SMU def. Colorado St. 3–1
SMU won at Colorado St. 3-1 (25-20, 19-25, 25-23, 27-25) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. SMU's Suli Davis led with 22 kills.
Data through · final Aug 29
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 25 | 19 | 25 | 27 | 3 |
| CO ST | 20 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.6% to SMU — set 4, SMU 27-25 CO ST. Halle Jameson stuffed by Gabi Placide & Elle Vandeweghe. CO ST win probability 11% → 0%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
SMU wins
Colorado St. wins
- SMU break %
- 40.6% vs this opp
- CO ST break %
- 37.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Gabi Placide&Elle VandewegheBlock+10.6%
Halle Jameson stuffed by Gabi Placide & Elle Vandeweghe
Set 4 · SMU 27-25 CO ST · SMU 89% → 100%
- 02Levariya PinderAttack error+8.7%
Attack error by Levariya Pinder
Set 4 · SMU 23-23 CO ST · CO ST 9% → 18%
- 03
- 04Suli DavisKill+7.6%
Kill by Suli Davis (set by Hannah Beauford)
Set 3 · SMU 25-23 CO ST · SMU 74% → 82%
- 05
- 06Colorado St.Service error+7.2%
Colorado St. service error
Set 4 · SMU 24-23 CO ST · SMU 82% → 89%
- 07Ella StowellKill+7.2%
Kill by Ella Stowell (set by Erin Debiec)
Set 4 · SMU 24-24 CO ST · CO ST 11% → 18%
- 08Elle VandewegheKill+7.2%
Kill by Elle Vandeweghe (set by Hannah Beauford)
Set 4 · SMU 25-24 CO ST · SMU 82% → 89%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 22 | 6 | 51 | .314 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 24.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 13 | .308 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 18 | .222 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | .375 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 32 | .063 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 20 | 140 | .229 | 46 | 7 | 10 | 61 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 96 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 1 | 29 | .414 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 5 | 33 | .242 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 19 | .263 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 6 | 8 | 26 | -.077 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .400 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 21 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 26 | .115 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 26 | 159 | .195 | 49 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 7 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 93 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-20
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
25-23
Set 4
27-25
Bars above the line = Colorado St. leads, below = SMU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
SMU
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%8/15 | 36%4/11 |
| 2 | 67%8/12 | 11%1/9 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 46%6/13 |
| 4 | 58%7/12 | 46%6/13 |
| 5 | 47%7/15 | 13%1/8 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 59%10/17 |
| All | 59%43/73 | 39%28/71 |
Colorado St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62%8/13 | 22%2/9 |
| 2 | 70%7/10 | 53%9/17 |
| 3 | 58%7/12 | 30%3/10 |
| 4 | 64%7/11 | 36%4/11 |
| 5 | 54%7/13 | 36%4/11 |
| 6 | 58%7/12 | 53%8/15 |
| All | 61%43/71 | 41%30/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
189 rallies
| # | SMU-CO ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +1.5 |
| 2–3 | 2-1 | SMU · CO ST | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 4 | 3-1 | SMU | SMU×6 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +2.4 |
| 5 | 4-1 | SMU | SMU×6 | Blocked | Sofia Zabjek | blk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis | +2.2 |
| 6 | 5-1 | SMU | SMU×6 | Attack err | Halle Jameson | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 6-1 | SMU | SMU×6 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +1.6 |
| 8 | 7-1 | SMU | SMU×6 | Attack err | Sofia Zabjek | +1.3 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Kekua Richards | set Erin Debiec | +0.7 |
| 10 | 8-2 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +0.8 |
| 11 | 9-2 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Christa Wilburn | set Hannah Beauford | +1.0 |
| 12 | 9-3 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +0.5 |
| 13 | 9-4 | CO ST | CO ST | Ace | Colorado St. | aced Victoria Harris | +1.1 |
| 14 | 10-4 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Christa Wilburn | set Hannah Beauford | +0.8 |
| 15 | 10-5 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +0.7 |
| 16 | 11-5 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +0.8 |
| 17 | 11-6 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Ella Stowell | set Erin Debiec | +0.7 |
| 18 | 12-6 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +0.8 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | SMU | CO ST | Serve err | SMU | +0.7 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Christa Wilburn | +0.8 |
