Stanford def. South Fla. 3–1
(25-17, 25-18, 30-32, 25-15)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3* | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 17 | 18 | 32 | 15 | 1 |
| STAN | 25 | 25 | 30 | 25 | 3 |
- * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.3% to South Fla. — set 3, USF 32-30 STAN. Kaci Demaria stuffed by Iyanna Garvin & Paula Tomasa. STAN win probability 98% → 97%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
South Fla. wins
Stanford wins
- USF break %
- 33.9% vs this opp
- STAN break %
- 47.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Kaci DemariaAttack error+1.3%
Kaci Demaria stuffed by Iyanna Garvin & Paula Tomasa
Set 3 · USF 32-30 STAN · USF 2% → 3%
- 02Paula TomasaKill+1.0%
Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 4 · USF 1-0 STAN · USF 3% → 4%
- 03Addy BrusKill+0.9%
Kill by Addy Brus (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 3 · USF 25-24 STAN · USF 1% → 2%
- 04Paula TomasaKill+0.9%
Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 3 · USF 30-29 STAN · USF 1% → 2%
- 05
- 06Kaci DemariaAttack error+0.8%
Kaci Demaria stuffed by Paula Tomasa & Amelia Wass de Czege
Set 4 · USF 2-1 STAN · USF 4% → 4%
- 07Ella AndrewsKill+0.7%
Kill by Ella Andrews (set by Logan Parks)
Set 3 · USF 26-27 STAN · STAN 99% → 99%
- 08
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 42 | .167 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 4 | 9 | 12 | 34 | -.088 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | .053 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 20 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 37 | 150 | .060 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 82 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 3 | 28 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 23 | |
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 39 | .128 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 19 | .316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 29 | .138 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 20 | .050 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | .200 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 24 | 141 | .220 | 52 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 105 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
18-25
Set 3*
32-30
Set 4
15-25
Bars above the line = Stanford leads, below = South Fla. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
South Fla.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%7/10 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 39%7/18 | 30%3/10 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 67%6/9 | 0%0/6 |
| 5 | 50%6/12 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 36%5/14 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 51%37/73 | 25%13/52 |
Stanford
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%8/14 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 70%7/10 | 53%8/15 |
| 3 | 100%6/6 | 54%7/13 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 50%6/12 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 75%39/52 | 49%36/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
187 rallies
Rally log
| # | USF-STAN | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | USF | STAN×4 | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | STAN | STAN×4 | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | blk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew | +0.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | STAN | STAN×4 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.4 |
| 5 | 1-4 | STAN | STAN×4 | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | blk Lizzy Andrew, Kaci Demaria | +0.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | STAN | USF | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | USF | USF | Attack err | Kaci Demaria | +0.4 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | USF | STAN | Serve err | USF server | +0.3 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | STAN | USF | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | USF | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.3 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | USF | STAN | Serve err | USF server | +0.3 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | +0.4 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | STAN | USF | Kill | Laila Ivey | set Sofija Djordjevic | +0.3 |
| 15 | 6-9 | USF | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 16 | 6-10 | STAN | STAN | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | STAN | USF | Kill | Iyanna Garvin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.2 |
| 18 | 7-11 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | +0.2 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | USF | STAN | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Julia Blyashov | +0.2 |
| 21 | 8-13 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | blk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew | +0.2 |
| 22 | 9-13 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Lizzy Andrew | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | USF | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +0.2 |
| 24 | 10-14 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | blk Lizzy Andrew, Julia Blyashov | +0.2 |
| 26 | 11-15 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.1 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | USF | USF | Attack err | Julia Blyashov | blk Iyanna Garvin, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.3 |
| 28 | 12-16 | USF | STAN×3 | Serve err | USF server | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | STAN | STAN×3 | Bad set | Sofija Djordjevic | +0.3 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Logan Parks | +0.2 |
| 31 | 13-18 | STAN | USF | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.1 |
| 32 | 13-19 | USF | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 33 | 13-20 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | blk Ella Andrews, Kaci Demaria | +0.1 |
| 34 | 14-20 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Kaci Demaria | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | USF | STAN | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +0.0 |
| 36 | 15-21 | STAN | USF | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | USF | USF | Attack err | Jordyn Harvey | blk Mora Pampin, Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.1 |
| 38 | 16-22 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Mora Pampin | blk Lizzy Andrew, Jordyn Harvey | +0.1 |
| 39 | 16-23 | STAN | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Lilly Wagner | +0.0 |
