Notre Dame def. Toledo 3–1
Notre Dame won at Toledo 3-1 (18-25, 25-23, 25-19, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Notre Dame's Sydney Helmers led with 22 kills.
Data through · final Sep 5
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N DAME | 18 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| TOLEDO | 25 | 23 | 19 | 16 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.8% to Notre Dame — set 3, N DAME 20-17 TOLEDO. Attack error by Ava Siefke. TOLEDO win probability 61% → 55%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Notre Dame wins
Toledo wins
- N DAME break %
- 38.7% vs this opp
- TOLEDO break %
- 45.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02Sierra PertzbornAttack error+5.6%
Attack error by Sierra Pertzborn
Set 4 · N DAME 16-11 TOLEDO · N DAME 82% → 87%
- 03Chichi NnajiKill+5.4%
Kill by Chichi Nnaji (set by Lily Fenton)
Set 4 · N DAME 14-9 TOLEDO · N DAME 80% → 85%
- 04Notre DameAce+5.2%
Notre Dame ace
Set 3 · N DAME 18-15 TOLEDO · N DAME 37% → 42%
- 05Anna BjorkKill+5.2%
Kill by Anna Bjork (set by Maya Baker)
Set 2 · N DAME 25-23 TOLEDO · N DAME 19% → 24%
- 06Anna BjorkKill+5.1%
Kill by Anna Bjork (set by Lily Fenton)
Set 4 · N DAME 7-3 TOLEDO · N DAME 69% → 74%
- 07
- 08Sydney HelmersKill+5.0%
Kill by Sydney Helmers (set by Lily Fenton)
Set 4 · N DAME 8-3 TOLEDO · N DAME 74% → 79%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 43 | .326 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | 18 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | -.059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 19 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 17 | 130 | .246 | 42 | 4 | 10 | 56 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 93 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 10 | 1 | 34 | .265 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 4 | 11 | 0 | 22 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 19 | .316 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -.222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 13 | 4 | 34 | .265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 21 | 148 | .209 | 47 | 4 | 14 | 57 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 83 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
18-25
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
25-19
Set 4
25-16
Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Notre Dame leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Notre Dame
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%2/4 | 75%3/4 |
| 2 | 67%2/3 | 67%4/6 |
| 3 | 100%2/2 | 60%3/5 |
| 4 | 50%2/4 | 50%2/4 |
| 5 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 6 | 100%2/2 | 33%1/3 |
| All | 71%12/17 | 54%13/24 |
Toledo
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33%2/6 | 50%2/4 |
| 2 | 40%2/5 | 33%1/3 |
| 3 | 50%2/4 | 0%0/2 |
| 4 | 100%2/2 | 50%2/4 |
| 5 | 67%2/3 | 0%0/2 |
| 6 | 25%1/4 | 0%0/2 |
| All | 46%11/24 | 29%5/17 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
176 rallies
| # | N DAME-TOLEDO | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N DAME | TOLEDO×5 | Kill | Sierra Pertzborn | set Madelyn Bach | +1.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×5 | Blocked | Sydney Helmers | blk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn | +1.5 |
| 3 | 0-3 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×5 | Attack err | Sydney Helmers | +1.3 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×5 | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +1.1 |
| 5 | 0-5 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×5 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +0.9 |
| 6 | 1-5 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | set Grace Freiberger | +0.6 |
| 7 | 1-6 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +0.7 |
| 8 | 2-6 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | +0.6 |
| 9 | 2-7 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +0.7 |
| 10 | 3-7 | TOLEDO | N DAME×5 | Kill | Isabella Sangha | set Lily Fenton | +0.6 |
| 11 | 4-7 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +1.1 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | N DAME | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.4 | |||
| 13 | 6-7 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Isabella Sangha | +1.7 |
| 14 | 7-7 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Kill | Angie Desamours | set Lily Fenton | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Janelle Green | +1.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Isabella Sangha | set Lily Fenton | +1.5 |
| 17 | 9-8 | N DAME | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.3 | |||
| 18 | 9-9 | N DAME | TOLEDO×7 | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Janelle Green | +1.6 |
| 19 | 9-10 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×7 | Kill | Ava Siefke | +2.1 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×7 | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | +1.9 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×7 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Janelle Green | +1.7 |
| 22 | 9-13 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×7 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Janelle Green | +1.4 |
| 23 | 9-14 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×7 | Attack err | Sydney Helmers | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×7 | Attack err | Angie Desamours | +0.8 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +0.4 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Serve err | Notre Dame | +0.5 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Kayla Ozanich | +0.5 |
| 28 | 11-17 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Mae Kordas | set Maya Baker | +0.2 |
| 29 | 11-18 | N DAME | TOLEDO×4 | Kill | Sierra Pertzborn | set Madelyn Bach | +0.3 |
| 30 | 11-19 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Blocked | Sydney Helmers | blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich | +0.3 |
