Final · 5 setsWed, Sep 2, 2026
SMU logo

AwayACC

2:3

TCU def. SMU 3–2

TCU beat visiting SMU 3-2 (16-25, 25-22, 25-16, 26-28, 15-12) on Wed, Sep 2, 2026. TCU's Becca Kelley led with 20 kills, and Alice Volpe added 20 digs.

Data through · final Sep 2

Set12345Sets
SMU25221628122
TCU16252526153

Win probability

TCU above 50 · SMU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+19.4% TCUrally 210 · set 5

Biggest swing: 19.4% to TCU — set 5, SMU 11-13 TCU. Bojana Ambulija stuffed by Kinsley Young. TCU win probability 62% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SMU 63.9%36.1% TCU

SMU wins

3-0
19.4%
3-1
24.5%
3-2
20.1%

TCU wins

3-0
7.5%
3-1
13.0%
3-2
15.6%
SMU break %
39.9% vs this opp
TCU break %
37.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kinsley YoungBlock+19.4%

    Bojana Ambulija stuffed by Kinsley Young

    Set 5 · SMU 11-13 TCU · TCU 62% → 82%

  2. 02
    Jalyn GibsonAttack error+16.5%

    Attack error by Jalyn Gibson

    Set 5 · SMU 11-11 TCU · SMU 34% → 50%

  3. 03
    Bojana AmbulijaAttack error+14.5%

    Attack error by Bojana Ambulija

    Set 5 · SMU 8-10 TCU · TCU 57% → 72%

  4. 04
    Evan HendrixKill+14.3%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 5 · SMU 12-14 TCU · TCU 74% → 88%

  5. 05
    Becca KelleyKill+12.4%

    Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 5 · SMU 11-12 TCU · TCU 50% → 62%

  6. 06
    Hannah BeaufordKill+12.4%

    Kill by Hannah Beauford (set by Victoria Harris)

    Set 4 · SMU 28-26 TCU · SMU 42% → 54%

  7. 07
    Gabi PlacideKill+12.4%

    Kill by Gabi Placide (set by Ellie Moore)

    Set 4 · SMU 23-22 TCU · SMU 28% → 40%

  8. 08

    Suli Davis stuffed by Kinsley Young & Rosemary Archer

    Set 5 · SMU 12-15 TCU · TCU 88% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SMUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5151150.08012461010.517.5
513120.60000010031.514.5
513629.24100220010.513.5
511740.1001045002112
58122.318001800219
5215.200480150010.52.5
5000–6411410004
5000–000810000
4000–101000000
3011-1.000000200000
3000–100300000
Team totals6228167.204586145430105103
TCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520645.3111146122324
517437.3512008202118
510426.2310059004212
56210.40001160094.511.5
5103.3334012500424
1011-1.000000000000
5000–1002020000
45214.214000001438
4317.286000201647
4000–1300300000
3000–000200000
2000–000000000
Team totals6220143.2945731261643119.5107

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SMU · TCU 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 SMUTCU 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 SMUTCU 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 SMUTCU 4

Set 4

28-26

Longest run 4 SMUTCU 3

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 2 SMUTCU 2

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = SMU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SMU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
53%10/19
2
56%10/18
23%3/13
3
75%9/12
33%5/15
4
56%9/16
25%3/12
5
44%7/16
33%4/12
6
46%6/13
22%2/9
All
57%51/89
34%27/80

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
50%7/14
2
71%10/14
29%4/14
3
71%10/14
41%7/17
4
64%9/14
40%6/15
5
67%8/12
40%6/15
6
100%6/6
57%8/14
All
66%53/80
43%38/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

