FinalSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on Friars Live

Marquette def. Providence 3–0

Marquette won at Providence 3-0 (25-14, 25-19, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Marquette's Carson Tyler led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set123Sets
MARQ2525253
PROV1419230

Win probability

Providence above 50 · Marquette below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.7% PROVrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Providence — set 1, MARQ 4-7 PROV. Attack error by Carson Tyler. PROV win probability 15% → 16%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARQ 88.7%11.3% PROV

Marquette wins

3-0
42.3%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.8%

Providence wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
6.3%
MARQ break %
48.2% vs this opp
PROV break %
38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Carson TylerAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Carson Tyler

    Set 1 · MARQ 4-7 PROV · PROV 15% → 16%

  2. 02

    Molly Welge stuffed by Aubrey Easterwood & Fielding Mayhugh

    Set 1 · MARQ 4-6 PROV · PROV 13% → 15%

  3. 03
    Shea DupuisAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Shea Dupuis

    Set 1 · MARQ 7-8 PROV · MARQ 84% → 86%

  4. 04
    Carson TylerKill+1.5%

    Kill by Carson Tyler (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 1 · MARQ 8-8 PROV · MARQ 86% → 88%

  5. 05
    Julia StanevKill+1.5%

    Kill by Julia Stanev (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 1 · MARQ 10-9 PROV · MARQ 87% → 89%

  6. 06
    MarquetteService error+1.4%

    Marquette service error

    Set 1 · MARQ 5-8 PROV · PROV 15% → 17%

  7. 07
    Tori OtterKill+1.4%

    Kill by Tori Otter (set by Macy Taylor)

    Set 1 · MARQ 2-3 PROV · PROV 11% → 13%

  8. 08
    Lyric BerryKill+1.4%

    Kill by Lyric Berry (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · MARQ 15-15 PROV · PROV 5% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318435.40012111000020
38428.143100100219
37316.25000020010.57.5
33412-.08300000132.55.5
3127-.1433100700212
2114.00000010010.51.5
3000–122410002
3102.500101900001
3000–200510000
3000–000100000
2304.75000000010.53.5
Team totals4218108.2223744412110675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311219.4740003002112
37320.20001142010.58.5
33415-.067000100425
31312-.16700011031.52.5
3104.2501600400001
2000–000000211
3012-.500811300001
31011.000101200001
3000–1011510000
24210.20000110111.55.5
23517-.11800000010.53.5
1023-.667000000000
1000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3122103.0872626344114856

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MARQ · PROV 5

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 7 MARQPROV 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 MARQPROV 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 MARQPROV 3

Bars above the line = Providence leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marquette

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
44%4/9
2
64%7/11
42%5/12
3
70%7/10
53%8/15
4
50%6/12
57%8/14
5
83%5/6
62%8/13
6
57%4/7
60%6/10
All
62%36/58
53%39/73

Providence

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
0%0/6
2
64%7/11
56%9/16
3
32%6/19
30%3/10
4
42%5/12
33%3/9
5
50%5/10
44%4/9
6
36%4/11
38%3/8
All
47%34/73
38%22/58

