Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026

Stanford def. South Fla. 3–1

Stanford beat visiting South Fla. 3-1 (25-17, 25-18, 30-32, 25-15) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026. Stanford's Lizzy Andrew led with 17 kills.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set1234Sets
USF171832151
STAN252530253

Win probability

Stanford above 50 · South Fla. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.6% USFrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.6% to South Fla. — set 3, USF 32-30 STAN. Kaci Demaria stuffed by Iyanna Garvin & Paula Tomasa. STAN win probability 97% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USF 5.2%94.8% STAN

South Fla. wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.5%
3-2
3.1%

Stanford wins

3-0
54.8%
3-1
29.9%
3-2
10.1%
USF break %
35.5% vs this opp
STAN break %
47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kaci Demaria stuffed by Iyanna Garvin & Paula Tomasa

    Set 3 · USF 32-30 STAN · USF 3% → 4%

  2. 02
    Paula TomasaKill+1.2%

    Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 4 · USF 1-0 STAN · USF 4% → 5%

  3. 03
    Addy BrusKill+1.2%

    Kill by Addy Brus (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 3 · USF 25-24 STAN · USF 1% → 3%

  4. 04
    Paula TomasaKill+1.2%

    Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 3 · USF 30-29 STAN · USF 1% → 3%

  5. 05
    Kaci DemariaKill+1.0%

    Kill by Kaci Demaria (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 4 · USF 2-3 STAN · STAN 95% → 96%

  6. 06
    Ella AndrewsKill+1.0%

    Kill by Ella Andrews (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 3 · USF 26-27 STAN · STAN 98% → 99%

  7. 07

    Kaci Demaria stuffed by Paula Tomasa & Amelia Wass de Czege

    Set 4 · USF 2-1 STAN · USF 5% → 5%

  8. 08
    Lizzy AndrewKill+0.9%

    Kill by Lizzy Andrew (set by Rana Yamada)

    Set 4 · USF 2-4 STAN · STAN 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413642.1672011202114
491234-.0880024004211
45212.250010200428
46519.053001100010.56.5
4227.000000200635
4011-1.00029121300212
4000–001600000
36414.143000300217
35520.000001200005
3000–100310000
2001.0001000300000
2000–300400000
1000–00000010.50.5
Team totals4637150.06045285330221182
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417328.50000020012623
413839.12810020073.516.5
49319.31600000153.512.5
48429.1380129004211
46520.050300101031.57.5
4215.20044121000214
4000–2101000001
4000–002100000
4000–002710000
1001.00000000010.50.5
1000–000000000
1000–201000000
Team totals5524141.220523951213418105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 USF · STAN 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 USFSTAN 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 USFSTAN 5

Set 3

32-30

Longest run 3 USFSTAN 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 USFSTAN 4

Bars above the line = Stanford leads, below = South Fla. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Fla.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
42%5/12
2
39%7/18
30%3/10
3
60%6/10
13%1/8
4
67%6/9
0%0/6
5
50%6/12
25%2/8
6
36%5/14
25%2/8
All
51%37/73
25%13/52