210 rallies

#SMU-TCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TCUSMU×4Bad setEvan Hendrix+1.5
22-0SMUSMU×4Bad setRosemary Archer+2.4
33-0SMUSMU×4KillNatalia Newsome+2.2
44-0SMUSMU×4BlockedJalyn Gibsonblk Natalia Newsome, Bojana Ambulija+2.0
54-1SMUTCUServe errSMU+1.1
65-1TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.2
75-2SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.1
86-2TCUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford+1.3
96-3SMUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.2
107-3TCUSMUServe errTCU+1.3
118-3SMUSMUAceSMUaced Evan Hendrix+1.8
128-4SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
139-4TCUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.1
149-5SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
1510-5TCUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.1
1610-6SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
1711-6TCUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.1
1811-7SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
1912-7TCUSMU×4Serve errTCU+1.1
2013-7SMUSMU×4Attack errKinsley Young+1.4
2114-7SMUSMU×4AceSMUaced Becca Kelley+1.0
2215-7SMU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
2315-8SMUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.3
2416-8TCUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford+0.4
2516-9SMUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.2
2617-9TCUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.3
2718-9SMUSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Victoria Harris+0.3
2819-9SMUSMU×3AceSMUaced Evan Hendrix+0.1
2919-10SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer·
3020-10TCUSMUAttack errMia Lee+0.1
3121-10SMUSMUAttack errBecca Kelley·
3221-11SMUTCU×3Attack errSuli Davis·
3321-12TCUTCU×3KillRosemary Archerset Becca Kelley·
3421-13TCUTCU×3BlockedGabi Placideblk Rosemary Archer, Kinsley Young+0.1
3522-13TCUSMUKillGabi Placideset Victoria Harris+0.1
3622-14SMUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer·
3723-14TCUSMUBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Gabi Placide, Natalia Newsome·
3823-15SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer·
3924-15TCUSMUServe errTCU·
4024-16SMUTCUServe errSMU·
4125-16TCUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford·
Set 2
11-0SMUSMU×5KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+2.2
22-0SMUSMU×5KillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+2.1
33-0SMUSMU×5KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.9
44-0SMUSMU×5AceSMUaced Alice Volpe+1.7
55-0SMUSMU×5KillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford+1.5
65-1SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.8
76-1TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.9
87-1SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.2
97-2SMUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.6
107-3TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.3
117-4TCUTCU×3BlockedSuli Davisblk Jalyn Gibson, De'Andrea McMillian+1.6
128-4TCUSMUBad setRosemary Archer+1.1
138-5SMUTCUServe errSMU+1.0
149-5TCUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.2
159-6SMUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.0
1610-6TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.2
1710-7SMUTCUServe errSMU+1.0
1810-8TCUTCUAttack errGabi Placide+2.0
1911-8TCUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.4
2011-9SMUTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+1.3
2111-10TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+2.5
2212-10TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.7
2313-10SMUSMUAceSMUaced Alice Volpe+2.4
2413-11SMUTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+1.4
2514-11TCUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.6
2615-11SMUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+2.1
2715-12SMUTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Rosemary Archer+1.1
2815-13TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrix+2.2
2916-13TCUSMUServe errTCU+1.7
3016-14SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.4
3117-14TCUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.7
3217-15SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.4
3318-15TCUSMUServe errTCU+1.8
3418-16SMUTCUBlockedSuli Davisblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer+1.5
3519-16TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.8
3619-17SMUTCU×3KillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+1.5
3719-18TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Sarah Frazee+3.2
3819-19TCUTCU×3BlockedSuli Davisblk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian, Reese Robins+4.2
3920-19TCUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford+2.9
4020-20SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+2.9
4120-21TCUTCUBlockedBojana Ambulijablk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian+5.4
4221-21TCUSMUAttack errDe'Andrea McMillian+3.2
4321-22SMUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+3.9
4421-23TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+6.1
4521-24TCUTCU×3Attack errFavor Anyanwu+4.2
4622-24TCUSMUBlockedJalyn Gibsonblk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis+0.9
4722-25SMUTCUServe errSMU+2.4
Set 3
11-0TCUSMUAttack errJalyn Gibson+2.1
21-1SMUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.2
31-2TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+3.6
41-3TCUTCU×3BlockedSuli Davisblk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson+3.7
52-3TCUSMUAttack errEvan Hendrix+2.2
62-4SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.4
72-5TCUTCUBlockedSuli Davisblk Rosemary Archer+3.8
83-5TCUSMUServe errTCU+2.1
93-6SMUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+2.5
103-7TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+3.7
113-8TCUTCU×4Attack errMia Silva+3.3
123-9TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Young+2.9
134-9TCUSMUAttack errKinsley Young+1.4
144-10SMUTCU×3KillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+1.8
154-11TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+2.3
