FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

0:3

HomeSEC

Kentucky def. South Fla. 3–0

(25-18, 25-16, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
USF	18	16	19	0
UK	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UK above 50 · USF below

Biggest swing: 0.4% to South Fla. — set 1, USF 17-16 UK. Attack error by Asia Thigpen. UK win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

USF 0.5%99.5% UK

South Fla. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.4%

Kentucky wins

3-0

79.1%

3-1

17.9%

3-2

2.5%

USF break %: 30.3% vs this opp
UK break %: 49.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Asia ThigpenAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Asia Thigpen
Set 1 · USF 17-16 UK · USF 1% → 1%
02
Iyanna GarvinAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Iyanna Garvin
Set 1 · USF 17-18 UK · UK 99% → 99%
03
Brooklyn DeLeyeKill+0.2%
Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 1 · USF 17-19 UK · UK 99% → 99%
04
USF serverService error+0.2%
South Fla. service error
Set 1 · USF 17-17 UK · UK 99% → 99%
05
Lizzie CarrKill+0.2%
Kill by Lizzie Carr
Set 1 · USF 13-14 UK · UK 99% → 99%
06
Morgan GaerteAttack error+0.2%
Attack error by Morgan Gaerte
Set 1 · USF 9-8 UK · USF 1% → 1%
07
Brooklyn DeLeyeAttack error+0.2%
Brooklyn DeLeye stuffed by Amelia Wass de Czege & Paula Tomasa
Set 1 · USF 3-0 UK · USF 1% → 1%
08
UK serverService error+0.2%
Kentucky service error
Set 1 · USF 13-12 UK · USF 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

South Fla.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Paula TomasaOH	3	7	5	18	.111	0	0	0	3	0	4	2	9
15Amelia Wass de CzegeMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	1	3	0	0	7	3.5	5.5
2Laila IveyOH	3	4	7	28	-.107	0	0	0	0	3	2	1	5
12Addy BrusOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	4
11Iyanna GarvinMB	3	3	2	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
5Nina Jioshvili-RavvaS	3	1	0	5	.200	24	0	2	4	0	2	1	2
4Mora PampinOH	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
7Sofija DjordjevicL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	11	0	0	0	1
3Miya ThomasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
17Ryelle RondoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0
19Emelyn StettinS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
0Samiyah Abdur-RahimOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	18	83	.096	26	2	9	28	5	16	8	53

Kentuckyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Brooklyn DeLeyeOH	3	12	8	36	.111	0	1	3	7	0	1	2	2	15
15Lizzie CarrMB	3	10	2	19	.421	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	4	14
10Kennedy WashingtonMB	3	6	1	8	.625	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	8
20Asia ThigpenOH	3	7	2	11	.455	1	0	2	8	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
6Kassie O'BrienS	3	2	0	3	.667	33	4	1	6	0	0	0	0	6
1Trinity WardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
18Morgan GaerteOH	3	5	3	17	.118	0	0	0	3	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
12Molly TuozzoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
27Brynn CovellS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
21Caroline PrihodaS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	16	94	.277	38	5	9	38	2	5	12	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 USF · UK 8

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 USFUK 6

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 USFUK 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 5 USFUK 8

Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = South Fla. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

South Fla.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	21%6/28	63%10/16
2	75%6/8	0%0/6
3	100%6/6	25%2/8
4	67%6/9	40%4/10
5	40%6/15	25%2/8
6	57%4/7	14%1/7
All	47%34/73	35%19/55

