Denver vs Seattle U Volleyball: Denver Wins 3-0 (Oct 17)

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Denver 90.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Denver won at Seattle U 3-0 (25-21, 25-22, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Denver's Alicia Thibodeau led with 13 kills, and Madison Winkler added 8 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DENVER	25	25	25	3
SEATTL	21	22	23	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Denver won all three sets by four or fewer.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.6 points, and Seattle U's high was 12% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Denver at 90%.

DenverSeattle U

Longest run+1
54
5 straight Denver points in the second set turned a 20–22 deficit into a 25–22 lead. Final score of the set: 25–22.

Seattle U above 50Denver belowMax swing 2.6%

DenverSeattle U

Hitting: Denver .216·Seattle U .195
Aces: Denver 7·Seattle U 4
Serve err: Denver 6·Seattle U 6
Blocks: Denver 8·Seattle U 120 BS · 16 BA vs 4 BS · 16 BA
Digs: Denver 29·Seattle U 24

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Seattle U above 50 · Denver below

Biggest swing: 2.6% to Denver — set 2, DENVER 23-22 SEATTL. Attack error by Tamara Unga. SEATTL win probability 7% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DENVER 88.2%11.8% SEATTL

Denver wins

3-0

41.5%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.0%

Seattle U wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.5%

DENVER break %: 48.0% vs this opp
SEATTL break %: 38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Tamara UngaAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Tamara Unga
Set 2 · DENVER 23-22 SEATTL · DENVER 93% → 95%
02
Alicia Thibodeau&Izabela MolinaBlock+2.5%
Teagan Melton stuffed by Alicia Thibodeau & Izabela Molina
Set 2 · DENVER 22-22 SEATTL · DENVER 90% → 93%
03
Hailey McEllrath&Tamara UngaBlock+2.3%
Hailey Goebel stuffed by Hailey McEllrath & Tamara Unga
Set 2 · DENVER 19-21 SEATTL · SEATTL 8% → 11%
04
Jamia JohnsonKill+2.1%
Kill by Jamia Johnson (set by Lily Van Hal)
Set 2 · DENVER 24-22 SEATTL · DENVER 95% → 97%
05
Alicia ThibodeauKill+2.0%
Kill by Alicia Thibodeau (set by Ilayda Eren)
Set 1 · DENVER 23-21 SEATTL · DENVER 91% → 93%
06
Janae DemantAce+2.0%
Ace by Janae Demant on Madison Winkler
Set 2 · DENVER 19-20 SEATTL · SEATTL 6% → 8%
07
Alicia ThibodeauAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Alicia Thibodeau
Set 2 · DENVER 20-22 SEATTL · SEATTL 9% → 11%
08
Ilayda ErenBad set+2.0%
Bad set by Ilayda Eren
Set 1 · DENVER 22-21 SEATTL · SEATTL 7% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Denveraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
19Alicia ThibodeauOH	3	13	2	26	.423	0	2	1	7	2	3	1.5	16.5
9Hailey GoebelOH	3	7	5	17	.118	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	7.5
24Kayla PatelOH	3	6	4	15	.133	2	0	3	3	0	1	0.5	6.5
7Elise HartMB	3	3	4	11	-.091	0	2	0	3	0	3	1.5	6.5
16Izabela MolinaMB	3	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
10Ilayda ErenS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	1	0	1	0	0	0
18Jamia JohnsonOH	3	8	2	17	.353	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	9.5
13Lily Van HalS	3	2	0	4	.500	18	3	0	2	0	0	0	5
1Madison WinklerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
15Katelyn LandisMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
4Emersen WergerL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3RaeAnna KnappL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	20	97	.216	39	7	6	29	4	16	8	75

