FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayWCC

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Colorado def. Denver 3–0

(25-19, 25-21, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DENVER	19	21	22	0
COLO	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

COLO above 50 · DENVER below

Biggest swing: 0.8% to Denver — set 1, DENVER 7-6 COLO. Bad set by Jenna Ylivainio. COLO win probability 96% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DENVER 4.1%95.9% COLO

Denver wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.1%

3-2

2.5%

Colorado wins

3-0

58.2%

3-1

28.8%

3-2

8.9%

DENVER break %: 37.5% vs this opp
COLO break %: 50.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Jenna YlivainioBad set+0.8%
Bad set by Jenna Ylivainio
Set 1 · DENVER 7-6 COLO · DENVER 4% → 5%
02
Ana BurilovicKill+0.7%
Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 2 · DENVER 21-23 COLO · COLO 98% → 99%
03
Romi ChlebecekKill+0.7%
Kill by Romi Chlebecek (set by Ilayda Eren)
Set 2 · DENVER 21-22 COLO · DENVER 1% → 2%
04
Jenna YlivainioAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Jenna Ylivainio
Set 2 · DENVER 10-7 COLO · DENVER 3% → 4%
05
Sydney JordanKill+0.6%
Kill by Sydney Jordan (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 1 · DENVER 7-8 COLO · COLO 95% → 96%
06
Hailey GoebelKill+0.6%
Kill by Hailey Goebel (set by Lily Van Hal)
Set 1 · DENVER 5-5 COLO · DENVER 4% → 4%
07
Kayla PatelKill+0.6%
Kill by Kayla Patel
Set 1 · DENVER 1-0 COLO · DENVER 4% → 5%
08
DENVER serverAce+0.6%
Denver ace on Ana Burilovic
Set 2 · DENVER 9-7 COLO · DENVER 3% → 3%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Denveraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Jamia JohnsonOH	3	9	7	22	.091	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	11
19Alicia ThibodeauOH	3	8	8	23	.000	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
7Elise HartMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
24Kayla PatelOH	3	5	9	20	-.200	1	0	1	8	2	1	0	1	6
16Izabela MolinaMB	3	3	1	5	.400	2	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
10Ilayda ErenS	3	1	0	2	.500	16	2	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
9Hailey GoebelOH	3	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
13Lily Van HalS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
1Madison WinklerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	0
2Romi ChlebecekOH	2	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
Team totals		39	27	98	.122	36	3	3	39	5	1	12	7	62

Coloradohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ana BurilovicOH	3	9	7	27	.074	1	4	0	4	1	0	5	2.5	15.5
21Lily DwinellOH	3	6	2	17	.235	0	0	0	2	0	3	5	5.5	11.5
10Sydney JordanOH	3	10	3	25	.280	0	0	1	4	1	0	2	1	11
33Cayla PayneMB	3	6	0	10	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	4.5	10.5
7Barbora RakauskaiteMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	3.5	8.5
2Jenna YlivainioS	3	3	1	5	.400	33	0	1	5	0	0	4	2	5
13Katie SalongaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
22Tinons Munar GalmesL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	2	8	1	0	0	0	0
9Avery BollesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
20Peyton NealL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	14	95	.263	37	5	5	27	3	3	32	19	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 DENVER · COLO 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 DENVERCOLO 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 DENVERCOLO 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 DENVERCOLO 6

Bars above the line = Colorado leads, below = Denver leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Denver

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	36%4/11
2	46%6/13	56%9/16
3	38%6/16	33%3/9
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	50%6/12	14%1/7
6	56%5/9	50%6/12
All	49%36/73	41%26/64

