FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayBIG-12

#11TCUTCU

3:0

HomeAMERICAN

USFSouth Fla.

TCU def. South Fla. 3–0

(30-28, 25-17, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TCU	30	25	26	3
USF	28	17	24	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

USF above 50 · TCU below

Biggest swing: 4.9% to TCU — set 1, TCU 26-25 USF. TCU ace on Mora Pampin. USF win probability 13% → 8%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TCU 91.0%9.0% USF

TCU wins

3-0

46.2%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

13.4%

South Fla. wins

3-0

1.2%

3-1

2.7%

3-2

5.1%

TCU break %: 45.5% vs this opp
USF break %: 35.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
TCU serverAce+4.9%
TCU ace on Mora Pampin
Set 1 · TCU 26-25 USF · TCU 87% → 92%
02
Evan HendrixKill+4.4%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 1 · TCU 23-23 USF · TCU 82% → 87%
03
Mora PampinKill+4.1%
Kill by Mora Pampin (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 1 · TCU 23-24 USF · USF 13% → 17%
04
Becca KelleyKill+4.1%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 1 · TCU 24-24 USF · TCU 83% → 87%
05
Iyanna GarvinKill+4.1%
Kill by Iyanna Garvin (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 1 · TCU 24-25 USF · USF 13% → 17%
06
Evan HendrixKill+4.1%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 1 · TCU 25-25 USF · TCU 83% → 87%
07
Becca KelleyKill+3.8%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 1 · TCU 30-28 USF · TCU 92% → 95%
08
Paula TomasaKill+3.2%
Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)
Set 1 · TCU 26-26 USF · USF 8% → 12%

Official NCAA box

Box score

TCUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Becca KelleyOH	3	17	4	30	.433	0	0	1	4	1	0	2	1	18
7Reese RobinsMB	3	9	5	19	.211	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	11
10Kinsley YoungMB	3	3	0	6	.500	2	3	0	0	0	1	4	3	9
6Reese WilburnS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Evan HendrixOH	2	5	1	12	.333	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	2
5Jalyn GibsonOH	3	8	1	13	.538	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	1	9
9Lauren MurphyOH	3	5	1	7	.571	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
17Rosemary ArcherS	3	0	0	0	–	25	2	3	10	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
0Alice VolpeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	7	0	0	0	0	1
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Mia LeeMB	1	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	12	90	.389	45	9	8	29	3	2	16	10	81

South Fla.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Paula TomasaOH	3	14	5	31	.290	0	1	2	4	0	2	1	16
11Iyanna GarvinMB	3	10	1	17	.529	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	11
15Amelia Wass de CzegeMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	4
5Nina Jioshvili-RavvaS	3	3	1	5	.400	37	1	1	3	0	0	0	4
3Miya ThomasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0
4Mora PampinOH	2	5	6	19	-.053	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.5	5.5
0Samiyah Abdur-RahimOH	3	9	3	14	.429	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	9
17Ryelle RondoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Sofija DjordjevicL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	9	0	0	0	0
12Addy BrusOH	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	1
21Rana YamadaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	0	2	0	0	0
2Laila IveyOH	1	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		45	17	101	.277	43	3	8	23	9	8	4	69

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 TCU · USF 4

Set 1

30-28

Longest run 5 TCUUSF 4

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 TCUUSF 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 TCUUSF 3

Bars above the line = South Fla. leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

TCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	46%6/13
2	50%8/16	47%7/15
3	73%8/11	47%7/15
4	62%8/13	43%6/14
5	70%7/10	50%7/14
6	75%6/8	25%2/8
All	65%46/71	44%35/79

South Fla.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	27%3/11
2	47%8/17	56%10/18
3	80%8/10	27%3/11
4	37%7/19	27%3/11
5	88%7/8	36%4/11
6	67%6/9	22%2/9
All	56%44/79	35%25/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

