FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

3:0

HomePAC-12

South Fla. def. Utah St. 3–0

(25-23, 25-20, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
USF	25	25	25	3
UT ST	23	20	19	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UT ST above 50 · USF below

Biggest swing: 6.0% to South Fla. — set 1, USF 23-21 UT ST. Attack error by Ava Napierski. UT ST win probability 33% → 27%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

USF 62.9%37.1% UT ST

South Fla. wins

3-0

18.8%

3-1

24.1%

3-2

20.0%

Utah St. wins

3-0

7.8%

3-1

13.4%

3-2

15.9%

USF break %: 41.0% vs this opp
UT ST break %: 38.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ava NapierskiAttack error+6.0%
Attack error by Ava Napierski
Set 1 · USF 23-21 UT ST · USF 67% → 73%
02
Iyanna GarvinKill+5.9%
Kill by Iyanna Garvin (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 1 · USF 25-23 UT ST · USF 73% → 79%
03
Amelia Wass de CzegeKill+5.2%
Kill by Amelia Wass de Czege
Set 1 · USF 20-19 UT ST · USF 61% → 66%
04
Mora PampinKill+4.9%
Kill by Mora Pampin (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 1 · USF 19-19 UT ST · USF 56% → 61%
05
Paula TomasaKill+4.5%
Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 1 · USF 24-22 UT ST · USF 71% → 75%
06
Paula TomasaKill+4.3%
Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 1 · USF 22-21 UT ST · USF 63% → 67%
07
Addy BrusAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Addy Brus
Set 1 · USF 15-17 UT ST · UT ST 41% → 45%
08
Addy BrusAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Addy Brus
Set 1 · USF 14-15 UT ST · UT ST 37% → 41%

Official NCAA box

Box score

South Fla.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Paula TomasaOH	3	13	8	33	.152	0	0	1	10	0	0	8	4	17
4Mora PampinOH	3	10	2	32	.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
11Iyanna GarvinMB	3	8	1	13	.538	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
12Addy BrusOH	3	8	4	22	.182	1	0	0	12	1	0	2	1	9
5Nina Jioshvili-RavvaS	3	1	1	4	.000	34	1	0	10	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
15Amelia Wass de CzegeMB	2	1	1	3	.000	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
17Ryelle RondoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
7Sofija DjordjevicL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
8Anne PerezMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	3	4
13Riley McCaugheyS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Laila IveyOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
19Emelyn StettinS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	18	112	.223	39	3	6	48	1	1	24	13	75

Utah St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Ava NakaiOH	3	11	6	30	.167	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	11.5
44Taytum NelsonMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	5
3Ava NapierskiMB	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	2	2	0	1	0.5	4.5
28Justyna NovakovaOH	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	1
5Silina DamuniS	3	0	1	3	-.333	19	0	0	8	0	1	0.5	0.5
13Sami BlackettOH	2	5	6	20	-.050	0	0	0	5	1	2	1	6
9Olivia RuyOH	3	9	4	26	.192	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
1Lily LaFleschL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	12	1	0	0	1
12Olivia TukuafuS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
17Lauren BodilyOH	2	2	2	12	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
16Addy CookOH	2	1	0	6	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
15Sadie WarrenL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	25	123	.089	33	1	2	42	3	10	5	62

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 USF · UT ST 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 USFUT ST 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 USFUT ST 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 USFUT ST 3

Bars above the line = Utah St. leads, below = South Fla. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

South Fla.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	46%6/13
2	64%7/11	50%7/14
3	70%7/10	46%6/13
4	86%6/7	60%9/15
5	67%6/9	25%2/8
6	55%6/11	45%5/11
All	63%40/63	47%35/74

