CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Northern Ky. def. Notre Dame 31

(26-24, 25-16, 26-28, 27-25)
Set1234Sets
N DAME241628251
N KY262526273

RallyIQ model

Win probability

N KY above 50 · N DAME below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100N KYN DAMEBiggest swing +12.2% N KY · S4 25-27rally 197 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.2% to Northern Ky. — set 4, N DAME 25-27 N KY. Attack error by Angie Desamours. N KY win probability 88%100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

N DAME 45.1%54.9% N KY

Notre Dame wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.7%
3-2
17.8%

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
19.4%
N DAME break %
43.9% vs this opp
N KY break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Angie DesamoursAttack error+12.2%

    Attack error by Angie Desamours

    Set 4 · N DAME 25-27 N KY · N KY 88%100%

  2. 02
    Sydney BrayKill+10.0%

    Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 4 · N DAME 23-24 N KY · N KY 78%88%

  3. 03
    Sydney HelmersKill+10.0%

    Kill by Sydney Helmers (set by Maya Baker)

    Set 4 · N DAME 24-24 N KY · N DAME 12%22%

  4. 04
    Sydney BrayKill+10.0%

    Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 4 · N DAME 24-25 N KY · N KY 78%88%

  5. 05
    Anna BjorkKill+10.0%

    Kill by Anna Bjork (set by Maya Baker)

    Set 4 · N DAME 25-25 N KY · N DAME 12%22%

  6. 06
    Ivey StocksKill+10.0%

    Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 4 · N DAME 25-26 N KY · N KY 78%88%

  7. 07
    Isabella SanghaAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Isabella Sangha

    Set 1 · N DAME 24-24 N KY · N KY 44%53%

  8. 08
    N KY serverAce+9.7%

    Northern Ky. ace on Sydney Helmers

    Set 1 · N DAME 24-25 N KY · N KY 53%63%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421556.28600153111.522.5
49327.2221011102110
45414.071121100007
4113.0003903900001
40003001510000
24211.182000000215
413830.1670000110114
40004011910000
3000100410000
23311.000000000003
2203.66700000010.52.5
2000700300000
Team totals5826155.206562757826593
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413225.44011200153.517.5
415128.50002112000017
413725.2400001002114
45311.18200200010.55.5
4102.5005812400213
42310-.100102600002
48625.080000200219
44115.200030710007
40001102800001
22015.133000100002
2000001000000
Team totals6323156.256618106121127104

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 N DAME · N KY 7

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 N DAMEN KY 6

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 N DAMEN KY 4

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 4 N DAMEN KY 6

Set 4

25-27

Longest run 5 N DAMEN KY 7

Bars above the line = Northern Ky. leads, below = Notre Dame leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Notre Dame

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
38%6/16
2
38%12/32
48%11/23
3
77%10/13
29%5/17
4
42%8/19
36%5/14
5
67%8/12
47%7/15
6
89%8/9
11%1/9
All
56%58/103
37%35/94

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%12/24
38%6/16
2
63%12/19
45%10/22
3
69%11/16
52%13/25
4
67%8/12
50%8/16
5
62%8/13
33%4/12
6
80%8/10
33%4/12
All
63%59/94
44%45/103

