Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 7, 2026Watch on ACCN

SMU def. Pittsburgh 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Pittsburgh 81.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 7, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SMU won at Pittsburgh 3-1 (21-25, 25-19, 38-36, 25-22) on Wed, Oct 7, 2026. Suli Davis and Natalia Newsome led SMU with 17 kills each; Pittsburgh's Olivia Babcock had a match-high 25.

Data through · final Oct 7

Set1234Sets
SMU212538253
PITT251936221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Victoria Harris, and SMU needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are SMU's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had Pittsburgh at 82% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · SMU 3–7 Pittsburgh

    SMU's low point. SMU then won 22 of the next 34 rallies and the set 25–19.

    SMU 6% → 24%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · SMU 35–36 Pittsburgh

    Down 35–36, SMU had 3 straight kills to lead 38–36. The match swung to SMU.

    SMU 20% → 54%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · SMU 22–21 Pittsburgh

    SMU won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–22 and win the match 3–1.

    SMU 72% → >99%

Pittsburgh above 50SMU belowMax swing 14.9%

SMUPittsburgh

Sideout %
SMU 70.9·Pittsburgh 66.7
Break %
SMU 33.3·Pittsburgh 29.1
Hitting
SMU .347·Pittsburgh .252
Longest run
SMU 4·Pittsburgh 4

Natalia Newsome
7 kills inside the turning points, 17 K and .519 for the match (18.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Pittsburgh above 50 · SMU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+14.9% SMUrally 211 · set 4

Biggest swing: 14.9% to SMU — set 3, SMU 38-36 PITT. Kill by Natalia Newsome (set by Hannah Beauford). PITT win probability 61% → 46%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SMU 15.4%84.6% PITT

SMU wins

3-0
2.3%
3-1
4.9%
3-2
8.1%

Pittsburgh wins

3-0
36.6%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.7%
SMU break %
33.5% vs this opp
PITT break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Natalia NewsomeKill+14.9%

    Kill by Natalia Newsome (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 3 · SMU 38-36 PITT · SMU 39% → 54%

  2. 02
    Suli DavisKill+13.9%

    Kill by Suli Davis (set by Christa Wilburn)

    Set 4 · SMU 23-21 PITT · SMU 72% → 86%

  3. 03

    Olivia Babcock stuffed by Favor Anyanwu & Suli Davis

    Set 4 · SMU 22-21 PITT · SMU 59% → 72%

  4. 04
    Natalia NewsomeBlock+12.5%

    Izzy Starck stuffed by Natalia Newsome

    Set 3 · SMU 30-29 PITT · SMU 26% → 39%

  5. 05
    Natalia NewsomeKill+12.5%

    Kill by Natalia Newsome (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 3 · SMU 37-36 PITT · SMU 26% → 39%

  6. 06
    Favor AnyanwuAttack error+11.2%

    Attack error by Favor Anyanwu

    Set 3 · SMU 24-25 PITT · PITT 69% → 80%

  7. 07
    Olivia BabcockKill+11.2%

    Kill by Olivia Babcock (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 3 · SMU 34-35 PITT · PITT 69% → 80%

  8. 08

    Blaire Bayless stuffed by Hannah Beauford & Favor Anyanwu & Suli Davis

    Set 4 · SMU 24-21 PITT · SMU 86% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SMUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417850.1803039104219
417327.51910010111.518.5
410320.3500035018515
410120.4500037002111
4207.2865404400424
4000–223520002
413323.4350002002114
4000–5412000004
4000–100800000
Team totals6918147.3476661761322112.5109
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
425969.2320247002128
413636.19410033010.513.5
410127.3331100000011
45210.30020000031.56.5
4226.000470280031.53.5
3418.375002300215
4000–201800000
4000–0011120000
4000–001700000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
2203.66700110010.52.5
Team totals6121159.252533124860126102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

SMU vs Pittsburgh

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SMU · PITT 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 SMUPITT 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 SMUPITT 4

Set 3

38-36

Longest run 4 SMUPITT 2

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 SMUPITT 3

Bars above the line = Pittsburgh leads, below = SMU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SMU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%14/20
37%7/19
2
64%14/22
36%8/22
3
67%12/18
38%8/21
4
69%11/16
39%7/18
5
79%11/14
27%4/15
6
85%11/13
15%2/13
All
71%73/103
33%36/108

Pittsburgh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%14/20
25%4/16
2
67%14/21
33%7/21
3
52%12/23
28%5/18
4
79%11/14
37%7/19
5
79%11/14
27%4/15
6
63%10/16
21%3/14
All
67%72/108
29%30/103

