Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026 · Neutral site

SMU def. Kentucky 3–1

SMU beat Kentucky 3-1 (27-25, 21-25, 25-21, 27-25) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. SMU's Suli Davis led with 25 kills, and Victoria Harris added 17 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
UK252521251
SMU272125273

Win probability

SMU above 50 · Kentucky below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+17.9% SMUrally 196 · set 4

Biggest swing: 17.9% to SMU — set 4, UK 25-27 SMU. Kill by Natalia Newsome (set by Hannah Beauford). SMU win probability 82% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UK 67.0%33.0% SMU

Kentucky wins

3-0
21.3%
3-1
25.7%
3-2
20.0%

SMU wins

3-0
6.5%
3-1
11.7%
3-2
14.7%
UK break %
38.9% vs this opp
SMU break %
35.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Natalia NewsomeKill+17.9%

    Kill by Natalia Newsome (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 4 · UK 25-27 SMU · SMU 82% → 100%

  2. 02

    Favor Anyanwu stuffed by Kennedy Washington

    Set 4 · UK 24-24 SMU · UK 11% → 28%

  3. 03
    SMUService error+10.8%

    SMU service error

    Set 1 · UK 25-27 SMU · SMU 42% → 53%

  4. 04

    Morgan Gaerte stuffed by Christa Wilburn & Favor Anyanwu

    Set 4 · UK 24-25 SMU · SMU 72% → 82%

  5. 05
    SMUService error+9.9%

    SMU service error

    Set 4 · UK 25-25 SMU · UK 18% → 28%

  6. 06

    Kill by Christa Wilburn (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 4 · UK 25-26 SMU · SMU 72% → 82%

  7. 07
    Gabi PlacideKill+9.9%

    Kill by Gabi Placide (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 1 · UK 25-26 SMU · SMU 33% → 42%

  8. 08
    Gabi PlacideKill+9.1%

    Kill by Gabi Placide (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 1 · UK 24-24 SMU · SMU 23% → 33%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417952.154002100073.520.5
414842.14302211002117
46210.4000000008410
44413.00000011254.58.5
4002.0004602100211
4000–002320000
410523.2170003002111
4000–020100002
4001.0003011100000
4000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5128143.16149494132261596
SMUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
425850.34031315310127
411117.5880002112213
49228.25012570031.512.5
45720-.100103400849
45310.20010000031.56.5
4304.750470250031.54.5
4000–202300000
4000–4011700000
2248-.25000010111.53.5
2000–000000000
Team totals6025137.2555931654432013100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UK · SMU 4

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 3 UKSMU 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 UKSMU 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 UKSMU 4

Set 4

25-27

Longest run 3 UKSMU 3

Bars above the line = SMU leads, below = Kentucky leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kentucky

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
29%4/14
2
80%12/15
37%7/19
3
65%11/17
31%5/16
4
60%9/15
21%3/14
5
53%9/17
61%14/23
6
50%8/16
18%2/11
All
62%61/99
36%35/97

SMU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%12/16
52%11/21
2
58%11/19
14%2/14
3
73%11/15
21%3/14
4
52%11/21
45%9/20
5
60%9/15
36%5/14
6
73%8/11
50%8/16
All
64%62/97
38%38/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

