FinalSun, Nov 1, 2026Watch on ACCNX

SMU def. Wake Forest 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: SMU 96.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SMU won at Wake Forest 3-0 (27-25, 25-15, 25-22) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. SMU's Suli Davis led with 14 kills, and Victoria Harris added 10 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set123Sets
SMU2725253
WAKE2515220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Suli Davis needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. SMU swept Wake Forest.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.0 points. Wake Forest peaked at 12% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had SMU at 96%.

SMUWake Forest
  • Break %+12.8 pts
    46.133.3

    Points won on own serve: 35 of 76 vs 21 of 63. Wake Forest sided out 53.9% of the time.

  • Hitting+.210
    .437.227

    47 K / 9 E against 39 K / 17 E.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Up 9–5 in the second set, SMU scored 6 straight to make it 15–5. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Wake Forest above 50SMU belowMax swing 4.0%

SMUWake Forest

Aces
SMU 5·Wake Forest 1
Serve err
SMU 12·Wake Forest 8
Blocks
SMU 10·Wake Forest 53 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
SMU 35·Wake Forest 24

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Wake Forest above 50 · SMU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.0% SMUrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.0% to SMU — set 1, SMU 24-24 WAKE. Ace by Mia Silva on Mattea Saunders. WAKE win probability 11% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SMU 97.2%2.8% WAKE

SMU wins

3-0
63.2%
3-1
26.9%
3-2
7.1%

Wake Forest wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.7%
3-2
1.8%
SMU break %
46.0% vs this opp
WAKE break %
31.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mia SilvaAce+4.0%

    Ace by Mia Silva on Mattea Saunders

    Set 1 · SMU 24-24 WAKE · SMU 89% → 93%

  2. 02

    Jadyn Livings stuffed by Laiya Ebo & Sanaa Williams

    Set 1 · SMU 21-23 WAKE · WAKE 8% → 10%

  3. 03
    Gabi PlacideKill+2.8%

    Kill by Gabi Placide (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 1 · SMU 26-25 WAKE · SMU 93% → 96%

  4. 04
    Emma KeepingKill+2.4%

    Kill by Emma Keeping (set by Mattea Saunders)

    Set 1 · SMU 21-22 WAKE · WAKE 5% → 8%

  5. 05
    Sadie PoeckKill+2.3%

    Kill by Sadie Poeck (set by Emma Keeping)

    Set 1 · SMU 24-25 WAKE · WAKE 7% → 9%

  6. 06
    Gabi PlacideKill+2.3%

    Kill by Gabi Placide (set by Hannah Beauford)

    Set 1 · SMU 25-25 WAKE · SMU 91% → 93%

  7. 07

    Kill by Sanaa Williams (set by Emma Keeping)

    Set 1 · SMU 22-24 WAKE · WAKE 9% → 12%

  8. 08
    Catherine BurkeAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Catherine Burke

    Set 1 · SMU 27-25 WAKE · SMU 96% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SMUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314430.33311150010.515.5
311218.50000220031.512.5
37010.70000010233.510.5
36111.4550251004210
3203.667111700003
3001.000380150111.51.5
37214.357000000218
3000–000400000
3000–1021000000
1000–010000001
Team totals47987.437415123513141077
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37211.45500110132.59.5
37524.08300340010.57.5
33211.091000000003
31011.000801300001
2127-.14300000010.51.5
2000–100210000
39217.41200031010.59.5
37316.25000020010.57.5
31011.000200600001
3000–2012100001
3000–001000000
2203.66700000010.52.5
2015-.200000100000
11011.000000100001
1000–200000000
Team totals391797.227331824518562

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SMU · WAKE 4

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 SMUWAKE 4

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 6 SMUWAKE 2

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 SMUWAKE 4

Bars above the line = Wake Forest leads, below = SMU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SMU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
29%2/7
2
83%5/6
62%8/13
3
80%4/5
33%2/6
4
44%4/9
56%5/9
5
57%4/7
33%2/6
6
57%4/7
60%6/10
All
66%27/41
49%25/51

Wake Forest

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%5/12
44%4/9
2
63%5/8
0%0/5
3
67%4/6
17%1/6
4
36%4/11
33%2/6
5
44%4/9
56%5/9
6
80%4/5
33%2/6
All
51%26/51
34%14/41

