FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

Harvard def. Providence 3–0

Harvard beat visiting Providence 3-0 (25-21, 25-21, 29-27) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Kayla Nwabueze led Harvard with 13 kills; Providence's Sophia Adkins had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
PROV2121270
HARV2525293

Win probability

Harvard above 50 · Providence below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.5% PROVrally 148 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.5% to Providence — set 3, PROV 26-25 HARV. Attack error by Bridget Egan. HARV win probability 88% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PROV 48.5%51.5% HARV

Providence wins

3-0
11.9%
3-1
18.1%
3-2
18.5%

Harvard wins

3-0
13.1%
3-1
19.4%
3-2
19.0%
PROV break %
44.4% vs this opp
HARV break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bridget EganAttack error+6.5%

    Attack error by Bridget Egan

    Set 3 · PROV 26-25 HARV · PROV 12% → 18%

  2. 02
    Aubrey EasterwoodAttack error+6.5%

    Attack error by Aubrey Easterwood

    Set 3 · PROV 27-28 HARV · HARV 87% → 94%

  3. 03

    Fielding Mayhugh stuffed by Masina Ogbechie & Ryleigh Patterson

    Set 3 · PROV 27-29 HARV · HARV 94% → 100%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kayla Nwabueze (set by Sophia Wei)

    Set 1 · PROV 21-23 HARV · HARV 57% → 63%

  5. 05
    Ryleigh PattersonAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Ryleigh Patterson

    Set 1 · PROV 21-21 HARV · PROV 43% → 48%

  6. 06

    Kill by Masina Ogbechie (set by Catlin Shao)

    Set 3 · PROV 26-26 HARV · HARV 82% → 87%

  7. 07
    Sophia AdkinsKill+5.2%

    Kill by Sophia Adkins (set by Miller McDonald)

    Set 3 · PROV 27-26 HARV · PROV 13% → 18%

  8. 08

    Fielding Mayhugh stuffed by Masina Ogbechie & Riley Resmer

    Set 3 · PROV 27-27 HARV · HARV 82% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
319131.58120110002120
35719-.10500010010.55.5
3217.14300010031.53.5
3229.000002100213
3102.5002012500002
30312-.25000050010.50.5
35217.17600000010.55.5
3203.667912100003
3001.0005111200001
24210.200000000004
2000–001010000
1000–000000000
1000–000010000
Team totals4018111.1983639363010569
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313427.3331022102114
38221.286000200219
37523.087100510218
3538.250000200638
3305.60012240031.56.5
3012-.5002011500001
311220.45000030031.512.5
3001.0001703300000
3000–001200000
3000–3001510000
Team totals4717107.2804339433018979

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PROV · HARV 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 5 PROVHARV 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 PROVHARV 5

Set 3

27-29

Longest run 4 PROVHARV 4

Bars above the line = Harvard leads, below = Providence leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Providence

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
30%3/10
2
57%8/14
58%11/19
3
78%7/9
38%5/13
4
78%7/9
42%5/12
5
50%6/12
22%2/9
6
25%5/20
25%2/8
All
53%41/77
39%28/71

Harvard

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
54%7/13
2
47%8/17
47%7/15
3
64%7/11
36%4/11
4
54%7/13
30%3/10
5
78%7/9
13%1/8
6
75%6/8
70%14/20
All
61%43/71
47%36/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