| 21 | 14-7 | SMU | SMU | Blocked | Ella Stowell | blk Gabi Placide, Favor Anyanwu | +0.9 |
| 22 | 14-8 | SMU | CO ST×3 | Kill | Kekua Richards | set Erin Debiec | +0.4 |
| 23 | 14-9 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Kill | Sofia Zabjek | set Erin Debiec | +0.9 |
| 24 | 14-10 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Attack err | Favor Anyanwu | +1.4 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Victoria Harris | +1.1 |
| 26 | 16-10 | SMU | SMU | Ace | SMU | aced Maria Brun | +1.3 |
| 27 | 16-11 | SMU | CO ST×4 | Serve err | SMU | +0.6 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | CO ST | CO ST×4 | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +1.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | CO ST | CO ST×4 | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +1.8 |
| 30 | 16-14 | CO ST | CO ST×4 | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +2.5 |
| 31 | 17-14 | CO ST | SMU×3 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Victoria Harris | +1.9 |
| 32 | 18-14 | SMU | SMU×3 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +2.4 |
| 33 | 19-14 | SMU | SMU×3 | Kill | Christa Wilburn | set Hannah Beauford | +1.7 |
| 34 | 19-15 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Sofia Zabjek | set Erin Debiec | +0.7 |
| 35 | 20-15 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +1.0 |
| 36 | 20-16 | SMU | CO ST | Blocked | Christa Wilburn | blk Erin Debiec, Eve Wilson | +0.6 |
| 37 | 21-16 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Christa Wilburn | set Hannah Beauford | +1.0 |
| 38 | 22-16 | SMU | SMU | Blocked | Ella Stowell | blk Natalia Newsome, Gabi Placide | +0.8 |
| 39 | 22-17 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Erin Debiec | set Halle Jameson | +0.2 |
| 40 | 23-17 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +0.4 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | SMU | SMU | Attack err | Ella Stowell | +0.2 | |
| 42 | 24-18 | SMU | CO ST×3 | Serve err | SMU | · | |
| 43 | 24-19 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Blocked | Gabi Placide | blk Kekua Richards, Ella Stowell | +0.1 |
| 44 | 24-20 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Kill | Kekua Richards | +0.2 | |
| 45 | 25-20 | CO ST | SMU | Attack err | Sofia Zabjek | +0.3 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SMU | SMU | Ace | SMU | aced Karsyn Fetzer | +2.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | SMU | SMU | Ace | SMU | aced Karsyn Fetzer | +2.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SMU | CO ST×3 | Serve err | SMU | +1.2 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Ace | Colorado St. | +2.1 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Attack err | Suli Davis | +2.3 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +1.4 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Sofia Zabjek | set Karsyn Fetzer | +1.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +1.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SMU | SMU | Attack err | Halle Jameson | +2.3 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | SMU | CO ST | Blocked | Suli Davis | blk Erin Debiec, Eve Wilson | +1.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Ella Stowell | set Erin Debiec | +2.5 |
| 13 | 6-7 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Favor Anyanwu | +1.5 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SMU | SMU | Blocked | Ella Stowell | blk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford | +2.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +1.7 |
| 16 | 7-9 | CO ST | CO ST | Attack err | Suli Davis | +2.7 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | CO ST | SMU | Attack err | Ella Stowell | +1.6 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | SMU | CO ST | Serve err | SMU | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Kekua Richards | set Erin Debiec | +2.7 |
| 20 | 9-11 | CO ST | SMU×3 | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Hannah Beauford | +1.5 |
| 21 | 10-11 | SMU | SMU×3 | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Ellie Moore | +2.6 |
| 22 | 11-11 | SMU | SMU×3 | Attack err | Sofia Zabjek | +2.8 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Kekua Richards | set Erin Debiec | +1.9 |
| 24 | 12-12 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +1.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | SMU | CO ST×3 | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +2.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Ace | Colorado St. | aced Suli Davis | +3.2 |
| 27 | 12-15 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Blocked | Suli Davis | blk Sofia Zabjek, Eve Wilson | +3.0 |
| 28 | 13-15 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +1.6 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +2.0 |
| 30 | 14-16 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +1.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | SMU | SMU | Ace | SMU | aced Maria Brun | +3.1 |