| 31 | 11-20 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Ace | Toledo | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 11-21 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Ace | Toledo | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 12-21 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | · |
| 34 | 12-22 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Serve err | Notre Dame | · | |
| 35 | 12-23 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Madelyn Bach | set Madelyn Bach | · |
| 36 | 13-23 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | · |
| 37 | 13-24 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Madelyn Bach | · |
| 38 | 14-24 | TOLEDO | N DAME×5 | Kill | Chichi Nnaji | · | |
| 39 | 15-24 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Ace | Notre Dame | · | |
| 40 | 16-24 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Kill | Grace Langer | set Grace Freiberger | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Kill | Angie Desamours | set Sydney Helmers | · |
| 42 | 18-24 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Attack err | Sophie Catalano | · | |
| 43 | 18-25 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Serve err | Notre Dame | · | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TOLEDO | N DAME×4 | Serve err | Toledo | +0.9 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +1.4 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | +1.5 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | +1.5 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Serve err | Notre Dame | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | set Kayla Ozanich | +1.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | N DAME | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Madelyn Bach | +1.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Anna Bjork | +1.4 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Mae Kordas | +1.4 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Anna Bjork | set Maya Baker | +1.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | +1.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Janelle Green | +1.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +1.3 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Janelle Green | +1.1 |
| 16 | 9-7 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | +1.3 |
| 17 | 10-7 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Lily Fenton | +1.8 |
| 18 | 10-8 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Janelle Green | +1.1 |
| 19 | 11-8 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Lily Fenton | +1.4 |
| 20 | 11-9 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Madelyn Bach | +1.2 |
| 21 | 12-9 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Bad set | Madelyn Bach | +1.4 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Serve err | Notre Dame | +1.2 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | +1.5 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Serve err | Notre Dame | +1.2 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +1.6 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | N DAME | N DAME | Ace | Notre Dame | +2.0 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | N DAME | TOLEDO×3 | Serve err | Notre Dame | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Sydney Helmers | +1.8 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Mae Kordas | +2.0 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +1.7 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | +2.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Janelle Green | +1.4 |
| 33 | 18-15 | TOLEDO | N DAME×3 | Kill | Sydney Helmers | +1.8 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | N DAME | N DAME×3 | Kill | Isabella Sangha | set Lily Fenton | +2.2 |
| 35 | 20-15 | N DAME | N DAME×3 | Kill | Isabella Sangha | +1.8 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Janelle Green | +0.8 |
| 37 | 21-16 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +1.3 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | N DAME | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.1 | |||
| 39 | 22-17 | N DAME | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +0.3 |
| 40 | 22-18 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Angie Desamours | +0.8 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Ava Siefke | +1.3 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Isabella Sangha | set Lily Fenton | +1.6 |
| 43 | 23-20 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Jessica Costlow | +0.7 |
| 44 | 23-21 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Sydney Helmers | +1.8 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +2.5 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Madelyn Bach | +0.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Angie Desamours | +2.8 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Anna Bjork | set Maya Baker | +5.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Janelle Green | +1.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Lily Fenton | +1.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Janelle Green | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Bad set | Grace Freiberger | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Chichi Nnaji | +2.9 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +2.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +2.2 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Isabella Sangha | set Maya Evens | +3.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Grace Freiberger | +2.2 |
| 10 | 6-4 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Evens | +2.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Madelyn Bach | +2.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Anna Bjork | +2.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | N DAME | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Janelle Green | +2.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Janelle Green | +3.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Janelle Green | +3.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | +2.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Chichi Nnaji | set Maya Evens | +3.5 |
