St. Thomas (MN) at Marquette

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

STTHOM 12.3%87.7% MARQ

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.8%

3-2

6.7%

Marquette wins

3-0

40.8%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.3%

STTHOM break %: 38.5% vs this opp
MARQ break %: 47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.