Utah St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	50%6/12
2	64%7/11	43%6/14
3	41%7/17	36%4/11
4	50%6/12	30%3/10
5	86%6/7	33%3/9
6	56%5/9	14%1/7
All	53%39/74	37%23/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	USF-UT ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	USF	USF	Attack err	Sami Blackett	blk Amelia Wass de Czege, Paula Tomasa	+2.4
2	2-0	USF	USF	Attack err	Sami Blackett	blk Amelia Wass de Czege, Paula Tomasa	+2.4
3	2-1	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+1.5
4	2-2	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.5
5	3-2	UT ST	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
6	3-3	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+1.7
7	4-3	UT ST	USF×3	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
8	5-3	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Sami Blackett	blk Iyanna Garvin, Paula Tomasa	+2.5
9	6-3	USF	USF×3	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.3
10	6-4	USF	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.4
11	6-5	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+2.5
12	7-5	UT ST	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
13	8-5	USF	USF	Attack err	Lauren Bodily	blk Addy Brus, Iyanna Garvin	+2.4
14	8-6	USF	UT ST	Serve err	USF server		+1.5
15	9-6	UT ST	USF	Attack err	Olivia Ruy		+1.6
16	9-7	USF	UT ST	Kill	Taytum Nelson	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.5
17	10-7	UT ST	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
18	10-8	USF	UT ST	Kill	Taytum Nelson	set Silina Damuni	+1.5
19	10-9	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+2.7
20	11-9	UT ST	USF×3	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.9
21	12-9	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+2.7
22	13-9	USF	USF×3	Ace	USF server	aced Justyna Novakova	+2.3
23	13-10	USF	UT ST×4	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+1.3
24	13-11	UT ST	UT ST×4	Attack err	Amelia Wass de Czege		+2.5
25	13-12	UT ST	UT ST×4	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Silina Damuni	+3.0
26	13-13	UT ST	UT ST×4	Attack err	Mora Pampin		+3.4
27	14-13	UT ST	USF	Attack err	Justyna Novakova	blk Amelia Wass de Czege, Mora Pampin	+2.3
28	14-14	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Silina Damuni	+2.4
29	14-15	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Addy Brus		+3.9
30	15-15	UT ST	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.5
31	15-16	USF	UT ST	Bad set	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva		+2.8
32	15-17	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Addy Brus		+4.2
33	16-17	UT ST	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.4
34	16-18	USF	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Lauren Bodily	+3.0
35	17-18	UT ST	USF	Attack err	Taytum Nelson	blk Iyanna Garvin	+2.6
36	17-19	USF	UT ST	Kill	Lauren Bodily	set Olivia Tukuafu	+3.2
37	18-19	UT ST	USF×3	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.7
38	19-19	USF	USF×3	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+4.9
39	20-19	USF	USF×3	Kill	Amelia Wass de Czege		+5.2
40	20-20	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Lily LaFlesch	+3.4
41	21-20	UT ST	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+3.8
42	21-21	USF	UT ST	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+3.7
43	22-21	UT ST	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+4.3
44	23-21	USF	USF	Attack err	Ava Napierski		+6.0
45	23-22	USF	UT ST	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+2.7
46	24-22	UT ST	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+4.5
47	24-23	USF	UT ST	Serve err	USF server		+2.4
48	25-23	UT ST	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+5.9
Set 2
1	0-1	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Iyanna Garvin	blk Sami Blackett, Taytum Nelson	+2.2
2	0-2	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Mora Pampin		+2.3
3	1-2	UT ST	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.4
4	1-3	USF	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett		+1.6
5	2-3	UT ST	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.5
6	2-4	USF	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Silina Damuni	+1.6
7	3-4	UT ST	USF	Attack err	Sami Blackett		+1.5
8	3-5	USF	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.6
9	3-6	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+2.4
10	4-6	UT ST	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Sofija Djordjevic	+1.5
11	4-7	USF	UT ST×3	Serve err	USF server		+1.7
12	4-8	UT ST	UT ST×3	Kill	Lauren Bodily	set Olivia Tukuafu	+2.4
13	4-9	UT ST	UT ST×3	Attack err	Paula Tomasa	blk Taytum Nelson, Olivia Ruy	+2.1
14	5-9	UT ST	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
15	6-9	USF	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.1
16	6-10	USF	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.6
17	6-11	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Addy Brus	blk Ava Nakai, Taytum Nelson	+2.2
18	7-11	UT ST	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
19	7-12	USF	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+1.5