| 18 | 9-9 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | +2.4 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | TOLEDO | N DAME×5 | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Lily Fenton | +2.7 |
| 20 | 11-9 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Kill | Maya Evens | +4.0 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Kill | Mae Kordas | set Lily Fenton | +4.1 |
| 22 | 13-9 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Blocked | Sophie Catalano | blk Grace Langer, Mae Kordas | +4.0 |
| 23 | 14-9 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Ace | Notre Dame | +3.7 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | N DAME | TOLEDO×4 | Attack err | Chichi Nnaji | set Sydney Helmers | +2.0 |
| 25 | 14-11 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Grace Freiberger | +3.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | +3.8 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Attack err | Grace Langer | +4.1 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +3.5 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Serve err | Notre Dame | +3.0 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Attack err | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +3.7 |
| 31 | 16-15 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +3.1 |
| 32 | 17-15 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +3.9 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | N DAME | N DAME | Ace | Notre Dame | +5.2 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +3.0 |
| 35 | 18-17 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Sydney Helmers | +4.9 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | TOLEDO | N DAME×5 | Kill | Isabella Sangha | set Maya Baker | +4.4 |
| 37 | 20-17 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +5.8 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Blocked | Sophie Catalano | blk Grace Langer, Sydney Helmers | +4.8 |
| 39 | 22-17 | N DAME | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.4 | |||
| 40 | 23-17 | N DAME | N DAME×5 | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +1.8 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | +0.4 | |
| 42 | 24-18 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Isabella Sangha | set Maya Baker | +1.0 |
| 43 | 24-19 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Serve err | Notre Dame | +0.2 | |
| 44 | 25-19 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +0.5 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Ace | Toledo | +3.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | TOLEDO | N DAME×4 | Attack err | Jessica Costlow | set Avery Adamski | +2.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | +4.2 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Lily Fenton | +4.6 |
| 5 | 4-1 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Kill | Mae Kordas | set Lily Fenton | +4.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Sierra Pertzborn | set Madelyn Bach | +3.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +4.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | TOLEDO | N DAME×4 | Kill | Chichi Nnaji | set Lily Fenton | +3.6 |
| 9 | 6-3 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Kill | Anna Bjork | +5.1 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Kill | Anna Bjork | set Lily Fenton | +5.1 |
| 11 | 8-3 | N DAME | N DAME×4 | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Lily Fenton | +5.0 |
| 12 | 8-4 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Attack err | Mae Kordas | set Maya Evens | +2.9 |
| 13 | 9-4 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Attack err | Audrey Dyas | set Sydney Helmers | +3.8 |
| 14 | 10-4 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Mae Kordas | set Maya Baker | +4.7 |
| 15 | 10-5 | N DAME | TOLEDO×3 | Serve err | Notre Dame | +2.6 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Gabbi Leblanc | +4.2 |
| 17 | 10-7 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Ace | Toledo | aced Sydney Helmers | +4.6 |
| 18 | 11-7 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Mae Kordas | set Maya Baker | +4.2 |
| 19 | 11-8 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Audrey Dyas | set Gabbi Leblanc | +3.3 |
| 20 | 12-8 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Attack err | Kayla Ozanich | set Gabbi Leblanc | +4.3 |
| 21 | 12-9 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Gabbi Leblanc | +3.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | +4.4 |
| 23 | 14-9 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Chichi Nnaji | set Lily Fenton | +5.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Gabbi Leblanc | +3.0 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Sydney Helmers | +4.9 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Lily Fenton | +4.6 |
| 27 | 16-11 | N DAME | N DAME | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | +5.6 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Madelyn Bach | +2.9 |
| 29 | 17-12 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | set Grace Freiberger | +4.2 |
| 30 | 17-13 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Madelyn Bach | +2.8 |
| 31 | 18-13 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +4.2 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | N DAME | N DAME | Kill | Isabella Sangha | +4.3 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Audrey Dyas | set Madelyn Bach | +1.8 |
| 34 | 20-14 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Serve err | Toledo | +3.0 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Gabbi Leblanc | +1.6 |
| 36 | 21-15 | TOLEDO | N DAME | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Baker | +2.8 |
| 37 | 22-15 | N DAME | N DAME | Blocked | Kayla Ozanich | blk Sydney Helmers, Grace Langer | +2.1 |
| 38 | 22-16 | N DAME | TOLEDO | Kill | Audrey Dyas | set Gabbi Leblanc | +0.6 |
| 39 | 23-16 | TOLEDO | N DAME×3 | Serve err | Toledo | +1.2 | |
| 40 | 24-16 | N DAME | N DAME×3 | Kill | Sydney Helmers | set Maya Evens | +0.5 |
| 41 | 25-16 | N DAME | N DAME×3 | Attack err | Kayla Ozanich | +0.1 | |
Score shown after each rally, Notre Dame first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).