FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ACCNX

SMU def. Syracuse 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: SMU 99.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SMU won at Syracuse 3-0 (25-18, 25-19, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. SMU's Suli Davis led with 12 kills.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
SMU2525253
SYR1819160

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No doubt about it: No. 5 SMU over Syracuse.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.1 points. Syracuse peaked at <1% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. SMU went in as RallyIQ's >99% pick.

SMUSyracuse
  • Break %+18.4 pts
    54.836.4

    40 of 73 on serve vs 20 of 55, so Syracuse's sideout was 45.2%.

  • Hitting+.341
    .341.000

    39 kills, 9 errors vs 26 kills, 26 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    SMU scored 6 straight in the first set to stretch an 11–10 lead to 17–10. That set ended 25–18.

Syracuse above 50SMU belowMax swing 0.1%

SMUSyracuse

Aces
SMU 5·Syracuse 4
Serve err
SMU 12·Syracuse 1
Blocks
SMU 12·Syracuse 32 BS · 20 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs
SMU 33·Syracuse 31

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Syracuse above 50 · SMU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 128 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: SMU stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SMU 99.8%0.2% SYR

SMU wins

3-0
84.0%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
1.5%

Syracuse wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.2%
SMU break %
50.5% vs this opp
SYR break %
29.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

SMUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312530.233431100010.515.5
36216.2501001026511
38214.429000120219
37013.538002300429
3002.0003011100423
1206.333001000002
31011.000001320001
31011.000103600001
3000–000500000
2000–012200001
1205.40010110031.53.5
1000–000000000
Team totals39988.341375123342201275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312935.08610041010.512.5
35722-.091020100007
35210.30001010010.56.5
3105.200190020010.51.5
3024-.50000000111.51.5
3001.000100520000
3349-.111000200003
3011-1.0001111110001
3012-.500000500000
1000–200000000
Team totals262689.000244131514353

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SMU · SYR 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 6 SMUSYR 2

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 SMUSYR 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 SMUSYR 2

Bars above the line = Syracuse leads, below = SMU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SMU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
29%2/7
2
75%6/8
45%5/11
3
50%6/12
60%9/15
4
75%6/8
57%8/14
5
83%5/6
50%5/10
6
71%5/7
69%11/16
All
64%35/55
55%40/73