Seattle Uhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Teagan MeltonOH	3	10	3	15	.467	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
7Hailey McEllrathMB	3	5	0	7	.714	0	0	1	0	0	2	5	4.5	9.5
4Lexi JonesMB	3	5	2	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
13Chloee LeslieOH	3	2	4	13	-.154	1	0	2	1	4	0	1	0.5	2.5
10Grace JonesS	3	0	1	2	-.500	12	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
2Elaina DuongL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Tamara UngaOH	3	6	4	21	.095	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	2	8
8Orinayo OlukanmiOH	3	5	2	10	.300	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
1Bella JonesS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
12Janae DemantL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	10	0	0	0	0	1
3Clara GarciaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Tierney ErvinDS	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	17	82	.195	30	4	6	24	7	4	16	12	66

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Denver vs Seattle U

Season series · Denver leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 17, 2026Denver at Seattle U · Denver won 3-0This match
Thu, Nov 19, 2026Seattle U at DenverPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 DENVER · SEATTL 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 3 DENVERSEATTL 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 DENVERSEATTL 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 DENVERSEATTL 3

Bars above the line = Seattle U leads, below = Denver leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Denver

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	42%5/12
2	89%8/9	43%6/14
3	64%7/11	56%9/16
4	70%7/10	42%5/12
5	55%6/11	25%2/8
6	43%6/14	45%5/11
All	63%43/68	44%32/73