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

211 rallies

#SMU-PITTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PITTSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.2
21-1SMUPITTBlockedSuli Davisblk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch+1.1
31-2PITTPITTBlockedSuli Davisblk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch+1.7
42-2PITTSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.1
52-3SMUPITTServe errSMU+1.1
63-3PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+1.1
73-4SMUPITT×3Serve errSMU+1.1
83-5PITTPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.6
93-6PITTPITT×3Attack errSuli Davis+1.4
104-6PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+0.9
114-7SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.9
125-7PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.9
135-8SMUPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.9
145-9PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.2
156-9PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+0.7
166-10SMUPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.8
176-11PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.0
187-11PITTSMUAttack errOlivia Babcock+0.5
197-12SMUPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Masten+0.6
207-13PITTPITT×3KillBlaire Baylessset Ayanna Watson+0.7
217-14PITTPITT×3KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.5
228-14PITTSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.2
239-14SMUSMUAttack errOlivia Babcock+0.5
249-15SMUPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.4
2510-15PITTSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.3
2611-15SMUSMU×3KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.8
2712-15SMUSMU×3KillJadyn Livingsset Sarah Frazee+1.1
2812-16SMUPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+0.9
2913-16PITTSMUBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Hannah Beauford, Jadyn Livings+0.7
3014-16SMUSMUAttack errOlivia Babcock+1.6
3114-17SMUPITTServe errSMU+1.2
3214-18PITTPITTAttack errSuli Davis+1.5
3315-18PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.7
3415-19SMUPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.9
3516-19PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+0.7
3616-20SMUPITTServe errSMU+0.9
3716-21PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.9
3817-21PITTSMU×3KillHannah Beaufordset Christa Wilburn+0.3
3918-21SMUSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.9
4019-21SMUSMU×3BlockedBlaire Baylessblk Favor Anyanwu+1.6
4119-22SMUPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Masten+1.5
4219-23PITTPITTAcePittsburghaced Suli Davis+1.3
4320-23PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.4
4421-23SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.3
4521-24SMUPITTServe errSMU+1.5
4621-25PITTPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.7
Set 2
10-1SMUPITTAttack errSuli Davis+0.8
21-1PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.8
31-2SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.8
41-3PITTPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+1.2
52-3PITTSMUBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Gabi Placide, Favor Anyanwu+0.7
63-3SMUSMUBad setIzzy Starck+1.3
73-4SMUPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.8
83-5PITTPITT×4Attack errFavor Anyanwu+1.2
93-6PITTPITT×4Attack errSuli Davis+1.1
103-7PITTPITT×4AcePittsburghaced Christa Wilburn+0.9
114-7PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+0.5
125-7SMUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Victoria Harris+1.0
135-8SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Masten+0.7
146-8PITTSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.7
156-9SMUPITTKillIzzy Starckset Jadyn Livings+0.7
167-9PITTSMUAttack errIzzy Starck+0.7
177-10SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.7
188-10PITTSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.7
199-10SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+1.4
209-11SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.9
2110-11PITTSMU×4KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+0.9
2211-11SMUSMU×4AceSMUaced Mallorie Meyer+1.7
2312-11SMUSMU×4AceSMUaced Mallorie Meyer+2.0
2413-11SMUSMU×4AceSMU+2.2
2513-12SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.2
2614-12PITTSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.5
2714-13SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.2
2815-13PITTSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.5
2916-13SMUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+2.4
3016-14SMUPITTBlockedSuli Davisblk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless+1.2
3116-15PITTPITTAttack errJadyn Livings+2.2
3217-15PITTSMUAttack errMaaike Heilig+1.7
3317-16SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.4
3418-16PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.8
3518-17SMUPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.5
3619-17PITTSMUAttack errHannah Beauford+1.9
3720-17SMUSMUAceSMUaced Blaire Bayless+2.8
3820-18SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.2
3921-18PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.9
4022-18SMUSMUBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Favor Anyanwu, Gabi Placide+2.2
4122-19SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Abbey Emch+0.7
4223-19PITTSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.4
4324-19SMUSMU×3KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+1.0
4425-19SMUSMU×3BlockedBlaire Baylessblk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford+0.2
Set 3
11-0PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.9
21-1SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.7
32-1PITTSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.9
42-2SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Abbey Emch+1.8
52-3PITTPITTBad setHannah Beauford+2.8
63-3PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.8
73-4SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+1.7
84-4PITTSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Suli Davis+1.9
94-5SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.8
105-5PITTSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Victoria Harris+1.9
115-6SMUPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.8
126-6PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+2.0
136-7SMUPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+1.9
146-8PITTPITTBad setHannah Beauford+2.8
