Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Denver def. Marist 3–1

Denver beat visiting Marist 3-1 (25-23, 25-21, 22-25, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Jamia Johnson led Denver with 17 kills; Marist's Mallory Reck had a match-high 22.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
MARIST232125231
DENVER252522253

Win probability

Denver above 50 · Marist below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.6% DENVERrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.6% to Denver — set 4, MARIST 23-25 DENVER. Kill by Alicia Thibodeau (set by Ilayda Eren). DENVER win probability 94% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARIST 20.7%79.3% DENVER

Marist wins

3-0
3.4%
3-1
6.9%
3-2
10.4%

Denver wins

3-0
30.9%
3-1
30.0%
3-2
18.4%
MARIST break %
39.1% vs this opp
DENVER break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Alicia Thibodeau (set by Ilayda Eren)

    Set 4 · MARIST 23-25 DENVER · DENVER 94% → 100%

  2. 02
    DenverAce+5.3%

    Denver ace on Cecilia Potter-Pessoa

    Set 4 · MARIST 21-23 DENVER · DENVER 90% → 95%

  3. 03
    Gabby FlamishKill+5.2%

    Kill by Gabby Flamish

    Set 4 · MARIST 21-21 DENVER · MARIST 9% → 14%

  4. 04
    Kayla PatelKill+4.6%

    Kill by Kayla Patel (set by Lily Van Hal)

    Set 1 · MARIST 23-25 DENVER · DENVER 84% → 89%

  5. 05
    Kayla PatelKill+4.3%

    Kill by Kayla Patel (set by Ilayda Eren)

    Set 4 · MARIST 21-22 DENVER · DENVER 86% → 90%

  6. 06
    Sarah BumsteadAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Sarah Bumstead

    Set 4 · MARIST 18-20 DENVER · DENVER 89% → 93%

  7. 07
    Elise HartBlock+3.9%

    Caelyn Dumas stuffed by Elise Hart

    Set 1 · MARIST 19-20 DENVER · DENVER 76% → 80%

  8. 08

    Kill by Romi Chlebecek (set by Lily Van Hal)

    Set 1 · MARIST 20-22 DENVER · DENVER 80% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Maristaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422860.23310018002123
410329.24100060052.512.5
49220.35020000052.511.5
4018-.1254811170031.52.5
4000–001600000
2129-.111000810001
4001.0001101730001
39533.1210003002110
24010.400000400215
2229.00000010010.52.5
2125-.200000100001
2000–001400000
2000–002000000
Team totals5825184.17952258540201092
Denverhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417534.3530012002118
48024.33310270132.510.5
45010.50000000031.56.5
4001.00027021000000
4000–0011000000
35631-.0320201020007
4001.0002410900001
4001.0006022900000
313528.28601060010.514.5
37224.208000400007
32318-.05600000031.53.5
2419.333000000004
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6122181.2155848872112797

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MARIST · DENVER 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 MARISTDENVER 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 MARISTDENVER 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 MARISTDENVER 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 MARISTDENVER 5

Bars above the line = Denver leads, below = Marist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%12/24
50%10/20
2
63%10/16
50%11/22
3
44%8/18
47%9/19
4
73%8/11
47%7/15
5
53%8/15
11%1/9
6
67%8/12
0%0/8
All
56%54/96
41%38/93

