Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayBIG-EAST

3:1

HomeAMERICA-EAST

Providence def. Bryant 3–1

(25-19, 23-25, 25-12, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
PROV	25	23	25	25	3
BRYANT	19	25	12	20	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BRYANT above 50 · PROV below

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Bryant — set 2, PROV 23-25 BRYANT. Kill by Kaitlin Curran (set by Madison Keem). BRYANT win probability 17% → 21%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PROV 84.7%15.3% BRYANT

Providence wins

3-0

36.8%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.7%

Bryant wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

4.9%

3-2

8.1%

PROV break %: 46.0% vs this opp
BRYANT break %: 38.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kaitlin CurranKill+4.7%
Kill by Kaitlin Curran (set by Madison Keem)
Set 2 · PROV 23-25 BRYANT · BRYANT 17% → 21%
02
Cara LewandowskiKill+3.8%
Kill by Cara Lewandowski (set by Madison Keem)
Set 2 · PROV 21-23 BRYANT · BRYANT 13% → 17%
03
Layla OlatundeKill+3.4%
Kill by Layla Olatunde (set by Madison Keem)
Set 2 · PROV 22-24 BRYANT · BRYANT 15% → 18%
04
PROV serverAce+2.9%
Providence ace on Team
Set 2 · PROV 21-21 BRYANT · PROV 87% → 90%
05
BRYANT serverAce+2.6%
Bryant ace on Sophia Adkins
Set 2 · PROV 18-21 BRYANT · BRYANT 15% → 17%
06
Hannah JacksonKill+2.6%
Kill by Hannah Jackson (set by Madison Keem)
Set 2 · PROV 21-22 BRYANT · BRYANT 10% → 13%
07
Hannah JacksonKill+2.5%
Kill by Hannah Jackson (set by Madison Keem)
Set 3 · PROV 3-3 BRYANT · BRYANT 19% → 22%
08
Sophia AdkinsKill+2.4%
Kill by Sophia Adkins (set by Miller McDonald)
Set 2 · PROV 20-21 BRYANT · PROV 84% → 87%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Providenceaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Aubrey EasterwoodMB	4	11	1	17	.588	1	1	1	2	0	1	5	3.5	15.5
21Sophia AdkinsOH	4	11	4	33	.212	0	0	3	4	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
9Tori OtterMB	4	10	0	23	.435	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10
15Macy TaylorOH	4	7	1	23	.261	0	0	2	10	1	0	0	0	7
1Miller McDonaldS	4	0	0	1	.000	23	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	4
11Lyric BerryMB	2	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
7Shea DupuisOH	4	11	2	21	.429	0	0	0	2	0	0	6	3	14
6Ava DyerL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	3	2	2	21	0	0	0	0	2
20Sarah MusialS	4	0	1	3	-.333	20	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
27Kaia EasterbrookMB	3	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
8Gwenyth KossOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		55	9	130	.354	48	8	14	54	4	2	14	9	98

Bryanthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kaitlin CurranOH	4	14	4	28	.357	0	2	3	12	0	1	0.5	16.5
7Brookelyn TalmadgeMB	4	10	2	13	.615	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	11
16Layla OlatundeMB	4	8	4	25	.160	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	8.5
13Hannah JacksonOH	4	8	3	23	.217	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	8
14Cara LewandowskiOH	4	5	4	22	.045	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5
5Madison KeemS	4	3	1	9	.222	35	0	3	4	0	2	1	4
12Kalia AlvaradoOH	4	1	3	16	-.125	0	0	2	5	3	0	0	1
1Carrina BarronL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	20	1	0	0	1
4Claudia Camacho-CastroL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	7	1	0	0	0
2Luiza BergamaschiL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
6Laura Rene-FraserS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	21	136	.206	44	4	13	56	8	6	3	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 PROV · BRYANT 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 PROVBRYANT 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 PROVBRYANT 4

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 5 PROVBRYANT 2

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 PROVBRYANT 3

Bars above the line = Bryant leads, below = Providence leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Providence

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	10%1/10
2	85%11/13	39%7/18
3	63%10/16	41%7/17
4	90%9/10	57%12/21
5	50%7/14	53%9/17
6	78%7/9	50%7/14
All	71%55/77	44%43/97

