FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026

TCU def. South Fla. 3–0

TCU won at South Fla. 3-0 (30-28, 25-17, 26-24) on Thu, Sep 10, 2026. TCU's Becca Kelley led with 17 kills, and Rosemary Archer added 10 digs.

Data through · final Sep 10

Set123Sets
TCU3025263
USF2817240

Win probability

South Fla. above 50 · TCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.5% TCUrally 150 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.5% to TCU — set 1, TCU 26-25 USF. TCU ace on Mora Pampin. USF win probability 16% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TCU 88.5%11.5% USF

TCU wins

3-0
42.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.9%

South Fla. wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
6.3%
TCU break %
45.8% vs this opp
USF break %
36.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    TCUAce+5.5%

    TCU ace on Mora Pampin

    Set 1 · TCU 26-25 USF · TCU 84% → 90%

  2. 02
    Evan HendrixKill+4.9%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 1 · TCU 23-23 USF · TCU 79% → 84%

  3. 03
    Mora PampinKill+4.7%

    Kill by Mora Pampin (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 1 · TCU 23-24 USF · USF 16% → 21%

  4. 04
    Becca KelleyKill+4.7%

    Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 1 · TCU 24-24 USF · TCU 79% → 84%

  5. 05
    Iyanna GarvinKill+4.7%

    Kill by Iyanna Garvin (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 1 · TCU 24-25 USF · USF 16% → 21%

  6. 06
    Evan HendrixKill+4.7%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 1 · TCU 25-25 USF · TCU 79% → 84%

  7. 07
    Becca KelleyKill+4.4%

    Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 1 · TCU 30-28 USF · TCU 90% → 94%

  8. 08
    Paula TomasaKill+3.8%

    Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 1 · TCU 26-26 USF · USF 10% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

TCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317430.4330014102118
39519.2110001012211
3306.500230001439
3000–1300000000
25112.333100100005
2002.000000000422
38113.538001400219
3517.57103100010.58.5
3000–2523100010.52.5
3000–312700001
3000–000100000
1001.000100100000
Team totals471290.38945982932161081
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314531.2900124002116
310117.5290000002111
3218.125010000214
3315.4003711300004
3000–000320000
25619-.05300011010.55.5
39314.429001100009
3001.000000000000
3000–301900000
21011.000001020001
2000–302020000
1105.20000020010.51.5
Team totals4517101.277433823908469

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TCU · USF 4

Set 1

30-28

Longest run 5 TCUUSF 4

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 TCUUSF 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 TCUUSF 3

Bars above the line = South Fla. leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
46%6/13
2
50%8/16
47%7/15
3
73%8/11
47%7/15
4
62%8/13
43%6/14
5
70%7/10
50%7/14
6
75%6/8
25%2/8
All
65%46/71
44%35/79

South Fla.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
27%3/11
2
47%8/17
56%10/18
3
80%8/10
27%3/11
4
37%7/19
27%3/11
5
88%7/8
36%4/11
6
67%6/9
22%2/9
All
56%44/79
35%25/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

