FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-EAST

3:0

HomeHORIZON

Marquette def. Wright St. 3–0

(25-16, 25-21, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MARQ	25	25	26	3
WRIGHT	16	21	24	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WRIGHT above 50 · MARQ below

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Marquette — set 3, MARQ 24-24 WRIGHT. Kill by Tani Juric (set by Emi Juric). WRIGHT win probability 11% → 7%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MARQ 74.6%25.4% WRIGHT

Marquette wins

3-0

26.7%

3-1

28.5%

3-2

19.4%

Wright St. wins

3-0

4.5%

3-1

8.7%

3-2

12.2%

MARQ break %: 45.3% vs this opp
WRIGHT break %: 40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Tani JuricKill+4.0%
Kill by Tani Juric (set by Emi Juric)
Set 3 · MARQ 24-24 WRIGHT · MARQ 89% → 93%
02
Mya AyroAttack error+3.6%
Mya Ayro stuffed by Keira Schmidt & Tani Juric
Set 3 · MARQ 25-24 WRIGHT · MARQ 93% → 97%
03
Mya AyroKill+3.2%
Kill by Mya Ayro
Set 3 · MARQ 22-24 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 9% → 12%
04
MARQ serverAce+3.2%
Marquette ace on Mya Ayro
Set 3 · MARQ 26-24 WRIGHT · MARQ 97% → 100%
05
Lauren YacobucciKill+2.6%
Kill by Lauren Yacobucci (set by Reilly Zegunis)
Set 3 · MARQ 21-22 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 6% → 8%
06
Abigail KnightKill+2.3%
Kill by Abigail Knight (set by Taygan Corstange)
Set 2 · MARQ 14-14 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 12% → 15%
07
Reilly ZegunisKill+2.3%
Kill by Reilly Zegunis (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 1 · MARQ 2-4 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 28% → 30%
08
Mya AyroKill+2.3%
Kill by Mya Ayro (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 3 · MARQ 22-23 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 7% → 9%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Marquetteaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
20Carson TylerOH	3	12	3	29	.310	1	1	4	9	0	2	1	14
11Tani JuricOPP	3	9	1	24	.333	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	10
7Keira SchmidtMB	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	8
15Molly WelgeMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
3Luanna MarkusS	3	4	0	5	.800	35	0	1	5	0	2	1	5
6Allie BeersOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	1	5	0	0	0	3
10Emma ParksOH	3	13	1	23	.522	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
14Annika KowalskiDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Avery HelmsDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	4	1	0	0	0
2Emi JuricL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	8	101	.396	45	4	10	33	1	14	7	76

Wright St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Mya AyroOH	3	16	5	30	.367	0	0	2	1	2	2	0	2	18
4Abigail KnightOH	3	6	4	17	.118	1	1	2	10	1	0	0	0	7
11Olivia SchmidtMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
2Reilly ZegunisMB	3	4	1	11	.273	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
7Lauren YacobucciS	3	3	1	4	.500	28	0	0	9	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
14Katie SowkoOH	3	3	3	19	.000	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
1Alisandra HayesOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
3Taygan CorstangeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
16Ella SeegerOH	1	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
17Haley RobinsonMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	17	100	.240	37	1	6	37	4	3	2	4	61

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 MARQ · WRIGHT 6

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 8 MARQWRIGHT 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 MARQWRIGHT 6

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 MARQWRIGHT 4

Bars above the line = Wright St. leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Marquette

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	63%10/16
2	75%6/8	63%10/16
3	67%6/9	25%2/8
4	55%6/11	57%8/14
5	46%6/13	50%6/12
6	86%6/7	25%2/8
All	60%38/63	51%38/74

