Butler vs Marquette Volleyball: Marquette Wins 3-0 (Oct 24)

FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Marquette 93.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Marquette beat visiting Butler 3-0 (25-21, 25-20, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Marquette's Carson Tyler led with 17 kills, and Emi Juric added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 3:35 PM CT · final Oct 24

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BUTLER	21	20	21	0
MARQ	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

17 kills in 3 sets for Carson Tyler. Marquette swept Butler.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.5 points. Butler peaked at 8% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave Marquette 93% before first serve.

ButlerMarquette

Break %+11.0 pts
32.843.8
Points won on own serve: 32 of 73 vs 21 of 64. Butler sided out 56.2% of the time.
Hitting+.129
.215.344
Kills and errors: 47–14 vs 36–16.
Longest run+0
55
5 straight Marquette points in the first set turned a 0–1 deficit into a 5–1 lead. Final score of the set: 25–21.

Marquette above 50Butler belowMax swing 1.5%

ButlerMarquette

Aces: Butler 3·Marquette 5
Serve err: Butler 6·Marquette 9
Blocks: Butler 5·Marquette 80 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs: Butler 31·Marquette 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Marquette above 50 · Butler below

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Marquette — set 1, BUTLER 21-23 MARQ. Kill by Tani Juric (set by Luanna Markus). MARQ win probability 93% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUTLER 6.5%93.5% MARQ

Butler wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

1.9%

3-2

3.8%

Marquette wins

3-0

51.5%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

11.3%

BUTLER break %: 36.8% vs this opp
MARQ break %: 48.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Tani JuricKill+1.5%
Kill by Tani Juric (set by Luanna Markus)
Set 1 · BUTLER 21-23 MARQ · MARQ 93% → 95%
02
ButlerService error+1.4%
Butler service error
Set 1 · BUTLER 20-22 MARQ · MARQ 93% → 95%
03
Luanna MarkusKill+1.3%
Kill by Luanna Markus (set by Emi Juric)
Set 1 · BUTLER 21-24 MARQ · MARQ 95% → 96%
04
Zoe McDonaldKill+1.3%
Kill by Zoe McDonald (set by Ava Hunter)
Set 1 · BUTLER 17-18 MARQ · BUTLER 6% → 7%
05
Tani JuricKill+1.2%
Kill by Tani Juric (set by Luanna Markus)
Set 1 · BUTLER 19-21 MARQ · MARQ 93% → 94%
06
Chase LemmingKill+1.2%
Kill by Chase Lemming (set by Sarah Kempf)
Set 1 · BUTLER 21-22 MARQ · BUTLER 5% → 7%
07
MarquetteService error+1.1%
Marquette service error
Set 1 · BUTLER 20-21 MARQ · BUTLER 6% → 7%
08
Tani JuricKill+1.1%
Kill by Tani Juric (set by Luanna Markus)
Set 1 · BUTLER 18-20 MARQ · MARQ 93% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Butleraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Chase LemmingOH	3	12	7	29	.172	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	12
16Elise WardOH	3	6	4	18	.111	0	0	1	2	0	4	2	8
8Raegan DurbinOH	3	5	1	12	.333	0	1	0	10	3	0	0	6
13Carly SlusserMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
17Zoe McDonaldMB	3	3	1	10	.200	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
4Ava HunterS	2	0	0	0	–	10	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
7Ellery ReesMB	3	6	2	15	.267	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
5Jersey LoyerDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	8	2	0	0	1
18Marin ThaxtonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
1Sarah KempfS	3	0	0	0	–	19	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
6Aesha VogtDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kaylee FinneganS	1	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	16	93	.215	35	3	6	31	5	10	5	62

Marquettehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Carson TylerOH	3	17	5	32	.375	0	5	2	8	0	0	0	0	22
11Tani JuricOPP	3	10	1	20	.450	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
15Molly WelgeMB	3	7	3	15	.267	0	0	1	2	0	0	4	2	9
1Julia StanevMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
3Luanna MarkusS	3	4	1	7	.429	40	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
24Avery HelmsDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	2	3	2	0	0	0	0
10Emma ParksOH	3	6	3	15	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
6Allie BeersOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0
2Emi JuricL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	15	0	0	0	0	0
14Annika KowalskiDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	14	96	.344	46	5	9	35	3	1	14	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BUTLER · MARQ 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 5 BUTLERMARQ 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 BUTLERMARQ 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 BUTLERMARQ 3

