Providence vs Creighton Volleyball: Creighton Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Creighton 94.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Creighton beat visiting Providence 3-0 (30-28, 25-16, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Creighton's Trinity Shadd-Ceres led with 14 kills, and Saige Damrow added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 23

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PROV	28	16	17	0
CREIGH	30	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Trinity Shadd-ceres. Creighton swept Providence.

Win probability never moved more than 3.5 points on one rally; Providence topped out at 13% in Set 1. Creighton went in as RallyIQ's 95% pick.

ProvidenceCreighton

Break %+16.0 pts
30.246.2
36 of 78 on serve vs 19 of 63, so Providence's sideout was 53.8%.
Hitting+.151
.198.349
Kills and errors: 51–13 vs 37–16.
Longest run+1
45
5 straight Creighton points in the second set stretched a 9–7 lead to 14–7. The set finished 25–16.

Creighton above 50Providence belowMax swing 3.5%

ProvidenceCreighton

Aces: Providence 4·Creighton 4
Serve err: Providence 8·Creighton 6
Blocks: Providence 3·Creighton 61 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs: Providence 35·Creighton 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Creighton above 50 · Providence below

Biggest swing: 3.5% to Creighton — set 1, PROV 25-26 CREIGH. Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Katie Dalton). CREIGH win probability 91% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PROV 6.0%94.0% CREIGH

Providence wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.7%

3-2

3.6%

Creighton wins

3-0

52.6%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

10.9%

PROV break %: 36.9% vs this opp
CREIGH break %: 48.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Trinity Shadd-CeresKill+3.5%
Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Katie Dalton)
Set 1 · PROV 25-26 CREIGH · CREIGH 91% → 95%
02
Sophia AdkinsKill+3.4%
Kill by Sophia Adkins (set by Miller McDonald)
Set 1 · PROV 24-23 CREIGH · PROV 9% → 12%
03
Abbey HayesKill+3.4%
Kill by Abbey Hayes (set by Katie Dalton)
Set 1 · PROV 24-24 CREIGH · CREIGH 88% → 91%
04
Sophia AdkinsKill+3.4%
Kill by Sophia Adkins (set by Sarah Musial)
Set 1 · PROV 25-24 CREIGH · PROV 9% → 12%
05
Ashlyn Paymal&Eloise BrandewieBlock+3.4%
Macy Taylor stuffed by Ashlyn Paymal & Eloise Brandewie
Set 1 · PROV 25-25 CREIGH · CREIGH 88% → 91%
06
Aubrey EasterwoodKill+2.9%
Kill by Aubrey Easterwood
Set 1 · PROV 22-20 CREIGH · PROV 10% → 13%
07
Ashlyn PaymalKill+2.7%
Kill by Ashlyn Paymal (set by Katie Dalton)
Set 1 · PROV 22-22 CREIGH · CREIGH 89% → 91%
08
Nora WurtzKill+2.6%
Kill by Nora Wurtz (set by Katie Dalton)
Set 1 · PROV 28-30 CREIGH · CREIGH 95% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Providenceaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Sophia AdkinsOH	3	10	2	25	.320	0	1	1	6	1	0	0	0	11
0Aubrey EasterwoodMB	3	8	4	15	.267	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	8
15Macy TaylorOH	3	6	5	23	.043	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	7
11Lyric BerryMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	6
9Tori OtterMB	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
1Miller McDonaldS	3	2	0	2	1.000	13	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	2
7Shea DupuisOH	3	2	4	17	-.118	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	3
6Ava DyerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	2	12	3	0	0	0	2
20Sarah MusialS	3	1	0	3	.333	14	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		37	16	106	.198	33	4	8	35	4	1	4	3	61

Creightonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
0Trinity Shadd-CeresOH	3	14	3	32	.344	0	1	0	3	0	1	0.5	15.5
10Eloise BrandewieMB	3	10	2	19	.421	1	0	0	3	0	2	1	11
2Abbey HayesOH	3	8	3	16	.313	2	1	0	5	0	2	1	10
9Ayden AmesMB	3	5	2	15	.200	1	0	1	1	0	4	2	7
5Katie DaltonS	3	2	1	6	.167	38	1	0	8	0	0	0	3
24Sydney BreissingerDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	11	0	0	0	0
22Ashlyn PaymalOH	3	11	2	20	.450	1	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
19Nora WurtzMB	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
3Peyton CarlsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
13Saige DamrowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	12	3	0	0	0
Team totals		51	13	109	.349	47	4	6	45	4	12	6	80

