FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayWCC

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Utah def. Denver 3–0

(25-11, 25-16, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DENVER	11	16	21	0
UTAH	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UTAH above 50 · DENVER below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to Utah — set 1, DENVER 0-2 UTAH. Attack error by Quinlan Jones. UTAH win probability 96% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DENVER 4.5%95.5% UTAH

Denver wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.3%

3-2

2.8%

Utah wins

3-0

56.9%

3-1

29.3%

3-2

9.4%

DENVER break %: 36.0% vs this opp
UTAH break %: 48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Quinlan JonesAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Quinlan Jones
Set 1 · DENVER 0-2 UTAH · UTAH 96% → 96%
02
Quinlan JonesAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Quinlan Jones
Set 1 · DENVER 0-3 UTAH · UTAH 96% → 97%
03
Kayla PatelAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Kayla Patel
Set 1 · DENVER 0-1 UTAH · UTAH 95% → 96%
04
Kamryn GibadloKill+0.3%
Kill by Kamryn Gibadlo (set by Izzy Mogridge)
Set 2 · DENVER 0-1 UTAH · UTAH 98% → 98%
05
DENVER serverAce+0.3%
Denver ace on Olga Musial
Set 3 · DENVER 12-11 UTAH · DENVER 1% → 1%
06
Loryn HelgesenKill+0.3%
Kill by Loryn Helgesen (set by Izzy Mogridge)
Set 1 · DENVER 0-4 UTAH · UTAH 97% → 97%
07
Alicia ThibodeauAttack error+0.3%
Alicia Thibodeau stuffed by DyBorrah Johnson & Izzy Mogridge
Set 2 · DENVER 0-2 UTAH · UTAH 98% → 98%
08
Olga MusialKill+0.3%
Kill by Olga Musial (set by Lana Mijacic)
Set 3 · DENVER 12-13 UTAH · UTAH 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Denveraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
19Alicia ThibodeauOH	3	6	3	20	.150	1	1	1	2	1	1	0.5	7.5
24Kayla PatelOH	3	5	5	18	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	5
7Elise HartMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
15Katelyn LandisMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Quinlan JonesOH	1	2	5	10	-.300	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
13Lily Van HalS	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
18Jamia JohnsonOH	3	4	2	18	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
10Ilayda ErenS	3	1	0	1	1.000	11	2	4	7	0	0	0	3
1Madison WinklerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	8	2	0	0	0
4Emersen WergerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	2	0	0	1
2Romi ChlebecekOH	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Izabela MolinaMB	1	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
Team totals		24	19	86	.058	20	4	6	27	7	2	1	48

Utahhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kamryn GibadloOH	3	7	4	17	.176	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	7
7DyBorrah JohnsonMB	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
4Loryn HelgesenOPP	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	6
2Izzy MogridgeS	3	1	0	2	.500	20	2	1	7	0	0	2	1	4
11McKenna PayneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
12Katelynn FieldMB	1	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
16Devyn WiestOH	3	5	2	9	.333	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5
3Isabelle MarcoS	3	0	0	0	–	10	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	4
8Sierra GrizzleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
1Lana MijacicMB	2	7	0	10	.700	1	0	1	1	0	1	2	2	9
6Ashley WestOH	2	4	0	5	.800	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
5Suttyn HarrisOH	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Langley GriffinOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
9Grace MossL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Olga MusialOH	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
17Allie GrossenbachOH	1	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	10	80	.375	35	7	9	36	4	2	12	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 DENVER · UTAH 5

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 DENVERUTAH 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 DENVERUTAH 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 DENVERUTAH 4

Bars above the line = Utah leads, below = Denver leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Denver

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%6/17	46%6/13
2	38%6/16	0%0/6
3	55%6/11	0%0/6
4	71%5/7	33%3/9
5	83%5/6	29%2/7
6	31%5/16	44%4/9
All	45%33/73	30%15/50

Utah

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	62%8/13
2	100%6/6	63%10/16
3	86%6/7	63%10/16
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	71%5/7	29%2/7
6	56%5/9	58%7/12
All	70%35/50	55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

