Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

Providence def. Brown 3–2

Providence beat Brown 3-2 (25-16, 20-25, 25-20, 22-25, 15-9) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Tori Otter led Providence with 12 kills; Brown's Elle Holley had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set12345Sets
PROV25202522153
BROWN1625202592

Win probability

Brown above 50 · Providence below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+8.0% PROVrally 202 · set 5

Biggest swing: 8.0% to Providence — set 5, PROV 1-0 BROWN. Kill by Aubrey Easterwood (set by Miller McDonald). BROWN win probability 41% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PROV 72.8%27.2% BROWN

Providence wins

3-0
25.3%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
19.6%

Brown wins

3-0
5.0%
3-1
9.4%
3-2
12.8%
PROV break %
45.0% vs this opp
BROWN break %
40.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Aubrey Easterwood (set by Miller McDonald)

    Set 5 · PROV 1-0 BROWN · PROV 59% → 67%

  2. 02

    Elle Holley stuffed by Tori Otter & Aubrey Easterwood

    Set 5 · PROV 2-0 BROWN · PROV 67% → 75%

  3. 03
    ProvidenceAce+6.7%

    Providence ace on Eve McLaury

    Set 5 · PROV 3-0 BROWN · PROV 75% → 82%

  4. 04
    Macy TaylorAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Macy Taylor

    Set 4 · PROV 20-22 BROWN · BROWN 23% → 29%

  5. 05
    BrownAce+6.4%

    Brown ace on Gwenyth Koss

    Set 4 · PROV 20-21 BROWN · BROWN 16% → 23%

  6. 06
    Tori OtterKill+5.7%

    Kill by Tori Otter (set by Miller McDonald)

    Set 5 · PROV 4-0 BROWN · PROV 82% → 87%

  7. 07
    BrownAce+5.6%

    Brown ace on Sophia Adkins

    Set 4 · PROV 20-23 BROWN · BROWN 29% → 35%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sophia Wolfson (set by Julia Kakkis)

    Set 4 · PROV 22-25 BROWN · BROWN 35% → 41%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512330.3000005018517
511115.6670231006316
58314.3571000006311
57527.07422253010.59.5
56523.04310132031.57.5
52021.0002510500003
58325.200000200219
5304.7501814500004
5000–221710002
3000–002010000
Team totals5720140.2644981333712614107
Brownhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5161040.15011160111.518.5
515930.20001551010.516.5
512324.37502110052.516.5
55312.167000001016
5507.714350080010.55.5
52412-.167000300213
5000–131620003
5000–8001530000
2000–701600000
Team totals5529125.2085279508210795

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PROV · BROWN 5

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 PROVBROWN 2

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 PROVBROWN 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 PROVBROWN 3

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 5 PROVBROWN 5

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 4 PROVBROWN 2

Bars above the line = Brown leads, below = Providence leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Providence

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%12/15
42%8/19
2
75%12/16
29%5/17
3
56%10/18
45%9/20
4
77%10/13
52%11/21
5
47%9/19
55%11/20
6
64%9/14
10%1/10
All
65%62/95
42%45/107

Brown

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%13/21
23%3/13
2
57%12/21
20%3/15
3
61%11/18
29%5/17
4
50%9/18
41%7/17
5
50%9/18
31%4/13
6
73%8/11
55%11/20
All
58%62/107
35%33/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