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 PROV · CREIGH 5

Set 1

28-30

Longest run 4 PROVCREIGH 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 PROVCREIGH 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 PROVCREIGH 3

Bars above the line = Creighton leads, below = Providence leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Providence

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	20%1/5
2	44%4/9	29%2/7
3	67%4/6	0%0/4
4	44%4/9	33%2/6
5	43%3/7	43%3/7
6	33%3/9	40%2/5
All	47%23/49	29%10/34

Creighton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	43%3/7
2	71%5/7	58%7/12
3	80%4/5	33%2/6
4	50%4/8	43%3/7
5	60%3/5	67%6/9
6	100%3/3	63%5/8
All	71%24/34	53%26/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	PROV-CREIGH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		+0.8
2	1-1	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Katie Dalton	set Eloise Brandewie	+0.5
3	1-2	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+0.6
4	2-2	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+0.5
5	2-3	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.5
6	2-4	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Tori Otter		+0.6
7	3-4	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+0.5
8	4-4	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		+0.7
9	4-5	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.5
10	5-5	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.6
11	5-6	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.5
12	5-7	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie		+0.6
13	6-7	CREIGH	PROV	Serve err	Creighton		+0.5
14	6-8	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.5
15	7-8	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+0.5
16	7-9	PROV	CREIGH×4	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.5
17	7-10	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+0.6
18	7-11	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.5
19	7-12	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Ace	Creighton	aced Sophia Adkins	+0.3
20	8-12	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+0.2
21	8-13	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.3
22	9-13	CREIGH	PROV	Serve err	Creighton		+0.2
23	10-13	PROV	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood		+0.4
24	10-14	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Katie Dalton	set Saige Damrow	+0.4
25	11-14	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.3
26	11-15	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.4
27	12-15	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+0.4
28	13-15	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Ayden Ames		+0.7
29	13-16	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.5
30	13-17	CREIGH	CREIGH	Serve err	Creighton		+0.6
31	14-17	CREIGH	PROV	Serve err	Creighton		+0.4
32	15-17	PROV	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+0.7
33	15-18	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.6
34	16-18	CREIGH	PROV×4	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.6
35–36	18-18		PROV 2	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.6
37	19-18	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence		+2.0
38	19-19	PROV	CREIGH	Blocked	Shea Dupuis	blk Abbey Hayes, Eloise Brandewie	+1.3
39	20-19	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+1.7
40	20-20	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+1.5
41	21-20	CREIGH	PROV	Attack err	Abbey Hayes		+1.9
42	22-20	PROV	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood		+2.9
43	22-21	PROV	CREIGH	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+1.6
44	22-22	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+2.7
45	23-22	CREIGH	PROV	Attack err	Ashlyn Paymal		+2.6
46	23-23	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+2.3
47	24-23	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+3.4
48	24-24	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+3.4
49	25-24	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+3.4
50	25-25	PROV	CREIGH	Blocked	Macy Taylor	blk Ashlyn Paymal, Eloise Brandewie	+3.4
51	25-26	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+3.5
52	26-26	CREIGH	PROV	Blocked	Abbey Hayes	blk Shea Dupuis, Lyric Berry	+2.5
53	26-27	PROV	CREIGH	Serve err	Providence		+2.5
54	27-27	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+2.5
55	27-28	PROV	CREIGH	Serve err	Providence		+2.5
56	28-28	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.5
57	28-29	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Sydney Breissinger	+2.5
58	28-30	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Nora Wurtz	set Katie Dalton	+2.6
Set 2
1	0-1	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Ashlyn Paymal	+0.4
2	1-1	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+0.3
3	1-2	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	+0.3
4	1-3	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.4
5	2-3	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+0.3
6	2-4	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.3
7	3-4	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.3
8	3-5	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.3
9	4-5	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+0.3
10	4-6	PROV	CREIGH×4	Serve err	Providence		+0.3