123 rallies

Rally log

#	DENVER-UTAH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	DENVER	UTAH×4	Attack err	Kayla Patel		+0.4
2	0-2	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Quinlan Jones		+0.5
3	0-3	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Quinlan Jones		+0.4
4	0-4	UTAH	UTAH×4	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.3
5	1-4	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Quinlan Jones	set Lily Van Hal	+0.2
6	1-5	DENVER	UTAH×4	Kill	Katelynn Field	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
7	1-6	UTAH	UTAH×4	Kill	Katelynn Field	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
8	1-7	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Katelynn Field	+0.2
9	1-8	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau	blk Loryn Helgesen, Katelynn Field	+0.1
10	2-8	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Lily Van Hal	+0.1
11	2-9	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
12	2-10	UTAH	UTAH	Attack err	Quinlan Jones		+0.1
13	3-10	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.1
14	3-11	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
15	4-11	UTAH	DENVER	Attack err	Loryn Helgesen		+0.1
16	5-11	DENVER	DENVER	Ace	DENVER server	aced Langley Griffin	+0.1
17	5-12	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	DyBorrah Johnson	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
18	6-12	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
19	7-12	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.2
20	7-13	DENVER	UTAH×4	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Isabelle Marco	+0.1
21	7-14	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Kayla Patel		+0.1
22	7-15	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk DyBorrah Johnson, Ashley West	+0.1
23	7-16	UTAH	UTAH×4	Bad set	Ilayda Eren		+0.0
24	8-16	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.0
25	8-17	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.0
26	9-17	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Lily Van Hal	+0.0
27	9-18	DENVER	UTAH×4	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.0
28	9-19	UTAH	UTAH×4	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.0
29	9-20	UTAH	UTAH×4	Ace	UTAH server	aced Team	+0.0
30	9-21	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Quinlan Jones		+0.0
31	10-21	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.0
32	10-22	DENVER	UTAH×3	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.0
33	10-23	UTAH	UTAH×3	Attack err	Quinlan Jones		+0.0
34	10-24	UTAH	UTAH×3	Kill	Katelynn Field	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.0
35	11-24	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Quinlan Jones	set Alicia Thibodeau	+0.0
36	11-25	DENVER	UTAH	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.3
2	0-2	UTAH	UTAH	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau	blk DyBorrah Johnson, Izzy Mogridge	+0.3
3	1-2	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.2
4	1-3	DENVER	UTAH×3	Attack err	Romi Chlebecek	blk DyBorrah Johnson, Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
5	1-4	UTAH	UTAH×3	Attack err	Jamia Johnson		+0.2
6	1-5	UTAH	UTAH×3	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.2
7	2-5	UTAH	DENVER	Attack err	Kamryn Gibadlo		+0.1
8	2-6	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Lana Mijacic	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
9	2-7	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Lana Mijacic	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
10	3-7	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.1
11	3-8	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Lana Mijacic	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
12	4-8	UTAH	DENVER	Attack err	Devyn Wiest		+0.1
13	5-8	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+0.2
14	5-9	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
15	6-9	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Devyn Wiest	+0.2
16	6-10	DENVER	UTAH×3	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
17	6-11	UTAH	UTAH×3	Ace	UTAH server	aced Emersen Werger	+0.2
18	6-12	UTAH	UTAH×3	Ace	UTAH server	aced Team	+0.1
19	7-12	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.1
20	8-12	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.2
21	8-13	DENVER	UTAH	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.1
22	9-13	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Madison Winkler	+0.1
23	9-14	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.1
24	10-14	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.1
25	10-15	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.1
