FinalThu, Oct 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Pepperdine def. Denver 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Pepperdine 84.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Pepperdine won at Denver 3-0 (25-18, 25-14, 25-20) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Pepperdine's Mariia Nikol Dvornikova led with 14 kills, and Laine Briggs added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 8

Set123Sets
PEPPER2525253
DENVER1814200

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Mariia Nikol dvornikova needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. Pepperdine swept Denver.

Win probability never moved more than 1.4 points on one rally; Denver topped out at 17% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Pepperdine at 85%.

PepperdineDenver
  • Break %+22.8 pts
    47.324.5

    Points won on own serve: 35 of 74 vs 13 of 53. Denver sided out 52.7% of the time.

  • Hitting+.182
    .270.088

    Kills and errors: 50–16 vs 28–18.

  • Longest run+5
    83

    Up 12–8 in the second set, Pepperdine scored 8 straight to make it 20–8. The set finished 25–14.

Denver above 50Pepperdine belowMax swing 1.4%

PepperdineDenver

Aces
Pepperdine 5·Denver 1
Serve err
Pepperdine 7·Denver 2
Blocks
Pepperdine 13·Denver 61 BS · 24 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Pepperdine 55·Denver 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Denver above 50 · Pepperdine below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.4% PEPPERrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Pepperdine — set 1, PEPPER 2-1 DENVER. Pepperdine ace on Kayla Patel. DENVER win probability 16% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PEPPER 86.7%13.3% DENVER

Pepperdine wins

3-0
39.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%

Denver wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%
PEPPER break %
45.8% vs this opp
DENVER break %
37.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    PepperdineAce+1.4%

    Pepperdine ace on Kayla Patel

    Set 1 · PEPPER 2-1 DENVER · PEPPER 84% → 86%

  2. 02

    Alicia Thibodeau stuffed by Ella Piskorz & Maggie Beauer

    Set 1 · PEPPER 11-8 DENVER · PEPPER 87% → 88%

  3. 03

    Mariia Nikol Dvornikova stuffed by Elise Hart & Jamia Johnson

    Set 1 · PEPPER 5-4 DENVER · DENVER 13% → 14%

  4. 04

    Alicia Thibodeau stuffed by Maggie Beauer & Ella Piskorz

    Set 1 · PEPPER 3-1 DENVER · PEPPER 86% → 87%

  5. 05
    Hailey GoebelKill+1.2%

    Kill by Hailey Goebel (set by Ilayda Eren)

    Set 1 · PEPPER 0-1 DENVER · DENVER 15% → 17%

  6. 06
    PepperdineService error+1.2%

    Pepperdine service error

    Set 1 · PEPPER 9-8 DENVER · DENVER 13% → 14%

  7. 07
    Maggie BeauerKill+1.2%

    Kill by Maggie Beauer (set by Tristen Raymond)

    Set 1 · PEPPER 10-8 DENVER · PEPPER 86% → 87%

  8. 08

    Alicia Thibodeau stuffed by Ella Piskorz & Maggie Beauer

    Set 1 · PEPPER 12-8 DENVER · PEPPER 88% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314431.32300160031.515.5
313223.47800040010.513.5
38125.2801005006311
36214.28600020094.510.5
37313.30800200132.59.5
31210-.100420080010.51.5
3001.000042500004
3000–6111710001
3000–100400000
3000–001400000
1129-.11100000010.51.5
Team totals5016126.27050575511241375
Denverhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36324.125000301228
34114.214010100427
35320.100000100005
33717-.235100820003
3216.16700000010.52.5
3000–1301400000
36225.16000040031.57.5
3102.5001300700001
3002.0001001310000
3000–000510000
2113.000001110001
Team totals2818113.0882812475110652

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Pepperdine vs Denver

Season series · Pepperdine leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 PEPPER · DENVER 3

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 PEPPERDENVER 3

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 8 PEPPERDENVER 2

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 PEPPERDENVER 3

Bars above the line = Denver leads, below = Pepperdine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Pepperdine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
50%6/12
2
100%6/6
57%8/14
3
57%4/7
20%1/5
4
57%4/7
50%4/8
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
100%4/4
33%2/6
All
74%28/38
44%22/50

