North Carolina def. Notre Dame 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 16)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026ACCNX

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: North Carolina 91.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Carolina won at Notre Dame 3-0 (25-15, 28-26, 26-24) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Chelsea Thorpe and Safi Hampton led North Carolina with 10 kills each; Notre Dame's Sydney Helmers had a match-high 12.

Data through Nov 3, 10:10 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UNC	25	28	26	3
N DAME	15	26	24	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Notre Dame hit .036. North Carolina held them there all match.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.2 points. Notre Dame peaked at 13% in Set 2. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had North Carolina at 91%.

North CarolinaNotre Dame

Break %+11.4 pts
44.232.8
On serve: 34/77 against 22/67 (Notre Dame sideout 55.8%).
Hitting+.182
.218.036
40 kills, 16 errors vs 34 kills, 30 errors.
Longest run+4
73
Down 12–18 in the second set, North Carolina scored 7 straight to lead 19–18. The set finished 28–26.

Notre Dame above 50North Carolina belowMax swing 3.2%

North CarolinaNotre Dame

Aces: North Carolina 0·Notre Dame 1
Serve err: North Carolina 14·Notre Dame 6
Blocks: North Carolina 15·Notre Dame 71 BS · 28 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs: North Carolina 42·Notre Dame 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Notre Dame above 50 · North Carolina below

Biggest swing: 3.2% to North Carolina — set 2, UNC 25-24 N DAME. Sydney Helmers stuffed by Lauren Schutter & Chelsea Thorpe. N DAME win probability 7% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC 94.2%5.8% N DAME

North Carolina wins

3-0

53.3%

3-1

30.3%

3-2

10.7%

Notre Dame wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.7%

3-2

3.5%

UNC break %: 48.1% vs this opp
N DAME break %: 36.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lauren Schutter&Chelsea ThorpeBlock+3.2%
Sydney Helmers stuffed by Lauren Schutter & Chelsea Thorpe
Set 2 · UNC 25-24 N DAME · UNC 93% → 96%
02
Anna Bjork&Chichi NnajiBlock+3.0%
Addison West stuffed by Anna Bjork & Chichi Nnaji
Set 2 · UNC 22-23 N DAME · N DAME 6% → 9%
03
Sydney HelmersKill+2.9%
Kill by Sydney Helmers (set by Maya Baker)
Set 2 · UNC 23-24 N DAME · N DAME 7% → 10%
04
Chelsea ThorpeKill+2.9%
Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt)
Set 2 · UNC 24-24 N DAME · UNC 90% → 93%
05
Addison West&Safi HamptonBlock+2.5%
Kailyn Greene- Gordon stuffed by Addison West & Safi Hampton
Set 2 · UNC 28-26 N DAME · UNC 96% → 99%
06
Sydney Helmers&Grace LangerBlock+2.2%
Chelsea Thorpe stuffed by Sydney Helmers & Grace Langer
Set 2 · UNC 25-25 N DAME · N DAME 4% → 6%
07
Safi HamptonKill+2.2%
Kill by Safi Hampton (set by Zoe Behrendt)
Set 2 · UNC 26-25 N DAME · UNC 94% → 96%
08
Sydney HelmersKill+2.2%
Kill by Sydney Helmers (set by Lily Fenton)
Set 2 · UNC 26-26 N DAME · N DAME 4% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

North Carolinaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
77Chelsea ThorpeOPP	3	10	6	27	.148	0	0	2	0	0	7	3.5	13.5
22Safi HamptonOH	3	10	2	27	.296	1	3	9	0	0	2	1	11
3Lauren SchutterMB	3	6	1	10	.500	2	0	0	0	0	7	3.5	9.5
21Jackie TaylorMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	3	3	0	0	6	3	8
18Carly MarkhamL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	4	3	0	0	0	0	0
1Zoe BehrendtS	3	0	0	0	–	13	2	7	0	0	0	0	0
24Addison WestOH	3	5	2	17	.176	0	0	4	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
23Laynie SmithOPP	3	4	4	17	.000	1	0	5	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
6Julia BohlingerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	4	1	0	0	0	0
8Sienna CozzaS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	16	110	.218	36	14	42	1	1	28	15	79

