Marquette def. Providence 3–0
Marquette won at Providence 3-0 (25-14, 25-19, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Marquette's Carson Tyler led with 18 kills.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| PROV | 14 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.7% to Providence — set 1, MARQ 4-7 PROV. Attack error by Carson Tyler. PROV win probability 15% → 16%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Marquette wins
Providence wins
- MARQ break %
- 48.2% vs this opp
- PROV break %
- 38.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02Aubrey Easterwood&Fielding MayhughBlock+1.6%
Molly Welge stuffed by Aubrey Easterwood & Fielding Mayhugh
Set 1 · MARQ 4-6 PROV · PROV 13% → 15%
- 03
- 04Carson TylerKill+1.5%
Kill by Carson Tyler (set by Luanna Markus)
Set 1 · MARQ 8-8 PROV · MARQ 86% → 88%
- 05Julia StanevKill+1.5%
Kill by Julia Stanev (set by Luanna Markus)
Set 1 · MARQ 10-9 PROV · MARQ 87% → 89%
- 06MarquetteService error+1.4%
Marquette service error
Set 1 · MARQ 5-8 PROV · PROV 15% → 17%
- 07
- 08Lyric BerryKill+1.4%
Kill by Lyric Berry (set by Luanna Markus)
Set 2 · MARQ 15-15 PROV · PROV 5% → 7%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 18 | 4 | 35 | .400 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 28 | .143 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -.083 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -.143 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | .750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| Team totals | 42 | 18 | 108 | .222 | 37 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 2 | 19 | .474 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 | .200 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | -.067 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -.118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -.667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 31 | 22 | 103 | .087 | 26 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 56 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-14
Set 2
25-19
Set 3
25-23
Bars above the line = Providence leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Marquette
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58%7/12 | 44%4/9 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 42%5/12 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 53%8/15 |
| 4 | 50%6/12 | 57%8/14 |
| 5 | 83%5/6 | 62%8/13 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 60%6/10 |
| All | 62%36/58 | 53%39/73 |
Providence
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%7/10 | 0%0/6 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 56%9/16 |
| 3 | 32%6/19 | 30%3/10 |
| 4 | 42%5/12 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 50%5/10 | 44%4/9 |
| 6 | 36%4/11 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 47%34/73 | 38%22/58 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
131 rallies
| # | MARQ-PROV | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +0.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Allie Beers | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MARQ | PROV×3 | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +0.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PROV | PROV×3 | Blocked | Tani Juric | blk Fielding Mayhugh, Kaia Easterbrook | +1.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | PROV | PROV×3 | Kill | Tori Otter | set Macy Taylor | +1.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +1.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +1.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +1.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MARQ | PROV×3 | Serve err | Marquette | +1.1 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | PROV | PROV×3 | Blocked | Molly Welge | blk Aubrey Easterwood, Fielding Mayhugh | +1.6 |
| 11 | 4-7 | PROV | PROV×3 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +1.7 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | MARQ | PROV | Serve err | Marquette | +1.4 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | PROV | MARQ×3 | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +1.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Shea Dupuis | +1.6 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.5 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Gwenyth Koss | +1.3 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | PROV | MARQ×5 | Attack err | Sophia Adkins | +1.2 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | MARQ | MARQ×5 | Kill | Julia Stanev | set Luanna Markus | +1.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | MARQ | MARQ×5 | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +1.3 |
| 21 | 12-9 | MARQ | MARQ×5 | Blocked | Shea Dupuis | blk Julia Stanev, Caydence Doolan | +1.1 |
| 22 | 13-9 | MARQ | MARQ×5 | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +0.9 |
| 23 | 13-10 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Sophia Adkins | set Sarah Musial | +0.6 |
| 24 | 14-10 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Carson Tyler | +0.7 |
| 25 | 15-10 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Tori Otter | +0.7 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Sophia Adkins | set Miller McDonald | +0.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +0.5 |
| 28 | 17-11 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +0.5 |
| 29 | 17-12 | MARQ | PROV | Serve err | Marquette | +0.3 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | PROV | PROV | Kill | Sophia Adkins | set Miller McDonald | +0.6 |
| 31 | 18-13 | PROV | MARQ×7 | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +0.5 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MARQ | MARQ×7 | Blocked | Fielding Mayhugh | blk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus | +0.5 |
| 33 | 20-13 | MARQ | MARQ×7 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Allie Beers | +0.3 |
| 34 | 21-13 | MARQ | MARQ×7 | Ace | Marquette | aced Macy Taylor | +0.1 |
| 35 | 22-13 | MARQ | MARQ×7 | Attack err | Aubrey Easterwood | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 23-13 | MARQ | MARQ×7 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | · |
| 37 | 24-13 | MARQ | MARQ×7 | Ace | Marquette | aced Sophia Adkins | · |
| 38 | 24-14 | MARQ | PROV | Attack err | Carson Tyler | · | |
| 39 | 25-14 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MARQ | PROV×5 | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +0.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | PROV | PROV×5 | Blocked | Caydence Doolan | blk Tori Otter, Aubrey Easterwood | +1.0 |
| 3 | 0-3 | PROV | PROV×5 | Blocked | Tani Juric | blk Aubrey Easterwood, Fielding Mayhugh | +1.1 |
| 4 | 0-4 | PROV | PROV×5 | Attack err | Julia Stanev | +1.1 | |
| 5 | 0-5 | PROV | PROV×5 | Kill | Aubrey Easterwood | set Miller McDonald | +1.1 |
| 6 | 1-5 | PROV | MARQ×3 | Serve err | Providence | +0.7 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Keira Schmidt | +1.0 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Blocked | Fielding Mayhugh | blk Keira Schmidt, Tani Juric | +1.0 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +0.9 |