Syracuse

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
50%6/12
2
40%6/15
40%4/10
3
75%6/8
45%5/11
4
43%6/14
33%3/9
5
33%5/15
25%2/8
6
50%4/8
0%0/5
All
45%33/73
36%20/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#SMU-SYRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1SYRSYRAceSyracuseaced Jadyn Livings
20-2SYRSYRAttack errNatalia Newsome
31-2SYRSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford
42-2SMUSMU×3KillVictoria Harrisset Charis Burge
53-2SMUSMU×3AceSMUaced Kiernan Stamey
63-3SMUSYRServe errSMU
73-4SYRSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge
84-4SYRSMU×5KillSuli Davisset Natalia Newsome
95-4SMUSMU×5BlockedKeila Gabrielblk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis
106-4SMUSMU×5Attack errYuka Urano
117-4SMUSMU×5Bad setCharis Burge
128-4SMUSMU×5Attack errEmma Williams
138-5SMUSYRServe errSMU
148-6SYRSYRAceSyracuseaced Levariya Pinder
159-6SYRSMUAttack errKeila Gabriel
169-7SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
179-8SYRSYRBad setHannah Beauford
1810-8SYRSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford
1911-8SMUSMUAttack errKeila Gabriel
2011-9SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
2111-10SYRSYRAttack errJadyn Livings
2212-10SYRSMU×6KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford
2313-10SMUSMU×6KillJadyn Livingsset Suli Davis
2414-10SMUSMU×6KillJadyn Livingsset Suli Davis
2515-10SMUSMU×6BlockedBo Nijenhuisblk Jadyn Livings, Natalia Newsome
2616-10SMUSMU×6KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford
2717-10SMUSMU×6BlockedKiernan Stameyblk Hannah Beauford, Natalia Newsome
2817-11SMUSYRServe errSMU
2918-11SYRSMUKillLevariya Pinderset Hannah Beauford
3018-12SMUSYRKillEmma Williamsset Mira Ledermueller
3119-12SYRSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
3220-12SMUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford
3320-13SMUSYRKillEmma Williamsset Mira Ledermueller
3421-13SYRSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
3521-14SMUSYRServe errSMU
3621-15SYRSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge
3722-15SYRSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford
3822-16SMUSYRServe errSMU
3923-16SYRSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
4023-17SMUSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge
4124-17SYRSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford
4224-18SMUSYRServe errSMU
4325-18SYRSMUBlockedEmma Williamsblk Natalia Newsome, Hannah Beauford
Set 2
11-0SMUSMUAttack errKiernan Stamey
21-1SMUSYR×4Serve errSMU
31-2SYRSYR×4KillKeila Gabrielset Kiernan Stamey
41-3SYRSYR×4AceSyracuseaced Levariya Pinder
51-4SYRSYR×4BlockedNatalia Newsomeblk Bo Nijenhuis
62-4SYRSMUAttack errKiernan Stamey
72-5SMUSYRAttack errSuli Davis
82-6SYRSYRBlockedSuli Davisblk Bo Nijenhuis, Charis Burge
93-6SYRSMUAttack errKeila Gabriel
103-7SMUSYRServe errSMU
113-8SYRSYRAttack errSuli Davis
124-8SYRSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
135-8SMUSMU×4KillFavor Anyanwuset Suli Davis
146-8SMUSMU×4Attack errBo Nijenhuis
157-8SMUSMU×4AceSMUaced Shalena Queen Howse
167-9SMUSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge
177-10SYRSYRKillCharis Burgeset Victoria Harris
188-10SYRSMU×3KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford
199-10SMUSMU×3BlockedAbby Nicholsonblk Jadyn Livings, Natalia Newsome
2010-10SMUSMU×3Attack errKiernan Stamey
2110-11SMUSYRBad setHannah Beauford
2211-11SYRSMU×5KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford
2312-11SMUSMU×5Attack errEmma Williams
2413-11SMUSMU×5Bad setKeila Gabriel
2514-11SMUSMU×5AceSMUaced Yuka Urano
2615-11SMUSMU×5BlockedAbby Nicholsonblk Natalia Newsome
2715-12SMUSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
2815-13SYRSYR×3BlockedJadyn Livingsblk Abby Nicholson, Kiernan Stamey
2915-14SYRSYR×3AceSyracuseaced Jadyn Livings
3016-14SYRSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford
3117-14SMUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford
3217-15SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
3318-15SYRSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford
3418-16SMUSYRAttack errSuli Davis
3519-16SYRSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford
3619-17SMUSYRAttack errSuli Davis
3719-18SYRSYRKillEmma Williams
3820-18SYRSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
3921-18SMUSMU×4BlockedEmma Williamsblk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford
4022-18SMUSMU×4AceSMUaced Shalena Queen Howse
4123-18SMUSMU×4KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford
4223-19SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
4324-19SYRSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford
4425-19SMUSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Sarah Frazee
Set 3
10-1SYRSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge
20-2SYRSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge
31-2SYRSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Suli Davis
42-2SMUSMUKillBojana Ambulijaset Victoria Harris
52-3SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
63-3SYRSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
74-3SMUSMUAttack errEmma Williams
84-4SMUSYRServe errSMU
94-5SYRSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge
105-5SYRSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford
115-6SMUSYRServe errSMU
126-6SYRSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
137-6SMUSMUAceSMU
147-7SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Yuka Urano
158-7SYRSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford
168-8SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Shalena Queen Howse
179-8SYRSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford
189-9SMUSYRServe errSMU
1910-9SYRSMUBlockedEmma Williamsblk Natalia Newsome, Bojana Ambulija
2010-10SMUSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge
2111-10SYRSMU×5Bad setYuka Urano
2212-10SMUSMU×5BlockedEmma Williamsblk Favor Anyanwu, Bojana Ambulija
2313-10SMUSMU×5KillBojana Ambulijaset Hannah Beauford
2414-10SMUSMU×5Attack errKiernan Stamey
2515-10SMUSMU×5KillSuli Davisset Bojana Ambulija
2615-11SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
2715-12SYRSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge
2816-12SYRSMU×3BlockedKiernan Stameyblk Favor Anyanwu, Bojana Ambulija
2917-12SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
3018-12SMUSMU×3Attack errKiernan Stamey
3118-13SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
3219-13SYRSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
3319-14SMUSYRServe errSMU
3420-14SYRSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford
3521-14SMUSMU×3BlockedKiernan Stameyblk Natalia Newsome, Hannah Beauford
3622-14SMUSMU×3BlockedMarie Laurioblk Natalia Newsome
3722-15SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
3823-15SYRSMUBad setCharis Burge
3923-16SMUSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge
4024-16SYRSMUServe errYuka Urano
4125-16SMUSMUAttack errKiernan Stamey

Score shown after each rally, SMU first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).