Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Villanova def. Sacramento St. 3–1

Villanova beat Sacramento St. 3-1 (23-25, 25-23, 25-16, 25-16) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Villanova's Chloe Kelly led with 14 kills, and Lola Buck-Taylor added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
NOVA232525253
SAC ST252316161

Win probability

Sacramento St. above 50 · Villanova below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.5% SAC STrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.5% to Sacramento St. — set 1, NOVA 23-25 SAC ST. Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Kaylee Piepho). SAC ST win probability 50% → 61%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NOVA 59.9%40.1% SAC ST

Villanova wins

3-0
17.2%
3-1
22.9%
3-2
19.9%

Sacramento St. wins

3-0
8.8%
3-1
14.6%
3-2
16.7%
NOVA break %
43.4% vs this opp
SAC ST break %
41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Kaylee Piepho)

    Set 1 · NOVA 23-25 SAC ST · SAC ST 50% → 61%

  2. 02
    Sacramento St.Ace+7.9%

    Sacramento St. ace on Cat Young

    Set 1 · NOVA 22-23 SAC ST · SAC ST 41% → 48%

  3. 03
    Cat YoungKill+7.5%

    Kill by Cat Young (set by Ava Harris)

    Set 2 · NOVA 25-23 SAC ST · NOVA 50% → 58%

  4. 04
    Nikola GamlinKill+7.4%

    Kill by Nikola Gamlin (set by Makenna Wiepert)

    Set 1 · NOVA 23-24 SAC ST · SAC ST 43% → 50%

  5. 05

    Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 1 · NOVA 22-21 SAC ST · NOVA 58% → 64%

  6. 06
    VillanovaAce+6.3%

    Villanova ace on Charlee Lepp

    Set 2 · NOVA 21-20 SAC ST · NOVA 38% → 44%

  7. 07
    VillanovaAce+6.0%

    Villanova ace on Charlee Lepp

    Set 2 · NOVA 22-20 SAC ST · NOVA 44% → 50%

  8. 08
    Sacramento St.Service error+5.8%

    Sacramento St. service error

    Set 2 · NOVA 24-22 SAC ST · NOVA 48% → 53%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411225.36016191010.517.5
47217.29402110477.516.5
44310.10000010052.56.5
43312.00000030010.53.5
4001.0002110500001
1204.500000200002
414629.27611234052.517.5
46519.05300020052.58.5
4103.33320111000002
4000–111300001
4000–3001210000
Team totals4821120.225471265174241698
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4141247.04312265010.516.5
49223.304013113031.511.5
48416.25000000052.510.5
47314.286000100429
44319.05300110052.56.5
4000–22221000002
4418.375000200215
4000–012000001
4000–1812100001
4001.0004001110000
3001.000000100000
Team totals4625129.1634571244120201080

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NOVA · SAC ST 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 7 NOVASAC ST 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 NOVASAC ST 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 7 NOVASAC ST 3

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 6 NOVASAC ST 4

Bars above the line = Sacramento St. leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
61%11/18
2
64%9/14
57%12/21
3
69%9/13
57%12/21
4
57%8/14
44%7/16
5
54%7/13
46%6/13
6
75%6/8
25%2/8
All
59%48/81
52%50/97

