Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 27, 2026Watch on ACCN

SMU def. California 3–1

SMU beat visiting California 3-1 (19-25, 25-16, 25-20, 25-15) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. SMU's Suli Davis led with 26 kills, and Victoria Harris added 12 digs.

Data through · final Sep 27

Set1234Sets
CAL251620151
SMU192525253

Win probability

SMU above 50 · California below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.0% CALrally 170 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.0% to California — set 1, CAL 16-12 SMU. Kill by Cari Bohm (set by Anna Flores). SMU win probability 87% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CAL 7.2%92.8% SMU

California wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.2%

SMU wins

3-0
49.8%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
12.0%
CAL break %
31.8% vs this opp
SMU break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Cari BohmKill+2.0%

    Kill by Cari Bohm (set by Anna Flores)

    Set 1 · CAL 16-12 SMU · CAL 13% → 16%

  2. 02
    SMUAce+1.9%

    SMU ace

    Set 2 · CAL 3-5 SMU · SMU 80% → 82%

  3. 03
    CaliforniaAce+1.8%

    California ace on Suli Davis

    Set 1 · CAL 17-12 SMU · CAL 16% → 17%

  4. 04

    Kill by Natalia Newsome (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 3 · CAL 0-1 SMU · SMU 87% → 89%

  5. 05

    Jadyn Livings stuffed by Anna Flores & Cari Bohm

    Set 4 · CAL 7-7 SMU · CAL 4% → 6%

  6. 06
    Suli DavisKill+1.6%

    Kill by Suli Davis (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 1 · CAL 13-11 SMU · SMU 87% → 88%

  7. 07

    Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Anna Flores)

    Set 1 · CAL 8-4 SMU · CAL 11% → 13%

  8. 08
    Favor AnyanwuKill+1.6%

    Kill by Favor Anyanwu (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 2 · CAL 3-6 SMU · SMU 82% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411626.19211540052.514.5
49017.5290021004211
47216.3130000014310
47216.31300200010.57.5
4116.0003603200212
4000–101320000
44315.067010120005
14Elise LauL/DS
4000–001000000
4000–000600000
4000–3001000000
2239-.111000010002
Team totals4117105.22941214276116976
SMUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4261052.30801241010.527.5
49014.64310240132.511.5
49113.6151000012211
4115.0004312400213
4203.667115200003
1000–000000000
46211.364011300218
4000–4211200002
4000–200510000
3348-.125000100003
Team totals5618106.35852613352210794

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CAL · SMU 9

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 CALSMU 2

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 CALSMU 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 CALSMU 7

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 CALSMU 9

Bars above the line = SMU leads, below = California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
25%3/12
2
53%10/19
31%5/16
3
50%9/18
17%2/12
4
43%9/21
31%4/13
5
88%7/8
43%6/14
6
64%7/11
30%3/10
All
57%53/93
30%23/77

SMU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
36%5/14
2
83%10/12
38%6/16
3
77%10/13
41%7/17
4
57%8/14
65%17/26
5
62%8/13
27%3/11
6
78%7/9
22%2/9
All
70%54/77
43%40/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