164-12TCUTCU×3BlockedHannah Beaufordblk Becca Kelley+1.7
175-12TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.7
185-13SMUTCU×3Serve errSMU+1.1
195-14TCUTCU×3BlockedGabi Placideblk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson+1.1
205-15TCUTCU×3KillDe'Andrea McMillian+0.7
216-15TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.2
226-16SMUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrix+0.4
236-17TCUTCU×3KillDe'Andrea McMillian+0.4
246-18TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Suli Davis+0.2
257-18TCUSMUAttack errEvan Hendrix·
267-19SMUTCUServe errSMU+0.1
278-19TCUSMUAttack errBecca Kelley·
289-19SMUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Suli Davis+0.1
299-20SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.1
3010-20TCUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford·
3110-21SMUTCUServe errSMU+0.1
3210-22TCUTCUBlockedSuli Davisblk Kinsley Young, Reese Robins·
3311-22TCUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
3412-22SMUSMU×3KillFavor Anyanwu·
3513-22SMUSMU×3Attack errBecca Kelley·
3613-23SMUTCUServe errSMU+0.1
3713-24TCUTCUBlockedGabi Placideblk Reese Robins·
3814-24TCUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
3915-24SMUSMU×3KillHannah Beaufordset Reese Wilburn·
4016-24SMUSMU×3BlockedReese Robinsblk Natalia Newsome, Gabi Placide·
4116-25SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn·
Set 4
11-0SMUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+3.9
22-0SMUSMUKillGabi Placideset Victoria Harris+3.7
32-1SMUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.3
42-2TCUTCUBlockedGabi Placideblk Kinsley Young, Evan Hendrix+4.0
53-2TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+2.5
64-2SMUSMUKillBojana Ambulija+3.9
74-3SMUTCUServe errSMU+2.4
85-3TCUSMUServe errTCU+2.5
95-4SMUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.4
105-5TCUTCU×3BlockedBojana Ambulijablk Becca Kelley+4.3
115-6TCUTCU×3KillReese Robinsset Alice Volpe+4.6
126-6TCUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford+2.8
137-6SMUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+4.5
147-7SMUTCUBlockedSuli Davisblk Kinsley Young, Reese Robins+2.9
158-7TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.9
168-8SMUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+2.9
178-9TCUTCU×3Attack errSuli Davis+5.0
188-10TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+5.1
199-10TCUSMUServe errTCU+3.0
209-11SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+3.4
219-12TCUTCUBlockedNatalia Newsomeblk De'Andrea McMillian+5.1
2210-12TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+2.8
2311-12SMUSMUKillBojana Ambulija+5.1
2411-13SMUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+3.6
2512-13TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+3.2
2612-14SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+3.7
2713-14TCUSMU×4Serve errTCU+3.3
2814-14SMUSMU×4Attack errBecca Kelley+5.9
2915-14SMUSMU×4KillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford+6.0
3016-14SMUSMU×4Attack errEvan Hendrix+5.7
3116-15SMUTCUAttack errBojana Ambulija+3.3
3217-15TCUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford+3.7
3318-15SMUSMUAttack errReese Robins+5.2
3418-16SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+2.6
3518-17TCUTCUAttack errSuli Davis+5.6
3619-17TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+4.2
3720-17SMUSMUKillGabi Placideset Levariya Pinder+5.6
3820-18SMUTCU×3Serve errSMU+2.6
3920-19TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Victoria Harris+6.0
4020-20TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+8.1
4121-20TCUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+5.7
4221-21SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+5.7
4321-22TCUTCUBlockedGabi Placideblk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson+11.0
4422-22TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+6.5
4523-22SMUSMUKillGabi Placideset Ellie Moore+12.4
4623-23SMUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+7.3
4724-23TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+9.4
4824-24SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+9.4
4925-24TCUSMUAttack errEvan Hendrix+9.4
5025-25SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+9.4
5126-25TCUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford+9.4
5226-26SMUTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+9.4
5327-26TCUSMUBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford+9.4
5428-26SMUSMUKillHannah Beaufordset Victoria Harris+12.4
Set 5
10-1SMUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+6.0
21-1TCUSMUServe errTCU+5.8
31-2SMUTCUBlockedGabi Placideblk De'Andrea McMillian, Reese Robins+6.2
42-2TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+6.0
53-2SMUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Victoria Harris+9.8
63-3SMUTCUServe errSMU+6.2
74-3TCUSMUServe errTCU+6.3
84-4SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+6.4
94-5TCUTCUAttack errBojana Ambulija+11.2
105-5TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+6.8
115-6SMUTCUServe errSMU+7.5
126-6TCUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+7.1
136-7SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+7.9
147-7TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+7.5
157-8SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+8.4
168-8TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+8.0
178-9SMUTCUServe errSMU+9.1
188-10TCUTCUAttack errBojana Ambulija+14.5
199-10TCUSMUServe errTCU+7.5
209-11SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+10.0
2110-11TCUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+7.8
2211-11SMUSMUAttack errJalyn Gibson+16.5
2311-12SMUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+12.4
2411-13TCUTCUBlockedBojana Ambulijablk Kinsley Young+19.4
2512-13TCUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+8.0
2612-14SMUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+14.3
2712-15TCUTCUBlockedSuli Davisblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer+12.0

Score shown after each rally, SMU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).