Sacramento St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
47%7/15
2
38%9/24
50%9/18
3
50%9/18
18%2/11
4
62%8/13
43%6/14
5
46%6/13
43%6/14
6
46%6/13
33%3/9
All
48%47/97
41%33/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#NOVA-SAC STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SAC STSAC ST×3BlockedLoren Winnblk Skyler Gartin, Charlee Lepp+2.5
20-2SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+2.5
30-3SAC STSAC ST×3BlockedCat Youngblk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin+2.5
41-3SAC STNOVAKillCat Youngset Ava Harris+1.7
51-4NOVASAC STServe errVillanova+1.9
62-4SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+1.7
72-5NOVASAC STKillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+1.9
83-5SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+1.7
93-6NOVASAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+2.0
103-7SAC STSAC STAttack errReagan McGivern+2.5
114-7SAC STNOVAKillMarly Smithset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
124-8NOVASAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Kaylee Piepho+1.9
135-8SAC STNOVAKillMarly Smithset Ava Harris+1.6
145-9NOVASAC STServe errVillanova+1.9
156-9SAC STNOVAKillLoren Winnset Ava Harris+1.7
167-9NOVANOVABlockedSkyler Gartinblk Campbell McKinnon+2.6
177-10NOVASAC STKillAddy Scheitlinset Kaylee Piepho+2.2
188-10SAC STNOVAKillCat Youngset Ava Harris+1.9
199-10NOVANOVABlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Campbell McKinnon+2.9
209-11NOVASAC ST×3KillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+2.3
219-12SAC STSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Reese Ampi+3.1
229-13SAC STSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.8
2310-13SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+1.7
2410-14NOVASAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+2.1
2511-14SAC STNOVABlockedNikola Gamlinblk Chloe Kelly, Campbell McKinnon+1.7
2611-15NOVASAC STServe errVillanova+2.2
2711-16SAC STSAC STKillAddy Scheitlinset Kaylee Piepho+2.5
2812-16SAC STNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
2912-17NOVASAC STAttack errReagan McGivern+1.8
3012-18SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Chloe Kelly+1.9
3113-18SAC STNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Ava Harris+0.9
3213-19NOVASAC STKillCharlee Leppset Reese Ampi+1.3
3314-19SAC STNOVAKillCat Youngset Ava Harris+0.8
3414-20NOVASAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Kaylee Piepho+1.2
3515-20SAC STNOVAKillCat Youngset Ava Harris+0.7
3615-21NOVASAC STAttack errTaylor Lewis+1.1
3716-21SAC STNOVA×7KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
3817-21NOVANOVA×7BlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Campbell McKinnon, Taylor Lewis+1.3
3918-21NOVANOVA×7KillChloe Kellyset Lola Buck-Taylor+2.1
4019-21NOVANOVA×7AceVillanova+3.1
4120-21NOVANOVA×7Attack errVictoria Marthaler+4.4
4221-21NOVANOVA×7KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+5.7
4322-21NOVANOVA×7KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+6.5
4422-22NOVASAC STAttack errChloe Kelly+4.6
4522-23SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Cat Young+7.9
4623-23SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+5.5
4723-24NOVASAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+7.4
4823-25SAC STSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Kaylee Piepho+10.5
Set 2
11-0NOVANOVA×3AceVillanovaaced Charlee Lepp+2.7
22-0NOVANOVA×3KillCat Youngset Marikate Ritterbusch+2.6
33-0NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Ava Harris+2.4
43-1NOVASAC ST×3KillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+1.7
53-2SAC STSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.6
63-3SAC STSAC ST×3AceSacramento St.aced Chloe Kelly+2.8
74-3SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+2.1
85-3NOVANOVABlockedMia Molnarblk Campbell McKinnon, Taylor Lewis+2.8
95-4NOVASAC STBlockedCat Youngblk Skyler Gartin, Charlee Lepp+2.0
106-4SAC STNOVAKillCat Youngset Lola Buck-Taylor+2.1
116-5NOVASAC ST×4KillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+2.0
126-6SAC STSAC ST×4Attack errCampbell McKinnon+3.0
136-7SAC STSAC ST×4BlockedTaylor Lewisblk Victoria Marthaler, Nikola Gamlin+3.2
146-8SAC STSAC ST×4BlockedChloe Kellyblk Mia Molnar, Nikola Gamlin+3.2
157-8SAC STNOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
168-8NOVANOVA×3Attack errVictoria Marthaler+3.2
179-8NOVANOVA×3Attack errVictoria Marthaler+3.3
189-9NOVASAC ST×3KillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+2.4
199-10SAC STSAC ST×3AceSacramento St.+3.5
209-11SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errTaylor Lewis+3.5
2110-11SAC STNOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
2211-11NOVANOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Ava Harris+3.5
2312-11NOVANOVA×4AceVillanovaaced Victoria Marthaler+3.6
2413-11NOVANOVA×4Attack errAddy Scheitlin+3.5
2513-12NOVASAC ST×4KillVictoria Marthalerset Kaylee Piepho+2.5
2613-13SAC STSAC ST×4AceSacramento St.aced Chloe Kelly+3.8
2713-14SAC STSAC ST×4BlockedChloe Kellyblk Nikola Gamlin, Addy Scheitlin+4.0
2813-15SAC STSAC ST×4BlockedLoren Winnblk Charlee Lepp, Nikola Gamlin+4.1
2914-15SAC STNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Ava Harris+2.8
3014-16NOVASAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Kaylee Piepho+3.2
3115-16SAC STNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Ava Harris+2.9
3215-17NOVASAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Kaylee Piepho+3.3
3316-17SAC STNOVAKillLoren Winnset Ava Harris+3.0
3417-17NOVANOVAAttack errSkyler Gartin+4.6
3517-18NOVASAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+3.7
3617-19SAC STSAC STKillMia Molnarset Reese Ampi+5.1
3718-19SAC STNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.3
3819-19NOVANOVAAceVillanovaaced Reese Ampi+5.3
3919-20NOVASAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+4.4
