FinalSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on ACCNX

SMU def. Florida St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: SMU 93.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SMU beat visiting Florida St. 3-0 (25-22, 25-23, 25-16) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. SMU's Jadyn Livings led with 11 kills, and Victoria Harris added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set123Sets
FSU2223160
SMU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Florida St. hit .086. SMU held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 1.5 points on one rally; Florida St. topped out at 8% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had SMU at 93%.

Florida St.SMU
  • Break %+11.9 pts
    33.345.2

    33 of 73 on serve vs 21 of 63, so Florida St.'s sideout was 54.8%.

  • Hitting+.177
    .086.263

    39 kills, 13 errors vs 32 kills, 23 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    5 straight SMU points in the third set stretched a 5–4 lead to 10–4. That set ended 25–16.

SMU above 50Florida St. belowMax swing 1.5%

Florida St.SMU

Aces
Florida St. 4·SMU 6
Serve err
Florida St. 7·SMU 11
Blocks
Florida St. 8·SMU 81 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Florida St. 39·SMU 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

SMU above 50 · Florida St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.5% FSUrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Florida St. — set 1, FSU 20-21 SMU. Attack error by Suli Davis. SMU win probability 95% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FSU 5.2%94.8% SMU

Florida St. wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.5%
3-2
3.1%

SMU wins

3-0
54.9%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
10.1%
FSU break %
32.2% vs this opp
SMU break %
44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Suli DavisAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Suli Davis

    Set 1 · FSU 20-21 SMU · FSU 5% → 7%

  2. 02

    Ace by Favor Anyanwu on Kyleene Filimaua

    Set 1 · FSU 20-23 SMU · SMU 95% → 96%

  3. 03
    Bailey HigginsService error+1.2%

    Service error by Bailey Higgins

    Set 2 · FSU 23-25 SMU · SMU 98% → 99%

  4. 04
    Jadyn LivingsKill+1.2%

    Kill by Jadyn Livings (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 1 · FSU 20-22 SMU · SMU 93% → 95%

  5. 05
    Delaney EwingKill+1.1%

    Kill by Delaney Ewing (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 1 · FSU 9-9 SMU · FSU 6% → 8%

  6. 06

    Kyleene Filimaua stuffed by Favor Anyanwu & Hannah Beauford

    Set 1 · FSU 9-11 SMU · SMU 93% → 94%

  7. 07

    Sofia Moss stuffed by Hannah Beauford & Favor Anyanwu

    Set 2 · FSU 22-24 SMU · SMU 97% → 98%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kyleene Filimaua (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 2 · FSU 22-23 SMU · FSU 2% → 3%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37317.23500010052.59.5
37626.038012631019
38113.538000000219
35824-.12531162031.57.5
3112.0002420900214
33315.000102600003
3001.000000300000
3000–002700000
2002.00000010010.50.5
2001.000000000000
2000–100000000
1114.00000000010.51.5
Team totals3223105.0862947396114861
SMUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311225.3600002000011
38013.6151002004210
37113.4620131004210
35414.071021100218
36524.042012920007
3215.2003611300636
3002.000113310001
3003.0000011300000
3000–000600000
1000–000100000
Team totals391399.26338611414016875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 FSU · SMU 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 FSUSMU 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 FSUSMU 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 FSUSMU 5

Bars above the line = SMU leads, below = Florida St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Florida St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
30%3/10
2
73%8/11
11%1/9
3
58%7/12
50%8/16
4
44%7/16
13%1/8
5
56%5/9
36%4/11
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
55%40/73
33%21/63