Bars above the line = Marquette leads, below = Butler leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%9/22	11%1/9
2	73%8/11	36%5/14
3	43%6/14	27%3/11
4	60%6/10	25%2/8
5	100%6/6	57%8/14
6	60%6/10	25%2/8
All	56%41/73	33%21/64

Marquette

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	46%6/13
2	67%8/12	53%9/17
3	80%8/10	33%4/12
4	60%6/10	54%7/13
5	43%6/14	33%3/9
6	100%6/6	33%3/9
All	67%43/64	44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	BUTLER-MARQ	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Jersey Loyer	aced Avery Helms	+0.9
2	1-1	BUTLER	MARQ×5	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.6
3	1-2	MARQ	MARQ×5	Ace	Carson Tyler	aced Jersey Loyer	+0.8
4	1-3	MARQ	MARQ×5	Ace	Carson Tyler	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.7
5	1-4	MARQ	MARQ×5	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+0.6
6	1-5	MARQ	MARQ×5	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.5
7	2-5	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+0.3
8	2-6	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.3
9	3-6	MARQ	BUTLER	Attack err	Molly Welge		+0.3
10	3-7	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.3
11	4-7	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
12	4-8	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+0.4
13	5-8	MARQ	BUTLER×3	Serve err	Marquette		+0.4
14	6-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Zoe McDonald		+0.6
15	7-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Luanna Markus		+0.8
16	7-9	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+0.6
17	8-9	MARQ	BUTLER	Blocked	Carson Tyler	blk Elise Ward, Zoe McDonald	+0.6
18	8-10	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Luanna Markus	set Avery Helms	+0.6
19	8-11	MARQ	MARQ	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.7
20	9-11	MARQ	BUTLER	Serve err	Marquette		+0.5
21	9-12	BUTLER	MARQ	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Julia Stanev, Tani Juric	+0.5
22	10-12	MARQ	BUTLER	Serve err	Marquette		+0.6
23	10-13	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+0.6
24	11-13	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
25	11-14	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+0.6
26	12-14	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
27	12-15	BUTLER	MARQ×4	Serve err	Butler		+0.6
28	12-16	MARQ	MARQ×4	Kill	Luanna Markus	set Emi Juric	+0.6
29	12-17	MARQ	MARQ×4	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.5
30	12-18	MARQ	MARQ×4	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+0.3
31	13-18	MARQ	BUTLER×5	Serve err	Marquette		+0.2
32	14-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Blocked	Carson Tyler	blk Elise Ward, Zoe McDonald	+0.3
33	15-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Molly Welge		+0.6
34	16-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Molly Welge		+0.9
35	17-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+1.3
36	17-19	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+1.0
37	18-19	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.0
38	18-20	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+1.1
39	19-20	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.1
40	19-21	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+1.2
41	20-21	MARQ	BUTLER	Serve err	Marquette		+1.1
42	20-22	BUTLER	MARQ	Serve err	Butler		+1.4
43	21-22	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.2
44	21-23	BUTLER	MARQ×3	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+1.5
45	21-24	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Luanna Markus	set Emi Juric	+1.3
46	21-25	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.4
Set 2
1	0-1	MARQ	MARQ	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.5
2	0-2	MARQ	MARQ	Attack err	Elise Ward		+0.4
3	1-2	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.3
4	2-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Tani Juric		+0.5
5	2-3	BUTLER	MARQ	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Tani Juric, Julia Stanev	+0.4
6	2-4	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Julia Stanev	set Luanna Markus	+0.4
7	3-4	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
8	4-4	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
9	4-5	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.4
10	4-6	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge		+0.5
11	5-6	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
12	5-7	BUTLER	MARQ	Serve err	Jersey Loyer		+0.4
13	6-7	MARQ	BUTLER×3	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
14	7-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Ava Hunter	aced Allie Beers	+0.6
15	8-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.8
16	8-8	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+0.5
17	9-8	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.6
18	10-8	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.9
19	10-9	BUTLER	MARQ×4	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.6
20	10-10	MARQ	MARQ×4	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.8
21	10-11	MARQ	MARQ×4	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Julia Stanev	+0.7
22	10-12	MARQ	MARQ×4	Attack err	Elise Ward		+0.6