Kentucky

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	46%6/13	71%10/14
2	100%6/6	71%15/21
3	67%6/9	14%1/7
4	67%6/9	25%2/8
5	75%6/8	25%2/8
6	60%6/10	60%9/15
All	65%36/55	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	USF-UK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Lizzie Carr	blk Laila Ivey, Amelia Wass de Czege	+0.1
2	2-0	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Amelia Wass de Czege, Paula Tomasa	+0.2
3	3-0	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Amelia Wass de Czege, Paula Tomasa	+0.2
4	3-1	USF	UK×6	Serve err	USF server		+0.1
5	3-2	UK	UK×6	Ace	UK server	aced Laila Ivey	+0.1
6	3-3	UK	UK×6	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Brooklyn DeLeye	+0.1
7	3-4	UK	UK×6	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.1
8	3-5	UK	UK×6	Attack err	Laila Ivey		+0.1
9	3-6	UK	UK×6	Attack err	Amelia Wass de Czege	blk Lizzie Carr	+0.1
10	4-6	UK	USF	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte	blk Amelia Wass de Czege, Laila Ivey	+0.0
11	4-7	USF	UK	Attack err	Mora Pampin		+0.0
12	5-7	UK	USF×3	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
13	6-7	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Lizzie Carr		+0.1
14	7-7	USF	USF×3	Ace	USF server	aced Team	+0.1
15	7-8	USF	UK	Serve err	USF server		+0.1
16	8-8	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.1
17	9-8	USF	USF	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte		+0.2
18	9-9	USF	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
19	10-9	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.2
20	10-10	USF	UK	Serve err	USF server		+0.1
21	11-10	UK	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
22	11-11	USF	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
23	12-11	UK	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
24	12-12	USF	UK	Kill	Kassie O'Brien	set Trinity Ward	+0.1
25	13-12	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.2
26	13-13	USF	UK	Serve err	USF server		+0.2
27	13-14	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr		+0.2
28	14-14	UK	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
29	14-15	USF	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
30	15-15	UK	USF	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.2
31	15-16	USF	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
32	16-16	UK	USF	Kill	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	set Sofija Djordjevic	+0.2
33	17-16	USF	USF	Attack err	Asia Thigpen		+0.4
34	17-17	USF	UK×6	Serve err	USF server		+0.2
35	17-18	UK	UK×6	Attack err	Iyanna Garvin		+0.3
36	17-19	UK	UK×6	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
37	17-20	UK	UK×6	Attack err	Iyanna Garvin	blk Brooklyn DeLeye, Kennedy Washington	+0.2
38	17-21	UK	UK×6	Bad set	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva		+0.1
39	17-22	UK	UK×6	Attack err	Addy Brus	blk Kennedy Washington	+0.0
40	18-22	UK	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
41	18-23	USF	UK×3	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
42	18-24	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Addy Brus		+0.0
43	18-25	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Laila Ivey		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
2	1-1	UK	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
3	1-2	USF	UK	Attack err	Paula Tomasa	blk Morgan Gaerte	+0.0
4	1-3	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Laila Ivey	+0.0
5	2-3	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
6	2-4	USF	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
7	3-4	UK	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
8	4-4	USF	USF	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte		+0.1
9	4-5	USF	UK	Serve err	USF server		+0.0
10	4-6	UK	UK	Attack err	Paula Tomasa	blk Kennedy Washington, Asia Thigpen	+0.0
11	5-6	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
12	5-7	USF	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
13	6-7	UK	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
14	6-8	USF	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
15	6-9	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
16	7-9	UK	USF×3	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
17	8-9	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.1
18	9-9	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Amelia Wass de Czege, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.1
19	9-10	USF	UK×5	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
20	9-11	UK	UK×5	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
21	9-12	UK	UK×5	Attack err	Laila Ivey	blk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte	+0.1
22	9-13	UK	UK×5	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
23	9-14	UK	UK×5	Attack err	Laila Ivey		+0.0
24	10-14	UK	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
25	10-15	USF	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
26	11-15	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
27	11-16	USF	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
28	12-16	UK	USF	Kill	Amelia Wass de Czege	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
29	12-17	USF	UK	Serve err	USF server		+0.0
30	12-18	UK	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
31	13-18	UK	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
32	13-19	USF	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
33	13-20	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
34	14-20	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
35	14-21	USF	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
36	15-21	UK	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
37	16-21	USF	USF	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.0
38	16-22	USF	UK×4	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
39	16-23	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Laila Ivey	blk Morgan Gaerte, Lizzie Carr	+0.0
40	16-24	UK	UK×4	Ace	UK server	aced Laila Ivey	+0.0
41	16-25	UK	UK×4	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	USF	UK×3	Serve err	USF server		+0.0
2	0-2	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Laila Ivey	blk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte	+0.0
3	0-3	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Paula Tomasa	blk Lizzie Carr	+0.0
4	1-3	UK	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
5	1-4	USF	UK	Serve err	USF server		+0.0
6	2-4	UK	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
7	2-5	USF	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
8	3-5	UK	USF×3	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
9	4-5	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Kennedy Washington	blk Iyanna Garvin, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
10	5-5	USF	USF×3	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
11	5-6	USF	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
12	5-7	UK	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
13	6-7	UK	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
14	7-7	USF	USF	Attack err	Asia Thigpen		+0.0
15	7-8	USF	UK	Kill	Kassie O'Brien	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
16	7-9	UK	UK	Attack err	Laila Ivey		+0.0
17	8-9	UK	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
18	9-9	USF	USF	Ace	USF server	aced Team	+0.0
19	9-10	USF	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
20	10-10	UK	USF×5	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
21	11-10	USF	USF×5	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege	+0.1
22	12-10	USF	USF×5	Kill	Addy Brus	set Sofija Djordjevic	+0.1
23	13-10	USF	USF×5	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.1
24	14-10	USF	USF×5	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege	+0.1
25	14-11	USF	UK×8	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
26	14-12	UK	UK×8	Ace	UK server	aced Ryelle Rondo	+0.1
27	14-13	UK	UK×8	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.1
28	14-14	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Paula Tomasa	blk Brooklyn DeLeye	+0.1
29	14-15	UK	UK×8	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
30	14-16	UK	UK×8	Kill	Lizzie Carr		+0.0
31	14-17	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Paula Tomasa	blk Brooklyn DeLeye, Lizzie Carr	+0.0
32	14-18	UK	UK×8	Ace	UK server	aced Addy Brus	+0.0
33	15-18	UK	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
34	15-19	USF	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
35	16-19	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
36	16-20	USF	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Asia Thigpen	+0.0
37	17-20	UK	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
38	17-21	USF	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
39	18-21	UK	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
40	18-22	USF	UK×3	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
41	18-23	UK	UK×3	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
42	18-24	UK	UK×3	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
43	19-24	UK	USF	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
44	19-25	USF	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, South Fla. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.