Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Notre Dame def. Toledo 3–1

Notre Dame won at Toledo 3-1 (18-25, 25-23, 25-19, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Notre Dame's Sydney Helmers led with 22 kills.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
N DAME182525253
TOLEDO252319161

Win probability

Toledo above 50 · Notre Dame below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.8% N DAMErally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.8% to Notre Dame — set 3, N DAME 20-17 TOLEDO. Attack error by Ava Siefke. TOLEDO win probability 61% → 55%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N DAME 18.5%81.5% TOLEDO

Notre Dame wins

3-0
2.9%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
9.5%

Toledo wins

3-0
33.1%
3-1
30.6%
3-2
17.8%
N DAME break %
38.7% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %
45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ava SiefkeAttack error+5.8%

    Attack error by Ava Siefke

    Set 3 · N DAME 20-17 TOLEDO · N DAME 39% → 45%

  2. 02
    Sierra PertzbornAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Sierra Pertzborn

    Set 4 · N DAME 16-11 TOLEDO · N DAME 82% → 87%

  3. 03
    Chichi NnajiKill+5.4%

    Kill by Chichi Nnaji (set by Lily Fenton)

    Set 4 · N DAME 14-9 TOLEDO · N DAME 80% → 85%

  4. 04
    Notre DameAce+5.2%

    Notre Dame ace

    Set 3 · N DAME 18-15 TOLEDO · N DAME 37% → 42%

  5. 05
    Anna BjorkKill+5.2%

    Kill by Anna Bjork (set by Maya Baker)

    Set 2 · N DAME 25-23 TOLEDO · N DAME 19% → 24%

  6. 06
    Anna BjorkKill+5.1%

    Kill by Anna Bjork (set by Lily Fenton)

    Set 4 · N DAME 7-3 TOLEDO · N DAME 69% → 74%

  7. 07
    Anna BjorkKill+5.1%

    Kill by Anna Bjork

    Set 4 · N DAME 6-3 TOLEDO · N DAME 64% → 69%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sydney Helmers (set by Lily Fenton)

    Set 4 · N DAME 8-3 TOLEDO · N DAME 74% → 79%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422843.32612116102125
45325.08000040010.55.5
44110.300101200004
4116.00000000031.52.5
4000–021500002
4001.0001603200000
49018.500100100009
4519.444000100005
42317-.059000200002
41011.0004031600001
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–1901700000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4917130.2464241056406393
Toledohome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410134.26512214000012
411022.5001003000011
410419.3161021002111
43718-.222000100214
41011.00021121200002
4000–002700000
413434.2650003000013
4314.500001000003
41011.000511100002
40412-.333000200000
4002.0001501300000
4001.0003031000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals5221148.2094741457404283

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 N DAME · TOLEDO 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 5 N DAMETOLEDO 7

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 N DAMETOLEDO 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 5 N DAMETOLEDO 4

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 4 N DAMETOLEDO 3

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Notre Dame leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Notre Dame

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%2/4
75%3/4
2
67%2/3
67%4/6
3
100%2/2
60%3/5
4
50%2/4
50%2/4
5
100%2/2
0%0/2
6
100%2/2
33%1/3
All
71%12/17
54%13/24

Toledo

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%2/6
50%2/4
2
40%2/5
33%1/3
3
50%2/4
0%0/2
4
100%2/2
50%2/4
5
67%2/3
0%0/2
6
25%1/4
0%0/2
All
46%11/24
29%5/17