SMU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
45%5/11
2
80%8/10
43%6/14
3
50%7/14
36%4/11
4
78%7/9
42%5/12
5
64%7/11
61%11/18
6
63%5/8
29%2/7
All
67%42/63
45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#FSU-SMUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FSUSMU×3KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.5
20-2SMUSMU×3AceGabi Placideaced Kyleene Filimaua+0.7
30-3SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.6
41-3SMUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.4
51-4FSUSMUAttack errBailey Higgins+0.4
62-4SMUFSU×3KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.4
73-4FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.8
84-4FSUFSU×3KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.9
94-5FSUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.6
104-6SMUSMUAttack errNenu Kpea+0.8
115-6SMUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.5
125-7FSUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.5
136-7SMUFSUBlockedGabi Placideblk Sofia Moss, Nenu Kpea+0.5
146-8FSUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.5
157-8SMUFSUServe errChrista Wilburn+0.6
167-9FSUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.5
178-9SMUFSUAttack errSuli Davis+0.6
189-9FSUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+1.1
199-10FSUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.7
209-11SMUSMU×3BlockedKyleene Filimauablk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford+1.0
219-12SMUSMU×3Attack errEmma Lilo+0.8
2210-12SMUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.5
2310-13FSUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.5
2411-13SMUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.5
2511-14FSUSMUAttack errBailey Higgins+0.5
2611-15SMUSMUKillHannah Beaufordset Elle Vandeweghe+0.6
2712-15SMUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.3
2812-16FSUSMUBlockedSofia Mossblk Elle Vandeweghe, Hannah Beauford+0.4
2912-17SMUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.4
3013-17SMUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.2
3113-18FSUSMUServe errBailey Higgins+0.3
3214-18SMUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.2
3314-19FSUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.2
3415-19SMUFSUBlockedSuli Davisblk Emma Lilo, Delaney Ewing+0.2
3515-20FSUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.2
3616-20SMUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.2
3716-21FSUSMUServe errKyleene Filimaua+0.2
3817-21SMUFSU×4Serve errSuli Davis+0.1
3918-21FSUFSU×4KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.4
4019-21FSUFSU×4BlockedFavor Anyanwublk Sofia Moss, Nenu Kpea+0.8
4120-21FSUFSU×4Attack errSuli Davis+1.5
4220-22FSUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+1.2
4320-23SMUSMUAceFavor Anyanwuaced Kyleene Filimaua+1.3
4421-23SMUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.4
4521-24FSUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.7
4622-24SMUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.3
4722-25FSUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.6
Set 2
10-1SMUSMUAttack errDelaney Ewing+0.5
20-2SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.5
31-2SMUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.3
41-3FSUSMUServe errVictoria David+0.3
52-3SMUFSUAttack errSuli Davis+0.3
63-3FSUFSUBlockedJadyn Livingsblk Emma Lilo, Nenu Kpea+0.6
73-4FSUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.3
83-5SMUSMUBlockedSofia Mossblk Hannah Beauford, Elle Vandeweghe+0.5
94-5SMUFSUServe errFavor Anyanwu+0.3
105-5FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Bailey Higgins+0.6
115-6FSUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.4
126-6SMUFSU×3Attack errGabi Placide+0.4
137-6FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Sofia Moss+0.8
148-6FSUFSU×3KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.9
158-7FSUSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.5
168-8SMUSMU×3AceChrista Wilburnaced Sofia Moss+0.8
178-9SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.7
189-9SMUFSUKillEmma Liloset Sofia Moss+0.5
199-10FSUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.4
2010-10SMUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Sofia Moss+0.5
2111-10FSUFSUAceKyleene Filimaua+1.0
2211-11FSUSMU×4Serve errKyleene Filimaua+0.5
2311-12SMUSMU×4KillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.8
2411-13SMUSMU×4Attack errSofia Moss+0.7
2511-14SMUSMU×4BlockedSofia Mossblk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu+0.6
2612-14SMUFSUServe errGabi Placide+0.3
2712-15FSUSMUServe errVictoria David+0.3
2813-15SMUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.3
2914-15FSUFSUBlockedSuli Davisblk Sofia Moss, Nenu Kpea+0.7
3014-16FSUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.5
3115-16SMUFSUServe errFavor Anyanwu+0.5
3215-17FSUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.5
3315-18SMUSMUBlockedKyleene Filimauablk Elle Vandeweghe, Gabi Placide+0.7
3416-18SMUFSUBlockedGabi Placideblk Kyleene Filimaua+0.4
3516-19FSUSMUAttack errKyleene Filimaua+0.4
3616-20SMUSMUAttack errKyleene Filimaua+0.5
3717-20SMUFSU×3Serve errChrista Wilburn+0.2
3818-20FSUFSU×3AceEmma Liloaced Suli Davis+0.5
3919-20FSUFSU×3KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.9
4019-21FSUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.7
4119-22SMUSMUAttack errKyleene Filimaua+0.8
4220-22SMUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.3
4320-23FSUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.5
4421-23SMUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.3
4522-23FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.0
4622-24FSUSMUBlockedSofia Mossblk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu+1.0
4723-24SMUFSUBlockedJadyn Livingsblk Nenu Kpea, Lexie Mason+0.5
4823-25FSUSMUServe errBailey Higgins+1.2
Set 3
10-1FSUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.2
20-2SMUSMUKillFavor Anyanwu+0.2
31-2SMUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.1
41-3FSUSMUAttack errNenu Kpea+0.1
51-4SMUSMUAceSuli Davisaced Sofia Moss+0.2
62-4SMUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.1
73-4FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Nenu Kpea+0.2
83-5FSUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.1
94-5SMUFSUServe errFavor Anyanwu+0.2
104-6FSUSMU×5KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.1
114-7SMUSMU×5Attack errSofia Moss+0.2
124-8SMUSMU×5AceHannah Beauford+0.2
134-9SMUSMU×5BlockedSofia Mossblk Elle Vandeweghe, Gabi Placide+0.1
144-10SMUSMU×5KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.1
155-10SMUFSUServe errHannah Beauford·
166-10FSUFSUKillPayton Whalenset Emma Lilo+0.1
176-11FSUSMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.1
186-12SMUSMUAttack errPayton Whalen+0.1
197-12SMUFSU×3Serve errChrista Wilburn·
208-12FSUFSU×3AceEmma Liloaced Christa Wilburn+0.1
219-12FSUFSU×3BlockedGabi Placideblk Payton Whalen, Delaney Ewing+0.2
229-13FSUSMUKillHannah Beaufordset Christa Wilburn+0.1
2310-13SMUFSUServe errVictoria Harris+0.1
2411-13FSUFSUAceSofia Mossaced Suli Davis+0.2
2511-14FSUSMUServe errSofia Moss+0.2
2611-15SMUSMUAceGabi Placideaced Kyleene Filimaua+0.2
2712-15SMUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.1
2812-16FSUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.1
2912-17SMUSMU×3BlockedKyleene Filimauablk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu+0.1
3012-18SMUSMU×3Attack errBailey Higgins+0.1
3113-18SMUFSUServe errSuli Davis·
3213-19FSUSMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford·
3313-20SMUSMUAttack errNenu Kpea·
3414-20SMUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer·
3514-21FSUSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
3614-22SMUSMU×4KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford·
3714-23SMUSMU×4KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford·
3814-24SMUSMU×4Attack errSofia Moss·
3915-24SMUFSUAttack errHannah Beauford·
4016-24FSUFSUBad setHannah Beauford·
4116-25FSUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford·

Score shown after each rally, Florida St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).