Notre Damehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BA	BLK	PTS
31Anna BjorkMB	3	4	3	12	.083	1	1	1	1	4	2	7
24Kailyn Greene- GordonOPP	3	4	5	13	-.077	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	4.5
33Grace LangerMB	3	2	0	8	.250	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
2Chloe HookerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0
4Lily FentonS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	2	1	0	0	0
15Mae KordasOH	2	1	9	15	-.533	0	0	0	1	0	0	1
14Sydney HelmersOH	3	12	5	36	.194	1	0	0	10	4	2	14
19Chichi NnajiOH	3	5	3	11	.182	0	0	0	4	1	0.5	5.5
23Maya BakerS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	2	1	0	0	0
8Maya EvensL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	16	0	0	0
10Angie DesamoursOH	2	6	4	16	.125	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	6.5
21Mia RadeffOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	30	112	.036	33	1	6	43	14	7	65

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UNC · N DAME 3

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 UNCN DAME 2

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 7 UNCN DAME 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 3 UNCN DAME 3

Bars above the line = Notre Dame leads, below = North Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	13%1/8
2	67%8/12	43%6/14
3	80%8/10	43%6/14
4	64%7/11	65%13/20
5	70%7/10	36%4/11
6	50%6/12	40%4/10
All	67%45/67	44%34/77

Notre Dame

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	27%3/11
2	50%8/16	43%6/14
3	53%8/15	11%1/9
4	44%7/16	38%5/13
5	50%6/12	30%3/10
6	86%6/7	40%4/10
All	56%43/77	33%22/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

