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Isabelle Brown	+1.5
39	20-19	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Nicole Osborne	blk Zayda Thomas, Aubrey Wilson	+2.8
40	21-19	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Alexis Maesch	set Olivia Lefebvre	+2.6
41	21-20	G WEBB	MORGAN	Serve err	G WEBB server		+2.3
42	22-20	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Parker LaFontaine	set Olivia Lefebvre	+2.9
43	23-20	G WEBB	G WEBB	Bad set	Isabelle Brown		+2.8
44	23-21	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Nathalia Morais	set Bailey Swinton	+1.3
45	24-21	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Parker LaFontaine	+2.1
46	24-22	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.9
47	24-23	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Isabelle Brown		+2.9
48	25-23	MORGAN	G WEBB	Attack err	Michaela Panekova	blk Sarina Galyean	+4.8
Set 2
1	0-1	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Nathalia Morais	set Isabelle Brown	+1.1
2	1-1	MORGAN	G WEBB×3	Kill	Nicole Osborne	set Ivey Lucas	+1.0
3	2-1	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Parker LaFontaine	+1.3
4	3-1	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Isabelle Brown	+1.2
5	3-2	G WEBB	MORGAN	Attack err	Sarina Galyean	blk Jada Williams, Michaela Panekova	+0.9
6	3-3	MORGAN	MORGAN	Bad set	Nicole Osborne		+1.4
7	4-3	MORGAN	G WEBB	Serve err	MORGAN server		+1.0
8	4-4	G WEBB	MORGAN	Serve err	G WEBB server		+1.1
9	4-5	MORGAN	MORGAN	Bad set	Peyton Slone		+1.5
10	5-5	MORGAN	G WEBB	Attack err	Zayda Thomas	blk Peyton Slone	+1.1
11	5-6	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Michaela Panekova	+1.2
12	6-6	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.1
13	7-6	G WEBB	G WEBB	Attack err	Nathalia Morais		+1.5
14	7-7	G WEBB	MORGAN	Serve err	G WEBB server		+1.2
15	7-8	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Alexis Maesch	blk Jada Williams, Zayda Thomas	+1.7
16	8-8	MORGAN	G WEBB	Attack err	Jada Williams		+1.2
17	8-9	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Isabelle Brown	+1.4
18	8-10	MORGAN	MORGAN	Bad set	Haedyn Crumbley		+1.9
19	9-10	MORGAN	G WEBB	Serve err	MORGAN server		+1.3
20	9-11	G WEBB	MORGAN	Serve err	G WEBB server		+1.5
21	9-12	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+2.0
22	10-12	MORGAN	G WEBB	Serve err	MORGAN server		+1.3
23	10-13	G WEBB	MORGAN×4	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+1.6
24	10-14	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Ace	MORGAN server	aced Team	+2.0
25	10-15	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+1.8
26	10-16	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Ace	MORGAN server	aced Team	+1.5
27	11-16	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Ivey Lucas	+0.8
28	11-17	G WEBB	MORGAN	Serve err	G WEBB server		+1.2
29	12-17	MORGAN	G WEBB×7	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Ivey Lucas	+0.8
30	13-17	G WEBB	G WEBB×7	Attack err	Aubrey Wilson		+1.3
31	14-17	G WEBB	G WEBB×7	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.7
32	15-17	G WEBB	G WEBB×7	Kill	Alexis Maesch	set Olivia Lefebvre	+2.0
33	16-17	G WEBB	G WEBB×7	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+2.3
34	17-17	G WEBB	G WEBB×7	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Kiera Vazquez	+2.4
35	18-17	G WEBB	G WEBB×7	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Kiera Vazquez	+2.4
36	18-18	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+1.9
37	19-18	MORGAN	G WEBB	Serve err	MORGAN server		+2.0
38	19-19	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+2.1
39	20-19	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Alexis Maesch	set Isabel Sandstrum	+2.2
40	21-19	G WEBB	G WEBB	Kill	Nicole Osborne	set Isabel Sandstrum	+2.6
41	21-20	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+1.7
42	21-21	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Nicole Osborne	blk Jada Williams, Isabelle Brown	+3.2
43	22-21	MORGAN	G WEBB×4	Kill	Alexis Maesch	set Aleina Manaois	+2.7
44	23-21	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Attack err	Nathalia Morais	blk Sarina Galyean, Parker LaFontaine	+3.2
45	24-21	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Ivey Lucas	+2.1
46	25-21	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Kill	Parker LaFontaine		+0.8
Set 3
1	1-0	MORGAN	G WEBB×5	Attack err	Jada Williams	blk Sarina Galyean	+0.5
2	2-0	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Kill	Parker LaFontaine	set Isabelle Brown	+0.6
3	3-0	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Ace	G WEBB server	aced Team	+0.5
4	4-0	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Attack err	Nathalia Morais	blk Parker LaFontaine, Sarina Galyean	+0.5
5	5-0	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Ace	G WEBB server	aced Team	+0.4
6	5-1	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Sarina Galyean	+0.3
7	6-1	MORGAN	G WEBB	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.3
8	6-2	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.3
9	7-2	MORGAN	G WEBB	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+0.3
10	8-2	G WEBB	G WEBB	Attack err	Aubrey Wilson	blk Milla Lugo	+0.3
11	8-3	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.2
12	9-3	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+0.3
13	9-4	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.2
14	10-4	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Alexis Maesch	set Olivia Lefebvre	+0.3
15	11-4	G WEBB	G WEBB	Kill	Haedyn Crumbley	set Olivia Lefebvre	+0.3
16	11-5	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+0.2
17	11-6	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Jenae Mason	set Isabelle Brown	+0.3
18	12-6	MORGAN	G WEBB×5	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.3
19	13-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Kill	Haedyn Crumbley	set Kiera Vazquez	+0.3
20	14-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Isabel Sandstrum	+0.2
21	15-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Bad set	Isabelle Brown		+0.1
22	16-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Kill	Parker LaFontaine		+0.1
23	16-7	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
24	17-7	MORGAN	G WEBB×4	Kill	Parker LaFontaine	set Ivey Lucas	+0.0
25	18-7	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Ivey Lucas	+0.0
26	19-7	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Kill	Ivey Lucas	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
27	20-7	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Attack err	Jenae Mason		+0.0
28	20-8	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Alaina Walker	+0.0
29	21-8	MORGAN	G WEBB×3	Kill	Parker LaFontaine	set Ivey Lucas	+0.0
30	22-8	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Attack err	Jada Williams	blk Milla Lugo	+0.0
31	23-8	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Ivey Lucas	+0.0
32	23-9	G WEBB	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Alaina Walker	+0.0
33	23-10	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Sarina Galyean	blk Aubrey Wilson, Michaela Panekova	+0.0
34	24-10	MORGAN	G WEBB	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Ivey Lucas	+0.0
35	25-10	G WEBB	G WEBB	Kill	Alexis Maesch	set Nicole Osborne	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Gardner-Webb first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.