150 rallies

Rally log

#	TCU-USF	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	USF	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.6
2	1-1	TCU	USF	Serve err	TCU server		+0.7
3	1-2	USF	USF	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.2
4	2-2	USF	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.7
5	2-3	TCU	USF	Serve err	TCU server		+0.9
6	3-3	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
7	3-4	TCU	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.9
8	4-4	USF	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
9	4-5	TCU	USF	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.9
10	4-6	USF	USF	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Sofija Djordjevic	+1.5
11	5-6	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
12	6-6	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Rosemary Archer	+1.3
13	6-7	TCU	USF	Serve err	TCU server		+1.0
14	7-7	USF	TCU	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+0.9
15	8-7	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Paula Tomasa	blk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian	+1.2
16	8-8	TCU	USF	Kill	Amelia Wass de Czege	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.9
17	9-8	USF	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.8
18	10-8	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Mora Pampin	blk Reese Robins	+1.1
19	10-9	TCU	USF×4	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.8
20	10-10	USF	USF×4	Attack err	Reese Robins		+1.4
21	10-11	USF	USF×4	Attack err	Reese Robins	blk Iyanna Garvin	+1.7
22	10-12	USF	USF×4	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.9
23	11-12	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+1.1
24	12-12	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Alice Volpe	+1.7
25	12-13	TCU	USF×3	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.3
26	12-14	USF	USF×3	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.1
27	12-15	USF	USF×3	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.2
28	13-15	USF	TCU	Serve err	USF server		+1.2
29	13-16	TCU	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.6
30	13-17	USF	USF	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson		+2.3
31	14-17	USF	TCU	Serve err	USF server		+1.1
32	14-18	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
33	15-18	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.1
34	15-19	TCU	USF	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
35	16-19	USF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.1
36	17-19	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+2.1
37	17-20	TCU	USF×3	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.0
38	17-21	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Becca Kelley	blk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege	+2.5
39	17-22	USF	USF×3	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.8
40	18-22	USF	TCU	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Sofija Djordjevic	+0.5
41	18-23	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
42	19-23	USF	TCU×5	Attack err	Mora Pampin	blk Kinsley Young	+0.4
43	20-23	TCU	TCU×5	Ace	TCU server	aced Team	+1.0
44	21-23	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.8
45	22-23	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+3.0
46	23-23	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+4.4
47	23-24	TCU	USF	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+4.1
48	24-24	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+4.1
49	24-25	TCU	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+4.1
50	25-25	USF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+4.1
51	26-25	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU server	aced Mora Pampin	+4.9
52	26-26	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+3.2
53	27-26	USF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+3.2
54	27-27	TCU	USF	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+3.2
55	28-27	USF	TCU	Serve err	USF server		+3.2
56	28-28	TCU	USF	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+3.2
57	29-28	USF	TCU	Serve err	USF server		+3.2
58	30-28	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+3.8
Set 2
1	1-0	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Mora Pampin		+0.7
2	1-1	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.5
3	2-1	USF	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
4	3-1	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Mora Pampin		+0.6
5	3-2	TCU	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.4
6	4-2	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Evan Hendrix	+0.4
7	4-3	TCU	USF	Serve err	TCU server		+0.4
8	5-3	USF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
9	6-3	TCU	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Kinsley Young	+0.5
10	6-4	TCU	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.4
11	6-5	USF	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
12	7-5	USF	TCU	Serve err	USF server		+0.4
13	7-6	TCU	USF	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.5
14	8-6	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
15	9-6	TCU	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.6
16	9-7	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Rana Yamada	+0.4
17	9-8	USF	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.7
18	10-8	USF	TCU×4	Kill	Reese Robins	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.5
19	11-8	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Paula Tomasa	blk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley	+0.6