| 40 | 17-23 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 17-24 | USF | STAN | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Lilly Wagner | +0.0 |
| 42 | 17-25 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Laila Ivey | blk Sarah Hickman, Lizzy Andrew | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | USF | USF | Attack err | Kaci Demaria | blk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | USF | STAN | Serve err | USF server | +0.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | STAN | USF | Kill | Amelia Wass de Czege | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | USF | USF | Attack err | Kaci Demaria | blk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | USF | STAN | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Spencer Etzler | +0.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.4 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | STAN | USF | Kill | Laila Ivey | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | USF | STAN | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | STAN | USF | Kill | Iyanna Garvin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | USF | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Iyanna Garvin | blk Julia Blyashov, Ella Andrews | +0.4 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Julia Blyashov | +0.3 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | USF | STAN | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +0.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | STAN | USF×3 | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Mora Pampin | +0.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | USF | USF×3 | Kill | Addy Brus | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.5 |
| 16 | 9-7 | USF | USF×3 | Attack err | Julia Blyashov | +0.6 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | USF | STAN×5 | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | STAN | STAN×5 | Attack err | Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.5 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | STAN | STAN×5 | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Julia Blyashov | +0.4 |
| 20 | 9-11 | STAN | STAN×5 | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | +0.4 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | STAN | STAN×5 | Attack err | Mora Pampin | +0.3 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | STAN | USF×3 | Attack err | Ella Andrews | blk Nina Jioshvili-Ravva, Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.2 |
| 23 | 11-12 | USF | USF×3 | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.4 |
| 24 | 12-12 | USF | USF×3 | Kill | Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.5 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | USF | STAN×3 | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | +0.3 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | STAN | STAN×3 | Ace | STAN server | aced Mora Pampin | +0.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | blk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew | +0.3 |
| 28 | 13-15 | STAN | USF | Kill | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | set Mora Pampin | +0.2 |
| 29 | 13-16 | USF | STAN×3 | Serve err | USF server | +0.2 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | STAN | STAN×3 | Ace | STAN server | aced Sofija Djordjevic | +0.3 |
| 31 | 13-18 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Logan Parks | set Kaci Demaria | +0.2 |
| 32 | 14-18 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Laila Ivey | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | STAN | STAN | Bad set | Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | STAN | USF | Kill | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.0 |
| 36 | 15-21 | USF | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 37 | 16-21 | STAN | USF | Kill | Iyanna Garvin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.0 |
| 38 | 16-22 | USF | STAN | Serve err | USF server | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | USF | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Logan Parks | +0.0 |
| 41 | 17-24 | STAN | STAN | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Logan Parks | +0.0 |
| 42 | 18-24 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.0 |
| 43 | 18-25 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Mora Pampin | +0.0 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | blk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew | +0.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STAN | USF | Kill | Laila Ivey | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.1 |
| 3 | 1-2 | USF | STAN×3 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 4 | 1-3 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Spencer Etzler | +0.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | STAN | USF | Kill | Laila Ivey | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | USF | USF | Attack err | Lizzy Andrew | +0.1 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | USF | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 9 | 3-6 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Laila Ivey | +0.1 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.1 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | USF | USF | Kill | Iyanna Garvin | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | USF | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Iyanna Garvin | blk Ella Andrews | +0.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | USF | USF | Attack err | Ella Andrews | +0.1 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | USF | USF | Ace | USF server | aced Julia Blyashov | +0.2 |
| 19 | 9-10 | USF | STAN | Serve err | USF server | +0.1 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Jordyn Harvey | +0.1 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | USF | STAN×4 | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 22 | 10-12 | STAN | STAN×4 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.2 |
| 23 | 10-13 | STAN | STAN×4 | Attack err | Laila Ivey | blk Lizzy Andrew, Jordyn Harvey | +0.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | STAN | STAN×4 | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | STAN | USF | Kill | Laila Ivey | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.1 |
| 26 | 11-15 | USF | STAN×3 | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 27 | 11-16 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Laila Ivey | +0.1 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.0 |
| 29 | 12-17 | STAN | USF×3 | Attack err | Logan Parks | blk Iyanna Garvin, Addy Brus | +0.0 |