Seattle U

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	33%4/12
2	62%8/13	27%3/11
3	47%7/15	20%2/10
4	60%6/10	42%5/12
5	60%6/10	33%3/9
6	60%6/10	57%8/14
All	56%41/73	37%25/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	DENVER-SEATTL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SEATTL	DENVER	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.7
2	1-1	DENVER	SEATTL	Bad set	Ilayda Eren		+0.8
3	2-1	SEATTL	DENVER×3	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+0.7
4	3-1	DENVER	DENVER×3	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.9
5	4-1	DENVER	DENVER×3	Blocked	Teagan Melton	blk Alicia Thibodeau, Izabela Molina	+0.8
6	4-2	DENVER	SEATTL	Attack err	Kayla Patel		+0.6
7	5-2	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.6
8	6-2	DENVER	DENVER	Ace	Denver	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.7
9	6-3	DENVER	SEATTL	Serve err	Denver		+0.5
10	6-4	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Izabela Molina		+0.8
11	7-4	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.6
12	8-4	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Orinayo Olukanmi		+0.7
13	8-5	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Bella Jones	+0.5
14	8-6	SEATTL	SEATTL	Blocked	Jamia Johnson	blk Hailey McEllrath, Tamara Unga	+0.9
15	9-6	SEATTL	DENVER	Bad set	Hailey McEllrath		+0.7
16	9-7	DENVER	SEATTL×4	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Janae Demant	+0.7
17	9-8	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Attack err	Elise Hart		+1.1
18	9-9	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Blocked	Hailey Goebel	blk Hailey McEllrath, Teagan Melton	+1.4
19	9-10	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Ace	Grace Jones	aced Alicia Thibodeau	+1.6
20	10-10	SEATTL	DENVER×3	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Ilayda Eren	+1.1
21	11-10	DENVER	DENVER×3	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Ilayda Eren	+1.4
22	12-10	DENVER	DENVER×3	Attack err	Tamara Unga		+1.2
23	12-11	DENVER	SEATTL	Attack err	Hailey Goebel		+1.0
24	13-11	SEATTL	DENVER×3	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+1.0
25	14-11	DENVER	DENVER×3	Ace	Denver	aced Chloee Leslie	+1.1
26	15-11	DENVER	DENVER×3	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.9
27	15-12	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.6
28	15-13	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Elaina Duong	+1.1
29	16-13	SEATTL	DENVER	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.9
30	17-13	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Madison Winkler	+0.9
31	17-14	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.6
32	18-14	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.7
33	18-15	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+0.6
34	18-16	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Chloee Leslie	+1.1
35	19-16	SEATTL	DENVER	Serve err	Seattle U		+1.0
36	20-16	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Lexi Jones		+1.0
37	20-17	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+0.6
38	21-17	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Madison Winkler	+0.7
39	21-18	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.5
40	21-19	SEATTL	SEATTL	Blocked	Hailey Goebel	blk Hailey McEllrath, Teagan Melton	+1.2
41	22-19	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Ilayda Eren	+1.2
42	22-20	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Grace Jones	+0.9
43	22-21	SEATTL	SEATTL	Bad set	Ilayda Eren		+2.0
44	23-21	SEATTL	DENVER×3	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+2.0
45	24-21	DENVER	DENVER×3	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Ilayda Eren	+1.7
46	25-21	DENVER	DENVER×3	Ace	Denver	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	DENVER	DENVER	Blocked	Orinayo Olukanmi	blk Alicia Thibodeau, Elise Hart	+0.7
2	2-0	DENVER	DENVER	Blocked	Lexi Jones	blk Elise Hart, Hailey Goebel	+0.6
3	2-1	DENVER	SEATTL	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau		+0.5
4	3-1	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Ilayda Eren	+0.5
5	3-2	DENVER	SEATTL	Blocked	Izabela Molina	blk Hailey McEllrath	+0.5
6	4-2	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.5
7	4-3	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.5
8	5-3	SEATTL	DENVER	Serve err	Elaina Duong		+0.5
9	6-3	DENVER	DENVER	Ace	Denver	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.6
10	6-4	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.4
11	7-4	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Lily Van Hal	+0.4
12	7-5	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+0.4
13	8-5	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Lily Van Hal	+0.4
14	8-6	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+0.5
15	9-6	SEATTL	DENVER	Serve err	Chloee Leslie		+0.5
16	9-7	DENVER	SEATTL	Serve err	Denver		+0.5
17	10-7	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+0.5
18	11-7	DENVER	DENVER	Bad set	Janae Demant		+0.5
19	11-8	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+0.4
20	12-8	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.4
21	13-8	DENVER	DENVER	Ace	Denver		+0.4
22	13-9	DENVER	SEATTL×3	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Ilayda Eren	+0.3
23	13-10	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Elaina Duong	+0.5
24	13-11	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.7