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

197 rallies

Rally log

#N DAME-N KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1N KYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
21-1N KYN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.9
32-1N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errLucia Heid+2.5
43-1N DAMEN DAME×3KillIsabella Sanghaset Mae Kordas+2.5
53-2N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.9
64-2N KYN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+2.0
74-3N DAMEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.9
85-3N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Evens+2.1
95-4N DAMEN KYKillAshley Sessset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
106-4N KYN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Maya Evens+2.1
116-5N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
127-5N KYN DAMEAttack errSydney Bray+2.2
137-6N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
148-6N KYN DAME×3Serve errN KY server+2.2
159-6N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errLucia Heid+2.7
1610-6N DAMEN DAME×3KillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+2.5
1710-7N DAMEN KYAttack errAnna Bjork+1.8
1810-8N KYN KYKillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+2.5
1911-8N KYN DAME×4Attack errEmma Adkins+2.3
2012-8N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errIvey Stocksblk Sydney Helmers, Isabella Sangha+2.6
2113-8N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errLucia Heid+2.3
2214-8N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errIvey Stocks+1.9
2314-9N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
2414-10N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Sydney Helmers+1.9
2515-10N KYN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.9
2616-10N DAMEN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+1.9
2717-10N DAMEN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+1.4
2817-11N DAMEN KYAttack errSydney Helmers+0.7
2917-12N KYN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
3018-12N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+1.5
3118-13N DAMEN KYKillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
3219-13N KYN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Lily Fenton+1.4
3319-14N DAMEN KYServe errN DAME server+0.9
3420-14N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+1.3
3520-15N DAMEN KYServe errN DAME server+0.8
3621-15N KYN DAMEServe errN KY server+1.2
3721-16N DAMEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
3821-17N KYN KYKillLucia Heidset Ivey Stocks+1.3
3922-17N KYN DAMEAttack errEmma Adkins+1.7
4022-18N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
4122-19N KYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.9
4223-19N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+2.5
4323-20N DAMEN KYKillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
4424-20N KYN DAMEAttack errZy'Aire Barr+2.2
4524-21N DAMEN KY×6Attack errSydney Helmers+0.7
4624-22N KYN KY×6Attack errChichi Nnaji+2.0
4724-23N KYN KY×6Attack errSydney Helmers+4.5
4824-24N KYN KY×6Attack errIsabella Sangha+9.9
4924-25N KYN KY×6AceN KY serveraced Sydney Helmers+9.7
5024-26N KYN KY×6Attack errAngie Desamours+9.5
Set 2
10-1N DAMEN KYAttack errAnna Bjorkblk Ivey Stocks, Lucia Heid+1.8
21-1N KYN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+1.8
31-2N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
41-3N KYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
52-3N KYN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+1.8
62-4N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
73-4N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Evens+1.8
83-5N DAMEN KY×3Attack errChichi Nnajiblk Ivey Stocks, Zy'Aire Barr+1.9
93-6N KYN KY×3Attack errAngie Desamoursblk Abbigail Pickard, Ashley Sess+2.3
103-7N KYN KY×3AceN KY serveraced Angie Desamours+2.1
114-7N KYN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Lily Fenton+1.5
124-8N DAMEN KY×4KillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
134-9N KYN KY×4Attack errAngie Desamours+1.9
144-10N KYN KY×4KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
154-11N KYN KY×4Attack errChichi Nnaji+1.3
165-11N KYN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Lily Fenton+0.8
175-12N DAMEN KYKillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
186-12N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+0.8
196-13N DAMEN KYKillAshley Sessset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
207-13N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Chloe Hooker+0.8
217-14N DAMEN KY×4KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
227-15N KYN KY×4Attack errIsabella Sanghablk Ivey Stocks+0.9
237-16N KYN KY×4KillAbbigail Pickardset Emma Adkins+0.6
247-17N KYN KY×4Attack errMaya Baker+0.4
258-17N KYN DAMEAttack errEmma Adkins+0.2
268-18N DAMEN KYServe errN DAME server+0.3
279-18N KYN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+0.1
289-19N DAMEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
2910-19N KYN DAMEServe errN KY server+0.1
3010-20N DAMEN KYAttack errAnna Bjork+0.2
3111-20N KYN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+0.1
3211-21N DAMEN KYServe errN DAME server+0.1
3312-21N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+0.1
3412-22N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.1
3513-22N KYN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Chloe Hooker+0.0
3614-22N DAMEN DAME×3KillIsabella Sangha+0.1
3715-22N DAMEN DAME×3KillMae Kordasset Anna Bjork+0.2
3815-23N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
3915-24N KYN KYAttack errSydney Helmersblk Abbigail Pickard, Ivey Stocks+0.1
4016-24N KYN DAMEAttack errLucia Heidblk Isabella Sangha, Mae Kordas+0.0
4116-25N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.0
Set 3
10-1N KYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
21-1N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Chloe Hooker+1.1
31-2N DAMEN KY×6KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
41-3N KYN KY×6Attack errSydney Helmers+1.4
51-4N KYN KY×6KillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
61-5N KYN KY×6Attack errMae Kordas+1.3
71-6N KYN KY×6AceN KY serveraced Mae Kordas+1.1
81-7N KYN KY×6AceN KY serveraced Chloe Hooker+1.0
92-7N KYN DAME×3KillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.7
103-7N DAMEN DAME×3KillMaya Bakerset Carla Mercado+1.0