144 rallies

#	UNC-N DAME	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Carly Markham	+0.7
2	2-0	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Mae Kordas		+0.8
3	2-1	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Mae Kordas	set Maya Evens	+0.6
4	3-1	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Julia Bohlinger	+0.6
5	3-2	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.7
6	4-2	N DAME	UNC×5	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza	+0.6
7	5-2	UNC	UNC×5	Blocked	Anna Bjork	blk Addison West	+0.7
8	6-2	UNC	UNC×5	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Sienna Cozza	+0.6
9	7-2	UNC	UNC×5	Attack err	Mae Kordas		+0.5
10	8-2	UNC	UNC×5	Attack err	Mae Kordas		+0.4
11	8-3	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.2
12	9-3	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Sienna Cozza	+0.3
13	9-4	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Anna Bjork	set Maya Baker	+0.2
14	9-5	N DAME	N DAME	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Maya Baker	+0.5
15	10-5	N DAME	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Laynie Smith	+0.4
16	11-5	UNC	UNC×3	Blocked	Chichi Nnaji	blk Jackie Taylor, Addison West	+0.4
17	12-5	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Jackie Taylor		+0.3
18	12-6	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.2
19	12-7	N DAME	N DAME	Blocked	Addison West	blk Grace Langer, Kailyn Greene- Gordon	+0.3
20	13-7	N DAME	UNC	Blocked	Mae Kordas	blk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe	+0.3
21	13-8	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.2
22	14-8	N DAME	UNC	Attack err	Mae Kordas		+0.3
23	14-9	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.2
24	14-10	N DAME	N DAME	Kill	Anna Bjork	set Lily Fenton	+0.5
25	15-10	N DAME	UNC×5	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.4
26	16-10	UNC	UNC×5	Attack err	Kailyn Greene- Gordon		+0.4
27	17-10	UNC	UNC×5	Bad set	Lily Fenton		+0.2
28	18-10	UNC	UNC×5	Blocked	Mae Kordas	blk Laynie Smith, Lauren Schutter	+0.1
29	19-10	UNC	UNC×5	Blocked	Mia Radeff	blk Lauren Schutter, Laynie Smith	+0.1
30	19-11	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Kailyn Greene- Gordon	set Lily Fenton	·
31	20-11	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Lauren Schutter	·
32	20-12	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Anna Bjork	set Maya Baker	·
33	21-12	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Sienna Cozza	·
34	21-13	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Chichi Nnaji	set Anna Bjork	·
35	22-13	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Addison West	set Sienna Cozza	·
36	22-14	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		·
37	23-14	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	·
38	24-14	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Kailyn Greene- Gordon	blk Jackie Taylor, Safi Hampton	·
39	24-15	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Grace Langer	set Lily Fenton	·
40	25-15	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	·
Set 2
1	0-1	UNC	N DAME×3	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Maya Baker	+0.6
2	0-2	N DAME	N DAME×3	Attack err	Chelsea Thorpe		+0.8
3	0-3	N DAME	N DAME×3	Kill	Chichi Nnaji	set Maya Baker	+0.9
4	1-3	N DAME	UNC	Serve err	Anna Bjork		+0.6
5	2-3	UNC	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.8
6	2-4	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Chichi Nnaji	set Maya Baker	+0.7
7	2-5	N DAME	N DAME	Attack err	Chelsea Thorpe		+1.0
8	3-5	N DAME	UNC	Serve err	Lily Fenton		+0.6
9	4-5	UNC	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza	+0.9
10	4-6	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Lily Fenton	+0.7
11	4-7	N DAME	N DAME	Attack err	Safi Hampton		+1.1
12	5-7	N DAME	UNC	Bad set	Lily Fenton		+0.7
13	5-8	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.8
14	5-9	N DAME	N DAME	Attack err	Laynie Smith		+1.1
15	6-9	N DAME	UNC	Attack err	Mae Kordas		+0.7
16	7-9	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Mae Kordas		+1.0
17	7-10	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Kailyn Greene- Gordon	set Lily Fenton	+0.9
18	8-10	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Sienna Cozza	+0.7
19	8-11	UNC	N DAME×3	Kill	Anna Bjork	set Maya Baker	+0.9
20	8-12	N DAME	N DAME×3	Attack err	Jackie Taylor		+1.3
21	8-13	N DAME	N DAME×3	Blocked	Chelsea Thorpe	blk Sydney Helmers, Anna Bjork	+1.2
22	9-13	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Addison West	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.7
23	9-14	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.9
24	9-15	N DAME	N DAME	Attack err	Safi Hampton		+1.1
25	10-15	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.6
26	11-15	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Sydney Helmers	blk Lauren Schutter, Chelsea Thorpe	+0.9
27	11-16	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+1.0
28	12-16	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Carly Markham	+0.7
29	12-17	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Kailyn Greene- Gordon	set Lily Fenton	+1.0
30	12-18	N DAME	N DAME	Kill	Grace Langer	set Lily Fenton	+1.1
31	13-18	N DAME	UNC×7	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Sienna Cozza	+0.5
32	14-18	UNC	UNC×7	Blocked	Mae Kordas	blk Lauren Schutter, Laynie Smith	+0.9
33	15-18	UNC	UNC×7	Kill	Addison West	set Sienna Cozza	+1.1
34	16-18	UNC	UNC×7	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza	+1.3
35	17-18	UNC	UNC×7	Attack err	Sydney Helmers		+1.5
