RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 18.7% to TCU — set 5, SMU 11-13 TCU. Bojana Ambulija stuffed by Kinsley Young. TCU win probability 64% → 83%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
SMU wins
TCU wins
- SMU break %
- 39.5% vs this opp
- TCU break %
- 38.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Bojana AmbulijaAttack error+18.7%
Bojana Ambulija stuffed by Kinsley Young
Set 5 · SMU 11-13 TCU · TCU 64% → 83%
- 02
- 03Bojana AmbulijaAttack error+14.1%
Attack error by Bojana Ambulija
Set 5 · SMU 8-10 TCU · TCU 59% → 73%
- 04Evan HendrixKill+13.9%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 5 · SMU 12-14 TCU · TCU 75% → 89%
- 05Becca KelleyKill+12.3%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 5 · SMU 11-12 TCU · TCU 52% → 64%
- 06Hannah BeaufordKill+12.3%
Kill by Hannah Beauford (set by Victoria Harris)
Set 4 · SMU 28-26 TCU · SMU 39% → 52%
- 07Gabi PlacideKill+11.8%
Kill by Gabi Placide (set by Ellie Moore)
Set 4 · SMU 23-22 TCU · SMU 25% → 37%
- 08Suli DavisAttack error+11.4%
Suli Davis stuffed by Kinsley Young & Rosemary Archer
Set 5 · SMU 12-15 TCU · TCU 89% → 100%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 11 | 50 | .080 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 17.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 1 | 20 | .600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 29 | .241 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 40 | .100 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 8 | 1 | 22 | .318 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | .200 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 62 | 28 | 167 | .204 | 58 | 6 | 14 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 103 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 20 | 6 | 45 | .311 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | |
| 5 | 17 | 4 | 37 | .351 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .400 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | .214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 62 | 20 | 143 | .294 | 57 | 3 | 12 | 61 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19.5 | 107 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
25-16
Set 2
22-25
Set 3
16-25
Set 4
28-26
Set 5
12-15
Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = SMU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
SMU
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71%10/14 | 53%10/19 |
| 2 | 56%10/18 | 23%3/13 |
| 3 | 75%9/12 | 33%5/15 |
| 4 | 56%9/16 | 25%3/12 |
| 5 | 44%7/16 | 33%4/12 |
| 6 | 46%6/13 | 22%2/9 |
| All | 57%51/89 | 34%27/80 |
TCU
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%10/20 | 50%7/14 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 29%4/14 |
| 3 | 71%10/14 | 41%7/17 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 40%6/15 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 40%6/15 |
| 6 | 100%6/6 | 57%8/14 |
| All | 66%53/80 | 43%38/89 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
210 rallies
Rally log
| # | SMU-TCU | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TCU | SMU×4 | Bad set | Evan Hendrix | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | SMU | SMU×4 | Bad set | Rosemary Archer | +2.6 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | SMU | SMU×4 | Kill | Natalia Newsome | +2.4 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | SMU | SMU×4 | Attack err | Jalyn Gibson | blk Natalia Newsome, Bojana Ambulija | +2.2 |
| 5 | 4-1 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +1.4 |
| 7 | 5-2 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.3 |
| 8 | 6-2 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +1.4 |
| 9 | 6-3 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +1.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +1.4 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | SMU | SMU | Ace | SMU server | aced Evan Hendrix | +2.0 |
| 12 | 8-4 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.1 |
| 13 | 9-4 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +1.3 |
| 14 | 9-5 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.1 |
| 15 | 10-5 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +1.3 |
| 16 | 10-6 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.0 |
| 17 | 11-6 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +1.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.0 |
| 19 | 12-7 | TCU | SMU×4 | Serve err | TCU server | +1.3 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | SMU | SMU×4 | Attack err | Kinsley Young | +1.6 | |
| 21 | 14-7 | SMU | SMU×4 | Ace | SMU server | aced Becca Kelley | +1.1 |
| 22 | 15-7 | SMU | SMU×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.8 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +0.3 |
| 24 | 16-8 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +0.4 |
| 25 | 16-9 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +0.3 |
| 26 | 17-9 | TCU | SMU×3 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +0.4 |
| 27 | 18-9 | SMU | SMU×3 | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Victoria Harris | +0.4 |
| 28 | 19-9 | SMU | SMU×3 | Ace | SMU server | aced Evan Hendrix | +0.2 |
| 29 | 19-10 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +0.0 |
| 30 | 20-10 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Mia Lee | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 21-10 | SMU | SMU | Attack err | Becca Kelley | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 21-11 | SMU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Suli Davis | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Rosemary Archer | set Becca Kelley | +0.0 |
| 34 | 21-13 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Gabi Placide | blk Rosemary Archer, Kinsley Young | +0.1 |
| 35 | 22-13 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Victoria Harris | +0.1 |
| 36 | 22-14 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Rosemary Archer | +0.0 |
| 37 | 23-14 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Becca Kelley | blk Gabi Placide, Natalia Newsome | +0.1 |
| 38 | 23-15 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +0.0 |
| 39 | 24-15 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 24-16 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 25-16 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SMU | SMU×5 | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +2.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | SMU | SMU×5 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Victoria Harris | +2.4 |
| 3 | 3-0 | SMU | SMU×5 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +2.2 |
| 4 | 4-0 | SMU | SMU×5 | Ace | SMU server | aced Alice Volpe | +2.0 |
| 5 | 5-0 | SMU | SMU×5 | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +1.8 |