114-7N DAMEN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.2
124-8N DAMEN KYAttack errAnna Bjork+1.1
135-8N KYN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.0
146-8N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errZy'Aire Barr+1.4
157-8N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errAshley Sessblk Angie Desamours+1.6
167-9N DAMEN KYServe errN DAME server+1.3
178-9N KYN DAME×4KillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+1.3
189-9N DAMEN DAME×4KillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+1.7
1910-9N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errAshley Sess+1.8
2011-9N DAMEN DAME×4AceN DAME serveraced Allison Risley+1.8
2111-10N DAMEN KYKillAshley Sessset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
2212-10N KYN DAMEServe errN KY server+1.5
2312-11N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
2413-11N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+1.6
2513-12N DAMEN KYAttack errMae Kordasblk Lucia Heid, Ivey Stocks+1.5
2613-13N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Maya Evens+2.0
2714-13N KYN DAMEKillGrace Langerset Maya Baker+1.7
2815-13N DAMEN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+2.1
2915-14N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
3016-14N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.8
3116-15N DAMEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
3217-15N KYN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+1.9
3317-16N DAMEN KY×3KillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
3417-17N KYN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
3517-18N KYN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
3618-18N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+2.1
3718-19N DAMEN KYServe errN DAME server+2.2
3819-19N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+2.2
3920-19N DAMEN DAMEKillGrace Langer+3.1
4020-20N DAMEN KYAttack errAngie Desamours+2.4
4121-20N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+2.7
4221-21N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.7
4322-21N KYN DAME×3KillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+3.1
4423-21N DAMEN DAME×3KillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+3.8
4524-21N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errLucia Heid+2.9
4624-22N DAMEN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
4724-23N KYN KY×3KillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+2.7
4824-24N KYN KY×3KillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+6.0
4925-24N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Evens+4.7
5025-25N DAMEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+4.7
5125-26N KYN KYKillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+5.8
5226-26N KYN DAME×3Serve errN KY server+4.6
5327-26N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errZy'Aire Barr+5.9
5428-26N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errAllison Risley+6.1
Set 4
10-1N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
21-1N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+2.4
32-1N DAMEN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+3.1
42-2N DAMEN KY×7KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.5
52-3N KYN KY×7KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.2
62-4N KYN KY×7KillIvey Stocks+3.1
72-5N KYN KY×7Attack errAngie Desamours+3.0
82-6N KYN KY×7KillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
92-7N KYN KY×7AceN KY serveraced Sydney Helmers+2.5
102-8N KYN KY×7Attack errAngie Desamours+2.1
113-8N KYN DAMEServe errN KY server+1.5
123-9N DAMEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
134-9N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+1.4
144-10N DAMEN KY×3Serve errN DAME server+1.7
154-11N KYN KY×3Attack errAngie Desamours+1.8
164-12N KYN KY×3KillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
175-12N KYN DAMEServe errN KY server+0.8
185-13N DAMEN KYKillAshley Sessset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
195-14N KYN KYKillAshley Sessset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
206-14N KYN DAMEServe errN KY server+0.5
216-15N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
227-15N KYN DAME×3Serve errN KY server+0.5
238-15N DAMEN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+0.8
249-15N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errLucia Heidblk Sydney Helmers+1.2
259-16N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
269-17N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Carla Mercado+1.1
2710-17N KYN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+0.6
2810-18N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.8
2911-18N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+0.5
3012-18N DAMEN DAMEAceN DAME serveraced Team+0.9
3112-19N DAMEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
3213-19N KYN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+0.7
3314-19N DAMEN DAMEAttack errZy'Aire Barr+1.3
3414-20N DAMEN KYAttack errMae Kordasblk Zy'Aire Barr, Ivey Stocks+1.5
3515-20N KYN DAME×5KillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+0.9
3616-20N DAMEN DAME×5Attack errZy'Aire Barr+1.8
3717-20N DAMEN DAME×5Attack errZy'Aire Barrblk Grace Langer, Mae Kordas+2.6
3818-20N DAMEN DAME×5KillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+3.8
3919-20N DAMEN DAME×5KillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+5.1
4019-21N DAMEN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+5.0
4120-21N KYN DAMEServe errN KY server+4.3
4220-22N DAMEN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+5.6
4320-23N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+5.6
4421-23N KYN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+2.6
4522-23N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errAshley Sess+5.8
4623-23N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errLucia Heid+9.4
4723-24N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+10.0
4824-24N KYN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+10.0
4924-25N DAMEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+10.0
5025-25N KYN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+10.0
5125-26N DAMEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+10.0
5225-27N KYN KYAttack errAngie Desamours+12.2

Score shown after each rally, Notre Dame first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.