148 rallies

#PROV-HARVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PROVHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+1.9
20-2HARVHARVKillBridget Eganset Sophia Wei+2.4
31-2HARVPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.9
41-3PROVHARVKillBridget Eganset Sophia Wei+1.9
52-3HARVPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.9
62-4PROVHARVAttack errTori Otter+2.0
72-5HARVHARVBlockedTori Otterblk Bridget Egan, Riley Resmer+2.4
83-5HARVPROVServe errHarvard+1.8
93-6PROVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+2.0
103-7HARVHARVKillRiley Resmer+2.3
114-7HARVPROVKillSarah Musial+1.7
124-8PROVHARVKillMasina Ogbechie+1.9
135-8HARVPROVServe errHarvard+1.7
145-9PROVHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+1.9
155-10HARVHARVAceHarvardaced Gwenyth Koss+2.1
166-10HARVPROVAttack errKayla Nwabueze+1.4
177-10PROVPROVKillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald+2.1
187-11PROVHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Bridget Egan+2.0
198-11HARVPROV×5Serve errHarvard+1.7
209-11PROVPROV×5Attack errBridget Egan+2.5
2110-11PROVPROV×5Attack errRyleigh Patterson+2.9
2211-11PROVPROV×5BlockedBridget Eganblk Tori Otter, Lyric Berry+3.1
2312-11PROVPROV×5Attack errBridget Egan+3.2
2412-12PROVHARV×5KillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+2.6
2512-13HARVHARV×5BlockedTori Otterblk Bridget Egan, Riley Resmer+3.4
2612-14HARVHARV×5Attack errTori Otter+3.3
2712-15HARVHARV×5KillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+3.1
2812-16HARVHARV×5KillBridget Eganset Kayla Nwabueze+2.7
2913-16HARVPROVKillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald+1.8
3014-16PROVPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.8
3114-17PROVHARVKillBridget Eganset Sophia Wei+2.7
3214-18HARVHARVAttack errAubrey Easterwood+2.9
3315-18HARVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.8
3416-18PROVPROV×3KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+2.9
3517-18PROVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+3.7
3617-19PROVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+3.4
3718-19HARVPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+3.1
3819-19PROVPROVBlockedMasina Ogbechieblk Aubrey Easterwood, Macy Taylor+4.6
3919-20PROVHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+4.1
4019-21HARVHARVKillRyleigh Patterson+5.0
4120-21HARVPROVKillSarah Musial+3.4
4221-21PROVPROVAttack errRyleigh Patterson+5.6
4321-22PROVHARV×4Serve errProvidence+5.2
4421-23HARVHARV×4KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+6.3
4521-24HARVHARV×4BlockedShea Dupuisblk Ryleigh Patterson, Kayla Nwabueze+4.6
4621-25HARVHARV×4Attack errLyric Berry+1.9
Set 2
11-0HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer+1.9
22-0PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Yvette Easton+2.4
32-1PROVHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+1.8
42-2HARVHARVBad setMiller McDonald+2.4
53-2HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+2.0
63-3PROVHARVServe errProvidence+2.0
74-3HARVPROVServe errHarvard+2.0
84-4PROVHARVServe errProvidence+2.0
94-5HARVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+2.6
105-5HARVPROVServe errHarvard+2.1
115-6PROVHARVServe errProvidence+2.1
126-6HARVPROVKillShea Dupuisset Ava Dyer+2.1
136-7PROVHARV×5KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+2.2
146-8HARVHARV×5BlockedTori Otterblk Kayla Nwabueze, Ryleigh Patterson+2.7
156-9HARVHARV×5KillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+2.6
166-10HARVHARV×5Attack errMacy Taylor+2.4
176-11HARVHARV×5AceHarvard+2.1
187-11HARVPROVKillMiller McDonaldset Sophia Adkins+1.4
197-12PROVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+1.7
208-12HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.4
218-13PROVHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+1.7
228-14HARVHARVAttack errTori Otter+1.8
239-14HARVPROVServe errHarvard+1.1
2410-14PROVPROVBlockedAli Farquharblk Aubrey Easterwood, Sophia Adkins+1.8
2510-15PROVHARVKillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+1.7
2611-15HARVPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.4
2711-16PROVHARVKillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+1.8
2812-16HARVPROVServe errHarvard+1.4
2913-16PROVPROVBlockedMasina Ogbechieblk Shea Dupuis, Lyric Berry+2.2
3013-17PROVHARVAttack errMacy Taylor+2.2
3114-17HARVPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.8