| 30 | 13-17 | USF | USF×3 | Attack err | Kaci Demaria | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | USF | USF×3 | Kill | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.1 |
| 32 | 14-18 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Addy Brus | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | blk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 34 | 15-19 | STAN | USF | Kill | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.0 |
| 35 | 15-20 | USF | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Logan Parks | +0.0 |
| 36 | 16-20 | STAN | USF×3 | Attack err | Julia Blyashov | blk Samiyah Abdur-Rahim, Iyanna Garvin | +0.0 |
| 37 | 17-20 | USF | USF×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | USF | USF×3 | Attack err | Julia Blyashov | blk Samiyah Abdur-Rahim, Anne Perez | +0.1 |
| 39 | 18-21 | USF | STAN | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 40 | 19-21 | STAN | USF×3 | Kill | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.1 |
| 41 | 20-21 | USF | USF×3 | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Rana Yamada | +0.3 |
| 42 | 21-21 | USF | USF×3 | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Rana Yamada | +0.4 |
| 43 | 21-22 | USF | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 44 | 22-22 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Ella Andrews | +0.3 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Addy Brus | +0.4 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | STAN | USF | Kill | Addy Brus | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.4 |
| 47 | 23-24 | USF | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.5 |
| 48 | 24-24 | STAN | USF | Kill | Addy Brus | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.5 |
| 49 | 25-24 | USF | USF | Kill | Addy Brus | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.9 |
| 50 | 25-25 | USF | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.7 |
| 51 | 26-25 | STAN | USF | Kill | Addy Brus | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.7 |
| 52 | 26-26 | USF | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.7 |
| 53 | 26-27 | STAN | STAN | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +0.7 |
| 54 | 27-27 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.5 |
| 55 | 27-28 | USF | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Logan Parks | +0.5 |
| 56 | 28-28 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.5 |
| 57 | 28-29 | USF | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +0.5 |
| 58 | 29-29 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.5 |
| 59 | 30-29 | USF | USF | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.9 |
| 60 | 30-30 | USF | STAN | Attack err | Addy Brus | +0.7 | |
| 61 | 31-30 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Jordyn Harvey | +0.7 | |
| 62 | 32-30 | USF | USF | Attack err | Kaci Demaria | blk Iyanna Garvin, Paula Tomasa | +1.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | USF | USF | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +1.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | USF | STAN | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +0.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Kaci Demaria | blk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | USF | STAN×4 | Attack err | Lizzy Andrew | +0.6 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | STAN | STAN×4 | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Logan Parks | +0.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | STAN | STAN×4 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Rana Yamada | +0.7 |
| 7 | 2-5 | STAN | STAN×4 | Attack err | Paula Tomasa | blk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew | +0.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.4 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | USF | STAN×3 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.5 |
| 11 | 3-8 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | +0.4 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | STAN | USF | Kill | Iyanna Garvin | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.2 |
| 13 | 4-9 | USF | STAN×3 | Serve err | USF server | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +0.3 |
| 15 | 4-11 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | blk Julia Blyashov, Ella Andrews | +0.2 |
| 16 | 5-11 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.1 |
| 17 | 5-12 | USF | STAN | Kill | Logan Parks | set Iyanna Garvin | +0.1 |
| 18 | 5-13 | STAN | STAN | Ace | STAN server | aced Mora Pampin | +0.1 |
| 19 | 6-13 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Jordyn Harvey | blk Mora Pampin, Amelia Wass de Czege | +0.1 |
| 20 | 6-14 | USF | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 21 | 7-14 | STAN | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.1 |
| 22 | 8-14 | USF | USF | Kill | Paula Tomasa | set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva | +0.1 |
| 23 | 8-15 | USF | STAN | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 24 | 8-16 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Addy Brus | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | STAN | USF | Kill | Addy Brus | set Rana Yamada | +0.0 |
| 26 | 10-16 | USF | USF | Attack err | Lizzy Andrew | +0.1 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | USF | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 28 | 11-17 | STAN | USF | Attack err | Kaci Demaria | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | USF | STAN | Kill | Kaci Demaria | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 30 | 12-18 | STAN | USF | Kill | Samiyah Abdur-Rahim | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.1 |
| 31 | 12-19 | USF | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Logan Parks | +0.1 |
| 32 | 13-19 | STAN | USF | Bad set | Logan Parks | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | USF | USF | Kill | Mora Pampin | set Emelyn Stettin | +0.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | USF | STAN×3 | Attack err | Mora Pampin | blk Ella Andrews, Logan Parks | +0.2 |
| 35 | 14-21 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Mora Pampin | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Julia Blyashov | +0.0 |
| 37 | 15-22 | STAN | USF | Serve err | STAN server | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | USF | STAN×3 | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Ella Andrews | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 15-25 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Mora Pampin | blk Jordyn Harvey, Ella Andrews | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, South Fla. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.