4020-20SAC STNOVA×3BlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Campbell McKinnon, Taylor Lewis+4.2
4121-20NOVANOVA×3AceVillanovaaced Charlee Lepp+6.3
4222-20NOVANOVA×3AceVillanovaaced Charlee Lepp+6.0
4322-21NOVASAC STKillMia Molnarset Victoria Marthaler+3.5
4423-21SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+4.9
4523-22NOVASAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Kaylee Piepho+3.6
4624-22SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+5.8
4724-23NOVASAC STKillCharlee Leppset Kaylee Piepho+3.3
4825-23SAC STNOVAKillCat Youngset Ava Harris+7.5
Set 3
10-1SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Chloe Kelly+3.3
20-2SAC STSAC STAttack errChloe Kelly+3.4
31-2SAC STNOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
42-2NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+3.4
53-2NOVANOVA×3KillCat Youngset Lola Buck-Taylor+3.4
63-3NOVASAC STServe errVillanova+2.5
74-3SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+2.5
84-4NOVASAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.6
95-4SAC STNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Chloe Kelly+2.6
106-4NOVANOVABlockedMia Molnarblk Campbell McKinnon, Cat Young+3.4
116-5NOVASAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.5
127-5SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+2.6
137-6NOVASAC ST×3BlockedChloe Kellyblk Nikola Gamlin, Addy Scheitlin+2.5
147-7SAC STSAC ST×3KillNikola Gamlin+3.7
157-8SAC STSAC ST×3KillNikola Gamlinset Kaylee Piepho+4.0
168-8SAC STNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Ava Harris+2.8
178-9NOVASAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Kaylee Piepho+3.0
189-9SAC STNOVA×7KillLoren Winnset Ava Harris+2.9
1910-9NOVANOVA×7BlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Reagan McGivern, Taylor Lewis+4.1
2011-9NOVANOVA×7KillReagan McGivern+3.9
2112-9NOVANOVA×7BlockedSkyler Gartinblk Reagan McGivern, Chloe Kelly+3.7
2213-9NOVANOVA×7KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+3.2
2314-9NOVANOVA×7AceVillanovaaced Victoria Marthaler+2.6
2415-9NOVANOVA×7BlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Reagan McGivern, Taylor Lewis+2.0
2515-10NOVASAC STKillCharlee Leppset Kaylee Piepho+1.1
2616-10SAC STNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
2716-11NOVASAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+1.1
2816-12SAC STSAC ST×3AceSacramento St.aced Lola Buck-Taylor+2.0
2916-13SAC STSAC ST×3KillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+2.8
3017-13SAC STNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.5
3117-14NOVASAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+2.0
3218-14SAC STNOVA×3Serve errSacramento St.+2.6
3319-14NOVANOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Ava Harris+2.6
3420-14NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Ava Harris+1.7
3520-15NOVASAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.7
3621-15SAC STNOVABlockedNikola Gamlinblk Campbell McKinnon+1.1
3722-15NOVANOVABlockedNikola Gamlinblk Campbell McKinnon, Chloe Kelly+0.8
3822-16NOVASAC STServe errVillanova+0.2
3923-16SAC STNOVA×3Serve errSacramento St.+0.4
4024-16NOVANOVA×3Attack errCharlee Lepp+0.2
4125-16NOVANOVA×3BlockedCharlee Leppblk Reagan McGivern, Loren Winn·
Set 4
10-1NOVASAC ST×4BlockedTaylor Lewisblk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin+2.3
20-2SAC STSAC ST×4Attack errReagan McGivern+3.1
30-3SAC STSAC ST×4KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+3.1
40-4SAC STSAC ST×4Attack errChloe Kelly+3.0
51-4SAC STNOVA×5KillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
62-4NOVANOVA×5AceVillanovaaced Victoria Marthaler+2.9
73-4NOVANOVA×5AceVillanovaaced Victoria Marthaler+3.1
84-4NOVANOVA×5Attack errVictoria Marthaler+3.2
95-4NOVANOVA×5Attack errVictoria Marthaler+3.2
105-5NOVASAC STBlockedTaylor Lewisblk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar+2.4
116-5SAC STNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
126-6NOVASAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+2.5
137-6SAC STNOVAKillAlyssa Nelsonset Cat Young+2.5
147-7NOVASAC STKillAddy Scheitlinset Kaylee Piepho+2.5
157-8SAC STSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Kaylee Piepho+3.6
168-8SAC STNOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Ava Harris+2.6
179-8NOVANOVA×3KillCat Youngset Ava Harris+3.6
1810-8NOVANOVA×3AceVillanova+3.5
1910-9NOVASAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Kaylee Piepho+2.5
2011-9SAC STNOVAKillCat Youngset Ava Harris+2.7
2111-10NOVASAC ST×3KillCharlee Leppset Kaylee Piepho+2.6
2211-11SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errLoren Winn+3.9
2311-12SAC STSAC ST×3KillCharlee Leppset Reese Ampi+4.2
2412-12SAC STNOVAServe errSacramento St.+3.0
2513-12NOVANOVAAttack errMia Molnar+4.2
2613-13NOVASAC STKillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+3.1
2714-13SAC STNOVA×4KillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+3.2
2815-13NOVANOVA×4AceVillanovaaced Victoria Marthaler+4.2
2916-13NOVANOVA×4BlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Reagan McGivern, Chloe Kelly+3.8
3017-13NOVANOVA×4AceVillanova+3.2
3117-14NOVASAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+1.9
3218-14SAC STNOVA×6KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
3319-14NOVANOVA×6Bad setMakenna Wiepert+2.4
3420-14NOVANOVA×6BlockedNikola Gamlinblk Campbell McKinnon+1.6
3521-14NOVANOVA×6KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.9
3622-14NOVANOVA×6BlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Campbell McKinnon, Chloe Kelly+0.4
3723-14NOVANOVA×6KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.1
3823-15NOVASAC STServe errVillanova·
3924-15SAC STNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+0.1
4024-16NOVASAC STKillAddy Scheitlinset Kaylee Piepho·
4125-16SAC STNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Ava Harris·

Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).