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#MARQ-PROVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PROVMARQKillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+0.8
22-0MARQMARQKillCarson Tylerset Allie Beers+1.0
32-1MARQPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.8
42-2PROVPROV×3BlockedTani Juricblk Fielding Mayhugh, Kaia Easterbrook+1.2
52-3PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Macy Taylor+1.4
63-3PROVMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+1.0
73-4MARQPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.1
84-4PROVMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.0
94-5MARQPROV×3Serve errMarquette+1.1
104-6PROVPROV×3BlockedMolly Welgeblk Aubrey Easterwood, Fielding Mayhugh+1.6
114-7PROVPROV×3Attack errCarson Tyler+1.7
125-7PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.2
135-8MARQPROVServe errMarquette+1.4
146-8PROVMARQ×3KillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+1.2
157-8MARQMARQ×3Attack errShea Dupuis+1.6
168-8MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.5
178-9MARQPROVKillGwenyth Koss+1.3
189-9PROVMARQ×5Attack errSophia Adkins+1.2
1910-9MARQMARQ×5KillJulia Stanevset Luanna Markus+1.5
2011-9MARQMARQ×5KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+1.3
2112-9MARQMARQ×5BlockedShea Dupuisblk Julia Stanev, Caydence Doolan+1.1
2213-9MARQMARQ×5KillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+0.9
2313-10MARQPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+0.6
2414-10PROVMARQKillCaydence Doolanset Carson Tyler+0.7
2515-10MARQMARQAttack errTori Otter+0.7
2615-11MARQPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+0.5
2716-11PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
2817-11MARQMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
2917-12MARQPROVServe errMarquette+0.3
3017-13PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+0.6
3118-13PROVMARQ×7KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.5
3219-13MARQMARQ×7BlockedFielding Mayhughblk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus+0.5
3320-13MARQMARQ×7KillCarson Tylerset Allie Beers+0.3
3421-13MARQMARQ×7AceMarquetteaced Macy Taylor+0.1
3522-13MARQMARQ×7Attack errAubrey Easterwood+0.1
3623-13MARQMARQ×7KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus·
3724-13MARQMARQ×7AceMarquetteaced Sophia Adkins·
3824-14MARQPROVAttack errCarson Tyler·
3925-14PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus·
Set 2
10-1MARQPROV×5KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.7
20-2PROVPROV×5BlockedCaydence Doolanblk Tori Otter, Aubrey Easterwood+1.0
30-3PROVPROV×5BlockedTani Juricblk Aubrey Easterwood, Fielding Mayhugh+1.1
40-4PROVPROV×5Attack errJulia Stanev+1.1
50-5PROVPROV×5KillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+1.1
61-5PROVMARQ×3Serve errProvidence+0.7
72-5MARQMARQ×3KillKeira Schmidt+1.0
83-5MARQMARQ×3BlockedFielding Mayhughblk Keira Schmidt, Tani Juric+1.0
93-6MARQPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.9
104-6PROVMARQ×6KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.8
115-6MARQMARQ×6KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.0
126-6MARQMARQ×6Attack errFielding Mayhugh+1.0
137-6MARQMARQ×6Attack errAubrey Easterwood+0.9
148-6MARQMARQ×6Attack errAubrey Easterwood+0.8
159-6MARQMARQ×6Attack errLyric Berry+0.7
169-7MARQPROVKillLyric Berryset Emi Juric+0.5
1710-7PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
1811-7MARQMARQAttack errLyla Buser+0.6
1911-8MARQPROV×4Serve errMarquette+0.4
2011-9PROVPROV×4Attack errLuanna Markus+0.7
2111-10PROVPROV×4Bad setLuanna Markus+0.9
2211-11PROVPROV×4BlockedMolly Welgeblk Sophia Adkins, Kaia Easterbrook+1.1
2312-11PROVMARQKillLuanna Markusset Luanna Markus+0.8
2412-12MARQPROVKillLyla Buserset Sarah Musial+0.9
2513-12PROVMARQKillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+0.9
2614-12MARQMARQKillCaydence Doolanset Avery Helms+1.0
2714-13MARQPROVKillMiller McDonald+0.8
2815-13PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.8
2915-14MARQPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.8
3015-15PROVPROVKillLyric Berryset Luanna Markus+1.4
3116-15PROVMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+1.0
3216-16MARQPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.1
3317-16PROVMARQServe errProvidence+1.1
3418-16MARQMARQKillCarson Tylerset Emi Juric+1.3
3518-17MARQPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Sarah Musial+1.0
3619-17PROVMARQServe errProvidence+1.0
3719-18MARQPROVKillLyla Buserset Sarah Musial+1.0
3820-18PROVMARQ×3Serve errProvidence+1.1
3921-18MARQMARQ×3KillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+1.2
4022-18MARQMARQ×3BlockedLyla Buserblk Caydence Doolan, Molly Welge+0.8
4122-19MARQPROVAttack errMolly Welge+0.4
4223-19PROVMARQ×3Attack errSophia Adkins+0.5
4324-19MARQMARQ×3Attack errTori Otter+0.3
4425-19MARQMARQ×3KillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+0.1
Set 3
11-0PROVMARQBad setAubrey Easterwood+0.3
22-0MARQMARQAttack errAubrey Easterwood+0.3
32-1MARQPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+0.3
42-2PROVPROVAttack errTani Juric+0.4
53-2PROVMARQServe errProvidence+0.3
63-3MARQPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.3
74-3PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.3
84-4MARQPROVKillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald+0.3
95-4PROVMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.3
106-4MARQMARQ×3BlockedLyla Buserblk Molly Welge+0.4
117-4MARQMARQ×3Attack errSarah Musial+0.3
127-5MARQPROVBlockedLuanna Markusblk Lyric Berry+0.2
138-5PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Caydence Doolan+0.2
149-5MARQMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+0.3
159-6MARQPROVKillLyla Buserset Gwenyth Koss+0.2
169-7PROVPROVAttack errCaydence Doolan+0.3
1710-7PROVMARQServe errProvidence+0.3
1810-8MARQPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+0.3
1911-8PROVMARQKillEmi Juricset Gwenyth Koss+0.3
2011-9MARQPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+0.3
2111-10PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Allie Beers+0.4
2212-10PROVMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.3
2313-10MARQMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.4
2413-11MARQPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.3
2514-11PROVMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.3
2615-11MARQMARQAttack errLyric Berry+0.3
2715-12MARQPROVBlockedCarson Tylerblk Lyric Berry, Tori Otter+0.2
2815-13PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Avery Helms+0.4
2916-13PROVMARQ×5KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.3
3017-13MARQMARQ×5Attack errLyla Buser+0.3
3118-13MARQMARQ×5AceMarquetteaced Fielding Mayhugh+0.2
3219-13MARQMARQ×5AceMarquetteaced Sophia Adkins+0.2
3320-13MARQMARQ×5BlockedLyla Buserblk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus+0.1
3420-14MARQPROVAttack errMolly Welge·
3520-15PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+0.1
3621-15PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.1
3721-16MARQPROV×3KillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+0.1
3821-17PROVPROV×3Attack errCaydence Doolan+0.1
3921-18PROVPROV×3BlockedCaydence Doolanblk Aubrey Easterwood, Lyla Buser+0.3
4022-18PROVMARQAttack errSophia Adkins+0.3
4122-19MARQPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+0.2
4223-19PROVMARQKillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+0.3
4323-20MARQPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.1
4424-20PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.2
4524-21MARQPROV×3KillSophia Adkins+0.1
4624-22PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.3
4724-23PROVPROV×3Attack errCarson Tyler+0.7
4825-23PROVMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).