Denver

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
0%0/4
2
43%6/14
25%2/8
3
80%4/5
0%0/6
4
50%4/8
43%3/7
5
80%4/5
43%3/7
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
56%28/50
26%10/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#PEPPER-DENVERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PEPPERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+1.2
21-1DENVERPEPPER×4KillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.1
32-1PEPPERPEPPER×4AcePepperdineaced Kayla Patel+1.4
43-1PEPPERPEPPER×4BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Maggie Beauer, Ella Piskorz+1.3
54-1PEPPERPEPPER×4BlockedHailey Goebelblk Mariia Nikol Dvornikova, Ella Piskorz+1.1
64-2PEPPERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.8
75-2DENVERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+0.8
85-3PEPPERDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.9
95-4DENVERDENVERBlockedMariia Nikol Dvornikovablk Elise Hart, Jamia Johnson+1.4
106-4DENVERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.0
116-5PEPPERDENVERKillKayla Patelset Madison Winkler+1.1
127-5DENVERPEPPERAttack errKayla Patel+1.0
137-6PEPPERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+1.1
148-6DENVERPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.1
158-7PEPPERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+1.1
169-7DENVERPEPPERKillTristen Raymondset Laine Briggs+1.1
179-8PEPPERDENVERServe errPepperdine+1.2
1810-8DENVERPEPPER×5KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.2
1911-8PEPPERPEPPER×5BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Ella Piskorz, Maggie Beauer+1.4
2012-8PEPPERPEPPER×5BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Ella Piskorz, Maggie Beauer+1.1
2113-8PEPPERPEPPER×5KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Laine Briggs+0.9
2214-8PEPPERPEPPER×5KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.7
2314-9PEPPERDENVERKillElise Hartset Ilayda Eren+0.4
2415-9DENVERPEPPERBlockedJamia Johnsonblk Ella Piskorz, Mariia Nikol Dvornikova+0.5
2515-10PEPPERDENVERBlockedMariia Nikol Dvornikovablk Elise Hart, Jamia Johnson+0.4
2616-10DENVERPEPPER×3KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Charis Kai+0.5
2717-10PEPPERPEPPER×3KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.4
2818-10PEPPERPEPPER×3BlockedKayla Patelblk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz+0.3
2918-11PEPPERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+0.1
3018-12DENVERDENVER×3Attack errChloe Pravednikov+0.3
3118-13DENVERDENVER×3KillKatelyn Landisset Lily Van Hal+0.4
3219-13DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.4
3319-14PEPPERDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+0.3
3419-15DENVERDENVERAttack errIrelynd Lorenzen+0.6
3520-15DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.7
3620-16PEPPERDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Ilayda Eren+0.5
3721-16DENVERPEPPER×3Serve errDenver+0.6
3822-16PEPPERPEPPER×3AcePepperdineaced Kayla Patel+0.5
3923-16PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.2
4023-17PEPPERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren·
4124-17DENVERPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+0.1
4224-18PEPPERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren·
4325-18DENVERPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond·
Set 2
10-1DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+1.1
21-1DENVERPEPPER×3KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.8
32-1PEPPERPEPPER×3BlockedElise Hartblk Irelynd Lorenzen+1.0
43-1PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMaggie Beauerset Laine Briggs+0.9
53-2PEPPERDENVERAttack errIrelynd Lorenzen+0.7
64-2PEPPER
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
75-2PEPPERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Laine Briggs+0.8
85-3PEPPERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+0.6
96-3DENVERPEPPER×3KillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+0.6
107-3PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.7
118-3PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errKatelyn Landis+0.6
128-4PEPPERDENVERAttack errMariia Nikol Dvornikova+0.4
138-5DENVERDENVERBlockedElla Piskorzblk Alicia Thibodeau, Katelyn Landis+0.7
149-5DENVERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.6
159-6PEPPERDENVERServe errPepperdine+0.5
1610-6DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.6