196 rallies

#UK-SMUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UKUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.4
21-1UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.5
32-1SMUUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.5
43-1UKUK×3AceKentuckyaced Suli Davis+2.4
54-1UKUK×3BlockedSuli Davisblk Morgan Gaerte, Lizzie Carr+2.2
64-2UKSMUBlockedAsia Thigpenblk Favor Anyanwu, Elle Vandeweghe+1.2
75-2SMUUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+1.3
85-3UKSMUServe errKentucky+1.2
96-3SMUUKServe errSMU+1.3
106-4UKSMUBlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Gabi Placide+1.2
117-4SMUUKServe errSMU+1.3
128-4UKUKBlockedGabi Placideblk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien+2.0
138-5UKSMU×3Serve errKentucky+1.0
148-6SMUSMU×3BlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Natalia Newsome, Elle Vandeweghe+2.1
158-7SMUSMU×3KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+2.5
169-7SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Molly Tuozzo+1.6
179-8UKSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+1.6
1810-8SMUUKBlockedSuli Davisblk Kassie O'Brien, Lizzie Carr+1.7
1910-9UKSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.6
2011-9SMUUKServe errSMU+1.7
2111-10UKSMUServe errKentucky+1.7
2211-11SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Sarah Frazee+3.2
2312-11SMUUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+1.9
2412-12UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.0
2513-12SMUUKBlockedGabi Placideblk Morgan Gaerte, Kennedy Washington+2.0
2614-12UKUKBlockedFavor Anyanwublk Kennedy Washington, Asia Thigpen+3.3
2714-13UKSMUServe errKentucky+1.8
2815-13SMUUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.0
2915-14UKSMU×4KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.9
3015-15SMUSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.7
3115-16SMUSMU×4Attack errMorgan Gaerte+4.2
3215-17SMUSMU×4KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+4.3
3316-17SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
3416-18UKSMUKillHannah Beauford+2.8
3516-19SMUSMUAttack errMorgan Gaerte+4.2
3617-19SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.8
3718-19UKUKBlockedSuli Davisblk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte+4.1
3818-20UKSMUServe errKentucky+3.2
3919-20SMUUK×3KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+2.5
4020-20UKUK×3Attack errFavor Anyanwu+5.4
4121-20UKUK×3BlockedSuli Davisblk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte+5.8
4221-21UKSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+3.4
4321-22SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Sarah Frazee+7.0
4422-22SMUUK×3KillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+3.9
4523-22UKUK×3Attack errFavor Anyanwu+7.8
4624-22UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+6.7
4724-23UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.0
4824-24SMUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+9.1
4925-24SMUUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+5.5
5025-25UKSMU×3KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+5.5
5125-26SMUSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+9.9
5225-27SMUSMU×3Serve errSMU+10.8
Set 2
11-0SMUUKServe errSMU+1.8
21-1UKSMUAttack errLizzie Carr+1.8
31-2SMUSMUAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+3.2
42-2SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.9
52-3UKSMUBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Suli Davis+2.0
62-4SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.4
73-4SMUUKBlockedFavor Anyanwublk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte+1.9
84-4UKUKBlockedSuli Davisblk Morgan Gaerte, Lizzie Carr+3.3
94-5UKSMU×3BlockedLizzie Carrblk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford+2.1
104-6SMUSMU×3BlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Gabi Placide, Favor Anyanwu+3.6
114-7SMUSMU×3BlockedAsia Thigpenblk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu+3.6
125-7SMUUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.9
136-7UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+3.5
147-7UKUK×3Attack errGabi Placide+3.6
157-8UKSMUBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Christa Wilburn, Favor Anyanwu+2.3
168-8SMUUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
179-8UKUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+3.7
189-9UKSMUServe errKentucky+2.2
199-10SMUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+4.0
2010-10SMUUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.3
2110-11UKSMUServe errKentucky+2.5
2210-12SMUSMUAceSMUaced Trinity Ward+4.3
2311-12SMUUKServe errSMU+2.3
2411-13UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.7
2512-13SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Molly Tuozzo+2.4
2613-13UKUKBlockedFavor Anyanwublk Lizzie Carr, Brooklyn DeLeye+4.4
2713-14UKSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+2.8
2814-14SMUUKServe errSMU+2.7
2914-15UKSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+3.0
3015-15SMUUK×5KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.8
3116-15UKUK×5KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+4.9
3217-15UKUK×5BlockedFavor Anyanwublk Asia Thigpen, Kennedy Washington+4.6
3318-15UKUK×5BlockedGabi Placideblk Morgan Gaerte, Kennedy Washington+3.9
3419-15UKUK×5KillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.9
3519-16UKSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+1.2
3619-17SMUSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+3.0
3720-17SMUUKServe errSMU+2.4
3820-18UKSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.8
3921-18SMUUK×3Serve errSMU+2.5
4022-18UKUK×3BlockedNatalia Newsomeblk Kennedy Washington+2.7
4123-18UKUK×3Attack errChrista Wilburn+1.3
4223-19UKSMUKillHannah Beaufordset Suli Davis+0.3
4323-20SMUSMUAceSMUaced Trinity Ward+1.0
4424-20SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.2
4524-21UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.3
