FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Marquette def. South Fla. 3–0

Marquette beat South Fla. 3-0 (25-16, 25-22, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Carson Tyler led Marquette with 14 kills; South Fla.'s Paula Tomasa had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set123Sets
MARQ2525253
USF1622190

Win probability

South Fla. above 50 · Marquette below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.2% MARQrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Marquette — set 2, MARQ 24-22 USF. Kill by Molly Welge (set by Luanna Markus). USF win probability 8% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARQ 83.4%16.6% USF

Marquette wins

3-0
35.2%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.2%

South Fla. wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
8.7%
MARQ break %
46.1% vs this opp
USF break %
38.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Molly WelgeKill+3.2%

    Kill by Molly Welge (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · MARQ 24-22 USF · MARQ 92% → 96%

  2. 02
    Carson TylerKill+2.7%

    Kill by Carson Tyler (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · MARQ 23-22 USF · MARQ 90% → 92%

  3. 03
    Paula TomasaKill+2.6%

    Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 2 · MARQ 20-20 USF · USF 8% → 10%

  4. 04

    Molly Welge stuffed by Laila Ivey & Amelia Wass de Czege

    Set 2 · MARQ 17-18 USF · USF 10% → 12%

  5. 05
    Tani JuricAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Tani Juric

    Set 2 · MARQ 22-22 USF · USF 8% → 10%

  6. 06
    Emma ParksKill+2.3%

    Kill by Emma Parks (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · MARQ 19-18 USF · MARQ 89% → 92%

  7. 07
    Tani JuricKill+2.3%

    Kill by Tani Juric (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · MARQ 22-21 USF · MARQ 90% → 92%

  8. 08
    Mora PampinKill+2.1%

    Kill by Mora Pampin (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 2 · MARQ 21-21 USF · USF 8% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314327.40702310102117
36214.286101001439
37315.26710010010.57.5
34310.100100200004
3206.333391180010.53.5
31011.000000100001
311322.3640002100011
3000–210800001
3000–000100000
3000–001600000
Team totals451495.326444639218575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317538.3160015004219
310523.2171001102111
3205.40002300153.57.5
31011.0002501400001
22615-.267000500002
2117.000000000001
31011.0003011010001
3000–000400000
2012-.50000000031.51.5
2000–500200000
1015-.200000010211
11011.000000100001
1000–000000000
1000–000110000
Team totals351998.1633426334116957

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MARQ · USF 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 MARQUSF 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 MARQUSF 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 MARQUSF 2

Bars above the line = South Fla. leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marquette

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
13%1/8
2
100%8/8
50%8/16
3
89%8/9
20%2/10
4
78%7/9
46%6/13
5
55%6/11
65%11/17
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
75%44/59
42%31/73