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#SMU-WAKESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Emma Keeping+0.5
21-1SMUWAKEServe errLevariya Pinder+0.3
32-1WAKESMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.3
42-2SMUWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping+0.3
52-3WAKEWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows+0.6
63-3WAKESMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.4
73-4SMUWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows+0.4
84-4WAKESMU×4KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.4
95-4SMUSMU×4KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.6
106-4SMUSMU×4KillFavor Anyanwu+0.5
117-4SMUSMU×4BlockedLyla Stewartblk Favor Anyanwu+0.4
127-5SMUWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.2
137-6WAKEWAKEBlockedSuli Davisblk Sanaa Williams, Amina Ndiaye+0.5
148-6WAKESMUBlockedSanaa Williamsblk Hannah Beauford+0.3
158-7SMUWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows+0.3
169-7WAKESMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.3
179-8SMUWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping+0.4
189-9WAKEWAKEKillSanaa Williams+0.7
1910-9WAKESMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.4
2011-9SMUSMUAttack errSadie Poeck+0.6
2111-10SMUWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Emma Keeping+0.4
2212-10WAKESMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.4
2313-10SMUSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.5
2414-10SMUSMU×3KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.4
2514-11SMUWAKEKillCatherine Burkeset Emma Keeping+0.2
2615-11WAKESMUServe errBecca Bellows+0.2
2715-12SMUWAKEServe errGabi Placide+0.2
2815-13WAKEWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows+0.5
2916-13WAKESMU×3Serve errLyla Stewart+0.3
3017-13SMUSMU×3Attack errAmina Ndiaye+0.4
3118-13SMUSMU×3AceSuli Davisaced Amina Ndiaye+0.2
3218-14SMUWAKE×4KillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows+0.1
3318-15WAKEWAKE×4Serve errLyla Stewart+0.3
3418-16WAKEWAKE×4KillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.5
3518-17WAKEWAKE×4KillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows+0.8
3619-17WAKESMUBlockedLyla Stewartblk Favor Anyanwu+0.6
3719-18SMUWAKE×3KillSanaa Williamsset Becca Bellows+0.6
3819-19WAKEWAKE×3BlockedSuli Davisblk Sanaa Williams+1.3
3919-20WAKEWAKE×3KillLaiya Ebo+1.8
4020-20WAKESMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+1.0
4121-20SMUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+1.6
4221-21SMUWAKE×3Serve errHannah Beauford+1.1
4321-22WAKEWAKE×3KillEmma Keepingset Mattea Saunders+2.4
4421-23WAKEWAKE×3BlockedJadyn Livingsblk Laiya Ebo, Sanaa Williams+2.8
4522-23WAKESMUBlockedLyla Stewartblk Elle Vandeweghe, Gabi Placide+1.1
4622-24SMUWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Emma Keeping+2.3
4723-24WAKESMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+1.1
4824-24SMUSMUAceMia Silvaaced Mattea Saunders+4.0
4924-25SMUWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping+2.3
5025-25WAKESMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+2.3
5126-25SMUSMU×3KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+2.8
5227-25SMUSMU×3Attack errCatherine Burke+2.0
Set 2
11-0WAKESMU×5KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.2
22-0SMUSMU×5BlockedSanaa Williamsblk Favor Anyanwu, Gabi Placide+0.3
33-0SMUSMU×5AceElle Vandeweghe+0.2
44-0SMUSMU×5AceElle Vandeweghe+0.2
55-0SMUSMU×5BlockedSadie Poeckblk Suli Davis, Favor Anyanwu+0.1
65-1SMUWAKEServe errElle Vandeweghe+0.1
76-1WAKESMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.1
86-2SMUWAKEServe errGabi Placide+0.1
97-2WAKESMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.1
107-3SMUWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows+0.1
117-4WAKEWAKEBlockedJadyn Livingsblk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle+0.2
128-4WAKESMUServe errDhru Lalaji+0.1
139-4SMUSMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.1
149-5SMUWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows+0.1
1510-5WAKESMU×6BlockedRyleigh Whitekettleblk Elle Vandeweghe, Jadyn Livings+0.1