Bryant

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	10%1/10
2	63%10/16	27%4/15
3	42%10/24	23%3/13
4	50%8/16	29%4/14
5	57%8/14	33%4/12
6	64%7/11	46%6/13
All	56%54/97	29%22/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

174 rallies

Rally log

#	PROV-BRYANT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.0
2	2-0	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Hannah Jackson		+1.3
3	2-1	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+0.9
4	2-2	BRYANT	BRYANT	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Macy Taylor	+1.5
5	3-2	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.0
6	3-3	PROV	BRYANT	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+1.1
7	3-4	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+1.7
8	4-4	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.2
9	5-4	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Madison Keem		+1.6
10	5-5	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+1.2
11	6-5	BRYANT	PROV	Attack err	Cara Lewandowski	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis	+1.1
12	7-5	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Cara Lewandowski		+1.5
13	7-6	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+1.1
14	8-6	BRYANT	PROV×3	Attack err	Layla Olatunde		+1.1
15	9-6	PROV	PROV×3	Ace	PROV server	aced Kalia Alvarado	+1.3
16	10-6	PROV	PROV×3	Ace	PROV server	aced Kalia Alvarado	+1.1
17	10-7	PROV	BRYANT×3	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.7
18	10-8	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge		+1.3
19	10-9	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+1.6
20	11-9	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+1.2
21	11-10	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+1.2
22	12-10	BRYANT	PROV×3	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.2
23	13-10	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.5
24	14-10	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Hannah Jackson		+1.2
25	14-11	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+0.8
26	15-11	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+0.9
27	15-12	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Carrina Barron	+0.8
28	16-12	BRYANT	PROV×4	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.9
29	17-12	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood		+0.9
30	18-12	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+0.6
31	19-12	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+0.4
32	19-13	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+0.2
33	20-13	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.2
34	20-14	PROV	BRYANT×3	Serve err	PROV server		+0.1
35	20-15	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Carrina Barron	+0.3
36	20-16	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Carrina Barron	+0.6
37	21-16	BRYANT	PROV	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran	blk Lyric Berry, Shea Dupuis	+0.6
38	22-16	PROV	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Madison Keem	+0.4
39	22-17	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.1
40	23-17	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+0.2
41	23-18	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.1
42	24-18	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+0.2
43	24-19	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+0.0
44	25-19	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.8
2	1-1	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+0.8
3	1-2	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.9
4	2-2	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Madison Keem	+0.8
5	3-2	PROV	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Tori Otter	+1.1
6	3-3	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.8
7	4-3	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.8
8	4-4	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.8
9	4-5	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado	set Madison Keem	+1.3
10	5-5	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+0.9
11	6-5	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+1.2
12	6-6	PROV	BRYANT×4	Serve err	PROV server		+0.9
13	6-7	BRYANT	BRYANT×4	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Team	+1.4
14	6-8	BRYANT	BRYANT×4	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+1.5
15	6-9	BRYANT	BRYANT×4	Kill	Madison Keem	set Shea Dupuis	+1.6
16	7-9	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.0
17	8-9	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Brookelyn Talmadge		+1.4
18	8-10	PROV	BRYANT	Attack err	Macy Taylor	blk Brookelyn Talmadge, Madison Keem	+1.2
19	9-10	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+1.0
20	9-11	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+1.2
21	9-12	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+1.7
22	10-12	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+1.1
23	11-12	PROV	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.6
24	11-13	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+1.3
25	12-13	BRYANT	PROV	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	blk Lyric Berry	+1.2
26	12-14	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+1.4
27	12-15	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+2.0
28	13-15	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.2
29	14-15	PROV	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood		+1.8
30	14-16	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Madison Keem	set Claudia Camacho-Castro	+1.6
31	15-16	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.3
32	15-17	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+1.6
33	16-17	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.4
34	16-18	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Brookelyn Talmadge	+1.8
35	17-18	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+1.5
36	17-19	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+1.9
37	18-19	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.5
38	18-20	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+2.0
39	18-21	BRYANT	BRYANT	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Sophia Adkins	+2.6
40	19-21	BRYANT	PROV×3	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.3
41	20-21	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+2.4
42	21-21	PROV	PROV×3	Ace	PROV server	aced Team	+2.9
43	21-22	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+2.6
44	21-23	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+3.8