202 rallies

#PROV-BROWNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BROWNPROVBlockedSophia Wolfsonblk Lyric Berry, Tori Otter+1.5
22-0PROVPROVAceProvidence+1.9
32-1PROVBROWNAttack errSophia Adkins+1.4
43-1BROWNPROV×3Serve errBrown+1.4
54-1PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.8
65-1PROVPROV×3BlockedElle Holleyblk Aubrey Easterwood, Tori Otter+1.6
75-2PROVBROWNAttack errSophia Adkins+1.1
85-3BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Macy Taylor+1.7
96-3BROWNPROVKillMiller McDonald+1.3
107-3PROVPROVAttack errElle Holley+1.6
117-4PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+1.1
128-4BROWNPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+1.2
138-5PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.1
149-5BROWNPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.2
1510-5PROVPROVBlockedFisayo Afonjablk Shea Dupuis, Lyric Berry+1.4
1610-6PROVBROWNAttack errMacy Taylor+0.9
1710-7BROWNBROWNBlockedMacy Taylorblk Sophia Wolfson, Julia Kakkis+1.5
1811-7BROWNPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.3
1911-8PROVBROWNAttack errLyric Berry+1.2
2012-8BROWNPROVKillMacy Taylorset Miller McDonald+1.3
2112-9PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+1.2
2212-10BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Sophia Adkins+2.0
2313-10BROWNPROV×4KillLyric Berryset Julia Kakkis+1.6
2414-10PROVPROV×4Attack errElle Holley+1.9
2515-10PROVPROV×4Attack errElle Holley+1.5
2616-10PROVPROV×4BlockedElizabeth Sessablk Sophia Adkins, Aubrey Easterwood+1.1
2716-11PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+0.6
2817-11BROWNPROVBlockedFisayo Afonjablk Tori Otter, Sophia Adkins+0.8
2918-11PROVPROVBad setJulia Kakkis+0.7
3018-12PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+0.3
3118-13BROWNBROWNBlockedAubrey Easterwoodblk Sarah Shaw+0.7
3219-13BROWNPROV×3KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.7
3320-13PROVPROV×3Attack errElle Holley+0.6
3421-13PROVPROV×3KillAubrey Easterwoodset Ava Dyer+0.3
3521-14PROVBROWNKillJulia Kakkis+0.1
3621-15BROWNBROWNKillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+0.2
3722-15BROWNPROVServe errBrown+0.3
3822-16PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+0.1
3923-16BROWNPROV×3KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.2
4024-16PROVPROV×3BlockedFisayo Afonjablk Lyric Berry, Tori Otter+0.1
4125-16PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald·
Set 2
10-1PROVBROWN×3KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.3
20-2BROWNBROWN×3BlockedTori Otterblk Sophia Wolfson, Fisayo Afonja+1.8
30-3BROWNBROWN×3AceBrownaced Ava Dyer+1.9
41-3BROWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.3
51-4PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.4
62-4BROWNPROVAttack errSarah Shaw+1.3
72-5PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.5
82-6BROWNBROWNAttack errSophia Adkins+1.9
93-6BROWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+1.2
104-6PROVPROVAttack errFisayo Afonja+1.8
114-7PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Eve McLaury+1.5
125-7BROWNPROVServe errBrown+1.4
136-7PROVPROVAttack errElizabeth Sessa+1.9
146-8PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Eve McLaury+1.6
157-8BROWNPROVKillSarah Musialset Lyric Berry+1.5
167-9PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.7
177-10BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.2
188-10BROWNPROVKillMiller McDonald+1.4
198-11PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.7
209-11BROWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.5
219-12PROVBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Eve McLaury+1.8
229-13BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Macy Taylor+2.2
2310-13BROWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.4
2410-14PROVBROWN×3Serve errProvidence+1.7
2510-15BROWNBROWN×3KillSarah Shawset Sarah Musial+2.0
2610-16BROWNBROWN×3Attack errSophia Adkins+1.7
2711-16BROWNPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.9
2811-17PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Elle Holley+1.2
2911-18BROWNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.2
3012-18BROWNPROV×3Serve errBrown+0.5
3113-18PROVPROV×3Attack errElle Holley+1.0
3214-18PROVPROV×3KillLyric Berry+1.4
3314-19PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+1.5
3414-20BROWNBROWNBlockedShea Dupuisblk Elle Holley+1.5
3515-20BROWNPROVKillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial+0.6
3615-21PROVBROWNAttack errTori Otter+1.0
3716-21BROWNPROVKillMacy Taylorset Miller McDonald+0.5
3816-22PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.9
3917-22BROWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.4
4018-22PROVPROVAttack errFisayo Afonja+0.9
4118-23PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.2
4219-23BROWNPROVServe errBrown+0.5
4320-23PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Sophie Haskell+1.2
4420-24PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.7
4520-25BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.7
Set 3
10-1BROWNBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Sophie Haskell+3.1
21-1BROWNPROVAttack errSarah Shaw+2.2
31-2PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.4
42-2BROWNPROV×3KillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+2.3
53-2PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Fisayo Afonja+3.0
64-2PROVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+2.8
74-3PROVBROWNKillSarah Shawset Eve McLaury+2.1
85-3BROWNPROV×4KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.1
96-3PROVPROV×4Attack errElle Holley+2.6
107-3PROVPROV×4KillLyric Berry+2.3
118-3PROVPROV×4BlockedElizabeth Sessablk Sophia Adkins, Lyric Berry+2.0
128-4PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.3
139-4BROWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+1.5
1410-4PROVPROVKillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial+1.6
1510-5PROVBROWNBlockedLyric Berryblk Elizabeth Sessa, Sophia Wolfson+1.0
1611-5BROWNPROVAttack errElle Holley+1.2
1711-6PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.0
