Providence vs Butler Volleyball: Providence Wins 3-2

Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

3:2

RallyIQ pre-match: Butler 65.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Providence won at Butler 3-2 (21-25, 25-21, 17-25, 25-18, 15-11) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Tori Otter led Providence with 14 kills; Butler's Raegan Durbin had a match-high 18.

Data through Nov 4, 3:35 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
PROV	21	25	17	25	15	3
BUTLER	25	21	25	18	11	2

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.452 on 31 swings: Tori Otter and Providence edged Butler.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Providence's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Butler went in at 66% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 4 · Providence 0–2 Butler
From here Providence won 25 of 41 rallies to take the set 25–18.
Providence 13% → 42%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · Providence 6–8 Butler
3 straight Providence points turned a 6–8 deficit into a 9–8 lead. The match swung to Providence.
Providence 25% → 57%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Providence 12–10 Butler
Providence won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.
Providence 76% → >99%

Butler above 50Providence belowMax swing 14.8%

ProvidenceButler

Sideout %: Providence 61.0·Butler 59.2
Break %: Providence 40.8·Butler 39.0
Hitting: Providence .246·Butler .185
Longest run: Providence 8·Butler 7

Tori Otter
14 kills on .452, 17 points; 5 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Butler above 50 · Providence below

Biggest swing: 14.8% to Providence — set 5, PROV 11-9 BUTLER. Providence ace on Marin Thaxton. BUTLER win probability 42% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PROV 39.7%60.3% BUTLER

Providence wins

3-0

8.6%

3-1

14.5%

3-2

16.6%

Butler wins

3-0

17.4%

3-1

23.0%

3-2

19.9%

PROV break %: 41.6% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
ProvidenceAce+14.8%
Providence ace on Marin Thaxton
Set 5 · PROV 11-9 BUTLER · PROV 58% → 73%
02
Sophia Adkins&Aubrey EasterwoodBlock+13.9%
Elise Ward stuffed by Sophia Adkins & Aubrey Easterwood
Set 5 · PROV 14-11 BUTLER · PROV 80% → 94%
03
Tori OtterKill+13.8%
Kill by Tori Otter (set by Miller McDonald)
Set 5 · PROV 13-11 BUTLER · PROV 67% → 80%
04
ProvidenceAce+13.2%
Providence ace on Raegan Durbin
Set 5 · PROV 9-8 BUTLER · PROV 43% → 57%
05
Aubrey Easterwood&Shea DupuisBlock+12.2%
Chase Lemming stuffed by Aubrey Easterwood & Shea Dupuis
Set 5 · PROV 12-10 BUTLER · PROV 64% → 76%
06
Shea DupuisKill+11.7%
Kill by Shea Dupuis (set by Sarah Musial)
Set 5 · PROV 8-8 BUTLER · PROV 32% → 43%
07
ButlerService error+10.8%
Butler service error
Set 5 · PROV 10-9 BUTLER · PROV 47% → 58%
08
Raegan DurbinKill+10.4%
Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Karen Dutro)
Set 5 · PROV 6-8 BUTLER · BUTLER 65% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Providenceaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Tori OtterMB	5	14	0	31	.452	0	0	0	4	0	0	6	3	17
21Sophia AdkinsOH	5	10	4	29	.207	1	3	4	6	1	0	6	3	16
15Macy TaylorOH	5	13	1	31	.387	0	0	1	8	1	0	2	1	14
0Aubrey EasterwoodMB	5	3	2	12	.083	0	1	3	1	0	1	9	5.5	9.5
11Lyric BerryMB	5	4	3	11	.091	0	0	0	1	1	2	6	5	9
1Miller McDonaldS	5	1	0	2	.500	24	1	1	10	0	0	0	0	2
20Sarah MusialS	5	0	0	2	.000	17	3	4	5	0	0	0	0	3
6Ava DyerL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	21	6	0	0	0	1
7Shea DupuisOH	4	2	3	10	-.100	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
32Lyla BuserOH	3	0	1	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Megan WeldonOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Gwenyth KossOH	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	14	134	.246	43	9	13	57	11	3	31	18.5	103

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Raegan DurbinOH	5	18	8	47	.213	1	2	0	8	5	0	0	20
3Chase LemmingOH	5	14	9	36	.139	0	1	0	4	2	0	0	15
16Elise WardOH	5	10	8	32	.063	0	3	0	11	0	1	0.5	13.5
17Zoe McDonaldMB	5	8	2	16	.375	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	9
13Carly SlusserMB	5	3	3	9	.000	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	5
4Ava HunterS	2	0	0	0	–	13	0	2	4	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Ellery ReesMB	5	6	1	12	.417	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
18Marin ThaxtonDS	5	0	0	1	.000	0	2	1	6	1	0	0	2
5Jersey LoyerDS	5	0	0	0	–	7	1	2	20	0	0	0	1
1Sarah KempfS	5	0	0	2	.000	20	0	2	5	0	0	0	0
6Aesha VogtDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
9Kaylee FinneganS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
14Karen DutroMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		60	31	157	.185	56	11	15	62	9	6	3	100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Providence vs Butler

