Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Providence def. Bryant 3–1

Providence beat Bryant 3-1 (25-19, 23-25, 25-12, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
PROV252325253
BRYANT192512201

Win probability

Bryant above 50 · Providence below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.8% BRYANTrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.8% to Bryant — set 2, PROV 23-25 BRYANT. Kill by Kaitlin Curran (set by Madison Keem). BRYANT win probability 16% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PROV 84.9%15.1% BRYANT

Providence wins

3-0
37.0%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.6%

Bryant wins

3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
8.0%
PROV break %
46.8% vs this opp
BRYANT break %
38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kaitlin Curran (set by Madison Keem)

    Set 2 · PROV 23-25 BRYANT · BRYANT 16% → 21%

  2. 02

    Kill by Cara Lewandowski (set by Madison Keem)

    Set 2 · PROV 21-23 BRYANT · BRYANT 13% → 17%

  3. 03

    Kill by Layla Olatunde (set by Madison Keem)

    Set 2 · PROV 22-24 BRYANT · BRYANT 15% → 18%

  4. 04
    ProvidenceAce+2.8%

    Providence ace

    Set 2 · PROV 21-21 BRYANT · PROV 87% → 90%

  5. 05

    Kill by Hannah Jackson (set by Madison Keem)

    Set 2 · PROV 21-22 BRYANT · BRYANT 10% → 13%

  6. 06
    BryantAce+2.6%

    Bryant ace on Sophia Adkins

    Set 2 · PROV 18-21 BRYANT · BRYANT 14% → 17%

  7. 07

    Kill by Hannah Jackson (set by Madison Keem)

    Set 3 · PROV 3-3 BRYANT · BRYANT 19% → 22%

  8. 08
    Sophia AdkinsKill+2.4%

    Kill by Sophia Adkins (set by Miller McDonald)

    Set 2 · PROV 20-21 BRYANT · PROV 84% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411117.58811120153.515.5
411433.21200341010.511.5
410023.4351001000010
47123.2610021010007
4001.0002342100004
2304.75000000111.54.5
411221.4290002006314
4001.0003222100002
4013-.3332002400000
3204.50000000010.52.5
2000–012900001
Team totals559130.35448814544214998
Bryanthome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414428.357023120010.516.5
410213.6151000002111
48425.16000040010.58.5
48323.217100210008
45422.045000010005
4319.2223503400214
41316-.125002530001
4000–4122010001
4000–201710000
2000–012000001
2000–100200000
Team totals4921136.2064441356806376

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PROV · BRYANT 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 PROVBRYANT 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 PROVBRYANT 4

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 5 PROVBRYANT 2

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 PROVBRYANT 3

Bars above the line = Bryant leads, below = Providence leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Providence

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
10%1/10
2
85%11/13
39%7/18
3
63%10/16
41%7/17
4
90%9/10
57%12/21
5
50%7/14
53%9/17
6
78%7/9
50%7/14
All
71%55/77
44%43/97