26	10-16	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Lana Mijacic		+0.1
27	11-16	UTAH	DENVER	Attack err	Kamryn Gibadlo		+0.1
28	12-16	DENVER	DENVER	Ace	DENVER server	aced Kamryn Gibadlo	+0.2
29	12-17	DENVER	UTAH	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.1
30	13-17	UTAH	DENVER	Attack err	Kamryn Gibadlo		+0.1
31	13-18	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
32	14-18	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
33	15-18	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	DyBorrah Johnson		+0.3
34	15-19	DENVER	UTAH×5	Kill	Suttyn Harris	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
35	15-20	UTAH	UTAH×5	Kill	DyBorrah Johnson	set Isabelle Marco	+0.2
36	15-21	UTAH	UTAH×5	Ace	UTAH server	aced Emersen Werger	+0.1
37	15-22	UTAH	UTAH×5	Ace	UTAH server	aced Madison Winkler	+0.0
38	15-23	UTAH	UTAH×5	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau		+0.0
39	16-23	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.0
40	16-24	DENVER	UTAH	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.0
41	16-25	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Izzy Mogridge	set Izabela Molina	+0.1
2	0-2	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.1
3	1-2	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Izabela Molina	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
4	1-3	DENVER	UTAH×3	Kill	Lana Mijacic	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
5	1-4	UTAH	UTAH×3	Kill	Lana Mijacic		+0.1
6	1-5	UTAH	UTAH×3	Ace	UTAH server	aced Alicia Thibodeau	+0.1
7	2-5	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
8	2-6	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
9	3-6	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
10	4-6	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Kamryn Gibadlo		+0.1
11	4-7	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Lana Mijacic	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
12	4-8	UTAH	UTAH	Attack err	Elise Hart		+0.1
13	5-8	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.1
14	5-9	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.1
15	6-9	UTAH	DENVER×3	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Madison Winkler	+0.1
16	7-9	DENVER	DENVER×3	Attack err	Allie Grossenbach		+0.1
17	8-9	DENVER	DENVER×3	Attack err	Allie Grossenbach	blk Alicia Thibodeau, Izabela Molina	+0.2
18	8-10	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	DyBorrah Johnson	set Isabelle Marco	+0.1
19	8-11	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Olga Musial	set Isabelle Marco	+0.2
20	9-11	UTAH	DENVER×4	Kill	Ilayda Eren		+0.1
21	10-11	DENVER	DENVER×4	Ace	DENVER server	aced Team	+0.2
22	11-11	DENVER	DENVER×4	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Madison Winkler	+0.3
23	12-11	DENVER	DENVER×4	Ace	DENVER server	aced Olga Musial	+0.3
24	12-12	DENVER	UTAH×4	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.2
25	12-13	UTAH	UTAH×4	Kill	Olga Musial	set Lana Mijacic	+0.3
26	12-14	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Izabela Molina	blk Lana Mijacic	+0.2
27	12-15	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Jamia Johnson	blk Lana Mijacic, Olga Musial	+0.2
28	13-15	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Izabela Molina	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
29	13-16	DENVER	UTAH	Serve err	DENVER server		+0.1
30	14-16	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
31	14-17	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	DyBorrah Johnson	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.1
32	15-17	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
33	16-17	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Madison Winkler	+0.3
34	16-18	DENVER	UTAH	Attack err	Kayla Patel	blk Loryn Helgesen, Lana Mijacic	+0.2
35	16-19	UTAH	UTAH	Ace	UTAH server	aced Madison Winkler	+0.2
36	17-19	UTAH	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Ilayda Eren	+0.1
37	17-20	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
38	17-21	UTAH	UTAH	Bad set	Ilayda Eren		+0.2
39	18-21	UTAH	DENVER	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.1
40	18-22	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Isabelle Marco	+0.1
41	18-23	UTAH	UTAH	Bad set	Izabela Molina		+0.1
42	19-23	UTAH	DENVER×3	Kill	Izabela Molina	set Ilayda Eren	+0.0
43	20-23	DENVER	DENVER×3	Bad set	Devyn Wiest		+0.1
44	21-23	DENVER	DENVER×3	Attack err	Devyn Wiest		+0.2
45	21-24	DENVER	UTAH	Kill	DyBorrah Johnson	set Isabelle Marco	+0.2
46	21-25	UTAH	UTAH	Attack err	Izabela Molina		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Denver first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.