45	22-23	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.9
46	22-24	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+3.4
47	23-24	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.8
48	23-25	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+4.7
Set 3
1	1-0	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Kaia Easterbrook	set Miller McDonald	+1.6
2	2-0	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran	blk Aubrey Easterwood	+2.1
3	2-1	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+1.6
4	3-1	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.5
5	3-2	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+1.6
6	3-3	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+2.5
7	4-3	BRYANT	PROV×4	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+1.8
8	5-3	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+2.3
9	6-3	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	PROV server	aced Hannah Jackson	+2.0
10	7-3	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Ava Dyer	+1.7
11	7-4	PROV	BRYANT	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+1.2
12	8-4	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+1.2
13	9-4	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Layla Olatunde		+1.4
14	9-5	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Madison Keem		+0.9
15	9-6	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Sarah Musial		+1.6
16	10-6	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.3
17	10-7	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+1.2
18	11-7	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+1.3
19	11-8	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+1.2
20	11-9	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+2.2
21	12-9	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.7
22	12-10	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+1.6
23	13-10	BRYANT	PROV×4	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.7
24	14-10	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	Hannah Jackson	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Sophia Adkins	+2.0
25	15-10	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	Brookelyn Talmadge	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis	+1.5
26	16-10	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	Kalia Alvarado		+1.0
27	16-11	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Carrina Barron	+0.6
28	17-11	BRYANT	PROV×4	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+0.7
29	18-11	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.6
30	19-11	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood		+0.4
31	20-11	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	Kalia Alvarado	blk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood	+0.2
32	20-12	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+0.1
33	21-12	BRYANT	PROV×5	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+0.1
34	22-12	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.0
35	23-12	PROV	PROV×5	Attack err	Kalia Alvarado	blk Shea Dupuis, Kaia Easterbrook	+0.0
36	24-12	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+0.0
37	25-12	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Aubrey Easterwood	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+1.7
2	1-1	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Hannah Jackson	+1.3
3	2-1	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.3
4	2-2	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+1.4
5	3-2	BRYANT	PROV	Attack err	Layla Olatunde		+1.3
6	3-3	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+1.4
7	4-3	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.3
8	5-3	PROV	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+1.7
9	5-4	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+1.3
10	6-4	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+1.3
11	6-5	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+1.3
12	7-5	BRYANT	PROV×4	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+1.3
13	8-5	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	PROV server	aced Carrina Barron	+1.6
14	9-5	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	PROV server	aced Kalia Alvarado	+1.3
15	10-5	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+1.1
16	10-6	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+0.7
17	11-6	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.8
18	11-7	PROV	BRYANT×3	Serve err	PROV server		+0.7
19	11-8	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge		+1.3
20	11-9	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Team	+1.6
21	12-9	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.3
22	13-9	PROV	PROV	Ace	PROV server	aced Cara Lewandowski	+1.5
23	13-10	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+1.0
24	14-10	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+1.1
25	14-11	PROV	BRYANT×3	Serve err	PROV server		+1.0
26	14-12	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Attack err	Sophia Adkins	blk Layla Olatunde, Madison Keem	+1.8
27	14-13	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+2.3
28	15-13	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.8
29	15-14	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Claudia Camacho-Castro	+1.8
30	16-14	BRYANT	PROV×3	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+1.9
31	17-14	PROV	PROV×3	Ace	PROV server	aced Claudia Camacho-Castro	+2.2
32	18-14	PROV	PROV×3	Bad set	Laura Rene-Fraser		+1.7
33	18-15	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Laura Rene-Fraser	+1.0
34	18-16	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Shea Dupuis	blk Kaitlin Curran, Brookelyn Talmadge	+1.9
35	19-16	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Kaia Easterbrook	set Sarah Musial	+1.7
36	19-17	PROV	BRYANT	Serve err	PROV server		+1.5
37	20-17	BRYANT	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.8
38	20-18	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+1.5
39	21-18	BRYANT	PROV	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.9
40	22-18	PROV	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.7
41	22-19	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+0.7
42	23-19	BRYANT	PROV	Attack err	Cara Lewandowski		+1.1
43	24-19	PROV	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Madison Keem	+0.7
44	24-20	PROV	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.1
45	25-20	BRYANT	PROV	Attack err	Cara Lewandowski	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Providence first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.