Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

SMU def. Colorado St. 3–1

SMU won at Colorado St. 3-1 (25-20, 19-25, 25-23, 27-25) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. SMU's Suli Davis led with 22 kills.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
SMU251925273
CO ST202523251

Win probability

Colorado St. above 50 · SMU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.6% SMUrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.6% to SMU — set 4, SMU 27-25 CO ST. Halle Jameson stuffed by Gabi Placide & Elle Vandeweghe. CO ST win probability 11% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SMU 65.7%34.3% CO ST

SMU wins

3-0
20.5%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
20.1%

Colorado St. wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.1%
SMU break %
40.6% vs this opp
CO ST break %
37.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Halle Jameson stuffed by Gabi Placide & Elle Vandeweghe

    Set 4 · SMU 27-25 CO ST · SMU 89% → 100%

  2. 02
    Levariya PinderAttack error+8.7%

    Attack error by Levariya Pinder

    Set 4 · SMU 23-23 CO ST · CO ST 9% → 18%

  3. 03
    Halle JamesonAttack error+8.0%

    Attack error by Halle Jameson

    Set 3 · SMU 21-20 CO ST · SMU 58% → 66%

  4. 04
    Suli DavisKill+7.6%

    Kill by Suli Davis (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 3 · SMU 25-23 CO ST · SMU 74% → 82%

  5. 05
    Maria BrunAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Maria Brun

    Set 3 · SMU 22-20 CO ST · SMU 66% → 73%

  6. 06
    Colorado St.Service error+7.2%

    Colorado St. service error

    Set 4 · SMU 24-23 CO ST · SMU 82% → 89%

  7. 07
    Ella StowellKill+7.2%

    Kill by Ella Stowell (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 4 · SMU 24-24 CO ST · CO ST 11% → 18%

  8. 08

    Kill by Elle Vandeweghe (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 4 · SMU 25-24 CO ST · SMU 82% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SMUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422651.314112142031.524.5
46213.3081313004211
46218.22210140052.58.5
4104.250360040031.52.5
3206.33300030010.52.5
1418.375101000004
49732.063125100010.511.5
4000–310100001
4000–100800000
4000–1001410000
3228.00000000052.54.5
Team totals5220140.229467106160221196
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413129.41400300073.516.5
413533.24220071010.513.5
47219.263000100218
46826-.07710040031.57.5
4315.40044111300215
38521.14300010010.58.5
47426.115111720219
4000–1331640003
4000–011600001
2000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5726159.19549610557018993

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SMU · CO ST 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 6 SMUCO ST 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 SMUCO ST 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 SMUCO ST 3

Set 4

27-25

Longest run 4 SMUCO ST 3

Bars above the line = Colorado St. leads, below = SMU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SMU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
36%4/11
2
67%8/12
11%1/9
3
64%7/11
46%6/13
4
58%7/12
46%6/13
5
47%7/15
13%1/8
6
75%6/8
59%10/17
All
59%43/73
39%28/71