20	12-8	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Mora Pampin	blk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young	+0.5
21	13-8	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Mora Pampin	blk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young	+0.4
22	13-9	TCU	USF×3	Kill	Amelia Wass de Czege	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
23	13-10	USF	USF×3	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.4
24	13-11	USF	USF×3	Kill	Mora Pampin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.6
25	14-11	USF	TCU×3	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.5
26	15-11	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
27	16-11	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU server	aced Miya Thomas	+0.4
28	16-12	TCU	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
29	17-12	USF	TCU	Serve err	USF server		+0.3
30	18-12	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
31	18-13	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.1
32	19-13	USF	TCU×5	Serve err	USF server		+0.1
33	20-13	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson	blk Jalyn Gibson	+0.1
34	21-13	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	blk Jalyn Gibson, De'Andrea McMillian	+0.1
35	22-13	TCU	TCU×5	Ace	TCU server	aced Rana Yamada	+0.0
36	23-13	TCU	TCU×5	Ace	TCU server	aced Rana Yamada	+0.0
37	23-14	TCU	USF	Kill	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	set Rana Yamada	+0.0
38	23-15	USF	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.0
39	24-15	USF	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
40	24-16	TCU	USF	Kill	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	set Rana Yamada	+0.0
41	24-17	USF	USF	Attack err	Reese Robins	blk Amelia Wass de Czege, Paula Tomasa	+0.0
42	25-17	USF	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	USF	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Reese Wilburn	+0.2
2	1-1	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Sofija Djordjevic	+0.2
3	1-2	USF	USF	Attack err	Reese Robins		+0.4
4	2-2	USF	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.2
5	2-3	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.3
6	3-3	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
7	3-4	TCU	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.3
8	4-4	USF	TCU×4	Serve err	USF server		+0.3
9	5-4	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva		+0.4
10	6-4	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	TCU server	aced Addy Brus	+0.3
11	7-4	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	TCU server	aced Team	+0.3
12	7-5	TCU	USF	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
13	8-5	USF	TCU	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Mia Lee	+0.2
14	8-6	TCU	USF	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
15	9-6	USF	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
16	9-7	TCU	USF	Kill	Samiyah Abdur-Rahim	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
17	10-7	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.2
18	10-8	TCU	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
19	10-9	USF	USF	Attack err	Reese Robins		+0.4
20	11-9	USF	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+0.2
21	11-10	TCU	USF	Serve err	TCU server		+0.3
22	12-10	USF	TCU	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Rosemary Archer	+0.3
23	12-11	TCU	USF×3	Attack err	Laila Ivey		+0.3
24	12-12	USF	USF×3	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.5
25	12-13	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.6
26	13-13	USF	TCU×3	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
27	14-13	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Kinsley Young	+0.5
28	15-13	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU server	aced Addy Brus	+0.5
29	15-14	TCU	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.3
30	15-15	USF	USF	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.6
31	16-15	USF	TCU	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
32	16-16	TCU	USF	Serve err	TCU server		+0.4
33	16-17	USF	USF	Ace	USF server	aced Becca Kelley	+0.8
34	17-17	USF	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Alice Volpe	+0.5
35	17-18	TCU	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.6
36	18-18	USF	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.5
37	19-18	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU server	aced Miya Thomas	+0.7
38	20-18	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Amelia Wass de Czege		+0.6
39	20-19	TCU	USF×3	Serve err	TCU server		+0.4
40	20-20	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Laila Ivey		+0.8
41	20-21	USF	USF×3	Ace	USF server	aced Team	+1.1
42	21-21	USF	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.7
43	22-21	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.1
44	22-22	TCU	USF	Serve err	TCU server		+0.7
45	22-23	USF	USF	Ace	USF server	aced Team	+1.5
46	23-23	USF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
47	24-23	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Iyanna Garvin	blk Kinsley Young, Lauren Murphy	+1.6
48	24-24	TCU	USF	Kill	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	set Sofija Djordjevic	+1.0
49	25-24	USF	TCU	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Rosemary Archer	+1.0
50	26-24	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+1.2

Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.