150 rallies

#TCU-USFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0USFTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+0.8
21-1TCUUSFServe errTCU+0.9
31-2USFUSFAttack errBecca Kelley+1.4
42-2USFTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+0.9
52-3TCUUSFServe errTCU+1.0
63-3USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
73-4TCUUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
84-4USFTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.0
94-5TCUUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
104-6USFUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Sofija Djordjevic+1.7
115-6USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.1
126-6TCUTCUBlockedSamiyah Abdur-Rahimblk De'Andrea McMillian, Rosemary Archer+1.5
136-7TCUUSFServe errTCU+1.2
147-7USFTCUAttack errPaula Tomasa+1.1
158-7TCUTCUBlockedPaula Tomasablk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian+1.4
168-8TCUUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
179-8USFTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+1.0
1810-8TCUTCUBlockedMora Pampinblk Reese Robins+1.3
1910-9TCUUSF×4KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.0
2010-10USFUSF×4Attack errReese Robins+1.6
2110-11USFUSF×4BlockedReese Robinsblk Iyanna Garvin+1.9
2210-12USFUSF×4KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.1
2311-12USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+1.3
2412-12TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+1.9
2512-13TCUUSF×3KillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.5
2612-14USFUSF×3KillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.3
2712-15USFUSF×3KillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.5
2813-15USFTCUServe errSouth Fla.+1.4
2913-16TCUUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.9
3013-17USFUSFAttack errJalyn Gibson+2.5
3114-17USFTCUServe errSouth Fla.+1.3
3214-18TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.8
3315-18USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.3
3415-19TCUUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.9
3516-19USFTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.2
3617-19TCUTCUAttack errPaula Tomasa+2.3
3717-20TCUUSF×3KillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.3
3817-21USFUSF×3BlockedBecca Kelleyblk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+2.7
3917-22USFUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.9
4018-22USFTCUKillPaula Tomasaset Sofija Djordjevic+0.6
4118-23TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
4219-23USFTCU×5BlockedMora Pampinblk Kinsley Young+0.4
4320-23TCUTCU×5AceTCU+1.2
4421-23TCUTCU×5KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.0
4522-23TCUTCU×5KillJalyn Gibsonset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.3
4623-23TCUTCU×5KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+4.9
4723-24TCUUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+4.7
4824-24USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+4.7
4924-25TCUUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+4.7
5025-25USFTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+4.7
5126-25TCUTCUAceTCUaced Mora Pampin+5.5
5226-26TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.8
5327-26USFTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+3.8
5427-27TCUUSFAttack errEvan Hendrix+3.8
5528-27USFTCUServe errSouth Fla.+3.8
5628-28TCUUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.8
5729-28USFTCUServe errSouth Fla.+3.8
5830-28TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+4.4
Set 2
11-0TCUTCUAttack errMora Pampin+0.8
21-1TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
32-1USFTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.6
43-1TCUTCUAttack errMora Pampin+0.7
53-2TCUUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
64-2USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+0.5
74-3TCUUSFServe errTCU+0.5
85-3USFTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.5
96-3TCUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Kinsley Young+0.7
106-4TCUUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
116-5USFUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Rosemary Archer+0.8
127-5USFTCUServe errSouth Fla.+0.6
137-6TCUUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
148-6USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.6
159-6TCUTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+0.7
169-7TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Rana Yamada+0.5
179-8USFUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.9
1810-8USFTCU×4KillReese Robinsset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
1911-8TCUTCU×4BlockedPaula Tomasablk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley+0.8
2012-8TCUTCU×4BlockedMora Pampinblk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young+0.6
2113-8TCUTCU×4BlockedMora Pampinblk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young+0.5
2213-9TCUUSF×3KillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
2313-10USFUSF×3KillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
2413-11USFUSF×3KillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.8
2514-11USFTCU×3KillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+0.6
2615-11TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.7
2716-11TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Miya Thomas+0.5
2816-12TCUUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
2917-12USFTCUServe errSouth Fla.+0.3
3018-12TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.3
3118-13TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
3219-13USFTCU×5Serve errSouth Fla.+0.2
3320-13TCUTCU×5BlockedJalyn Gibsonblk Jalyn Gibson+0.2
3421-13TCUTCU×5BlockedSamiyah Abdur-Rahimblk Jalyn Gibson, De'Andrea McMillian+0.1
3522-13TCUTCU×5AceTCUaced Rana Yamada·
3623-13TCUTCU×5AceTCUaced Rana Yamada·
3723-14TCUUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Rana Yamada·
3823-15USFUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
3924-15USFTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer·
4024-16TCUUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Rana Yamada·
4124-17USFUSFBlockedReese Robinsblk Amelia Wass de Czege, Paula Tomasa·
4225-17USFTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn·
Set 3
11-0USFTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Reese Wilburn+0.3
21-1TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Sofija Djordjevic+0.3
31-2USFUSFAttack errReese Robins+0.5
42-2USFTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+0.3
52-3TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
63-3USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.3
73-4TCUUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
84-4USFTCU×4Serve errSouth Fla.+0.3
95-4TCUTCU×4Attack errNina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
106-4TCUTCU×4AceTCUaced Addy Brus+0.4
117-4TCUTCU×4AceTCU+0.3
127-5TCUUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
138-5USFTCUKillLauren Murphyset Mia Lee+0.2
148-6TCUUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
159-6USFTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.2
169-7TCUUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
1710-7USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+0.3
1810-8TCUUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
1910-9USFUSFAttack errReese Robins+0.4
2011-9USFTCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+0.3
2111-10TCUUSFServe errTCU+0.3
2212-10USFTCUKillLauren Murphyset Rosemary Archer+0.3
2312-11TCUUSF×3Attack errLaila Ivey+0.3
2412-12USFUSF×3KillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
2512-13USFUSF×3Attack errBecca Kelley+0.7
2613-13USFTCU×3KillLauren Murphyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
2714-13TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Kinsley Young+0.6
2815-13TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Addy Brus+0.6
2915-14TCUUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
3015-15USFUSFAttack errBecca Kelley+0.7
3116-15USFTCUKillLauren Murphyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
3216-16TCUUSFServe errTCU+0.5
3316-17USFUSFAceSouth Fla.aced Becca Kelley+0.9
3417-17USFTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Alice Volpe+0.6
3517-18TCUUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
3618-18USFTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+0.6
3719-18TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Miya Thomas+0.9
3820-18TCUTCU×3Attack errAmelia Wass de Czege+0.8
3920-19TCUUSF×3Serve errTCU+0.5
4020-20USFUSF×3Attack errLaila Ivey+1.0
4120-21USFUSF×3AceSouth Fla.+1.3
4221-21USFTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+0.8
4322-21TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.3
4422-22TCUUSFServe errTCU+0.9
4522-23USFUSFAceSouth Fla.+1.7
4623-23USFTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.1
4724-23TCUTCUBlockedIyanna Garvinblk Kinsley Young, Lauren Murphy+1.9
4824-24TCUUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Sofija Djordjevic+1.3
4925-24USFTCUKillLauren Murphyset Rosemary Archer+1.3
5026-24TCUTCUAttack errPaula Tomasa+1.5

Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).