| 6 | 5-1 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +1.0 |
| 7 | 6-1 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +1.1 |
| 8 | 7-1 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +1.5 |
| 9 | 7-2 | SMU | TCU×3 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +0.8 |
| 10 | 7-3 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +1.5 |
| 11 | 7-4 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Suli Davis | blk Jalyn Gibson, De'Andrea McMillian | +1.9 |
| 12 | 8-4 | TCU | SMU | Bad set | Rosemary Archer | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +1.2 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +1.4 |
| 15 | 9-6 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Rosemary Archer | +1.2 |
| 16 | 10-6 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +1.4 |
| 17 | 10-7 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +1.2 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Gabi Placide | +2.3 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +1.7 |
| 20 | 11-9 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +1.5 |
| 21 | 11-10 | TCU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Reese Wilburn | +2.8 |
| 22 | 12-10 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +1.9 |
| 23 | 13-10 | SMU | SMU | Ace | SMU server | aced Alice Volpe | +2.8 |
| 24 | 13-11 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +1.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +1.8 |
| 26 | 15-11 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +2.4 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SMU | TCU | Kill | De'Andrea McMillian | set Rosemary Archer | +1.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | TCU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | +2.5 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +1.9 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +1.6 |
| 31 | 17-14 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +2.0 |
| 32 | 17-15 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.7 |
| 33 | 18-15 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +2.1 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | SMU | TCU | Attack err | Suli Davis | blk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer | +1.7 |
| 35 | 19-16 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +2.2 |
| 36 | 19-17 | SMU | TCU×3 | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +1.7 |
| 37 | 19-18 | TCU | TCU×3 | Ace | TCU server | aced Sarah Frazee | +3.7 |
| 38 | 19-19 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Suli Davis | blk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian, Reese Robins | +4.6 |
| 39 | 20-19 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +3.3 |
| 40 | 20-20 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Reese Wilburn | +3.2 |
| 41 | 20-21 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Bojana Ambulija | blk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian | +5.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | De'Andrea McMillian | +3.5 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | SMU | TCU×3 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +4.2 |
| 44 | 21-23 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +6.4 |
| 45 | 21-24 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Favor Anyanwu | +4.4 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Jalyn Gibson | blk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis | +1.0 |
| 47 | 22-25 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +2.5 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Jalyn Gibson | +2.2 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | SMU | TCU×3 | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +2.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +3.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Suli Davis | blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson | +3.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +2.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Suli Davis | blk Rosemary Archer | +3.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | SMU | TCU×4 | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Rosemary Archer | +2.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | TCU | TCU×4 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Evan Hendrix | +3.5 |
| 11 | 3-8 | TCU | TCU×4 | Attack err | Mia Silva | +3.1 | |
| 12 | 3-9 | TCU | TCU×4 | Kill | Kinsley Young | +2.7 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Kinsley Young | +1.3 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | SMU | TCU×3 | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Reese Wilburn | +1.7 |
| 15 | 4-11 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Reese Wilburn | +2.1 |
| 16 | 4-12 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Hannah Beauford | blk Becca Kelley | +1.6 |
| 17 | 5-12 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +0.7 |
| 18 | 5-13 | SMU | TCU×3 | Serve err | SMU server | +1.0 | |
| 19 | 5-14 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Gabi Placide | blk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson | +1.0 |
| 20 | 5-15 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | De'Andrea McMillian | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 6-15 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +0.2 |
| 22 | 6-16 | SMU | TCU×3 | Kill | Evan Hendrix | +0.4 | |
| 23 | 6-17 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | De'Andrea McMillian | +0.3 | |
| 24 | 6-18 | TCU | TCU×3 | Ace | TCU server | aced Suli Davis | +0.1 |
| 25 | 7-18 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +0.0 | |
| 26 | 7-19 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +0.1 | |
| 27 | 8-19 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Becca Kelley | +0.0 | |
| 28 | 9-19 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Suli Davis | +0.1 |
| 29 | 9-20 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +0.1 |
| 30 | 10-20 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +0.0 |
| 31 | 10-21 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 10-22 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Suli Davis | blk Kinsley Young, Reese Robins | +0.0 |
| 33 | 11-22 | TCU | SMU×3 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +0.0 |