3215-17PROVPROVAttack errKayla Nwabueze+2.8
3315-18PROVHARV×5KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+2.8
3415-19HARVHARV×5BlockedMacy Taylorblk Masina Ogbechie, Ryleigh Patterson+2.9
3515-20HARVHARV×5KillKayla Nwabuezeset Riley Resmer+2.2
3615-21HARVHARV×5AceHarvardaced Lyla Buser+1.4
3715-22HARVHARV×5KillRyleigh Pattersonset Catlin Shao+0.8
3816-22HARVPROVServe errHarvard+0.3
3917-22PROVPROVAttack errRyleigh Patterson+0.6
4017-23PROVHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+0.8
4118-23HARVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+0.3
4219-23PROVPROV×3Attack errKayla Nwabueze+0.7
4320-23PROVPROV×3Attack errSophia Wei+1.4
4420-24PROVHARVServe errProvidence+2.1
4521-24HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+0.7
4621-25PROVHARVServe errProvidence+1.5
Set 3
10-1PROVHARV×3KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+1.3
20-2HARVHARV×3BlockedTori Otterblk Ali Farquhar, Ryleigh Patterson+1.6
30-3HARVHARV×3KillBridget Eganset Yvette Easton+1.5
41-3HARVPROVAttack errKayla Nwabueze+1.1
51-4PROVHARVKillAli Farquhar+1.2
62-4HARVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.2
73-4PROVPROV×3KillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+1.6
84-4PROVPROV×3KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sophia Wei+1.7
94-5PROVHARVKillRiley Resmerset Sophia Wei+1.4
105-5HARVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.4
116-5PROVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer+1.8
127-5PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Bridget Egan+1.8
137-6PROVHARVKillBridget Eganset Yvette Easton+1.4
148-6HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+1.5
158-7PROVHARV×3KillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+1.4
168-8HARVHARV×3Bad setSophia Adkins+1.9
178-9HARVHARV×3Attack errShea Dupuis+1.9
189-9HARVPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Ava Dyer+1.5
199-10PROVHARVServe errProvidence+1.6
2010-10HARVPROVServe errHarvard+1.6
2111-10PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Kayla Nwabueze+2.1
2211-11PROVHARVServe errProvidence+1.6
2312-11HARVPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Miller McDonald+1.7
2413-11PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+2.1
2513-12PROVHARVKillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+1.6
2614-12HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.8
2715-12PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+2.1
2815-13PROVHARVKillRiley Resmerset Sophia Wei+1.5
2916-13HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer+1.7
3016-14PROVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+1.5
3117-14HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+1.8
3217-15PROVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+1.5
3317-16HARVHARVKillKayla Nwabueze+2.3
3418-16HARVPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Sarah Musial+2.2
3518-17PROVHARV×4KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+1.9
3618-18HARVHARV×4KillKayla Nwabuezeset Yvette Easton+2.8
3718-19HARVHARV×4KillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+3.1
3818-20HARVHARV×4KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+3.0
3919-20HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial+2.1
4019-21PROVHARV×3Serve errProvidence+2.6
4119-22HARVHARV×3KillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+2.8
4219-23HARVHARV×3KillBridget Eganset Sophia Wei+1.9
4320-23HARVPROV×4KillFielding Mayhughset Miller McDonald+0.8
4421-23PROVPROV×4BlockedAli Farquharblk Sophia Adkins, Lyric Berry+1.7
4522-23PROVPROV×4KillSophia Adkins+3.0
4623-23PROVPROV×4Attack errBridget Egan+4.9
4723-24PROVHARVBlockedSophia Adkinsblk Ali Farquhar, Ryleigh Patterson+5.2
4824-24HARVPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+5.2
4924-25PROVHARVKillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+5.2
5025-25HARVPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+5.2
5126-25PROVPROVAttack errBridget Egan+6.5
5226-26PROVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+5.2
5327-26HARVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+5.2
5427-27PROVHARV×3BlockedFielding Mayhughblk Masina Ogbechie, Riley Resmer+5.2
5527-28HARVHARV×3Attack errAubrey Easterwood+6.5
5627-29HARVHARV×3BlockedFielding Mayhughblk Masina Ogbechie, Ryleigh Patterson+6.4

Score shown after each rally, Providence first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).