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#N DAME-TOLEDOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1N DAMETOLEDO×5KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+1.1
20-2TOLEDOTOLEDO×5BlockedSydney Helmersblk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn+1.5
30-3TOLEDOTOLEDO×5Attack errSydney Helmers+1.3
40-4TOLEDOTOLEDO×5KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+1.1
50-5TOLEDOTOLEDO×5KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+0.9
61-5TOLEDON DAMEAttack errSierra Pertzbornset Grace Freiberger+0.6
71-6N DAMETOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.7
82-6TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+0.6
92-7N DAMETOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+0.7
103-7TOLEDON DAME×5KillIsabella Sanghaset Lily Fenton+0.6
114-7N DAMEN DAME×5Attack errAva Siefke+1.1
125-7N DAME
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
136-7N DAMEN DAME×5KillSydney Helmersset Isabella Sangha+1.7
147-7N DAMEN DAME×5KillAngie Desamoursset Lily Fenton+1.9
157-8N DAMETOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Janelle Green+1.4
168-8TOLEDON DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Lily Fenton+1.5
179-8N DAME
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
189-9N DAMETOLEDO×7KillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+1.6
199-10TOLEDOTOLEDO×7KillAva Siefke+2.1
209-11TOLEDOTOLEDO×7KillKayla Ozanich+1.9
219-12TOLEDOTOLEDO×7KillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+1.7
229-13TOLEDOTOLEDO×7KillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+1.4
239-14TOLEDOTOLEDO×7Attack errSydney Helmers+1.1
249-15TOLEDOTOLEDO×7Attack errAngie Desamours+0.8
2510-15TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+0.4
2610-16N DAMETOLEDOServe errNotre Dame+0.5
2710-17TOLEDOTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Kayla Ozanich+0.5
2811-17TOLEDON DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.2
2911-18N DAMETOLEDO×4KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.3
3011-19TOLEDOTOLEDO×4BlockedSydney Helmersblk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich+0.3
3111-20TOLEDOTOLEDO×4AceToledo+0.1
3211-21TOLEDOTOLEDO×4AceToledo+0.1
3312-21TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker·
3412-22N DAMETOLEDOServe errNotre Dame·
3512-23TOLEDOTOLEDOKillMadelyn Bachset Madelyn Bach·
3613-23TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker·
3713-24N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Madelyn Bach·
3814-24TOLEDON DAME×5KillChichi Nnaji·
3915-24N DAMEN DAME×5AceNotre Dame·
4016-24N DAMEN DAME×5KillGrace Langerset Grace Freiberger·
4117-24N DAMEN DAME×5KillAngie Desamoursset Sydney Helmers·
4218-24N DAMEN DAME×5Attack errSophie Catalano·
4318-25N DAMETOLEDOServe errNotre Dame·
Set 2
10-1TOLEDOTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+1.2
21-1TOLEDON DAME×4Serve errToledo+0.9
32-1N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errAva Siefke+1.4
43-1N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errSierra Pertzborn+1.5
54-1N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errSierra Pertzborn+1.5
64-2N DAMETOLEDOServe errNotre Dame+1.0
75-2TOLEDON DAMEAttack errSierra Pertzbornset Kayla Ozanich+1.2
85-3N DAMETOLEDO×3KillLilly Merkset Madelyn Bach+1.0
95-4TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errAnna Bjork+1.4
105-5TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errMae Kordas+1.4
116-5TOLEDON DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+1.1
127-5N DAMEN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.6
137-6N DAMETOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Janelle Green+1.1
148-6TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+1.3
158-7N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+1.1
169-7TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.3
1710-7N DAMEN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+1.8
1810-8N DAMETOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+1.1
1911-8TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+1.4
2011-9N DAMETOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+1.2
2112-9TOLEDON DAMEBad setMadelyn Bach+1.4
2212-10N DAMETOLEDOServe errNotre Dame+1.2
2313-10TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmers+1.5
2413-11N DAMETOLEDOServe errNotre Dame+1.2
2514-11TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+1.6
2615-11N DAMEN DAMEAceNotre Dame+2.0
2715-12N DAMETOLEDO×3Serve errNotre Dame+1.1
2815-13TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errSydney Helmers+1.8
2915-14TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errMae Kordas+2.0
3016-14TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+1.7
3117-14N DAMEN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+2.4
3217-15N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+1.4
3318-15TOLEDON DAME×3KillSydney Helmers+1.8
3419-15N DAMEN DAME×3KillIsabella Sanghaset Lily Fenton+2.2
3520-15N DAMEN DAME×3KillIsabella Sangha+1.8
3620-16N DAMETOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+0.8
3721-16TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+1.3
3822-16N DAME
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
3922-17N DAMETOLEDO×3KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.3
4022-18TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errAngie Desamours+0.8
4122-19TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefke+1.3
4223-19TOLEDON DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Lily Fenton+1.6
4323-20N DAMETOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Jessica Costlow+0.7
4423-21TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errSydney Helmers+1.8
4524-21TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+2.5
4624-22N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Madelyn Bach+0.9