Season series · Providence leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 17, 2026Providence at Butler · Providence won 3-2This match
Fri, Nov 13, 2026Butler at ProvidencePreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 PROV · BUTLER 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 2 PROVBUTLER 7

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 PROVBUTLER 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 PROVBUTLER 4

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 8 PROVBUTLER 3

Set 5

15-11

Longest run 3 PROVBUTLER 3

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Providence leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Providence

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	65%13/20	39%7/18
2	55%12/22	50%12/24
3	67%10/15	39%7/18
4	47%9/19	44%8/18
5	60%9/15	36%5/14
6	89%8/9	27%3/11
All	61%61/100	41%42/103

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	59%13/22	9%1/11
2	50%12/24	50%13/26
3	56%10/18	39%7/18
4	64%9/14	53%10/19
5	56%9/16	40%6/15
6	89%8/9	18%2/11
All	59%61/103	39%39/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#	PROV-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BUTLER	PROV	Attack err	Elise Ward		+1.8
2	1-1	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.7
3	2-1	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+1.8
4	3-1	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Chase Lemming	+2.5
5	3-2	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+1.7
6	4-2	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.9
7	5-2	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Raegan Durbin	+2.5
8	5-3	PROV	BUTLER×7	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+1.7
9	5-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Bad set	Sarah Musial		+2.5
10	5-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Kill	Carly Slusser		+2.5
11	5-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+2.5
12	5-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+2.4
13	5-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Ace	Butler	aced Lyric Berry	+2.2
14	5-9	BUTLER	BUTLER×7	Ace	Butler	aced Ava Dyer	+2.0
15	6-9	BUTLER	PROV	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Lyric Berry, Macy Taylor	+1.3
16	6-10	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+1.5
17	7-10	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+1.3
18	7-11	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.5
19	8-11	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+1.4
20	8-12	PROV	BUTLER	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+1.5
21	9-12	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+1.4
22	9-13	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+1.6
23	10-13	BUTLER	PROV	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.4
24	10-14	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.6
25	11-14	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+1.4
26	12-14	PROV	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.4
27	12-15	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+2.0
28	13-15	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+1.8
29	13-16	PROV	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+2.1
30	13-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Ava Dyer	+2.3
31	13-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+1.8
32	13-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Bad set	Sarah Musial		+1.2
33	14-19	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+0.6
34	15-19	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.2
35	15-20	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+1.3
36	16-20	BUTLER	PROV	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Tori Otter	+0.8
37	16-21	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+1.2
38	17-21	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+0.7
39	18-21	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Lyric Berry, Tori Otter	+1.6
40	18-22	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.8
41	18-23	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald		+1.3
42	19-23	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+0.4
43	19-24	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.8
44	20-24	BUTLER	PROV	Attack err	Elise Ward		+0.2
45	21-24	PROV	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Carly Slusser	+0.6
46	21-25	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+1.1
Set 2
1	1-0	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.0
2	2-0	PROV	PROV	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+2.1
3	2-1	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.5
4	2-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Ava Dyer	+2.0
5	3-2	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.6
6	3-3	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.5
7	4-3	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+1.6
8	5-3	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence		+2.2
9	5-4	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+1.6
10	6-4	BUTLER	PROV×3	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.7
11	7-4	PROV	PROV×3	Ace	Providence	aced Chase Lemming	+2.3
12	8-4	PROV	PROV×3	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Sophia Adkins, Lyric Berry	+2.2
13	8-5	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+1.4
14	8-6	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Sophia Adkins	blk Carly Slusser, Ellery Rees	+2.1
15	9-6	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.8
16	10-6	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Raegan Durbin	+2.3
17	10-7	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+1.5
18	11-7	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+1.8
19	11-8	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.5
20	12-8	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+1.8
21	13-8	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Macy Taylor	+2.1
22	13-9	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+1.2
23	13-10	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+2.0
24	14-10	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.9
25	14-11	PROV	BUTLER×3	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+1.5
26	14-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+2.4
27	14-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Ava Dyer	+2.7
28	15-13	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.3
29	15-14	PROV	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+2.1
30	15-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Lyric Berry		+3.1
31	15-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Sophia Adkins	blk Ava Hunter, Carly Slusser	+3.2
32	16-16	BUTLER	PROV	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+2.4
33	16-17	PROV	BUTLER	Attack err	Lyric Berry		+2.5
34	17-17	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+2.5
35	17-18	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+2.6
36	18-18	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+2.7
37	18-19	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+2.8
38	19-19	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+2.9
39	20-19	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Tori Otter	+4.4
40	20-20	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+3.1
41	21-20	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+3.7
42	21-21	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+3.5
43	22-21	BUTLER	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+4.2
44	23-21	PROV	PROV×4	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Lyric Berry	+5.6
45	24-21	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+4.2
46	25-21	PROV	PROV×4	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Sophia Adkins, Lyric Berry	+1.7
Set 3
1	1-0	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.4
2	2-0	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+3.3