| 32 | 15-17 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +2.4 |
| 33 | 15-18 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Maria Brun | set Erin Debiec | +3.4 |
| 34 | 16-18 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +1.7 |
| 35 | 16-19 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +2.3 |
| 36 | 17-19 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +1.7 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Hannah Beauford | +3.5 |
| 38 | 18-20 | SMU | CO ST×4 | Kill | Maria Brun | set Erin Debiec | +2.9 |
| 39 | 18-21 | CO ST | CO ST×4 | Kill | Sofia Zabjek | set Erin Debiec | +3.9 |
| 40 | 18-22 | CO ST | CO ST×4 | Kill | Maria Brun | set Erin Debiec | +2.8 |
| 41 | 18-23 | CO ST | CO ST×4 | Attack err | Levariya Pinder | +1.5 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +0.3 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | SMU | CO ST | Attack err | Levariya Pinder | +0.7 | |
| 44 | 19-25 | CO ST | CO ST | Attack err | Elle Vandeweghe | +0.3 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SMU | CO ST×3 | Kill | Sofia Zabjek | set Erin Debiec | +2.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +3.6 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Blocked | Suli Davis | blk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards | +3.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CO ST | SMU×3 | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +2.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SMU | SMU×3 | Attack err | Kekua Richards | +3.6 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | SMU | SMU×3 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Gabi Placide | +3.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +2.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +3.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CO ST | SMU×3 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Halle Jameson | +2.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SMU | SMU×3 | Blocked | Halle Jameson | blk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu | +3.7 |
| 12 | 7-5 | SMU | SMU×3 | Attack err | Sofia Zabjek | +3.6 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +2.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +3.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Hannah Beauford | +2.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +2.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | CO ST | CO ST | Attack err | Elle Vandeweghe | +4.3 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | CO ST | SMU×4 | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Hannah Beauford | +2.7 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SMU | SMU×4 | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Ellie Moore | +4.2 |
| 20 | 11-9 | SMU | SMU×4 | Attack err | Erin Debiec | +4.0 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | SMU | SMU×4 | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Ellie Moore | +3.6 |
| 22 | 12-10 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Maria Brun | set Erin Debiec | +2.1 |
| 23 | 12-11 | CO ST | CO ST | Attack err | Levariya Pinder | +3.9 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Hannah Beauford | +2.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | SMU | CO ST | Serve err | SMU | +2.6 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | CO ST | CO ST | Ace | Colorado St. | +4.7 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | CO ST | SMU | Blocked | Sofia Zabjek | blk Elle Vandeweghe, Suli Davis | +3.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Maria Brun | +4.7 |
| 29 | 15-14 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Sofia Zabjek | set Erin Debiec | +2.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | CO ST | CO ST | Ace | Colorado St. | +5.1 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +3.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | SMU | SMU | Attack err | Halle Jameson | +5.1 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Kekua Richards | set Erin Debiec | +3.0 |
| 34 | 17-17 | CO ST | CO ST | Blocked | Suli Davis | blk Eve Wilson, Sofia Zabjek | +5.7 |
| 35 | 18-17 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Sarah Frazee | +3.9 |
| 36 | 18-18 | SMU | CO ST | Blocked | Favor Anyanwu | blk Eve Wilson, Halle Jameson | +3.9 |
| 37 | 18-19 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +6.9 |
| 38 | 19-19 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Hannah Beauford | set Levariya Pinder | +4.2 |
| 39 | 19-20 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +4.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | CO ST | SMU×3 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +4.6 |
| 41 | 21-20 | SMU | SMU×3 | Attack err | Halle Jameson | +8.0 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | SMU | SMU×3 | Attack err | Maria Brun | +7.3 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | SMU | CO ST | Blocked | Gabi Placide | blk Eve Wilson, Maria Brun | +3.6 |