4724-23TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errAngie Desamours+2.8
4825-23TOLEDON DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+5.2
Set 3
10-1N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+1.8
21-1TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+1.9
31-2N DAMETOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+1.8
42-2TOLEDON DAMEBad setGrace Freiberger+2.0
53-2N DAMEN DAMEKillChichi Nnaji+2.9
63-3N DAMETOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+2.0
74-3TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+2.2
85-3N DAMEN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Evens+3.3
95-4N DAMETOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Grace Freiberger+2.2
106-4TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Evens+2.5
116-5N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Madelyn Bach+2.2
127-5TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Anna Bjork+2.6
137-6N DAMETOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Janelle Green+2.3
147-7TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+3.2
157-8TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+3.0
168-8TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+2.3
179-8N DAMEN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Maya Evens+3.5
189-9N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merk+2.4
1910-9TOLEDON DAME×5KillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+2.7
2011-9N DAMEN DAME×5KillMaya Evens+4.0
2112-9N DAMEN DAME×5KillMae Kordasset Lily Fenton+4.1
2213-9N DAMEN DAME×5BlockedSophie Catalanoblk Grace Langer, Mae Kordas+4.0
2314-9N DAMEN DAME×5AceNotre Dame+3.7
2414-10N DAMETOLEDO×4Attack errChichi Nnajiset Sydney Helmers+2.0
2514-11TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillJessica Costlowset Grace Freiberger+3.3
2614-12TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillJessica Costlow+3.8
2714-13TOLEDOTOLEDO×4Attack errGrace Langer+4.1
2815-13TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+3.5
2915-14N DAMETOLEDOServe errNotre Dame+3.0
3016-14TOLEDON DAMEAttack errKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+3.7
3116-15N DAMETOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+3.1
3217-15TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+3.9
3318-15N DAMEN DAMEAceNotre Dame+5.2
3418-16N DAMETOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+3.0
3518-17TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errSydney Helmers+4.9
3619-17TOLEDON DAME×5KillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+4.4
3720-17N DAMEN DAME×5Attack errAva Siefke+5.8
3821-17N DAMEN DAME×5BlockedSophie Catalanoblk Grace Langer, Sydney Helmers+4.8
3922-17N DAME
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.4
4023-17N DAMEN DAME×5Attack errAva Siefke+1.8
4123-18N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merk+0.4
4224-18TOLEDON DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+1.0
4324-19N DAMETOLEDOServe errNotre Dame+0.2
4425-19TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+0.5
Set 4
10-1TOLEDOTOLEDOAceToledo+3.6
21-1TOLEDON DAME×4Attack errJessica Costlowset Avery Adamski+2.8
32-1N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errSierra Pertzborn+4.2
43-1N DAMEN DAME×4KillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+4.6
54-1N DAMEN DAME×4KillMae Kordasset Lily Fenton+4.8
64-2N DAMETOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+3.1
74-3TOLEDOTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+4.4
85-3TOLEDON DAME×4KillChichi Nnajiset Lily Fenton+3.6
96-3N DAMEN DAME×4KillAnna Bjork+5.1
107-3N DAMEN DAME×4KillAnna Bjorkset Lily Fenton+5.1
118-3N DAMEN DAME×4KillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+5.0
128-4N DAMETOLEDOAttack errMae Kordasset Maya Evens+2.9
139-4TOLEDON DAMEAttack errAudrey Dyasset Sydney Helmers+3.8
1410-4N DAMEN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+4.7
1510-5N DAMETOLEDO×3Serve errNotre Dame+2.6
1610-6TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Gabbi Leblanc+4.2
1710-7TOLEDOTOLEDO×3AceToledoaced Sydney Helmers+4.6
1811-7TOLEDON DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+4.2
1911-8N DAMETOLEDOKillAudrey Dyasset Gabbi Leblanc+3.3
2012-8TOLEDON DAMEAttack errKayla Ozanichset Gabbi Leblanc+4.3
2112-9N DAMETOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Gabbi Leblanc+3.4
2213-9TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+4.4
2314-9N DAMEN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Lily Fenton+5.4
2414-10N DAMETOLEDOKillGabbi Leblanc+3.0
2514-11TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errSydney Helmers+4.9
2615-11TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+4.6
2716-11N DAMEN DAMEAttack errSierra Pertzborn+5.6
2816-12N DAMETOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+2.9
2917-12TOLEDON DAMEAttack errSierra Pertzbornset Grace Freiberger+4.2
3017-13N DAMETOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Madelyn Bach+2.8
3118-13TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+4.2
3219-13N DAMEN DAMEKillIsabella Sangha+4.3
3319-14N DAMETOLEDOKillAudrey Dyasset Madelyn Bach+1.8
3420-14TOLEDON DAMEServe errToledo+3.0
3520-15N DAMETOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Gabbi Leblanc+1.6
3621-15TOLEDON DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+2.8
3722-15N DAMEN DAMEBlockedKayla Ozanichblk Sydney Helmers, Grace Langer+2.1
3822-16N DAMETOLEDOKillAudrey Dyasset Gabbi Leblanc+0.6
3923-16TOLEDON DAME×3Serve errToledo+1.2
4024-16N DAMEN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Evens+0.5
4125-16N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errKayla Ozanich+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Notre Dame first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).