Stanford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
54%7/13
2
70%7/10
53%8/15
3
100%6/6
54%7/13
4
86%6/7
33%3/9
5
86%6/7
50%6/12
6
75%6/8
45%5/11
All
75%39/52
49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#USF-STANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
21-1USFSTAN×4KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.5
31-2STANSTAN×4BlockedPaula Tomasablk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+0.6
41-3STANSTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.5
51-4STANSTAN×4BlockedPaula Tomasablk Lizzy Andrew, Kaci Demaria+0.4
62-4STANUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
73-4USFUSFAttack errKaci Demaria+0.6
83-5USFSTANServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
94-5STANUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
104-6USFSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.4
115-6STANUSFServe errStanford+0.5
125-7USFSTANServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
135-8STANSTANAttack errPaula Tomasa+0.5
146-8STANUSFKillLaila Iveyset Sofija Djordjevic+0.4
156-9USFSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.4
166-10STANSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.4
177-10STANUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
187-11USFSTANAttack errPaula Tomasa+0.3
198-11STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
208-12USFSTANKillKaci Demariaset Julia Blyashov+0.3
218-13STANSTANBlockedPaula Tomasablk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+0.3
229-13STANUSFAttack errLizzy Andrew+0.2
239-14USFSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.2
2410-14STANUSFServe errStanford+0.2
2510-15USFSTANBlockedPaula Tomasablk Lizzy Andrew, Julia Blyashov+0.2
2611-15STANUSFServe errStanford+0.2
2712-15USFUSFBlockedJulia Blyashovblk Iyanna Garvin, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
2812-16USFSTAN×3Serve errSouth Fla.+0.3
2912-17STANSTAN×3Bad setSofija Djordjevic+0.3
3012-18STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.2
3113-18STANUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
3213-19USFSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.1
3313-20STANSTANBlockedNina Jioshvili-Ravvablk Ella Andrews, Kaci Demaria+0.1
3414-20STANUSFAttack errKaci Demaria·
3514-21USFSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.1
3615-21STANUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
3716-21USFUSFBlockedJordyn Harveyblk Mora Pampin, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.1
3816-22USFSTANBlockedMora Pampinblk Lizzy Andrew, Jordyn Harvey+0.1
3916-23STANSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Lilly Wagner+0.1
4017-23STANUSFServe errStanford·
4117-24USFSTANKillKaci Demariaset Lilly Wagner·
4217-25STANSTANBlockedLaila Iveyblk Sarah Hickman, Lizzy Andrew·
Set 2
11-0USFUSFBlockedKaci Demariablk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.5
21-1USFSTANServe errSouth Fla.+0.3
32-1STANUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
43-1USFUSFBlockedKaci Demariablk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.6
53-2USFSTANKillKaci Demariaset Spencer Etzler+0.4
63-3STANSTANAttack errAmelia Wass de Czege+0.5
74-3STANUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
84-4USFSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.3
95-4STANUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
105-5USFSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.4
115-6STANSTANBlockedIyanna Garvinblk Julia Blyashov, Ella Andrews+0.5
126-6STANUSFAttack errJulia Blyashov+0.4
136-7USFSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.3
147-7STANUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Mora Pampin+0.4
158-7USFUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
169-7USFUSF×3Attack errJulia Blyashov+0.7
179-8USFSTAN×5KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.5
189-9STANSTAN×5Attack errAmelia Wass de Czege+0.6
199-10STANSTAN×5KillKaci Demariaset Julia Blyashov+0.6
209-11STANSTAN×5Attack errPaula Tomasa+0.5
219-12STANSTAN×5Attack errMora Pampin+0.4
2210-12STANUSF×3BlockedElla Andrewsblk Nina Jioshvili-Ravva, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.3
2311-12USFUSF×3KillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
2412-12USFUSF×3KillAmelia Wass de Czege+0.7
2512-13USFSTAN×3Attack errPaula Tomasa+0.4
2612-14STANSTAN×3AceStanfordaced Mora Pampin+0.6
2712-15STANSTAN×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+0.4
2813-15STANUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Mora Pampin+0.3
2913-16USFSTAN×3Serve errSouth Fla.+0.3
3013-17STANSTAN×3AceStanfordaced Sofija Djordjevic+0.3
3113-18STANSTAN×3KillLogan Parksset Kaci Demaria+0.2
3214-18STANUSFServe errStanford+0.1
3314-19USFSTANAttack errLaila Ivey+0.2
3414-20STANSTANBad setNina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
3515-20STANUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
3615-21USFSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.1
3716-21STANUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
3816-22USFSTANServe errSouth Fla.+0.1
3917-22STANUSFServe errStanford·
4017-23USFSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.1
4117-24STANSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks·
4218-24STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
4318-25USFSTANAttack errMora Pampin·
Set 3
10-1STANSTANBlockedPaula Tomasablk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+0.2
21-1STANUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
31-2USFSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.1
41-3STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.2
51-4STANSTAN×3KillKaci Demariaset Spencer Etzler+0.1
62-4STANUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
73-4USFUSFAttack errLizzy Andrew+0.2
83-5USFSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.1