| 44 | 23-21 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Elle Vandeweghe | set Hannah Beauford | +5.2 |
| 45 | 23-22 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Maria Brun | set Erin Debiec | +3.6 |
| 46 | 24-22 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +5.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Maria Brun | set Halle Jameson | +3.1 |
| 48 | 25-23 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +7.6 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SMU | SMU | Blocked | Sofia Zabjek | blk Suli Davis, Elle Vandeweghe | +2.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SMU | CO ST | Serve err | SMU | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | CO ST | CO ST | Ace | Colorado St. | aced Suli Davis | +3.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Erin Debiec | set Erin Debiec | +2.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +2.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | SMU | SMU | Ace | SMU | aced Halle Jameson | +3.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CO ST | SMU | Blocked | Maria Brun | blk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SMU | CO ST | Serve err | SMU | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Hannah Beauford | +2.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | SMU | CO ST | Attack err | Levariya Pinder | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Kekua Richards | set Erin Debiec | +3.5 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CO ST | SMU×4 | Attack err | Maria Brun | +2.2 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | SMU | SMU×4 | Attack err | Kekua Richards | +3.5 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | SMU | SMU×4 | Blocked | Maria Brun | blk Gabi Placide, Elle Vandeweghe | +3.3 |
| 17 | 10-7 | SMU | SMU×4 | Ace | SMU | aced Karsyn Fetzer | +3.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Maria Brun | set Erin Debiec | +1.8 |
| 19 | 11-8 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +1.9 |
| 20 | 11-9 | SMU | CO ST | Serve err | SMU | +1.8 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +3.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +2.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +2.2 |
| 24 | 13-11 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +2.4 |
| 25 | 13-12 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Erin Debiec | set Maria Brun | +2.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | CO ST | SMU×4 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +2.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SMU | SMU×4 | Attack err | Eve Wilson | +3.5 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | SMU | SMU×4 | Ace | SMU | aced Karsyn Fetzer | +2.8 |
| 29 | 17-12 | SMU | SMU×4 | Kill | Levariya Pinder | set Suli Davis | +2.1 |
| 30 | 17-13 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +1.0 |
| 31 | 17-14 | CO ST | CO ST | Kill | Ella Stowell | set Erin Debiec | +2.2 |
| 32 | 18-14 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +1.8 |
| 33 | 18-15 | SMU | CO ST×3 | Kill | Ella Stowell | set Erin Debiec | +1.4 |
| 34 | 18-16 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Attack err | Levariya Pinder | +3.1 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | CO ST | CO ST×3 | Attack err | Levariya Pinder | +4.2 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | CO ST | SMU | Blocked | Sofia Zabjek | blk Elle Vandeweghe, Levariya Pinder | +3.2 |
| 37 | 19-18 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Ella Stowell | set Erin Debiec | +2.8 |
| 38 | 20-18 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +3.4 |
| 39 | 20-19 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Erin Debiec | +3.0 |
| 40 | 21-19 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +3.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Halle Jameson | set Sofia Zabjek | +3.1 |
| 42 | 22-20 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +4.1 |
| 43 | 22-21 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Eve Wilson | set Erin Debiec | +3.1 |
| 44 | 23-21 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +4.5 |
| 45 | 23-22 | SMU | CO ST | Serve err | SMU | +3.1 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | CO ST | CO ST | Attack err | Levariya Pinder | +8.7 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | CO ST | SMU | Serve err | Colorado St. | +7.2 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Ella Stowell | set Erin Debiec | +7.2 |
| 49 | 25-24 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Elle Vandeweghe | set Hannah Beauford | +7.2 |
| 50 | 25-25 | SMU | CO ST | Kill | Ella Stowell | set Erin Debiec | +7.2 |
| 51 | 26-25 | CO ST | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +7.2 |
| 52 | 27-25 | SMU | SMU | Blocked | Halle Jameson | blk Gabi Placide, Elle Vandeweghe | +10.6 |
Score shown after each rally, SMU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).