South Fla.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
27%3/11
2
50%8/16
25%3/12
3
70%7/10
11%1/9
4
35%6/17
0%0/7
5
50%6/12
40%4/10
6
86%6/7
40%4/10
All
58%42/73
25%15/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#MARQ-USFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1USFUSFKillMora Pampinset Rana Yamada+1.7
21-1USFMARQServe errSouth Fla.+1.1
31-2MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.3
42-2USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.2
52-3MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.3
63-3USFMARQAttack errAddy Brus+1.2
74-3MARQMARQBlockedAddy Brusblk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus+1.6
84-4MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
95-4USFMARQ×4Attack errAddy Brus+1.2
106-4MARQMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.5
117-4MARQMARQ×4KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.3
128-4MARQMARQ×4KillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+1.1
138-5MARQUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Emelyn Stettin+0.8
149-5USFMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.8
159-6MARQUSFServe errMarquette+0.8
1610-6USFMARQAttack errMora Pampin+0.8
1710-7MARQUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Emelyn Stettin+0.8
1811-7USFMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.9
1911-8MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Mora Pampin+0.8
2012-8USFMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.9
2112-9MARQUSFBlockedCarson Tylerblk Amelia Wass de Czege, Paula Tomasa+0.8
2213-9USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.9
2314-9MARQMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.0
2414-10MARQUSFServe errMarquette+0.6
2515-10USFMARQ×3KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.7
2616-10MARQMARQ×3Attack errPaula Tomasa+0.7
2717-10MARQMARQ×3Attack errAddy Brus+0.5
2817-11MARQUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
2917-12USFUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
3018-12USFMARQ×3KillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+0.5
3119-12MARQMARQ×3Attack errIyanna Garvin+0.4
3220-12MARQMARQ×3AceMarquetteaced Rana Yamada+0.2
3320-13MARQUSFKillMora Pampinset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
3421-13USFMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+0.1
3521-14MARQUSFKillMora Pampinset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
3622-14USFMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.1
3722-15MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
3823-15USFMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.1
3923-16MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
4024-16USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus·
4125-16MARQMARQAttack errAddy Brus·
Set 2
10-1MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.9
21-1USFMARQ×4Serve errSouth Fla.+0.8
32-1MARQMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.1
43-1MARQMARQ×4AceMarquetteaced Mora Pampin+1.0
54-1MARQMARQ×4KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.9
64-2MARQUSFKillMora Pampinset Rana Yamada+0.6
75-2USFMARQAttack errMora Pampin+0.6
85-3MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
96-3USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.7
107-3MARQMARQAceMarquetteaced Laila Ivey+0.8
117-4MARQUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
127-5USFUSFBlockedMolly Welgeblk Amelia Wass de Czege, Laila Ivey+0.9
138-5USFMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.7
149-5MARQMARQKillLuanna Markusset Molly Welge+0.8
159-6MARQUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
169-7USFUSF×3KillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.0
179-8USFUSF×3Attack errEmma Parks+1.2
1810-8USFMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.9
1910-9MARQUSFBlockedEmma Parksblk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.9
2010-10USFUSFKillRana Yamadaset Emi Juric+1.5
2111-10USFMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.1
2211-11MARQUSF×4KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
2311-12USFUSF×4Attack errKeira Schmidt+1.7
2411-13USFUSF×4BlockedTani Juricblk Anne Perez, Mora Pampin+1.9
2511-14USFUSF×4AceAmelia Wass de Czegeaced Carson Tyler+2.0
2612-14USFMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+1.2
2713-14MARQMARQBlockedMora Pampinblk Molly Welge, Tani Juric+1.8
2813-15MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.6
2914-15USFMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+1.3
3014-16MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.6
3115-16USFMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.4
3216-16MARQMARQ×3Attack errPaula Tomasa+2.0
3317-16MARQMARQ×3AceMarquetteaced Sofija Djordjevic+2.0
3417-17MARQUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Rana Yamada+1.5
3517-18USFUSFBlockedMolly Welgeblk Laila Ivey, Amelia Wass de Czege+2.4
3618-18USFMARQ×3Serve errSouth Fla.+1.7
3719-18MARQMARQ×3KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.3
3820-18MARQMARQ×3Attack errLaila Ivey+2.1
3920-19MARQUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.4
4020-20USFUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.6
4121-20USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.0
4221-21MARQUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.1
4322-21USFMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+2.3
4422-22MARQUSFAttack errTani Juric+2.4
4523-22USFMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.7
4624-22MARQMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+3.2
4725-22MARQMARQ×3Attack errMora Pampin+1.6
Set 3
11-0USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.4
21-1MARQUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
32-1USFMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.4
43-1MARQMARQBlockedAnne Perezblk Molly Welge+0.5
53-2MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
64-2USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.4
74-3MARQUSFServe errMarquette+0.4
85-3USFMARQServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
95-4MARQUSFServe errMarquette+0.4
105-5USFUSFAttack errKeira Schmidt+0.6
116-5USFMARQKillCarson Tyler+0.5
127-5MARQMARQKillEmma Parksset Emi Juric+0.6
137-6MARQUSFBlockedKeira Schmidtblk Amelia Wass de Czege+0.4
148-6USFMARQServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
159-6MARQMARQAttack errMora Pampin+0.5
169-7MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
179-8USFUSFBlockedCarson Tylerblk Anne Perez, Paula Tomasa+0.6
1810-8USFMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.5
1910-9MARQUSFBlockedTani Juricblk Mora Pampin, Anne Perez+0.5
2011-9USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
2112-9MARQMARQAttack errAddy Brus+0.6
2212-10MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
2313-10USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Emi Juric+0.4
2413-11MARQUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
2514-11USFMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.4
2615-11MARQMARQAttack errPaula Tomasa+0.5
2715-12MARQUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
2816-12USFMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.4
2916-13MARQUSFAttack errEmma Parks+0.3
3016-14USFUSFAceAmelia Wass de Czegeaced Emma Parks+0.6
3117-14USFMARQServe errAmelia Wass de Czege+0.5
3217-15MARQUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
3318-15USFMARQ×3Bad setNina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
3419-15MARQMARQ×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Molly Welge, Carson Tyler+0.5
3520-15MARQMARQ×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Carson Tyler, Molly Welge+0.4
3620-16MARQUSFKillMora Pampinset Emelyn Stettin+0.2
3721-16USFMARQKillAllie Beersset Tani Juric+0.2
3821-17MARQUSFServe errMarquette+0.2
3921-18USFUSFBlockedCarson Tylerblk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.4
4022-18USFMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.4
4122-19MARQUSFServe errMarquette+0.2
4223-19USFMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.4
4324-19MARQMARQ×3KillLuanna Markusset Keira Schmidt+0.2
4425-19MARQMARQ×3KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus·

Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).