Wright St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	46%6/13
2	55%6/11	22%2/9
3	46%6/13	40%4/10
4	55%6/11	40%4/10
5	60%6/10	33%3/9
6	33%5/15	50%6/12
All	49%36/74	40%25/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	MARQ-WRIGHT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Carson Tyler		+2.1
2	1-1	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Keira Schmidt	set Luanna Markus	+1.5
3	1-2	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.6
4	2-2	WRIGHT	MARQ	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.5
5	2-3	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.7
6	2-4	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.3
7	3-4	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+1.6
8	3-5	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.8
9	4-5	WRIGHT	MARQ	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.6
10	5-5	MARQ	MARQ	Attack err	Katie Sowko	blk Luanna Markus, Keira Schmidt	+2.2
11	5-6	MARQ	WRIGHT	Serve err	MARQ server		+1.8
12	6-6	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+1.7
13	6-7	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.8
14	7-7	WRIGHT	MARQ×8	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+1.7
15	8-7	MARQ	MARQ×8	Kill	Carson Tyler		+2.3
16	9-7	MARQ	MARQ×8	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+2.2
17	10-7	MARQ	MARQ×8	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+1.9
18	11-7	MARQ	MARQ×8	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+1.7
19	12-7	MARQ	MARQ×8	Kill	Tani Juric	set Emi Juric	+1.4
20	13-7	MARQ	MARQ×8	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+1.1
21	14-7	MARQ	MARQ×8	Ace	MARQ server	aced Abigail Knight	+0.8
22	14-8	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.4
23	15-8	WRIGHT	MARQ×3	Kill	Keira Schmidt	set Luanna Markus	+0.5
24	16-8	MARQ	MARQ×3	Attack err	Abigail Knight	blk Carson Tyler, Molly Welge	+0.5
25	17-8	MARQ	MARQ×3	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+0.3
26	17-9	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.1
27	18-9	WRIGHT	MARQ	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+0.2
28	18-10	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Taygan Corstange	+0.1
29	19-10	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Luanna Markus	set Allie Beers	+0.2
30	20-10	MARQ	MARQ	Attack err	Abigail Knight	blk Molly Welge, Emma Parks	+0.1
31	20-11	MARQ	WRIGHT	Serve err	MARQ server		+0.0
32	20-12	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Avery Helms	+0.1
33	21-12	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+0.1
34	21-13	MARQ	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.0
35	21-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Attack err	Keira Schmidt		+0.1
36	21-15	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.2
37	22-15	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+0.3
38	22-16	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.1
39	23-16	WRIGHT	MARQ×3	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
40	24-16	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Tani Juric	set Emi Juric	+0.1
41	25-16	MARQ	MARQ×3	Attack err	Haley Robinson	blk Carson Tyler, Keira Schmidt	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.2
2	1-1	WRIGHT	MARQ×3	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.2
3	2-1	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+1.5
4	3-1	MARQ	MARQ×3	Attack err	Olivia Schmidt		+1.4
5	3-2	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.1
6	3-3	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.6
7	4-3	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+1.2
8	4-4	MARQ	WRIGHT	Serve err	MARQ server		+1.3
9	5-4	WRIGHT	MARQ×3	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.2
10	6-4	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+1.6
11	7-4	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+1.4
12	7-5	MARQ	WRIGHT	Attack err	Molly Welge	blk Lauren Yacobucci	+1.0
13	8-5	WRIGHT	MARQ×4	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.1
14	9-5	MARQ	MARQ×4	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+1.3
15	10-5	MARQ	MARQ×4	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+1.0
16	11-5	MARQ	MARQ×4	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Keira Schmidt, Luanna Markus	+0.8
17	11-6	MARQ	WRIGHT×6	Attack err	Emma Parks	blk Reilly Zegunis, Lauren Yacobucci	+0.5
18	11-7	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×6	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.9
19	11-8	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×6	Attack err	Keira Schmidt	blk Mya Ayro	+1.2
20	11-9	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×6	Attack err	Carson Tyler		+1.5
21	11-10	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×6	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.8
22	11-11	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×6	Kill	Olivia Schmidt		+2.1
23	12-11	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Keira Schmidt	set Luanna Markus	+1.5
24	12-12	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.6
25	13-12	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Keira Schmidt	set Luanna Markus	+1.6