4625-21SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
Set 3
10-1UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.2
21-1SMUUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.1
31-2UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Christa Wilburn+2.2
42-2SMUUKAttack errSuli Davis+2.1
52-3UKSMUAttack errAsia Thigpen+2.3
62-4SMUSMUAttack errMorgan Gaerte+3.9
73-4SMUUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+2.1
83-5UKSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+2.4
94-5SMUUK×5KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
105-5UKUK×5KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+3.9
116-5UKUK×5Attack errSuli Davis+3.8
127-5UKUK×5KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+3.6
138-5UKUK×5KillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+3.3
148-6UKSMUAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+1.8
159-6SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.0
169-7UKSMU×3KillChrista Wilburnset Suli Davis+1.8
179-8SMUSMU×3KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+3.6
189-9SMUSMU×3KillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+4.1
1910-9SMUUKServe errSMU+2.5
2010-10UKSMUServe errKentucky+2.6
2111-10SMUUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+2.6
2212-10UKUKAceKentuckyaced Suli Davis+4.2
2312-11UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Elle Vandeweghe+2.4
2413-11SMUUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.5
2513-12UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.4
2614-12SMUUKServe errSMU+2.6
2714-13UKSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Victoria Harris+2.5
2815-13SMUUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+2.8
2915-14UKSMUAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+2.6
3016-14SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Natalia Newsome+2.9
3117-14UKUKAceKentuckyaced Natalia Newsome+4.2
3217-15UKSMU×3KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+2.1
3317-16SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+4.6
3417-17SMUSMU×3BlockedBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Elle Vandeweghe, Natalia Newsome+5.8
3518-17SMUUKServe errSMU+3.6
3618-18UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+3.7
3718-19SMUSMUAttack errMorgan Gaerte+7.1
3819-19SMUUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+4.0
3919-20UKSMUServe errKentucky+4.7
4020-20SMUUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+4.3
4120-21UKSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+5.2
4220-22SMUSMU×4BlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Christa Wilburn, Favor Anyanwu+8.6
4320-23SMUSMU×4Attack errKennedy Washington+6.7
4420-24SMUSMU×4AceSMUaced Kennedy Washington+3.5
4521-24SMUUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.5
4621-25UKSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Favor Anyanwu+1.4
Set 4
10-1SMUSMUAttack errKennedy Washington+4.3
21-1SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.5
31-2UKSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+2.6
42-2SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.5
53-2UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeye+4.2
63-3UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.6
74-3SMUUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+2.5
84-4UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.6
94-5SMUSMUKillHannah Beaufordset Victoria Harris+4.7
105-5SMUUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.7
116-5UKUKAttack errSuli Davis+4.6
126-6UKSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+2.8
137-6SMUUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.7
147-7UKSMUAttack errAsia Thigpen+2.8
158-7SMUUKServe errSMU+2.8
168-8UKSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+2.9
178-9SMUSMUKillSuli Davis+5.2
189-9SMUUKServe errSMU+3.0
1910-9UKUKAceKentuckyaced Suli Davis+5.1
2010-10UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.1
2111-10SMUUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Molly Tuozzo+3.1
2211-11UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.2
2312-11SMUUKServe errSMU+3.2
2413-11UKUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+5.2
2513-12UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+2.9
2614-12SMUUKServe errSMU+3.2
2714-13UKSMU×3KillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+3.0
2814-14SMUSMU×3Attack errAsia Thigpen+5.9
2914-15SMUSMU×3Attack errMorgan Gaerte+6.6
3015-15SMUUKAttack errChrista Wilburn+3.8
3115-16UKSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+4.2
3215-17SMUSMUBlockedKennedy Washingtonblk Natalia Newsome+7.2
3316-17SMUUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+3.7
3416-18UKSMU×3KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+4.6
3516-19SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+6.9
3616-20SMUSMU×3Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+5.5
3717-20SMUUKAttack errElle Vandeweghe+2.0
3818-20UKUKBlockedElle Vandewegheblk Brooklyn DeLeye, Lizzie Carr+5.1
3918-21UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+4.5
4019-21SMUUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+2.9
4120-21UKUKAttack errElle Vandeweghe+7.4
4220-22UKSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+6.2
4321-22SMUUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+4.4
4421-23UKSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+7.0
4521-24SMUSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+8.0
4622-24SMUUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.5
4723-24UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+6.6
4824-24UKUK×3BlockedFavor Anyanwublk Kennedy Washington+17.0
4924-25UKSMUBlockedMorgan Gaerteblk Christa Wilburn, Favor Anyanwu+9.9
5025-25SMUUKServe errSMU+9.9
5125-26UKSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford+9.9
5225-27SMUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+17.9

Score shown after each rally, Kentucky first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).