Denver

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%12/15
44%8/18
2
40%10/25
42%8/19
3
56%9/16
50%9/18
4
67%8/12
43%6/14
5
89%8/9
53%9/17
6
50%8/16
20%2/10
All
59%55/93
44%42/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#MARIST-DENVERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MARISTDENVER×3KillKatelyn Landisset Ilayda Eren+1.2
20-2DENVERDENVER×3Bad setCaelyn Dumas+1.6
30-3DENVERDENVER×3Attack errSara Dasic+1.4
41-3DENVERMARISTAttack errJamia Johnson+1.0
51-4MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.0
62-4DENVERMARISTAttack errKayla Patel+1.0
72-5MARISTDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal+1.1
83-5DENVERMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.1
94-5MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Molly Malone+1.7
105-5MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reck+1.9
115-6MARISTDENVERAttack errTrinity Woods+1.4
125-7DENVERDENVERAttack errMolly Malone+1.8
136-7DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.3
146-8MARISTDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Lily Van Hal+1.3
157-8DENVERMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.4
167-9MARISTDENVERKillQuinlan Jonesset Ilayda Eren+1.4
177-10DENVERDENVERAttack errSara Dasic+1.7
188-10DENVERMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
198-11MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.2
208-12DENVERDENVERKillKayla Patel+1.5
219-12DENVERMARIST×4Serve errDenver+1.0
2210-12MARISTMARIST×4Attack errKayla Patel+1.7
2311-12MARISTMARIST×4KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+2.1
2412-12MARISTMARIST×4KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.5
2512-13MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.8
2612-14DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+2.3
2713-14DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
2813-15MARISTDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+1.7
2914-15DENVERMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
3015-15MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.8
3116-15MARISTMARIST×3AceMaristaced Kayla Patel+3.3
3216-16MARISTDENVERAttack errMallory Reck+2.2
3317-16DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.6
3417-17MARISTDENVERKillQuinlan Jonesset Lily Van Hal+2.4
3518-17DENVERMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+2.8
3618-18MARISTDENVERAttack errSarah Bumstead+2.5
3719-18DENVERMARISTAttack errKayla Patel+3.0
3819-19MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+2.7
3919-20DENVERDENVERBlockedCaelyn Dumasblk Elise Hart+3.9
4020-20DENVERMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+2.9
4120-21MARISTDENVER×4KillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+3.1
4220-22DENVERDENVER×4KillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+3.9
4320-23DENVERDENVER×4BlockedMallory Reckblk Romi Chlebecek, Elise Hart+2.8
4420-24DENVERDENVER×4KillKayla Patelset Madison Winkler+1.4
4521-24DENVERMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.3
4622-24MARISTMARIST×3KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.1
4723-24MARISTMARIST×3KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+2.8
4823-25MARISTDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+4.6
Set 2
11-0DENVERMARISTServe errDenver+1.1
21-1MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.0
31-2DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+1.3
42-2DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
52-3MARISTDENVER×3Serve errMarist+1.0
62-4DENVERDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+1.3
72-5DENVERDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+1.1
83-5DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
94-5MARISTMARISTAttack errAlicia Thibodeau+1.3
104-6MARISTDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+0.9
115-6DENVERMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
125-7MARISTDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+1.0
135-8DENVERDENVERKillQuinlan Jonesset Lily Van Hal+1.2
146-8DENVERMARISTAttack errAlicia Thibodeau+0.9
156-9MARISTDENVERAttack errTaylor Miller+0.9
166-10DENVERDENVERBlockedTaylor Millerblk Jamia Johnson, Katelyn Landis+1.1
177-10DENVERMARIST×5Serve errDenver+0.7
188-10MARISTMARIST×5KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
199-10MARISTMARIST×5BlockedQuinlan Jonesblk Sarah Bumstead, Caelyn Dumas+1.5
2010-10MARISTMARIST×5BlockedJamia Johnsonblk Taylor Miller, Sarah Bumstead+1.7
2111-10MARISTMARIST×5KillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+1.9
2211-11MARISTDENVERServe errMarist+1.3
2312-11DENVERMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.5
2412-12MARISTDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+1.4
2513-12DENVERMARISTBlockedJamia Johnsonblk Sarah Bumstead, Mallory Reck+1.6
2613-13MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.5
2714-13DENVERMARISTServe errDenver+1.6
2815-13MARISTMARISTBlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Trinity Woods, Molly Malone+2.4
2915-14MARISTDENVERBlockedMallory Reckblk Romi Chlebecek, Elise Hart+1.5
3015-15DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Sara Dasic+2.2
3116-15DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
3216-16MARISTDENVER×5KillQuinlan Jonesset Lily Van Hal+1.7
3316-17DENVERDENVER×5Attack errTrinity Woods+2.3
3416-18DENVERDENVER×5KillQuinlan Jonesset Lily Van Hal+2.1
3516-19DENVERDENVER×5Attack errTaylor Miller+1.8
3616-20DENVERDENVER×5KillRomi Chlebecekset Elise Hart+1.3
3717-20DENVERMARISTAttack errRomi Chlebecek+0.7
3817-21MARISTDENVERKillQuinlan Jonesset Lily Van Hal+0.9
3918-21DENVERMARISTKillEleana Kouteset Jamia Johnson+0.6
4019-21MARISTMARISTKillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+1.4
4119-22MARISTDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Ilayda Eren+1.5
4220-22DENVERMARISTKillTaylor Millerset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+1.0
4320-23MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.5
4421-23DENVERMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.9
4521-24MARISTDENVERServe errMarist+1.5
4621-25DENVERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.7
Set 3
11-0MARISTMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