93-6STANSTANAttack errLaila Ivey+0.1
104-6STANUSFServe errStanford+0.1
115-6USFUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Emelyn Stettin+0.2
125-7USFSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.1
135-8STANSTANBlockedIyanna Garvinblk Ella Andrews+0.1
146-8STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
157-8USFUSFAttack errElla Andrews+0.2
167-9USFSTANAttack errSamiyah Abdur-Rahim+0.1
178-9STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
189-9USFUSFAceSouth Fla.aced Julia Blyashov+0.2
199-10USFSTANServe errSouth Fla.+0.2
2010-10STANUSFAttack errJordyn Harvey+0.2
2110-11USFSTAN×4KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.2
2210-12STANSTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.2
2310-13STANSTAN×4BlockedLaila Iveyblk Lizzy Andrew, Jordyn Harvey+0.2
2410-14STANSTAN×4Attack errPaula Tomasa+0.1
2511-14STANUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
2611-15USFSTAN×3KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.1
2711-16STANSTAN×3Attack errLaila Ivey+0.1
2811-17STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.1
2912-17STANUSF×3BlockedLogan Parksblk Iyanna Garvin, Addy Brus·
3013-17USFUSF×3Attack errKaci Demaria+0.1
3114-17USFUSF×3KillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
3214-18USFSTANAttack errAddy Brus+0.1
3314-19STANSTANBlockedSamiyah Abdur-Rahimblk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks+0.1
3415-19STANUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
3515-20USFSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.1
3616-20STANUSF×3BlockedJulia Blyashovblk Samiyah Abdur-Rahim, Iyanna Garvin·
3717-20USF
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
3818-20USFUSF×3BlockedJulia Blyashovblk Samiyah Abdur-Rahim, Anne Perez+0.2
3918-21USFSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.2
4019-21STANUSF×3KillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
4120-21USFUSF×3KillMora Pampinset Rana Yamada+0.3
4221-21USFUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Rana Yamada+0.6
4321-22USFSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.4
4422-22STANUSFAttack errElla Andrews+0.5
4522-23USFSTANAttack errAddy Brus+0.5
4623-23STANUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
4723-24USFSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.7
4824-24STANUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
4925-24USFUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
5025-25USFSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.9
5126-25STANUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.9
5226-26USFSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.9
5326-27STANSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+1.0
5427-27STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
5527-28USFSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.7
5628-28STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
5728-29USFSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.7
5829-29STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
5930-29USFUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
6030-30USFSTANAttack errAddy Brus+0.9
6131-30STANUSFAttack errJordyn Harvey+0.9
6232-30USFUSFBlockedKaci Demariablk Iyanna Garvin, Paula Tomasa+1.6
Set 4
11-0USFUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
21-1USFSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.8
32-1STANUSFBlockedKaci Demariablk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.9
42-2USFSTAN×4Attack errLizzy Andrew+0.8
52-3STANSTAN×4KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+1.0
62-4STANSTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Rana Yamada+0.9
72-5STANSTAN×4BlockedPaula Tomasablk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+0.7
83-5STANUSFServe errStanford+0.5
93-6USFSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.5
103-7STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.6
113-8STANSTAN×3Attack errSamiyah Abdur-Rahim+0.5
124-8STANUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Emelyn Stettin+0.3
134-9USFSTAN×3Serve errSouth Fla.+0.3
144-10STANSTAN×3KillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.4
154-11STANSTAN×3BlockedSamiyah Abdur-Rahimblk Julia Blyashov, Ella Andrews+0.2
165-11STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
175-12USFSTANKillLogan Parksset Iyanna Garvin+0.2
185-13STANSTANAceStanfordaced Mora Pampin+0.2
196-13STANUSFBlockedJordyn Harveyblk Mora Pampin, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.1
206-14USFSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.1
217-14STANUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
228-14USFUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
238-15USFSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.2
248-16STANSTANAttack errAddy Brus+0.1
259-16STANUSFKillAddy Brusset Rana Yamada+0.1
2610-16USFUSFAttack errLizzy Andrew+0.2
2710-17USFSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.1
2811-17STANUSFAttack errKaci Demaria+0.1
2911-18USFSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.1
3012-18STANUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
3112-19USFSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.1
3213-19STANUSFBad setLogan Parks+0.1
3314-19USFUSFKillMora Pampinset Emelyn Stettin+0.2
3414-20USFSTAN×3BlockedMora Pampinblk Ella Andrews, Logan Parks+0.2
3514-21STANSTAN×3Attack errMora Pampin+0.2
3614-22STANSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Julia Blyashov+0.1
3715-22STANUSFServe errStanford·
3815-23USFSTAN×3KillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks·
3915-24STANSTAN×3KillElla Andrews·
4015-25STANSTAN×3BlockedMora Pampinblk Jordyn Harvey, Ella Andrews·

Score shown after each rally, South Fla. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).