36	18-18	UNC	UNC×7	Blocked	Kailyn Greene- Gordon	blk Addison West, Lauren Schutter	+1.5
37	19-18	UNC	UNC×7	Attack err	Angie Desamours		+1.5
38	19-19	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	Safi Hampton		+1.1
39	20-19	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Sienna Cozza	+1.1
40	21-19	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Anna Bjork		+1.4
41	21-20	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Angie Desamours	set Lily Fenton	+0.9
42	21-21	N DAME	N DAME	Kill	Chichi Nnaji	set Maya Baker	+1.8
43	22-21	N DAME	UNC	Serve err	Maya Baker		+1.5
44	22-22	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Angie Desamours	set Maya Evens	+1.6
45	22-23	N DAME	N DAME	Blocked	Addison West	blk Anna Bjork, Chichi Nnaji	+3.0
46	23-23	N DAME	UNC	Attack err	Anna Bjork		+2.0
47	23-24	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Maya Baker	+2.9
48	24-24	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+2.9
49	25-24	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Sydney Helmers	blk Lauren Schutter, Chelsea Thorpe	+3.2
50	25-25	UNC	N DAME	Blocked	Chelsea Thorpe	blk Sydney Helmers, Grace Langer	+2.2
51	26-25	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+2.2
52	26-26	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Lily Fenton	+2.2
53	27-26	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Julia Bohlinger	+2.2
54	28-26	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Kailyn Greene- Gordon	blk Addison West, Safi Hampton	+2.5
Set 3
1	1-0	N DAME	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Lauren Schutter	+0.2
2	2-0	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza	+0.3
3	3-0	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Addison West	set Sienna Cozza	+0.2
4	3-1	UNC	N DAME×3	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Maya Evens	+0.2
5	3-2	N DAME	N DAME×3	Ace	Anna Bjork	aced Julia Bohlinger	+0.3
6	3-3	N DAME	N DAME×3	Attack err	Laynie Smith		+0.3
7	4-3	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza	+0.2
8	5-3	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Chichi Nnaji		+0.3
9	5-4	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Maya Evens	+0.2
10	6-4	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Sienna Cozza	+0.2
11	7-4	UNC	UNC	Kill	Addison West	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.3
12	7-5	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Kailyn Greene- Gordon	set Lily Fenton	+0.2
13	7-6	N DAME	N DAME	Kill	Angie Desamours	set Lily Fenton	+0.3
14	8-6	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Safi Hampton	+0.2
15	8-7	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.2
16	9-7	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.2
17	9-8	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Angie Desamours	set Lily Fenton	+0.3
18	10-8	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.2
19	10-9	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Angie Desamours	set Maya Evens	+0.3
20	11-9	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Julia Bohlinger	+0.3
21	11-10	UNC	N DAME	Blocked	Laynie Smith	blk Sydney Helmers, Anna Bjork	+0.3
22	12-10	N DAME	UNC	Bad set	Maya Baker		+0.3
23	12-11	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Maya Baker	+0.3
24	13-11	N DAME	UNC	Attack err	Kailyn Greene- Gordon		+0.3
25	13-12	UNC	N DAME	Blocked	Chelsea Thorpe	blk Grace Langer, Sydney Helmers	+0.3
26	14-12	N DAME	UNC	Blocked	Angie Desamours	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor	+0.3
27	15-12	UNC	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton		+0.3
28	15-13	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.2
29	16-13	N DAME	UNC	Serve err	Notre Dame		+0.3
30	16-14	UNC	N DAME×3	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.2
31	16-15	N DAME	N DAME×3	Attack err	Lauren Schutter		+0.5
32	16-16	N DAME	N DAME×3	Kill	Chichi Nnaji	set Maya Baker	+0.6
33	17-16	N DAME	UNC	Serve err	Notre Dame		+0.4
34	17-17	UNC	N DAME	Attack err	Laynie Smith		+0.5
35	18-17	N DAME	UNC	Attack err	Chichi Nnaji		+0.5
36	18-18	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Maya Baker	+0.5
37	19-18	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Sienna Cozza	+0.5
38	19-19	UNC	N DAME	Serve err	Julia Bohlinger		+0.6
39	20-19	N DAME	UNC	Serve err	Lily Fenton		+0.6
40	21-19	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Sydney Helmers	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor	+0.7
41	21-20	UNC	N DAME×3	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Lily Fenton	+0.4
42	21-21	N DAME	N DAME×3	Kill	Angie Desamours	set Sydney Helmers	+0.9
43	21-22	N DAME	N DAME×3	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Lily Fenton	+1.2
44	22-22	N DAME	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.8
45	23-22	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Angie Desamours	blk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe	+1.2
46	23-23	UNC	N DAME	Kill	Sydney Helmers	set Lily Fenton	+0.9
47	23-24	N DAME	N DAME	Blocked	Chelsea Thorpe	blk Angie Desamours, Anna Bjork	+1.8
48	24-24	N DAME	UNC×3	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.4
49	25-24	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Sydney Helmers		+1.5
50	26-24	UNC	UNC×3	Blocked	Angie Desamours	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter	+1.2

Score shown after each rally, North Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

North Carolina def. Notre Dame 3–0

Notre Dame hit .036. North Carolina held them there all match.