1710-7PEPPERDENVERKillElise Hartset Ilayda Eren+0.6
1811-7DENVERPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+0.6
1912-7PEPPERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.6
2012-8PEPPERDENVERKillLily Van Halset Kayla Patel+0.4
2113-8DENVERPEPPER×8BlockedKayla Patelblk Irelynd Lorenzen, Chloe Pravednikov+0.5
2214-8PEPPERPEPPER×8Attack errKayla Patel+0.5
2315-8PEPPERPEPPER×8KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.3
2416-8PEPPERPEPPER×8BlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Maggie Beauer, Irelynd Lorenzen+0.2
2517-8PEPPERPEPPER×8KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.1
2618-8PEPPERPEPPER×8KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.1
2719-8PEPPERPEPPER×8KillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond·
2820-8PEPPERPEPPER×8AcePepperdineaced Romi Chlebecek·
2920-9PEPPERDENVERServe errPepperdine·
3021-9DENVERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond·
3121-10PEPPERDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal·
3222-10DENVERPEPPERBlockedKayla Patelblk Maggie Beauer, Ella Piskorz·
3322-11PEPPERDENVERAttack errTristen Raymond·
3423-11DENVERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond·
3523-12PEPPERDENVERServe errPepperdine·
3624-12DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond·
3724-13PEPPERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren·
3824-14DENVERDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal·
3925-14DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond·
Set 3
11-0PEPPERPEPPER×4KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.5
22-0PEPPERPEPPER×4BlockedJamia Johnsonblk Irelynd Lorenzen, Mariia Nikol Dvornikova+0.4
33-0PEPPERPEPPER×4AcePepperdineaced Emersen Werger+0.4
44-0PEPPERPEPPER×4AcePepperdineaced Madison Winkler+0.3
54-1PEPPERDENVERBlockedMariia Nikol Dvornikovablk Elise Hart, Jamia Johnson+0.2
65-1DENVERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Maggie Beauer+0.2
76-1PEPPERPEPPERBlockedKayla Patelblk Maggie Beauer, Ella Piskorz+0.3
86-2PEPPERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+0.2
97-2DENVERPEPPERServe errDenver+0.2
107-3PEPPERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+0.2
117-4DENVERDENVERAttack errAstrid Puig+0.3
128-4DENVERPEPPERKillAstrid Puigset Laine Briggs+0.3
139-4PEPPERPEPPERAttack errHailey Goebel+0.3
149-5PEPPERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.2
1510-5DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.2
1610-6PEPPERDENVERAttack errChloe Pravednikov+0.2
1710-7DENVERDENVERBlockedIrelynd Lorenzenblk Alicia Thibodeau+0.3
1811-7DENVERPEPPER×3KillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+0.3
1912-7PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.3
2013-7PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.2
2113-8PEPPERDENVERAttack errMaggie Beauer+0.1
2214-8DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.2
2314-9PEPPERDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+0.1
2415-9DENVERPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+0.2
2515-10PEPPERDENVERServe errPepperdine+0.1
2616-10DENVERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+0.2
2717-10PEPPERPEPPERBlockedKayla Patelblk Ella Piskorz, Astrid Puig+0.1
2817-11PEPPERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+0.1
2917-12DENVERDENVERAttack errTristen Raymond+0.2
3018-12DENVERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+0.2
3119-12PEPPERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Laine Briggs+0.1
3219-13PEPPERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+0.1
3319-14DENVERDENVERBlockedElla Piskorzblk Elise Hart, Alicia Thibodeau+0.1
3420-14DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.1
3521-14PEPPERPEPPERAttack errHailey Goebel+0.1
3621-15PEPPERDENVERServe errPepperdine·
3722-15DENVERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.1
3822-16PEPPERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal·
3923-16DENVERPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond·
4023-17PEPPERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal·
4123-18DENVERDENVER×3AceElise Hartaced Laine Briggs·
4223-19DENVERDENVER×3Attack errAstrid Puig+0.1
4324-19DENVERPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.1
4424-20PEPPERDENVERServe errPepperdine·
4525-20DENVERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Pepperdine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).