Bryant

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
10%1/10
2
63%10/16
27%4/15
3
42%10/24
23%3/13
4
50%8/16
29%4/14
5
57%8/14
33%4/12
6
64%7/11
46%6/13
All
56%54/97
29%22/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#PROV-BRYANTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.0
22-0PROVPROVAttack errHannah Jackson+1.2
32-1PROVBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+1.0
42-2BRYANTBRYANTAceBryantaced Macy Taylor+1.5
53-2BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.0
63-3PROVBRYANTAttack errSophia Adkins+1.1
73-4BRYANTBRYANTAttack errSophia Adkins+1.7
84-4BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.2
95-4PROVPROVAttack errMadison Keem+1.5
105-5PROVBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+1.2
116-5BRYANTPROVBlockedCara Lewandowskiblk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis+1.1
127-5PROVPROVAttack errCara Lewandowski+1.4
137-6PROVBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Keem+1.1
148-6BRYANTPROV×3Attack errLayla Olatunde+1.1
159-6PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Kalia Alvarado+1.3
1610-6PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Kalia Alvarado+1.1
1710-7PROVBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.8
1810-8BRYANTBRYANT×3KillBrookelyn Talmadge+1.3
1910-9BRYANTBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+1.6
2011-9BRYANTPROVKillMacy Taylorset Miller McDonald+1.2
2111-10PROVBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+1.2
2212-10BRYANTPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.2
2313-10PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.5
2414-10PROVPROV×3Attack errHannah Jackson+1.2
2514-11PROVBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+0.8
2615-11BRYANTPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+0.9
2715-12PROVBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Carrina Barron+0.8
2816-12BRYANTPROV×4KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.9
2917-12PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwood+0.9
3018-12PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+0.6
3119-12PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+0.4
3219-13PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+0.2
3320-13BRYANTPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.2
3420-14PROVBRYANT×3Serve errProvidence+0.1
3520-15BRYANTBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Carrina Barron+0.3
3620-16BRYANTBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Carrina Barron+0.6
3721-16BRYANTPROVBlockedKaitlin Curranblk Lyric Berry, Shea Dupuis+0.6
3822-16PROVPROVKillLyric Berryset Madison Keem+0.4
3922-17PROVBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.2
4023-17BRYANTPROVKillMacy Taylorset Miller McDonald+0.3
4123-18PROVBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.1
4224-18BRYANTPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer+0.2
4324-19PROVBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem·
4425-19BRYANTPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.1
Set 2
10-1PROVBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+0.9
21-1BRYANTPROVKillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald+0.8
31-2PROVBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+0.9
42-2BRYANTPROVKillTori Otterset Madison Keem+0.8
53-2PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Tori Otter+1.0
63-3PROVBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+0.8
74-3BRYANTPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.8
84-4PROVBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+0.8
94-5BRYANTBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Keem+1.2
105-5BRYANTPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+0.9
116-5PROVPROVAttack errKaitlin Curran+1.1
126-6PROVBRYANT×4Serve errProvidence+0.9
136-7BRYANTBRYANT×4AceBryant+1.3
146-8BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errShea Dupuis+1.5
156-9BRYANTBRYANT×4KillMadison Keemset Shea Dupuis+1.5
167-9BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.0
178-9PROVPROVAttack errBrookelyn Talmadge+1.4
188-10PROVBRYANTBlockedMacy Taylorblk Brookelyn Talmadge, Madison Keem+1.2
199-10BRYANTPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.1
209-11PROVBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+1.2
219-12BRYANTBRYANTAttack errSophia Adkins+1.7
2210-12BRYANTPROVKillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald+1.1
2311-12PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.5
2411-13PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+1.4
2512-13BRYANTPROVBlockedLayla Olatundeblk Lyric Berry+1.2
2612-14PROVBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+1.4
2712-15BRYANTBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+1.9
2813-15BRYANTPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.2
2914-15PROVPROVKillAubrey Easterwood+1.7
3014-16PROVBRYANTKillMadison Keemset Claudia Camacho-Castro+1.6
3115-16BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.3
3215-17PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+1.7
3316-17BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.4
3416-18PROVBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Brookelyn Talmadge+1.8
3517-18BRYANTPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.5
3617-19PROVBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+1.9
3718-19BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.6
3818-20PROVBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Keem+2.1
3918-21BRYANTBRYANTAceBryantaced Sophia Adkins+2.6
4019-21BRYANTPROV×3Serve errBryant+1.3
4120-21PROVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+2.4
4221-21PROVPROV×3AceProvidence+2.8
4321-22PROVBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+2.6
4421-23BRYANTBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Keem+3.7