Colorado

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	54%7/13
2	55%6/11	60%9/15
3	67%6/9	33%3/9
4	67%6/9	65%11/17
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	60%6/10	45%5/11
All	59%38/64	51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	DENVER-COLO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel		+0.6
2	1-1	DENVER	COLO×3	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
3	1-2	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Lily Dwinell	+0.5
4	1-3	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell	+0.4
5	2-3	COLO	DENVER	Serve err	COLO server		+0.4
6	3-3	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Lily Dwinell	blk Kayla Patel	+0.6
7	3-4	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
8	3-5	COLO	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.5
9	4-5	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.4
10	5-5	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.6
11	5-6	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
12	6-6	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Lily Van Hal	+0.5
13	7-6	DENVER	DENVER	Bad set	Jenna Ylivainio		+0.8
14	7-7	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Avery Bolles	+0.5
15	7-8	COLO	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.6
16	8-8	COLO	DENVER	Serve err	COLO server		+0.6
17	8-9	DENVER	COLO×5	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.5
18	8-10	COLO	COLO×5	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau		+0.6
19	8-11	COLO	COLO×5	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau		+0.5
20	8-12	COLO	COLO×5	Attack err	Hailey Goebel	blk Sydney Jordan, Barbora Rakauskaite	+0.4
21	8-13	COLO	COLO×5	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
22	9-13	COLO	DENVER	Serve err	COLO server		+0.2
23	9-14	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
24	9-15	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau	blk Lily Dwinell	+0.2
25	10-15	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Izabela Molina	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
26	11-15	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Jamia Johnson, Izabela Molina	+0.2
27	11-16	DENVER	COLO	Attack err	Izabela Molina		+0.2
28	11-17	COLO	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne		+0.2
29	12-17	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
30	13-17	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Jamia Johnson, Elise Hart	+0.2
31	13-18	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
32	13-19	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
33	14-19	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
34	15-19	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Elise Hart, Hailey Goebel	+0.2
35	15-20	DENVER	COLO×3	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
36	15-21	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.2
37	15-22	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
38	16-22	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.0
39	16-23	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.0
40	17-23	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.0
41	17-24	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Kayla Patel	+0.0
42	18-24	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.0
43	19-24	DENVER	DENVER	Ace	DENVER server	aced Sydney Jordan	+0.0
44	19-25	DENVER	COLO	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	COLO	DENVER×4	Serve err	COLO server		+0.3
2	2-0	DENVER	DENVER×4	Kill	Elise Hart		+0.4
3	3-0	DENVER	DENVER×4	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+0.5
4	4-0	DENVER	DENVER×4	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Madison Winkler	+0.6
5	4-1	DENVER	COLO×4	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
6	4-2	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Jamia Johnson	blk Ana Burilovic, Cayla Payne	+0.5
7	4-3	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Jamia Johnson	blk Cayla Payne, Ana Burilovic	+0.4
8	4-4	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Lily Dwinell, Cayla Payne	+0.4
9	5-4	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.4
10	5-5	DENVER	COLO	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.3
11	6-5	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Lily Van Hal	+0.4
12	6-6	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
13	7-6	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.4
14	7-7	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Ana Burilovic	+0.3
15	8-7	COLO	DENVER×3	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.4
16	9-7	DENVER	DENVER×3	Ace	DENVER server	aced Ana Burilovic	+0.6
17	10-7	DENVER	DENVER×3	Attack err	Jenna Ylivainio		+0.7
18	10-8	DENVER	COLO	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.4
19	11-8	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Ilayda Eren	set Kayla Patel	+0.6
20	11-9	DENVER	COLO×4	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.5
21	11-10	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Jamia Johnson	blk Ana Burilovic, Barbora Rakauskaite	+0.6
22	11-11	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Lily Dwinell, Barbora Rakauskaite	+0.5
23	11-12	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Kayla Patel		+0.5
24	12-12	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Romi Chlebecek	set Ilayda Eren	+0.4
25	12-13	DENVER	COLO	Attack err	Jamia Johnson	blk Ana Burilovic, Barbora Rakauskaite	+0.4
26	13-13	COLO	DENVER	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Elise Hart, Jamia Johnson	+0.5
27	13-14	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
28	13-15	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.5
29	14-15	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Romi Chlebecek	set Madison Winkler	+0.4
30	14-16	DENVER	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
31	14-17	COLO	COLO×3	Ace	COLO server	aced Kayla Patel	+0.4
32	14-18	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.3
33	15-18	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Lily Van Hal	+0.2
34	15-19	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
35	15-20	COLO	COLO	Ace	COLO server	aced Hailey Goebel	+0.2
36	16-20	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Izabela Molina	+0.1
37	17-20	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Izabela Molina	+0.2
38	17-21	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
39	18-21	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+0.2
40	19-21	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Sydney Jordan		+0.4
41	19-22	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
42	20-22	COLO	DENVER	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Jamia Johnson, Izabela Molina	+0.3
43	21-22	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Romi Chlebecek	set Ilayda Eren	+0.7
44	21-23	DENVER	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.7
45	21-24	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Jamia Johnson	blk Ana Burilovic, Cayla Payne	+0.6
46	21-25	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.2
2	1-1	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
3	1-2	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Jamia Johnson		+0.1
4	2-2	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Izabela Molina	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
5	3-2	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Lily Dwinell		+0.2
6	3-3	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
7	4-3	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.2
8	4-4	DENVER	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
9	4-5	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Hailey Goebel	blk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
10	4-6	COLO	COLO×3	Ace	COLO server	aced Madison Winkler	+0.1
11	5-6	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Lily Van Hal	+0.1
12	6-6	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.2
13	6-7	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
14	7-7	COLO	DENVER	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+0.2
15	8-7	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Sydney Jordan		+0.2
16	8-8	DENVER	COLO	Bad set	Izabela Molina		+0.2
17	9-8	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.2
18	10-8	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Barbora Rakauskaite		+0.3
19	10-9	DENVER	COLO×3	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau	blk Sydney Jordan, Barbora Rakauskaite	+0.2
20	10-10	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Jamia Johnson		+0.2
21	10-11	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau	blk Barbora Rakauskaite, Lily Dwinell	+0.2
22	11-11	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+0.2
23	11-12	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
24	12-12	COLO	DENVER×3	Serve err	COLO server		+0.2
25	13-12	DENVER	DENVER×3	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.3
26	14-12	DENVER	DENVER×3	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.4
27	14-13	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
28	15-13	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.3
29	16-13	DENVER	DENVER	Ace	DENVER server	aced Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.4
30	16-14	DENVER	COLO×6	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Jenna Ylivainio, Cayla Payne	+0.3
31	16-15	COLO	COLO×6	Ace	COLO server	aced Kayla Patel	+0.3
32	16-16	COLO	COLO×6	Attack err	Kayla Patel		+0.3
33	16-17	COLO	COLO×6	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
34	16-18	COLO	COLO×6	Ace	COLO server	aced Romi Chlebecek	+0.3
35	16-19	COLO	COLO×6	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
36	17-19	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.1
37	18-19	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.3
38	18-20	DENVER	COLO	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.2
39	19-20	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.2
40	19-21	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
41	19-22	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau	blk Barbora Rakauskaite, Lily Dwinell	+0.2
42	20-22	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.1
43	21-22	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Sydney Jordan	blk Alicia Thibodeau, Izabela Molina	+0.3
44	21-23	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
45	21-24	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau	blk Lily Dwinell	+0.3
46	22-24	COLO	DENVER	Kill	Izabela Molina	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
47	22-25	DENVER	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Denver first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.