3	2-1	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+2.3
4	2-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+3.2
5	3-2	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+2.5
6	3-3	PROV	BUTLER	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+2.4
7	4-3	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+2.6
8	4-4	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+2.5
9	5-4	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.7
10	5-5	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.6
11	6-5	BUTLER	PROV	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+2.7
12	7-5	PROV	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+3.8
13	7-6	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+2.6
14	8-6	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+2.9
15	8-7	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Raegan Durbin	+2.7
16	9-7	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+3.0
17	9-8	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+2.8
18	9-9	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Lyric Berry		+3.9
19	10-9	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Miller McDonald	set Sophia Adkins	+3.1
20	10-10	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+3.0
21	11-10	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+3.2
22	11-11	PROV	BUTLER×3	Serve err	Providence		+3.1
23	11-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+4.2
24	11-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+4.0
25	12-13	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.9
26	12-14	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Kaylee Finnegan	+3.1
27	12-15	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Sophia Adkins	+3.8
28	13-15	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.5
29	13-16	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.9
30	14-16	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins		+2.5
31	14-17	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+3.0
32	15-17	BUTLER	PROV	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Tori Otter	+2.6
33	15-18	PROV	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+3.1
34	15-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+3.3
35	15-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+2.3
36	15-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+1.4
37	16-21	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+0.6
38	17-21	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.3
39	17-22	PROV	BUTLER×4	Serve err	Providence		+1.5
40	17-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Lyla Buser		+1.0
41	17-24	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.3
42	17-25	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+0.1
Set 4
1	0-1	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+2.0
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Chase Lemming	+2.6
3	1-2	BUTLER	PROV×8	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+1.9
4	2-2	PROV	PROV×8	Attack err	Zoe McDonald		+2.8
5	3-2	PROV	PROV×8	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Aubrey Easterwood	+3.0
6	4-2	PROV	PROV×8	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Tori Otter	+3.1
7	5-2	PROV	PROV×8	Kill	Sophia Adkins		+3.1
8	6-2	PROV	PROV×8	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+3.0
9	7-2	PROV	PROV×8	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Sophia Adkins, Aubrey Easterwood	+2.8
10	8-2	PROV	PROV×8	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.5
11	8-3	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+1.5
12	9-3	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+1.9
13	9-4	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+1.5
14	10-4	BUTLER	PROV	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.9
15	11-4	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Raegan Durbin	+2.1
16	11-5	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.2
17	12-5	BUTLER	PROV×3	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.6
18	13-5	PROV	PROV×3	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Lyric Berry, Lyla Buser	+1.6
19	14-5	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+1.2
20	14-6	PROV	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.6
21	14-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.1
22	14-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Gwenyth Koss	+1.4
23	15-8	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Gwenyth Koss	+1.5
24	15-9	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.0
25	15-10	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Zoe McDonald	+1.8
26	16-10	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+1.9
27	17-10	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Raegan Durbin	+1.8
28	17-11	PROV	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+0.9
29	17-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Gwenyth Koss	+1.6
30	17-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Ava Dyer	+2.2
31	18-13	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+2.3
32	19-13	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.3
33	19-14	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
34	19-15	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+2.0
35	20-15	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.2
36	21-15	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Sophia Adkins, Lyric Berry	+2.0
37	21-16	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+0.7
38	22-16	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.3
39	23-16	PROV	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry		+0.8
40	23-17	PROV	BUTLER	Serve err	Providence		+0.2
41	24-17	BUTLER	PROV	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Lyric Berry	+0.4
42	24-18	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.1
43	25-18	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+0.9
Set 5
1	1-0	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Tori Otter	+8.7
2	2-0	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+9.0
3	2-1	PROV	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+6.2
4	2-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Macy Taylor	blk Elise Ward, Karen Dutro	+8.9
5	2-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Ava Dyer	+9.0
6	3-3	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+6.8
7	3-4	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+6.9
8	3-5	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Macy Taylor	+8.9
9	4-5	BUTLER	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+6.3
10	4-6	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+6.9
11	5-6	BUTLER	PROV	Blocked	Ellery Rees	blk Lyric Berry, Sophia Adkins	+6.6
12	6-6	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+10.4
13	6-7	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+8.0
14	6-8	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Karen Dutro	+10.4
15	7-8	BUTLER	PROV×3	Serve err	Butler		+7.1
16	8-8	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+11.7
17	9-8	PROV	PROV×3	Ace	Providence	aced Raegan Durbin	+13.2
18	9-9	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+9.5
19	10-9	BUTLER	PROV	Serve err	Butler		+10.8
20	11-9	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Marin Thaxton	+14.8
21	11-10	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Carly Slusser	+9.0
22	12-10	BUTLER	PROV	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis	+12.2
23	12-11	PROV	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	+9.4
24	13-11	BUTLER	PROV×3	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+13.8
25	14-11	PROV	PROV×3	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Sophia Adkins, Aubrey Easterwood	+13.9
26	15-11	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+5.7

Score shown after each rally, Providence first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Providence def. Butler 3–2

.452 on 31 swings: Tori Otter and Providence edged Butler.