26	14-12	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+2.0
27	14-13	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.5
28	14-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Taygan Corstange	+2.3
29	15-14	WRIGHT	MARQ×3	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+1.8
30	16-14	MARQ	MARQ×3	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+2.2
31	17-14	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+1.9
32	17-15	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.3
33	18-15	WRIGHT	MARQ	Attack err	Katie Sowko		+1.5
34	19-15	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+1.6
35	19-16	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.9
36	20-16	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+1.2
37	20-17	MARQ	WRIGHT	Serve err	MARQ server		+0.9
38	20-18	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.7
39	21-18	WRIGHT	MARQ	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+1.7
40	21-19	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.3
41	22-19	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Luanna Markus	set Avery Helms	+1.8
42	23-19	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Keira Schmidt	set Luanna Markus	+1.5
43	23-20	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.5
44	24-20	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Carson Tyler	+1.0
45	24-21	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.3
46	25-21	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.7
Set 3
1	0-1	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Katie Sowko	+0.9
2	0-2	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.0
3	1-2	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Emi Juric	+0.7
4	2-2	MARQ	MARQ	Ace	MARQ server	aced Mya Ayro	+0.9
5	2-3	MARQ	WRIGHT	Serve err	MARQ server		+0.7
6	2-4	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Bad set	Luanna Markus		+1.0
7	3-4	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Keira Schmidt	set Luanna Markus	+0.7
8	4-4	MARQ	MARQ	Attack err	Katie Sowko	blk Molly Welge, Tani Juric	+0.9
9	4-5	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Taygan Corstange	+0.8
10	4-6	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Taygan Corstange	+1.1
11	5-6	WRIGHT	MARQ×4	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.7
12	6-6	MARQ	MARQ×4	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+1.0
13	7-6	MARQ	MARQ×4	Attack err	Lauren Yacobucci		+1.0
14	8-6	MARQ	MARQ×4	Attack err	Ella Seeger		+0.9
15	8-7	MARQ	WRIGHT×4	Serve err	MARQ server		+0.7
16	8-8	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.0
17	8-9	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Lauren Yacobucci	set Abigail Knight	+1.1
18	8-10	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Taygan Corstange	+1.2
19	9-10	WRIGHT	MARQ×3	Attack err	Reilly Zegunis		+0.8
20	10-10	MARQ	MARQ×3	Ace	MARQ server	aced Team	+1.1
21	11-10	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Luanna Markus	set Emma Parks	+1.1
22	11-11	MARQ	WRIGHT	Serve err	MARQ server		+0.9
23	12-11	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.8
24	12-12	MARQ	WRIGHT	Serve err	MARQ server		+0.9
25	13-12	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.9
26	13-13	MARQ	WRIGHT×3	Serve err	MARQ server		+0.9
27	13-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.4
28	13-15	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.5
29	14-15	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+1.0
30	14-16	MARQ	WRIGHT	Attack err	Tani Juric	blk Mya Ayro	+1.2
31	15-16	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+1.0
32	15-17	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Taygan Corstange	+1.2
33	15-18	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Carson Tyler		+1.6
34	16-18	WRIGHT	MARQ×3	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.9
35	17-18	MARQ	MARQ×3	Bad set	Lauren Yacobucci		+1.5
36	18-18	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+1.7
37	18-19	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.4
38	19-19	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Emi Juric	+1.3
39	19-20	MARQ	WRIGHT	Serve err	MARQ server		+1.5
40	20-20	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+1.4
41	21-20	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Luanna Markus	set Avery Helms	+2.1
42	21-21	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Lauren Yacobucci	set Katie Sowko	+1.6
43	21-22	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Lauren Yacobucci	set Reilly Zegunis	+2.6
44	22-22	WRIGHT	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+1.8
45	22-23	MARQ	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.3
46	22-24	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro		+3.2
47	23-24	WRIGHT	MARQ×4	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+1.3
48	24-24	MARQ	MARQ×4	Kill	Tani Juric	set Emi Juric	+4.0
49	25-24	MARQ	MARQ×4	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Keira Schmidt, Tani Juric	+3.6
50	26-24	MARQ	MARQ×4	Ace	MARQ server	aced Mya Ayro	+3.2

Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.