1812-6BROWNPROVKillSarah Musialset Sophia Adkins+1.2
1912-7PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.0
2013-7BROWNPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+1.2
2113-8PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.0
2214-8BROWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.2
2314-9PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.9
2414-10BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.7
2515-10BROWNPROVServe errBrown+1.6
2615-11PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.3
2716-11BROWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+1.6
2816-12PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.2
2916-13BROWNBROWNBlockedShea Dupuisblk Elle Holley, Sophia Wolfson+2.3
3017-13BROWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+2.1
3117-14PROVBROWN×3KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.7
3217-15BROWNBROWN×3KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+3.2
3317-16BROWNBROWN×3KillFisayo Afonjaset Eve McLaury+4.1
3418-16BROWNPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+3.5
3519-16PROVPROVBlockedFisayo Afonjablk Tori Otter, Aubrey Easterwood+4.0
3619-17PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.5
3720-17BROWNPROV×3BlockedFisayo Afonjablk Tori Otter, Aubrey Easterwood+3.1
3821-17PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Sophie Haskell+3.0
3922-17PROVPROV×3Attack errSarah Shaw+1.8
4022-18PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+0.7
4123-18BROWNPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+1.2
4223-19PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+0.5
4324-19BROWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.9
4424-20PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+0.2
4525-20BROWNPROVKillLyric Berry+0.5
Set 4
11-0PROVPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+2.4
21-1PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.8
32-1BROWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.8
43-1PROVPROVAceProvidence+2.3
53-2PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+1.7
64-2BROWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Macy Taylor+1.7
74-3PROVBROWN×3KillSarah Shawset Megan Phan+1.8
84-4BROWNBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Megan Phan+2.6
94-5BROWNBROWN×3Attack errLyric Berry+2.8
105-5BROWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+2.0
116-5PROVPROVBad setEve McLaury+2.7
126-6PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Megan Phan+2.1
136-7BROWNBROWNBlockedMacy Taylorblk Elizabeth Sessa, Sophia Wolfson+3.0
147-7BROWNPROV×5KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+2.1
158-7PROVPROV×5AceProvidenceaced Eve McLaury+2.9
169-7PROVPROV×5KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+2.7
1710-7PROVPROV×5Attack errSophia Wolfson+2.4
1811-7PROVPROV×5AceProvidenceaced Eve McLaury+2.1
1911-8PROVBROWN×5KillElizabeth Sessaset Megan Phan+1.4
2011-9BROWNBROWN×5AceBrownaced Macy Taylor+2.3
2111-10BROWNBROWN×5Attack errMacy Taylor+2.8
2211-11BROWNBROWN×5KillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+3.2
2311-12BROWNBROWN×5KillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+3.6
2412-12BROWNPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+2.5
2512-13PROVBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Eve McLaury+2.8
2613-13BROWNPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+2.6
2713-14PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+2.9
2814-14BROWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.8
2914-15PROVBROWN×3KillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+3.1
3014-16BROWNBROWN×3Attack errSophia Adkins+4.3
3114-17BROWNBROWN×3Attack errTori Otter+4.2
3215-17BROWNPROVServe errBrown+2.5
3315-18PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+3.3
3416-18BROWNPROV×4KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+2.6
3517-18PROVPROV×4BlockedElizabeth Sessablk Lyric Berry, Macy Taylor+4.2
3618-18PROVPROV×4Bad setMegan Phan+4.7
3719-18PROVPROV×4KillMacy Taylor+4.8
3819-19PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+3.7
3920-19BROWNPROVKillMacy Taylorset Ava Dyer+3.9
4020-20PROVBROWN×4KillElle Holleyset Eve McLaury+4.0
4120-21BROWNBROWN×4AceBrownaced Gwenyth Koss+6.4
4220-22BROWNBROWN×4Attack errMacy Taylor+6.6
4320-23BROWNBROWN×4AceBrownaced Sophia Adkins+5.6
4421-23BROWNPROVServe errBrown+2.3
4521-24PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+4.4
4622-24BROWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.7
4722-25PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+5.2
Set 5
11-0PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+8.0
22-0PROVPROV×4BlockedElle Holleyblk Tori Otter, Aubrey Easterwood+7.5
33-0PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Eve McLaury+6.7
44-0PROVPROV×4KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+5.7
54-1PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Megan Phan+3.7
65-1BROWNPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+4.2
75-2PROVBROWNKillJulia Kakkis+3.7
86-2BROWNPROVBlockedSophia Wolfsonblk Tori Otter+4.3
96-3PROVBROWNServe errProvidence+3.7
107-3BROWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald+4.4
118-3PROVPROVAttack errFisayo Afonja+4.5
128-4PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.5
139-4BROWNPROVKillSarah Musialset Macy Taylor+3.3
1410-4PROVPROVKillMacy Taylorset Ava Dyer+2.8
1510-5PROVBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Megan Phan+1.3
1611-5BROWNPROVServe errBrown+1.9
1711-6PROVBROWNAttack errShea Dupuis+1.0
1811-7BROWNBROWNKillElizabeth Sessaset Eve McLaury+2.4
1912-7BROWNPROVBlockedElle Holleyblk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood+2.8
2012-8PROVBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Megan Phan+1.5
2113-8BROWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.5
2213-9PROVBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.0
2314-9BROWNPROVBad setJulia Kakkis+1.9
2415-9PROVPROVBlockedFisayo Afonjablk Tori Otter, Lyric Berry+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Providence first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).