170 rallies

#CAL-SMUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SMUCALBlockedSuli Davisblk Sawyer Thomsen, Abby Zimmerman+0.6
22-0CALCALBlockedSuli Davisblk Sawyer Thomsen, Abby Zimmerman+1.2
32-1CALSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.6
43-1SMUCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.8
53-2CALSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.6
64-2SMUCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.8
75-2CALCALAttack errHannah Beauford+1.4
85-3CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.7
95-4SMUSMUAttack errAbby Zimmerman+1.2
106-4SMUCAL×3KillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.8
117-4CALCAL×3KillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+1.5
128-4CALCAL×3KillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.6
138-5CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.7
149-5SMUCALKillGrace Agolliset Sophia Johnson+1.0
159-6CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.8
1610-6SMUCALServe errSMU+1.1
1710-7CALSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.8
1811-7SMUCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.1
1911-8CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.8
2012-8SMUCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.1
2112-9CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.8
2213-9SMUCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.2
2313-10CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.8
2413-11SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.6
2514-11SMUCALAttack errGabi Placide+1.2
2614-12CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.9
2715-12SMUCAL×3KillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.3
2816-12CALCAL×3KillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+2.0
2917-12CALCAL×3AceCaliforniaaced Suli Davis+1.8
3017-13CALSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.7
3118-13SMUCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.1
3219-13CALCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.4
3319-14CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.4
3420-14SMUCAL×3Serve errSMU+0.8
3521-14CALCAL×3Bad setHannah Beauford+0.8
3622-14CALCAL×3KillAbby Zimmermanset Sophia Johnson+0.4
3722-15CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.1
3822-16SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.2
3923-16SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.3
4023-17CALSMUBlockedAbby Zimmermanblk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis+0.1
4124-17SMUCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.2
4224-18CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
4324-19SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.1
4425-19SMUCALServe errSMU+0.1
Set 2
10-1CALSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.1
21-1SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.3
31-2CALSMUServe errCalifornia+1.1
42-2SMUCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.3
52-3CALSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.2
63-3SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.4
73-4CALSMU×3Attack errGrace Agolli+1.2
83-5SMUSMU×3AceSMU+1.9
93-6SMUSMU×3KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.6
104-6SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.9
114-7CALSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.9
125-7SMUCALBlockedJadyn Livingsblk Cari Bohm, Abby Zimmerman+0.9
135-8CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.9
145-9SMUSMUAttack errAshley Li+1.3
156-9SMUCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.7
166-10CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.7
177-10SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Francesca Popescu+0.7
187-11CALSMU×5KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.8
197-12SMUSMU×5AceSMUaced Grace Agolli+1.0
207-13SMUSMU×5Attack errAbby Zimmerman+0.7
217-14SMUSMU×5KillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+0.4
227-15SMUSMU×5AceSMUaced Grace Agolli+0.2
238-15SMUCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.1
248-16CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.1
259-16SMUCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.1
2610-16CALCALAttack errSuli Davis+0.2
2710-17CALSMUAttack errCari Bohm+0.2
2811-17SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.1
2911-18CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.2
3011-19SMUSMUKillJadyn Livings+0.2
3112-19SMUCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores·
3212-20CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.1
3313-20SMUCALServe errSMU·
3414-20CALCALBlockedJadyn Livingsblk Sawyer Thomsen, Ashley Li+0.1
3514-21CALSMU×3Serve errCalifornia+0.1
3614-22SMUSMU×3AceSMUaced Francesca Popescu+0.1
3714-23SMUSMU×3BlockedAbby Zimmermanblk Gabi Placide, Natalia Newsome·
3815-23SMUCALServe errSMU·
3915-24CALSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford·
4016-24SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores·
4116-25CALSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford·
Set 3
10-1SMUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.7
20-2SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+1.5
31-2SMUCALServe errSMU+0.9
41-3CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.9
52-3SMUCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.9
62-4CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.9
73-4SMUCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+1.0
83-5CALSMU×7Serve errCalifornia+0.9
93-6SMUSMU×7BlockedGrace Agolliblk Hannah Beauford, Natalia Newsome+1.4
103-7SMUSMU×7BlockedAnna Floresblk Natalia Newsome+1.1
113-8SMUSMU×7KillHannah Beaufordset Sarah Frazee+0.8
123-9SMUSMU×7KillJadyn Livingsset Sarah Frazee+0.6
133-10SMUSMU×7KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.4
143-11SMUSMU×7KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.2
154-11SMUCALServe errSMU+0.1
165-11CALCALKillAshley Liset Sophia Johnson+0.3
175-12CALSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.2
186-12SMUCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.2
197-12CALCALAttack errGabi Placide+0.4
207-13CALSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.3
217-14SMUSMUKillSuli Davis+0.4
228-14SMUCALServe errSMU+0.1
239-14CALCALAttack errNatalia Newsome+0.4
249-15CALSMUAttack errAshley Li+0.3
2510-15SMUCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.2
2610-16CALSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.3
2710-17SMUSMUAttack errAbby Zimmerman+0.3
2811-17SMUCALAttack errSuli Davis+0.1
2912-17CALCALKillDominique Phillsset Anna Flores+0.3
3012-18CALSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.3
3112-19SMUSMUBlockedCari Bohmblk Favor Anyanwu+0.3
3213-19SMUCALServe errSMU+0.1
3314-19CALCALAceCaliforniaaced Sarah Frazee+0.3
3414-20CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.2
3515-20SMUCALServe errSMU+0.1
3616-20CALCALBlockedJadyn Livingsblk Anna Flores, Cari Bohm+0.5
3716-21CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.4
3817-21SMUCALKillAnna Floresset Abby Zimmerman+0.2
3917-22CALSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.4
4018-22SMUCALServe errSMU+0.2
4118-23CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.3
4219-23SMUCALAttack errSuli Davis+0.1
4320-23CALCALBlockedSuli Davisblk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen+0.5
4420-24CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Favor Anyanwu+0.6
4520-25SMUSMUAceSMUaced Dominique Phills+0.2
Set 4
10-1CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+0.7
20-2SMUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.1
31-2SMUCALServe errSMU+0.7
42-2CALCALAttack errSuli Davis+1.3
52-3CALSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.8
62-4SMUSMU×3BlockedDominique Phillsblk Favor Anyanwu, Gabi Placide+1.2
72-5SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.0
83-5SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.6
94-5CALCALAttack errSuli Davis+1.2
104-6CALSMUServe errCalifornia+0.7
115-6SMUCALBlockedSuli Davisblk Cari Bohm, Abby Zimmerman+0.8
125-7CALSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.7
136-7SMUCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.8
147-7CALCALBlockedJadyn Livingsblk Anna Flores, Cari Bohm+1.6
157-8CALSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.9
168-8SMUCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.0
178-9CALSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.0
188-10SMUSMU×3Attack errAbby Zimmerman+1.5
198-11SMUSMU×3AceSMUaced Francesca Popescu+1.2
209-11SMUCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.7
219-12CALSMUKillGabi Placideset Natalia Newsome+0.7
2210-12SMUCALServe errSMU+0.7
2310-13CALSMUKillSuli Davisset Christa Wilburn+0.7
2411-13SMUCALKillDominique Phillsset Anna Flores+0.7
2511-14CALSMU×9KillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+0.7
2611-15SMUSMU×9KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.0
2711-16SMUSMU×9BlockedDominique Phillsblk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu+0.6
2811-17SMUSMU×9KillFavor Anyanwu+0.4
2911-18SMUSMU×9Attack errDominique Phills+0.2
3011-19SMUSMU×9Bad setAnna Flores+0.1
3111-20SMUSMU×9KillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford·
3211-21SMUSMU×9KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
3311-22SMUSMU×9KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
3412-22SMUCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores·
3513-22CALCALBad setHannah Beauford·
3613-23CALSMUServe errCalifornia·
3713-24SMUSMUAttack errGrace Agolli·
3814-24SMUCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores·
3915-24CALCALBlockedSuli Davisblk Cari Bohm·
4015-25CALSMUKillChrista Wilburnset Hannah Beauford·

Score shown after each rally, California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).