| 34 | 12-22 | SMU | SMU×3 | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 13-22 | SMU | SMU×3 | Attack err | Becca Kelley | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 13-23 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 13-24 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Gabi Placide | blk Reese Robins | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | TCU | SMU×3 | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | SMU | SMU×3 | Kill | Hannah Beauford | set Reese Wilburn | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | SMU | SMU×3 | Attack err | Reese Robins | blk Natalia Newsome, Gabi Placide | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Reese Wilburn | +0.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Hannah Beauford | +3.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Victoria Harris | +3.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +2.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Gabi Placide | blk Kinsley Young, Evan Hendrix | +3.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +2.5 |
| 6 | 4-2 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | +3.8 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +2.3 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | SMU | TCU×3 | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +2.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Bojana Ambulija | blk Becca Kelley | +4.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Reese Robins | set Alice Volpe | +4.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +2.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +4.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SMU | TCU | Attack err | Suli Davis | blk Kinsley Young, Reese Robins | +2.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +2.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SMU | TCU×3 | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Reese Wilburn | +2.8 |
| 17 | 8-9 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Suli Davis | +4.7 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +4.7 |
| 19 | 9-10 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +2.8 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Evan Hendrix | +3.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Natalia Newsome | blk De'Andrea McMillian | +4.7 |
| 22 | 10-12 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +2.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | +4.7 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +3.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +3.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +3.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | TCU | SMU×4 | Serve err | TCU server | +3.1 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | SMU | SMU×4 | Attack err | Becca Kelley | +5.5 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | SMU | SMU×4 | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +5.8 |
| 30 | 16-14 | SMU | SMU×4 | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +5.6 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | SMU | TCU | Attack err | Bojana Ambulija | +3.2 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +3.7 |
| 33 | 18-15 | SMU | SMU | Attack err | Reese Robins | +5.1 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Reese Wilburn | +2.6 |
| 35 | 18-17 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Suli Davis | +5.4 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +4.1 |
| 37 | 20-17 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Levariya Pinder | +5.5 |
| 38 | 20-18 | SMU | TCU×3 | Serve err | SMU server | +2.6 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | TCU | TCU×3 | Ace | TCU server | aced Victoria Harris | +5.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +7.8 |
| 41 | 21-20 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +5.6 |
| 42 | 21-21 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +5.4 |
| 43 | 21-22 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Gabi Placide | blk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson | +10.3 |
| 44 | 22-22 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +6.2 |
| 45 | 23-22 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Gabi Placide | set Ellie Moore | +11.8 |
| 46 | 23-23 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +7.0 |
| 47 | 24-23 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +9.1 |
| 48 | 24-24 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +9.1 |
| 49 | 25-24 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +9.1 | |
| 50 | 25-25 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +9.1 |
| 51 | 26-25 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Hannah Beauford | +9.1 |
| 52 | 26-26 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +9.1 |
| 53 | 27-26 | TCU | SMU | Attack err | Becca Kelley | blk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford | +9.1 |
| 54 | 28-26 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Hannah Beauford | set Victoria Harris | +12.3 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Reese Wilburn | +6.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +5.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | SMU | TCU | Attack err | Gabi Placide | blk De'Andrea McMillian, Reese Robins | +6.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +6.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SMU | SMU | Kill | Bojana Ambulija | set Victoria Harris | +9.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +6.3 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +6.5 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +6.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Bojana Ambulija | +11.1 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +6.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +7.4 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Favor Anyanwu | set Hannah Beauford | +7.2 |
| 13 | 6-7 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +7.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +7.6 |
| 15 | 7-8 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Reese Wilburn | +8.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +8.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | SMU | TCU | Serve err | SMU server | +9.0 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Bojana Ambulija | +14.1 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | TCU | SMU | Serve err | TCU server | +7.4 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +9.7 |
| 21 | 10-11 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Natalia Newsome | set Hannah Beauford | +7.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | SMU | SMU | Attack err | Jalyn Gibson | +16.3 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +12.3 |
| 24 | 11-13 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Bojana Ambulija | blk Kinsley Young | +18.7 |
| 25 | 12-13 | TCU | SMU | Kill | Suli Davis | set Hannah Beauford | +7.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | SMU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +13.9 |
| 27 | 12-15 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Suli Davis | blk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer | +11.4 |
Score shown after each rally, SMU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.