1611-5SMUSMU×6KillJadyn Livings+0.1
1712-5SMUSMU×6KillJadyn Livingsset Suli Davis+0.1
1813-5SMUSMU×6BlockedRyleigh Whitekettleblk Elle Vandeweghe, Jadyn Livings·
1914-5SMUSMU×6KillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford·
2015-5SMUSMU×6KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
2115-6SMUWAKEKillLaiya Eboset Becca Bellows·
2216-6WAKESMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford·
2316-7SMUWAKEAttack errSuli Davis·
2417-7WAKESMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
2517-8SMUWAKEServe errElle Vandeweghe·
2618-8WAKESMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford·
2718-9SMUWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Andrea Roman·
2819-9WAKESMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
2919-10SMUWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows·
3020-10WAKESMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford·
3121-10SMUSMUAttack errCatherine Burke·
3221-11SMUWAKEServe errVictoria Harris·
3321-12WAKEWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows·
3422-12WAKESMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
3522-13SMUWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows·
3623-13WAKESMUKillLevariya Pinderset Hannah Beauford·
3723-14SMUWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Emma Keeping·
3823-15WAKEWAKEAttack errElle Vandeweghe·
3924-15WAKESMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford·
4025-15SMUSMUKillLevariya Pinderset Emma Keeping·
Set 3
11-0SMUSMUAceLevariya Pinder+0.1
21-1SMUWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Victoria Harris+0.1
32-1WAKESMUKillGabi Placideset Hannah Beauford+0.1
42-2SMUWAKEServe errElle Vandeweghe+0.1
52-3WAKEWAKEAceBecca Bellows+0.2
63-3WAKESMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.1
74-3SMUSMUAttack errKelis Hawkins+0.1
84-4SMUWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.1
94-5WAKEWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows+0.2
105-5WAKESMU×4KillSuli Davisset Victoria Harris+0.1
116-5SMUSMU×4Attack errRyleigh Whitekettle+0.2
127-5SMUSMU×4KillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.1
138-5SMUSMU×4KillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.1
148-6SMUWAKEServe errSuli Davis+0.1
159-6WAKESMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford+0.1
1610-6SMUSMUBlockedAmina Ndiayeblk Hannah Beauford, Elle Vandeweghe+0.1
1710-7SMUWAKEServe errVictoria Harris·
1811-7WAKESMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford+0.1
1912-7SMUSMUAttack errLyla Stewart+0.1
2012-8SMUWAKE×3KillSanaa Williamsset Ava Roddey·
2112-9WAKEWAKE×3KillSanaa Williamsset Ava Roddey+0.1
22–2313-10SMU · WAKE
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2414-10SMUSMUKillSuli Davisset Hannah Beauford+0.1
2514-11SMUWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Ava Roddey+0.1
2615-11WAKESMUKillElle Vandewegheset Dhru Lalaji+0.1
2716-11SMUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Levariya Pinder+0.1
2816-12SMUWAKEServe errElle Vandeweghe·
2917-12WAKESMUServe errBecca Bellows·
3017-13SMUWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows·
3118-13WAKESMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford·
3218-14SMUWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows·
3319-14WAKESMUKillJadyn Livingsset Hannah Beauford·
3419-15SMUWAKEKillAndrea Roman·
3520-15WAKESMUServe errEmma Keeping·
3620-16SMUWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Emma Keeping·
3721-16WAKESMUKillElle Vandewegheset Hannah Beauford·
3821-17SMUWAKEBlockedGabi Placideblk Lyla Stewart, Sanaa Williams·
3922-17WAKESMUServe errSanaa Williams·
4022-18SMUWAKE×4Serve errElle Vandeweghe·
4122-19WAKEWAKE×4KillCamille McCoyset Becca Bellows+0.1
4222-20WAKEWAKE×4KillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.1
4322-21WAKEWAKE×4KillLyla Stewartset Andrea Roman+0.3
4423-21WAKESMUBlockedLyla Stewartblk Favor Anyanwu, Gabi Placide+0.2
4523-22SMUWAKEAttack errSuli Davis+0.2
4624-22WAKESMUServe errLyla Stewart+0.3
4725-22SMUSMUKillFavor Anyanwuset Hannah Beauford+0.2

Score shown after each rally, SMU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).