Colorado St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
22%2/9
2
70%7/10
53%9/17
3
58%7/12
30%3/10
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
54%7/13
36%4/11
6
58%7/12
53%8/15
All
61%43/71
41%30/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#SMU-CO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CO STSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.5
2–32-1SMU · CO ST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
43-1SMUSMU×6KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.4
54-1SMUSMU×6BlockedSofia Zabjekblk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis+2.2
65-1SMUSMU×6Attack errHalle Jameson+1.9
76-1SMUSMU×6KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.6
87-1SMUSMU×6Attack errSofia Zabjek+1.3
97-2SMUCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.7
108-2CO STSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.8
119-2SMUSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+1.0
129-3SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.5
139-4CO STCO STAceColorado St.aced Victoria Harris+1.1
1410-4CO STSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+0.8
1510-5SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.7
1611-5CO STSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.8
1711-6SMUCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.7
1812-6CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+0.8
1912-7SMUCO STServe errSMU+0.7
2013-7CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Christa Wilburn+0.8
2114-7SMUSMUBlockedElla Stowellblk Gabi Placide, Favor Anyanwu+0.9
2214-8SMUCO ST×3KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.4
2314-9CO STCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.9
2414-10CO STCO ST×3Attack errFavor Anyanwu+1.4
2515-10CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+1.1
2616-10SMUSMUAceSMUaced Maria Brun+1.3
2716-11SMUCO ST×4Serve errSMU+0.6
2816-12CO STCO ST×4KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.3
2916-13CO STCO ST×4KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.8
3016-14CO STCO ST×4KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.5
3117-14CO STSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+1.9
3218-14SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.4
3319-14SMUSMU×3KillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+1.7
3419-15SMUCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.7
3520-15CO STSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.0
3620-16SMUCO STBlockedChrista Wilburnblk Erin Debiec, Eve Wilson+0.6
3721-16CO STSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+1.0
3822-16SMUSMUBlockedElla Stowellblk Natalia Newsome, Gabi Placide+0.8
3922-17SMUCO STKillErin Debiecset Halle Jameson+0.2
4023-17CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+0.4
4124-17SMUSMUAttack errElla Stowell+0.2
4224-18SMUCO ST×3Serve errSMU·
4324-19CO STCO ST×3BlockedGabi Placideblk Kekua Richards, Ella Stowell+0.1
4424-20CO STCO ST×3KillKekua Richards+0.2
4525-20CO STSMUAttack errSofia Zabjek+0.3
Set 2
11-0SMUSMUAceSMUaced Karsyn Fetzer+2.1
22-0SMUSMUAceSMUaced Karsyn Fetzer+2.0
32-1SMUCO ST×3Serve errSMU+1.2
42-2CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.+2.1
52-3CO STCO ST×3Attack errSuli Davis+2.3
63-3CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+1.4
73-4SMUCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Karsyn Fetzer+1.5
83-5CO STCO STKillEve Wilson+2.4
94-5CO STSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.4
105-5SMUSMUAttack errHalle Jameson+2.3
115-6SMUCO STBlockedSuli Davisblk Erin Debiec, Eve Wilson+1.6
125-7CO STCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+2.5
136-7CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Favor Anyanwu+1.5
147-7SMUSMUBlockedElla Stowellblk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford+2.5
157-8SMUCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.7
167-9CO STCO STAttack errSuli Davis+2.7
178-9CO STSMUAttack errElla Stowell+1.6
188-10SMUCO STServe errSMU+1.8
198-11CO STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+2.7
209-11CO STSMU×3KillLevariya Pinderset Hannah Beauford+1.5
2110-11SMUSMU×3KillLevariya Pinderset Ellie Moore+2.6
2211-11SMUSMU×3Attack errSofia Zabjek+2.8
2311-12SMUCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.9
2412-12CO STSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.8
2512-13SMUCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.0
2612-14CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.aced Suli Davis+3.2
2712-15CO STCO ST×3BlockedSuli Davisblk Sofia Zabjek, Eve Wilson+3.0
2813-15CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+1.6
2913-16SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.0
3014-16CO STSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.7
3115-16SMUSMUAceSMUaced Maria Brun+3.1
3215-17SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.4
3315-18CO STCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+3.4
3416-18CO STSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.7
3516-19SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.3
3617-19CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+1.7
3718-19SMUSMUKillLevariya Pinderset Hannah Beauford+3.5
3818-20SMUCO ST×4KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+2.9
3918-21CO STCO ST×4KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+3.9
4018-22CO STCO ST×4KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+2.8
4118-23CO STCO ST×4Attack errLevariya Pinder+1.5
4219-23CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+0.3
4319-24SMUCO STAttack errLevariya Pinder+0.7
4419-25CO STCO STAttack errElle Vandeweghe+0.3
Set 3
11-0CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.1
21-1SMUCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.2
31-2CO STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.6