23	11-12	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
24	11-13	BUTLER	MARQ×3	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+0.5
25	11-14	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.5
26	11-15	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.4
27	12-15	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.3
28	13-15	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Carson Tyler		+0.5
29	13-16	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.4
30	14-16	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
31	14-17	BUTLER	MARQ	Serve err	Marin Thaxton		+0.4
32	14-18	MARQ	MARQ	Blocked	Ellery Rees	blk Emma Parks, Molly Welge	+0.4
33	15-18	MARQ	BUTLER	Serve err	Emi Juric		+0.3
34	15-19	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.3
35	15-20	MARQ	MARQ	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.3
36	16-20	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.1
37	16-21	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
38	17-21	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.1
39	18-21	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Raegan Durbin	aced Avery Helms	+0.3
40	18-22	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.3
41	19-22	MARQ	BUTLER	Serve err	Marquette		+0.2
42	19-23	BUTLER	MARQ	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Luanna Markus, Julia Stanev	+0.3
43	19-24	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
44	20-24	MARQ	BUTLER	Serve err	Marquette		·
45	20-25	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Julia Stanev	set Luanna Markus	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	MARQ×3	Serve err	Sarah Kempf		+0.2
2	0-2	MARQ	MARQ×3	Ace	Carson Tyler	aced Jersey Loyer	+0.2
3	0-3	MARQ	MARQ×3	Ace	Carson Tyler	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.2
4	1-3	MARQ	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Emma Parks	blk Elise Ward, Carly Slusser	+0.1
5	2-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Emma Parks	blk Elise Ward, Carly Slusser	+0.2
6	3-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Carson Tyler		+0.3
7	3-4	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
8	3-5	MARQ	MARQ	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Molly Welge, Emma Parks	+0.2
9	4-5	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+0.2
10	4-6	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
11	4-7	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
12	5-7	MARQ	BUTLER	Serve err	Allie Beers		+0.1
13	5-8	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+0.1
14	6-8	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.1
15	6-9	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.1
16	7-9	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.2
17	7-10	BUTLER	MARQ	Attack err	Ellery Rees		+0.2
18	8-10	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.2
19	8-11	BUTLER	MARQ×3	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
20	8-12	MARQ	MARQ×3	Ace	Carson Tyler	aced Raegan Durbin	+0.2
21	8-13	MARQ	MARQ×3	Attack err	Carly Slusser		+0.1
22	9-13	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.1
23	9-14	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+0.1
24	9-15	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Molly Welge	set Luanna Markus	+0.1
25	10-15	MARQ	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.1
26	11-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.1
27	12-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+0.2
28	12-16	BUTLER	MARQ	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Molly Welge, Tani Juric	+0.1
29	12-17	MARQ	MARQ	Kill	Luanna Markus	set Emi Juric	+0.1
30	13-17	MARQ	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.1
31	14-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Emma Parks		+0.2
32	15-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.3
33	15-18	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Emma Parks	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
34	16-18	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.2
35	16-19	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
36	17-19	MARQ	BUTLER	Blocked	Carson Tyler	blk Zoe McDonald, Ellery Rees	+0.2
37	17-20	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Julia Stanev	set Luanna Markus	+0.2
38	18-20	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Ellery Rees	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.2
39	18-21	BUTLER	MARQ	Serve err	Sarah Kempf		+0.3
40	19-21	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.2
41	20-21	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Julia Stanev		+0.5
42	20-22	BUTLER	MARQ	Kill	Carson Tyler	set Emi Juric	+0.4
43	21-22	MARQ	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
44	21-23	BUTLER	MARQ×3	Kill	Tani Juric	set Luanna Markus	+0.5
45	21-24	MARQ	MARQ×3	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Molly Welge, Emma Parks	+0.4
46	21-25	MARQ	MARQ×3	Kill	Emma Parks	set Allie Beers	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Butler first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Marquette def. Butler 3–0

17 kills in 3 sets for Carson Tyler. Marquette swept Butler.