20	8-12	UT ST	USF×5	Bad set	Silina Damuni		+1.1
21	9-12	USF	USF×5	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+2.1
22	10-12	USF	USF×5	Attack err	Taytum Nelson	blk Anne Perez, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.5
23	11-12	USF	USF×5	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.8
24	12-12	USF	USF×5	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+3.0
25	12-13	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+2.1
26	12-14	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Lily LaFlesch	+3.3
27	13-14	UT ST	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Emelyn Stettin	+1.9
28	14-14	USF	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+3.3
29	14-15	USF	UT ST	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+2.3
30	14-16	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Olivia Tukuafu	+3.5
31	15-16	UT ST	USF×6	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.1
32	16-16	USF	USF×6	Attack err	Sami Blackett	blk Paula Tomasa, Anne Perez	+3.6
33	17-16	USF	USF×6	Ace	USF server	aced Sami Blackett	+3.7
34	18-16	USF	USF×6	Attack err	Sami Blackett	blk Anne Perez, Paula Tomasa	+3.5
35	19-16	USF	USF×6	Attack err	Justyna Novakova		+3.0
36	20-16	USF	USF×6	Attack err	Lauren Bodily	blk Addy Brus, Anne Perez	+2.3
37	20-17	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.0
38	21-17	UT ST	USF×3	Kill	Anne Perez	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.5
39	22-17	USF	USF×3	Ace	USF server	aced Lily LaFlesch	+1.3
40	23-17	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Iyanna Garvin, Paula Tomasa	+0.6
41	23-18	USF	UT ST	Serve err	USF server		+0.1
42	23-19	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.4
43	24-19	UT ST	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.6
44	24-20	USF	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.1
45	25-20	UT ST	USF	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	USF	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin		+1.2
2	2-0	USF	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Sofija Djordjevic	+1.2
3	2-1	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.8
4	2-2	UT ST	UT ST	Ace	UT ST server	aced Addy Brus	+1.3
5	3-2	UT ST	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.8
6	3-3	USF	UT ST×3	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.9
7	3-4	UT ST	UT ST×3	Attack err	Anne Perez		+1.4
8	3-5	UT ST	UT ST×3	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+1.4
9	4-5	UT ST	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.9
10	4-6	USF	UT ST	Serve err	USF server		+1.0
11	5-6	UT ST	USF	Attack err	Ava Napierski		+0.9
12	6-6	USF	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.4
13	6-7	USF	UT ST	Kill	Justyna Novakova	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.0
14	7-7	UT ST	USF	Serve err	UT ST server		+1.0
15	7-8	USF	UT ST	Kill	Addy Cook	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.0
16	8-8	UT ST	USF	Kill	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	set Addy Brus	+1.0
17	9-8	USF	USF	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+1.5
18	9-9	USF	UT ST×3	Kill	Taytum Nelson	set Silina Damuni	+1.0
19	9-10	UT ST	UT ST×3	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+1.6
20	9-11	UT ST	UT ST×3	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+1.7
21	10-11	UT ST	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.0
22	10-12	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+1.2
23	11-12	UT ST	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Sofija Djordjevic	+1.1
24	12-12	USF	USF	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+1.7
25	12-13	USF	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+1.2
26	13-13	UT ST	USF×4	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Anne Perez, Paula Tomasa	+1.2
27	14-13	USF	USF×4	Bad set	Olivia Tukuafu		+1.8
28	15-13	USF	USF×4	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.8
29	16-13	USF	USF×4	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.6
30	16-14	USF	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.9
31	17-14	UT ST	USF×3	Attack err	Silina Damuni		+1.1
32	18-14	USF	USF×3	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.3
33	19-14	USF	USF×3	Kill	Iyanna Garvin		+0.9
34	19-15	USF	UT ST	Attack err	Addy Brus	blk Ava Napierski, Silina Damuni	+0.4
35	20-15	UT ST	USF	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.6
36	20-16	USF	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.4
37	21-16	UT ST	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.5
38	22-16	USF	USF	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+0.4
39	22-17	USF	UT ST	Serve err	USF server		+0.1
40	22-18	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva		+0.4
41	23-18	UT ST	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.4
42	23-19	USF	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.2
43	24-19	UT ST	USF	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Anne Perez, Paula Tomasa	+0.3
44	25-19	USF	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, South Fla. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.