11	4-7	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Blocked	Shea Dupuis	blk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Ayden Ames	+0.3
12	4-8	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.3
13	4-9	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Kill	Ayden Ames		+0.2
14	5-9	CREIGH	PROV×3	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+0.1
15	6-9	PROV	PROV×3	Bad set	Katie Dalton		+0.3
16	7-9	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Ayden Ames		+0.3
17	7-10	PROV	CREIGH×5	Serve err	Providence		+0.3
18	7-11	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Blocked	Aubrey Easterwood	blk Ashlyn Paymal, Ayden Ames	+0.3
19	7-12	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Blocked	Macy Taylor	blk Ashlyn Paymal, Ayden Ames	+0.2
20	7-13	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Ace	Creighton	aced Ava Dyer	+0.2
21	7-14	CREIGH	CREIGH×5	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Ayden Ames	+0.1
22	8-14	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.1
23	8-15	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
24	9-15	CREIGH	PROV	Attack err	Ashlyn Paymal		+0.1
25	9-16	PROV	CREIGH×4	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
26	9-17	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Kill	Eloise Brandewie		+0.1
27	9-18	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Katie Dalton	·
28	9-19	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Ace	Creighton	aced Ava Dyer	·
29	10-19	CREIGH	PROV	Serve err	Creighton		·
30	10-20	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	·
31	10-21	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Sydney Breissinger	·
32	11-21	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Miller McDonald	set Macy Taylor	·
33	12-21	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Katie Dalton		·
34	12-22	PROV	CREIGH×3	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	·
35	12-23	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Abbey Hayes	·
36	12-24	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	·
37	13-24	CREIGH	PROV×4	Kill	Sarah Musial		·
38	14-24	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Saige Damrow	·
39	15-24	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	Eloise Brandewie		·
40	16-24	PROV	PROV×4	Blocked	Eloise Brandewie	blk Lyric Berry	·
41	16-25	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	·
Set 3
1	0-1	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
2	1-1	CREIGH	PROV	Serve err	Creighton		+0.2
3	1-2	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
4	2-2	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.2
5	2-3	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
6	2-4	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.2
7	3-4	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.1
8	3-5	PROV	CREIGH	Serve err	Sarah Musial		+0.1
9	3-6	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+0.1
10	4-6	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+0.1
11	4-7	PROV	CREIGH	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+0.1
12	4-8	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
13	5-8	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+0.1
14	5-9	PROV	CREIGH×3	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
15	5-10	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+0.1
16	5-11	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+0.1
17	6-11	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	·
18	7-11	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.1
19	7-12	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
20	7-13	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+0.1
21	8-13	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	·
22	9-13	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Saige Damrow	+0.1
23	9-14	PROV	CREIGH	Blocked	Aubrey Easterwood	blk Ayden Ames, Abbey Hayes	+0.1
24	10-14	CREIGH	PROV	Serve err	Creighton		+0.1
25	10-15	PROV	CREIGH	Serve err	Aubrey Easterwood		+0.1
26	11-15	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+0.1
27	12-15	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Abbey Hayes	blk Shea Dupuis, Lyric Berry	+0.1
28	12-16	PROV	CREIGH×3	Serve err	Sarah Musial		+0.1
29	12-17	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Saige Damrow	+0.1
30	12-18	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
31	13-18	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	·
32	13-19	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	·
33	14-19	CREIGH	PROV	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		·
34	14-20	PROV	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	·
35	15-20	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	·
36	15-21	PROV	CREIGH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	·
37	15-22	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Attack err	Macy Taylor		·
38	15-23	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Ace	Creighton	aced Ava Dyer	·
39	16-23	CREIGH	PROV	Kill	Miller McDonald		·
40	17-23	PROV	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	·
41	17-24	PROV	CREIGH	Serve err	Macy Taylor		·
42	17-25	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Abbey Hayes	·

Score shown after each rally, Providence first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Creighton def. Providence 3–0

14 kills in 3 sets for Trinity Shadd-ceres. Creighton swept Providence.