157-8PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+1.8
167-9SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.8
178-9PITTSMUKillGabi Placideset Suli Davis+1.8
188-10SMUPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+1.8
199-10PITTSMU×4Attack errOlivia Babcock+1.9
2010-10SMUSMU×4KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+3.5
2111-10SMUSMU×4KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+4.0
2212-10SMUSMU×4KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+4.4
2312-11SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.4
2413-11PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+2.9
2513-12SMUPITTBlockedNatalia Newsomeblk Izzy Starck, Jordyn Dailey+2.5
2614-12PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.1
2714-13SMUPITTServe errSMU+2.6
2815-13PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+3.2
2916-13SMUSMUAceSMUaced Blaire Bayless+5.0
3016-14SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.5
3117-14PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+3.3
3218-14SMUSMUAttack errAbbey Emch+4.7
3318-15SMUPITTServe errSMU+2.0
3419-15PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.0
3519-16SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+1.9
3620-16PITTSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+3.1
3720-17SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+1.8
3820-18PITTPITTKillJordyn Dailey+4.3
3921-18PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+4.0
4021-19SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+2.5
4122-19PITTSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+4.2
4222-20SMUPITTServe errSMU+2.4
4322-21PITTPITTBlockedNatalia Newsomeblk Abbey Emch, Izzy Starck+6.1
4423-21PITTSMUKillGabi Placideset Natalia Newsome+5.9
4523-22SMUPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+3.7
4623-23PITTPITTAttack errGabi Placide+9.8
4724-23PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+8.0
4824-24SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+8.0
4924-25PITTPITTAttack errFavor Anyanwu+11.2
5025-25PITTSMUBlockedOlivia Babcockblk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis+6.7
5125-26SMUPITTServe errSMU+6.7
5226-26PITTSMUBlockedOlivia Babcockblk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis+6.7
5326-27SMUPITTServe errSMU+6.7
5427-27PITTSMUBlockedOlivia Babcockblk Favor Anyanwu, Jadyn Livings+6.7
5527-28SMUPITTServe errSMU+6.7
5628-28PITTSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+6.7
5728-29SMUPITTAttack errJadyn Livings+6.7
5829-29PITTSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+6.7
5930-29SMUSMUBlockedIzzy Starckblk Natalia Newsome+12.5
6030-30SMUPITTKillIzzy Starck+8.0
6131-30PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+8.0
6231-31SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+8.0
6332-31PITTSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+8.0
6432-32SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+8.0
6533-32PITTSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+8.0
6633-33SMUPITTServe errSMU+8.0
6734-33PITTSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+8.0
6834-34SMUPITTServe errSMU+8.0
6934-35PITTPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+11.2
7035-35PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+6.7
7135-36SMUPITTKillJordyn Daileyset Izzy Starck+6.7
7236-36PITTSMU×3KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+6.7
7337-36SMUSMU×3KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+12.5
7438-36SMUSMU×3KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+14.9
Set 4
10-1SMUPITT×3Serve errSMU+2.4
20-2PITTPITT×3Attack errNatalia Newsome+3.6
30-3PITTPITT×3KillMaaike Heilig+3.2
41-3PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+1.9
51-4SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+1.9
61-5PITTPITTAcePittsburghaced Christa Wilburn+2.7
72-5PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+1.6
82-6SMUPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+1.7
93-6PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+1.6
103-7SMUPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.7
114-7PITTSMU×4KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+1.6
125-7SMUSMU×4Attack errOlivia Babcock+3.2
136-7SMUSMU×4BlockedAyanna Watsonblk Hannah Beauford, Natalia Newsome+4.0
147-7SMUSMU×4KillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+4.7
157-8SMUPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+2.9
168-8PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+3.1
178-9SMUPITTServe errSMU+3.0
189-9PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+3.3
1910-9SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+5.8
2010-10SMUPITTServe errSMU+3.4
2111-10PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+3.9
2212-10SMUSMUAceSMUaced Blaire Bayless+6.6
2312-11SMUPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Suli Davis+3.6
2413-11PITTSMUServe errPittsburgh+4.4
2513-12SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+3.7
2613-13PITTPITTAttack errFavor Anyanwu+6.4
2714-13PITTSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+4.4
2814-14SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+4.0
2914-15PITTPITTBad setHannah Beauford+6.5
3015-15PITTSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+4.2
3115-16SMUPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+4.1
3215-17PITTPITTAttack errJadyn Livings+6.1
3316-17PITTSMU×3KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+3.6
3417-17SMUSMU×3KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+7.3
3518-17SMUSMU×3KillNatalia Newsomeset Izzy Masten+8.7
3618-18SMUPITTServe errSMU+5.1
3719-18PITTSMUKillHannah Beauford+6.0
3819-19SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+5.5
3920-19PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Hannah Beauford+6.6
4020-20SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+5.9
4120-21PITTPITTBlockedSuli Davisblk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck+10.2
4221-21PITTSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+6.3
4322-21SMUSMU×4BlockedOlivia Babcockblk Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis+13.0
4423-21SMUSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Christa Wilburn+13.9
4524-21SMUSMU×4BlockedBlaire Baylessblk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu, Suli Davis+10.4
4624-22SMUPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.1
4725-22PITTSMUKillNatalia Newsomeset Suli Davis+6.0

Score shown after each rally, SMU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).