21-1MARISTDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.5
32-1DENVERMARIST×4Serve errDenver+0.6
43-1MARISTMARIST×4KillMolly Malone+0.8
54-1MARISTMARIST×4KillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+0.9
65-1MARISTMARIST×4Attack errRomi Chlebecek+0.9
75-2MARISTDENVERAttack errEleana Koute+0.6
86-2DENVERMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+0.7
96-3MARISTDENVER×4KillQuinlan Jonesset Ilayda Eren+0.6
106-4DENVERDENVER×4BlockedTaylor Millerblk Katelyn Landis, Jamia Johnson+0.8
116-5DENVERDENVER×4Attack errEleana Koute+0.8
126-6DENVERDENVER×4KillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.8
137-6DENVERMARISTKillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+0.7
147-7MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.6
157-8DENVERDENVERAttack errSarah Bumstead+0.8
168-8DENVERMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
179-8MARISTMARISTAttack errJamia Johnson+1.0
189-9MARISTDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.7
1910-9DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.7
2010-10MARISTDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+0.7
2111-10DENVERMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
2212-10MARISTMARISTBlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Mallory Reck, Molly Malone+1.1
2312-11MARISTDENVERServe errMarist+0.7
2413-11DENVERMARIST×5KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.9
2514-11MARISTMARIST×5KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
2615-11MARISTMARIST×5Bad setLily Van Hal+1.1
2716-11MARISTMARIST×5Attack errQuinlan Jones+1.0
2817-11MARISTMARIST×5KillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
2917-12MARISTDENVERAttack errKayla Patel+0.4
3018-12DENVERMARIST×3KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
3119-12MARISTMARIST×3KillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
3220-12MARISTMARIST×3KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.3
3320-13MARISTDENVER×3KillKatelyn Landisset Ilayda Eren+0.1
3420-14DENVERDENVER×3AceDenveraced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+0.3
3520-15DENVERDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Madison Winkler+0.4
3621-15DENVERMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.5
3721-16MARISTDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.2
3822-16DENVERMARISTServe errDenver+0.4
3922-17MARISTDENVERServe errMarist+0.2
4023-17DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.4
4123-18MARISTDENVERBlockedMallory Reckblk Elise Hart, Alicia Thibodeau+0.1
4223-19DENVERDENVERAttack errMallory Reck+0.3
4324-19DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.5
4424-20MARISTDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.1
4524-21DENVERDENVER×3BlockedMallory Reckblk Katelyn Landis, Romi Chlebecek+0.3
4624-22DENVERDENVER×3Attack errMolly Malone+0.7
4725-22DENVERMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.3
Set 4
11-0DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
21-1MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.6
31-2DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+2.1
42-2DENVERMARIST×4KillGabby Flamishset Caelyn Dumas+1.6
53-2MARISTMARIST×4Attack errJamia Johnson+2.4
64-2MARISTMARIST×4KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+2.6
75-2MARISTMARIST×4AceMaristaced Kayla Patel+2.7
85-3MARISTDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+1.8
95-4DENVERDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+2.5
105-5DENVERDENVER×3KillHailey Goebelset Madison Winkler+2.5
116-5DENVERMARISTBlockedHailey Goebelblk Taylor Miller, Sarah Bumstead+2.0
126-6MARISTDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.8
137-6DENVERMARISTAttack errKayla Patel+2.0
147-7MARISTDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+1.9
157-8DENVERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal+2.5
168-8DENVERMARISTServe errDenver+1.9
178-9MARISTDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal+1.9
188-10DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+2.4
199-10DENVERMARIST×3Serve errDenver+1.7
2010-10MARISTMARIST×3Bad setIlayda Eren+2.8
2111-10MARISTMARIST×3BlockedKayla Patelblk Molly Malone, Gabby Flamish+3.1
2211-11MARISTDENVER×5KillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+2.1
2311-12DENVERDENVER×5Attack errMallory Reck+2.9
2411-13DENVERDENVER×5KillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+2.7
2511-14DENVERDENVER×5Attack errMallory Reck+2.3
2611-15DENVERDENVER×5KillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.9
2712-15DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
2812-16MARISTDENVERAttack errTaylor Miller+1.4
2913-16DENVERMARIST×3BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Molly Malone, Gabby Flamish+1.2
3014-16MARISTMARIST×3KillGabby Flamishset Madison Winkler+2.2
3115-16MARISTMARIST×3KillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+2.9
3215-17MARISTDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+2.3
3316-17DENVERMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+2.3
3417-17MARISTMARISTBlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Sarah Bumstead, Caelyn Dumas+3.8
3517-18MARISTDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+2.9
3618-18DENVERMARISTKillTaylor Millerset Mallory Reck+3.0
3718-19MARISTDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+3.1
3818-20DENVERDENVERAttack errSarah Bumstead+3.9
3919-20DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.6
4019-21MARISTDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Lily Van Hal+3.1
4120-21DENVERMARISTBlockedKayla Patelblk Caelyn Dumas, Molly Malone+2.7
4221-21MARISTMARISTKillGabby Flamish+5.2
4321-22MARISTDENVER×3KillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+4.3
4421-23DENVERDENVER×3AceDenveraced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+5.3
4521-24DENVERDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+3.4
4622-24DENVERMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
4723-24MARISTMARISTKillGabby Flamishset Molly Malone+3.4
4823-25MARISTDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+5.6

Score shown after each rally, Marist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).