41-3CO STCO ST×3BlockedSuli Davisblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+3.7
52-3CO STSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+2.2
63-3SMUSMU×3Attack errKekua Richards+3.6
74-3SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Gabi Placide+3.6
84-4SMUCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.3
94-5CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.8
105-5CO STSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Halle Jameson+2.4
116-5SMUSMU×3BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu+3.7
127-5SMUSMU×3Attack errSofia Zabjek+3.6
137-6SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.2
147-7CO STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+3.9
158-7CO STSMUKillLevariya Pinderset Hannah Beauford+2.5
168-8SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.6
178-9CO STCO STAttack errElle Vandeweghe+4.3
189-9CO STSMU×4KillLevariya Pinderset Hannah Beauford+2.7
1910-9SMUSMU×4KillLevariya Pinderset Ellie Moore+4.2
2011-9SMUSMU×4Attack errErin Debiec+4.0
2112-9SMUSMU×4KillGabi Placideset Ellie Moore+3.6
2212-10SMUCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+2.1
2312-11CO STCO STAttack errLevariya Pinder+3.9
2413-11CO STSMUKillLevariya Pinderset Hannah Beauford+2.7
2513-12SMUCO STServe errSMU+2.6
2613-13CO STCO STAceColorado St.+4.7
2714-13CO STSMUBlockedSofia Zabjekblk Elle Vandeweghe, Suli Davis+3.1
2815-13SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Maria Brun+4.7
2915-14SMUCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.8
3015-15CO STCO STAceColorado St.+5.1
3116-15CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.4
3217-15SMUSMUAttack errHalle Jameson+5.1
3317-16SMUCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+3.0
3417-17CO STCO STBlockedSuli Davisblk Eve Wilson, Sofia Zabjek+5.7
3518-17CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Sarah Frazee+3.9
3618-18SMUCO STBlockedFavor Anyanwublk Eve Wilson, Halle Jameson+3.9
3718-19CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+6.9
3819-19CO STSMUKillHannah Beaufordset Levariya Pinder+4.2
3919-20SMUCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+4.9
4020-20CO STSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+4.6
4121-20SMUSMU×3Attack errHalle Jameson+8.0
4222-20SMUSMU×3Attack errMaria Brun+7.3
4322-21SMUCO STBlockedGabi Placideblk Eve Wilson, Maria Brun+3.6
4423-21CO STSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+5.2
4523-22SMUCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+3.6
4624-22CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+5.9
4724-23SMUCO STKillMaria Brunset Halle Jameson+3.1
4825-23CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+7.6
Set 4
11-0SMUSMUBlockedSofia Zabjekblk Suli Davis, Elle Vandeweghe+2.9
21-1SMUCO STServe errSMU+1.9
31-2CO STCO STAceColorado St.aced Suli Davis+3.1
42-2CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+1.9
52-3SMUCO STKillErin Debiecset Erin Debiec+2.1
63-3CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+2.0
74-3SMUSMUAceSMUaced Halle Jameson+3.1
84-4SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.0
95-4CO STSMUBlockedMaria Brunblk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu+2.0
105-5SMUCO STServe errSMU+2.1
116-5CO STSMUKillLevariya Pinderset Hannah Beauford+2.1
126-6SMUCO STAttack errLevariya Pinder+2.1
136-7CO STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+3.5
147-7CO STSMU×4Attack errMaria Brun+2.2
158-7SMUSMU×4Attack errKekua Richards+3.5
169-7SMUSMU×4BlockedMaria Brunblk Gabi Placide, Elle Vandeweghe+3.3
1710-7SMUSMU×4AceSMUaced Karsyn Fetzer+3.0
1810-8SMUCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.8
1911-8CO STSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.9
2011-9SMUCO STServe errSMU+1.8
2111-10CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.3
2212-10CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.3
2312-11SMUCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.2
2413-11CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.4
2513-12SMUCO STKillErin Debiecset Maria Brun+2.3
2614-12CO STSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.5
2715-12SMUSMU×4Attack errEve Wilson+3.5
2816-12SMUSMU×4AceSMUaced Karsyn Fetzer+2.8
2917-12SMUSMU×4KillLevariya Pinderset Suli Davis+2.1
3017-13SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.0
3117-14CO STCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+2.2
3218-14CO STSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.8
3318-15SMUCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+1.4
3418-16CO STCO ST×3Attack errLevariya Pinder+3.1
3518-17CO STCO ST×3Attack errLevariya Pinder+4.2
3619-17CO STSMUBlockedSofia Zabjekblk Elle Vandeweghe, Levariya Pinder+3.2
3719-18SMUCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+2.8
3820-18CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.4
3920-19SMUCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.0
4021-19CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.7
4121-20SMUCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Sofia Zabjek+3.1
4222-20CO STSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+4.1
4322-21SMUCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+3.1
4423-21CO STSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+4.5
4523-22SMUCO STServe errSMU+3.1
4623-23CO STCO STAttack errLevariya Pinder+8.7
4724-23CO STSMUServe errColorado St.+7.2
4824-24SMUCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+7.2
4925-24CO STSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+7.2
5025-25SMUCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+7.2
5126-25CO STSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+7.2
5227-25SMUSMUBlockedHalle Jamesonblk Gabi Placide, Elle Vandeweghe+10.6

Score shown after each rally, SMU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).