25	14-11	SEATTL	DENVER	Serve err	Elaina Duong		+0.6
26	15-11	DENVER	DENVER	Blocked	Chloee Leslie	blk Izabela Molina, Jamia Johnson	+0.6
27	15-12	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.4
28	16-12	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.4
29	16-13	DENVER	SEATTL×3	Blocked	Elise Hart	blk Lexi Jones, Chloee Leslie	+0.4
30	16-14	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+0.7
31	16-15	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Elise Hart		+1.0
32	17-15	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Lily Van Hal	+0.8
33	18-15	DENVER	DENVER	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.9
34	18-16	DENVER	SEATTL×3	Blocked	Kayla Patel	blk Orinayo Olukanmi, Lexi Jones	+0.6
35	18-17	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+1.1
36	18-18	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Blocked	Hailey Goebel	blk Orinayo Olukanmi, Lexi Jones	+1.5
37	19-18	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Ilayda Eren	+1.2
38	19-19	DENVER	SEATTL×3	Serve err	Denver		+1.3
39	19-20	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Ace	Janae Demant	aced Madison Winkler	+2.0
40	19-21	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Blocked	Hailey Goebel	blk Hailey McEllrath, Tamara Unga	+2.3
41	20-21	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Ilayda Eren	+1.4
42	20-22	DENVER	SEATTL	Attack err	Alicia Thibodeau		+2.0
43	21-22	SEATTL	DENVER×5	Kill	Izabela Molina	set Ilayda Eren	+1.5
44	22-22	DENVER	DENVER×5	Blocked	Teagan Melton	blk Alicia Thibodeau, Izabela Molina	+2.5
45	23-22	DENVER	DENVER×5	Attack err	Tamara Unga		+2.6
46	24-22	DENVER	DENVER×5	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Lily Van Hal	+2.1
47	25-22	DENVER	DENVER×5	Ace	Denver	aced Tamara Unga	+1.0
Set 3
1	0-1	SEATTL	SEATTL	Blocked	Izabela Molina	blk Hailey McEllrath	+0.4
2	1-1	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.3
3	1-2	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Grace Jones	+0.3
4	2-2	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Kayla Patel	set Lily Van Hal	+0.3
5	2-3	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+0.3
6	3-3	SEATTL	DENVER×3	Kill	Hailey Goebel	set Ilayda Eren	+0.3
7	4-3	DENVER	DENVER×3	Attack err	Tierney Ervin		+0.3
8	5-3	DENVER	DENVER×3	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau		+0.3
9	5-4	DENVER	SEATTL	Attack err	Hailey Goebel		+0.3
10	6-4	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Elise Hart	set Ilayda Eren	+0.2
11	6-5	DENVER	SEATTL×3	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.3
12	6-6	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Ilayda Eren	+0.4
13	6-7	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Orinayo Olukanmi	+0.5
14	7-7	SEATTL	DENVER×4	Kill	Katelyn Landis	set Ilayda Eren	+0.3
15	8-7	DENVER	DENVER×4	Blocked	Tamara Unga	blk Jamia Johnson, Katelyn Landis	+0.4
16	9-7	DENVER	DENVER×4	Blocked	Tamara Unga	blk Jamia Johnson, Katelyn Landis	+0.4
17	10-7	DENVER	DENVER×4	Ace	Denver	aced Tamara Unga	+0.3
18	10-8	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.2
19	10-9	SEATTL	SEATTL	Blocked	Jamia Johnson	blk Tamara Unga	+0.4
20	11-9	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Lily Van Hal		+0.3
21	11-10	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Janae Demant	+0.3
22	12-10	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Lily Van Hal	+0.3
23	12-11	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.3
24	13-11	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Kayla Patel	+0.3
25	13-12	DENVER	SEATTL	Serve err	Denver		+0.3
26	13-13	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	Bella Jones	aced Ilayda Eren	+0.5
27	14-13	SEATTL	DENVER	Bad set	Orinayo Olukanmi		+0.4
28	14-14	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+0.4
29	14-15	SEATTL	SEATTL	Blocked	Elise Hart	blk Lexi Jones	+0.7
30	15-15	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.5
31	15-16	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Bella Jones	+0.6
32	16-16	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Lily Van Hal	set Kayla Patel	+0.5
33	17-16	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.6
34	17-17	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+0.5
35	17-18	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Kayla Patel		+0.8
36	18-18	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+0.6
37	19-18	DENVER	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Lily Van Hal	+0.7
38	19-19	DENVER	SEATTL	Blocked	Kayla Patel	blk Teagan Melton, Hailey McEllrath	+0.6
39	20-19	SEATTL	DENVER	Serve err	Elaina Duong		+0.6
40	21-19	DENVER	DENVER	Blocked	Teagan Melton	blk Elise Hart, Kayla Patel	+0.7
41	21-20	DENVER	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Grace Jones	+0.5
42	22-20	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Jamia Johnson	set Lily Van Hal	+0.6
43	23-20	DENVER	DENVER	Bad set	Grace Jones		+0.6
44	23-21	DENVER	SEATTL	Serve err	Denver		+0.3
45	23-22	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	Teagan Melton	aced Alicia Thibodeau	+0.7
46	24-22	SEATTL	DENVER	Attack err	Grace Jones		+0.8
47	24-23	DENVER	SEATTL	Serve err	Denver		+0.5
48	25-23	SEATTL	DENVER	Kill	Alicia Thibodeau	set Lily Van Hal	+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Denver first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Denver def. Seattle U 3–0

Denver won all three sets by four or fewer.