4522-23BRYANTPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.9
4622-24PROVBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+3.4
4723-24BRYANTPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+1.9
4823-25PROVBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+4.8
Set 3
11-0BRYANTPROVKillKaia Easterbrookset Miller McDonald+1.6
22-0PROVPROVBlockedKaitlin Curranblk Aubrey Easterwood+2.0
32-1PROVBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+1.6
43-1BRYANTPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.5
53-2PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+1.6
63-3BRYANTBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+2.5
74-3BRYANTPROV×4KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.8
85-3PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+2.2
96-3PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Hannah Jackson+1.9
107-3PROVPROV×4KillShea Dupuisset Ava Dyer+1.6
117-4PROVBRYANTAttack errAubrey Easterwood+1.2
128-4BRYANTPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+1.2
139-4PROVPROVAttack errLayla Olatunde+1.4
149-5PROVBRYANTKillMadison Keem+0.9
159-6BRYANTBRYANTAttack errSarah Musial+1.6
1610-6BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.3
1710-7PROVBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+1.2
1811-7BRYANTPROVKillMacy Taylorset Miller McDonald+1.3
1911-8PROVBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+1.3
2011-9BRYANTBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+2.1
2112-9BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.7
2212-10PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+1.7
2313-10BRYANTPROV×4KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.8
2414-10PROVPROV×4BlockedHannah Jacksonblk Aubrey Easterwood, Sophia Adkins+2.0
2515-10PROVPROV×4BlockedBrookelyn Talmadgeblk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis+1.5
2616-10PROVPROV×4Attack errKalia Alvarado+1.1
2716-11PROVBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Carrina Barron+0.6
2817-11BRYANTPROV×4KillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer+0.8
2918-11PROVPROV×4KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.7
3019-11PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwood+0.4
3120-11PROVPROV×4BlockedKalia Alvaradoblk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood+0.2
3220-12PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+0.1
3321-12BRYANTPROV×5KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+0.1
3422-12PROVPROV×5KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.1
3523-12PROVPROV×5BlockedKalia Alvaradoblk Shea Dupuis, Kaia Easterbrook·
3624-12PROVPROV×5KillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial·
3725-12PROVPROV×5KillShea Dupuisset Aubrey Easterwood·
Set 4
11-0PROVPROVAttack errKaitlin Curran+1.7
21-1PROVBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Hannah Jackson+1.4
32-1BRYANTPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.3
42-2PROVBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Keem+1.4
53-2BRYANTPROVAttack errLayla Olatunde+1.3
63-3PROVBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+1.4
74-3BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.4
85-3PROVPROVKillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial+1.7
95-4PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+1.3
106-4BRYANTPROVKillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial+1.3
116-5PROVBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+1.3
127-5BRYANTPROV×4KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.3
138-5PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Carrina Barron+1.6
149-5PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Kalia Alvarado+1.3
1510-5PROVPROV×4KillMacy Taylorset Miller McDonald+1.1
1610-6PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+0.7
1711-6BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+0.8
1811-7PROVBRYANT×3Serve errProvidence+0.7
1911-8BRYANTBRYANT×3KillBrookelyn Talmadge+1.3
2011-9BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryant+1.6
2112-9BRYANTPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.3
2213-9PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Cara Lewandowski+1.5
2313-10PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+1.0
2414-10BRYANTPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+1.1
2514-11PROVBRYANT×3Serve errProvidence+1.0
2614-12BRYANTBRYANT×3BlockedSophia Adkinsblk Layla Olatunde, Madison Keem+1.8
2714-13BRYANTBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+2.3
2815-13BRYANTPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+1.8
2915-14PROVBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Claudia Camacho-Castro+1.8
3016-14BRYANTPROV×3KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.9
3117-14PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Claudia Camacho-Castro+2.2
3218-14PROVPROV×3Bad setLaura Rene-Fraser+1.7
3318-15PROVBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Laura Rene-Fraser+1.0
3418-16BRYANTBRYANTBlockedShea Dupuisblk Kaitlin Curran, Brookelyn Talmadge+1.9
3519-16BRYANTPROVKillKaia Easterbrookset Sarah Musial+1.7
3619-17PROVBRYANTServe errProvidence+1.5
3720-17BRYANTPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.8
3820-18PROVBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+1.5
3921-18BRYANTPROVServe errBryant+1.9
4022-18PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.7
4122-19PROVBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+0.8
4223-19BRYANTPROVAttack errCara Lewandowski+1.2
4324-19PROVPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Madison Keem+0.7
4424-20PROVBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+0.1
4525-20BRYANTPROVBlockedCara Lewandowskiblk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Providence first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).