| 10 | 4-6 | PROV | MARQ×6 | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +0.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MARQ | MARQ×6 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MARQ | MARQ×6 | Attack err | Fielding Mayhugh | +1.0 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | MARQ | MARQ×6 | Attack err | Aubrey Easterwood | +0.9 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | MARQ | MARQ×6 | Attack err | Aubrey Easterwood | +0.8 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | MARQ | MARQ×6 | Attack err | Lyric Berry | +0.7 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Lyric Berry | set Emi Juric | +0.5 |
| 17 | 10-7 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +0.5 |
| 18 | 11-7 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Lyla Buser | +0.6 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | MARQ | PROV×4 | Serve err | Marquette | +0.4 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | PROV | PROV×4 | Attack err | Luanna Markus | +0.7 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | PROV | PROV×4 | Bad set | Luanna Markus | +0.9 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | PROV | PROV×4 | Blocked | Molly Welge | blk Sophia Adkins, Kaia Easterbrook | +1.1 |
| 23 | 12-11 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Luanna Markus | +0.8 |
| 24 | 12-12 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Lyla Buser | set Sarah Musial | +0.9 |
| 25 | 13-12 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +0.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Avery Helms | +1.0 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Miller McDonald | +0.8 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +0.8 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +0.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | PROV | PROV | Kill | Lyric Berry | set Luanna Markus | +1.4 |
| 31 | 16-15 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +1.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +1.1 |
| 33 | 17-16 | PROV | MARQ | Serve err | Providence | +1.1 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Emi Juric | +1.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Fielding Mayhugh | set Sarah Musial | +1.0 |
| 36 | 19-17 | PROV | MARQ | Serve err | Providence | +1.0 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Lyla Buser | set Sarah Musial | +1.0 |
| 38 | 20-18 | PROV | MARQ×3 | Serve err | Providence | +1.1 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +1.2 |
| 40 | 22-18 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Blocked | Lyla Buser | blk Caydence Doolan, Molly Welge | +0.8 |
| 41 | 22-19 | MARQ | PROV | Attack err | Molly Welge | +0.4 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | PROV | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Sophia Adkins | +0.5 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Tori Otter | +0.3 | |
| 44 | 25-19 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Keira Schmidt | set Luanna Markus | +0.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PROV | MARQ | Bad set | Aubrey Easterwood | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Aubrey Easterwood | +0.3 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Sophia Adkins | set Miller McDonald | +0.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PROV | PROV | Attack err | Tani Juric | +0.4 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | PROV | MARQ | Serve err | Providence | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +0.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +0.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Lyric Berry | set Miller McDonald | +0.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | PROV | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +0.3 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Blocked | Lyla Buser | blk Molly Welge | +0.4 |
| 11 | 7-4 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Sarah Musial | +0.3 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | MARQ | PROV | Blocked | Luanna Markus | blk Lyric Berry | +0.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Caydence Doolan | +0.2 |
| 14 | 9-5 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Keira Schmidt | set Luanna Markus | +0.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Lyla Buser | set Gwenyth Koss | +0.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | PROV | PROV | Attack err | Caydence Doolan | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | PROV | MARQ | Serve err | Providence | +0.3 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Aubrey Easterwood | set Sarah Musial | +0.3 |
| 19 | 11-8 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Emi Juric | set Gwenyth Koss | +0.3 |
| 20 | 11-9 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Aubrey Easterwood | set Miller McDonald | +0.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | PROV | PROV | Ace | Providence | aced Allie Beers | +0.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +0.3 |
| 23 | 13-10 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +0.4 |
| 24 | 13-11 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +0.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +0.3 |
| 26 | 15-11 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Lyric Berry | +0.3 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | MARQ | PROV | Blocked | Carson Tyler | blk Lyric Berry, Tori Otter | +0.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | PROV | PROV | Ace | Providence | aced Avery Helms | +0.4 |
| 29 | 16-13 | PROV | MARQ×5 | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +0.3 |
| 30 | 17-13 | MARQ | MARQ×5 | Attack err | Lyla Buser | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | MARQ | MARQ×5 | Ace | Marquette | aced Fielding Mayhugh | +0.2 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MARQ | MARQ×5 | Ace | Marquette | aced Sophia Adkins | +0.2 |
| 33 | 20-13 | MARQ | MARQ×5 | Blocked | Lyla Buser | blk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus | +0.1 |
| 34 | 20-14 | MARQ | PROV | Attack err | Molly Welge | · | |
| 35 | 20-15 | PROV | PROV | Kill | Sophia Adkins | set Sarah Musial | +0.1 |
| 36 | 21-15 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +0.1 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MARQ | PROV×3 | Kill | Lyric Berry | set Sarah Musial | +0.1 |
| 38 | 21-17 | PROV | PROV×3 | Attack err | Caydence Doolan | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | PROV | PROV×3 | Blocked | Caydence Doolan | blk Aubrey Easterwood, Lyla Buser | +0.3 |
| 40 | 22-18 | PROV | MARQ | Attack err | Sophia Adkins | +0.3 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Sophia Adkins | set Sarah Musial | +0.2 |
| 42 | 23-19 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +0.3 |
| 43 | 23-20 | MARQ | PROV | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +0.1 |
| 44 | 24-20 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +0.2 |
| 45 | 24-21 | MARQ | PROV×3 | Kill | Sophia Adkins | +0.1 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | PROV | PROV×3 | Kill | Tori Otter | set Miller McDonald | +0.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | PROV | PROV×3 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +0.7 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | PROV | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).