Villanova def. South Dakota St. 3–2
(25-21, 20-25, 28-30, 25-20, 15-9)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOVA | 25 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| SDAKST | 21 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 9 | 2 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 14.1% to South Dakota St. — set 3, NOVA 28-30 SDAKST. Kill by Sylvie Zgonc (set by Rylee Martin). SDAKST win probability 58% → 72%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Villanova wins
South Dakota St. wins
- NOVA break %
- 39.3% vs this opp
- SDAKST break %
- 38.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Sylvie ZgoncKill+14.1%
Kill by Sylvie Zgonc (set by Rylee Martin)
Set 3 · NOVA 28-30 SDAKST · SDAKST 58% → 72%
- 02Hannah KleinKill+13.8%
Kill by Hannah Klein (set by Brooke Larsen)
Set 3 · NOVA 24-25 SDAKST · SDAKST 44% → 58%
- 03
- 04Brooke LarsenAttack error+13.6%
Attack error by Brooke Larsen
Set 3 · NOVA 26-25 SDAKST · NOVA 51% → 64%
- 05Marisa MichaelisAttack error+9.1%
Attack error by Marisa Michaelis
Set 5 · NOVA 2-0 SDAKST · NOVA 59% → 68%
- 06SDAKST serverService error+8.8%
South Dakota St. service error
Set 3 · NOVA 25-25 SDAKST · NOVA 42% → 51%
- 07
- 08NOVA serverService error+8.8%
Villanova service error
Set 3 · NOVA 27-28 SDAKST · SDAKST 49% → 58%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 20 | 5 | 36 | .417 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 22.5 | |
| 5 | 19 | 4 | 45 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 20.5 | |
| 5 | 17 | 1 | 29 | .552 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 1 | 10 | .700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .071 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 36 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 21 | .190 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 34 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 77 | 19 | 155 | .374 | 74 | 11 | 15 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 113 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 22 | 5 | 50 | .340 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 23.5 | |
| 5 | 18 | 3 | 37 | .405 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 19.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .263 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 18 | .111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | .600 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 65 | 17 | 141 | .340 | 60 | 5 | 6 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 105 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-21
Set 2
20-25
Set 3
28-30
Set 4
25-20
Set 5
15-9
Bars above the line = South Dakota St. leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Villanova
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68%13/19 | 42%8/19 |
| 2 | 60%12/20 | 45%10/22 |
| 3 | 61%11/18 | 50%11/22 |
| 4 | 69%11/16 | 31%5/16 |
| 5 | 65%11/17 | 31%5/16 |
| 6 | 63%10/16 | 35%6/17 |
| All | 64%68/106 | 40%45/112 |
South Dakota St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%14/25 | 37%7/19 |
| 2 | 48%11/23 | 38%8/21 |
| 3 | 69%11/16 | 35%6/17 |
| 4 | 65%11/17 | 39%7/18 |
| 5 | 55%11/20 | 31%5/16 |
| 6 | 82%9/11 | 33%5/15 |
| All | 60%67/112 | 36%38/106 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
218 rallies
Rally log
| # | NOVA-SDAKST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | NOVA server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +2.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Chloe Kelly | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SDAKST | NOVA×4 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | blk Loren Winn, Campbell McKinnon | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Ava Harris | +2.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Kill | Cat Young | +2.7 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Ace | NOVA server | aced Hannah Klein | +2.6 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NOVA | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Mlsna | set Brooke Larsen | +1.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Cat Young | blk Hannah Mlsna, Brooke Larsen | +2.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Hannah Klein | +2.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +1.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +2.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +3.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | SDAKST | NOVA×4 | Kill | Loren Winn | set Ava Harris | +2.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Kill | Reagan McGivern | +3.1 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.9 |
| 18 | 11-7 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +2.6 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.4 |
| 20 | 12-8 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.7 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.1 |
| 22 | 13-9 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +1.1 |
| 23 | 14-9 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | NOVA | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +1.1 |
| 25 | 14-11 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Campbell McKinnon | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Chloe Kelly | blk Marisa Michaelis, Claire Logeais | +2.8 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SDAKST | NOVA×3 | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.1 |
| 28 | 16-12 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Ace | NOVA server | aced Kennedey Whitford | +2.8 |
| 29 | 17-12 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +2.1 |
| 30 | 17-13 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +1.0 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Ava Harris | +1.3 |
| 32 | 18-14 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +0.9 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +2.1 |
| 34 | 19-15 | SDAKST | NOVA | Serve err | SDAKST server | +1.8 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +1.3 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Loren Winn | blk Hannah Klein, Hannah Mlsna | +2.9 |
| 37 | 20-17 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +2.5 |
| 38 | 20-18 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.9 |
| 39 | 21-18 | SDAKST | NOVA | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +2.6 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +1.8 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Lola Buck-Taylor | +2.7 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NOVA | SDAKST | Bad set | Alyssa Nelson | +1.7 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.8 |
| 44 | 23-21 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +1.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +2.8 |
| 46 | 25-21 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +1.5 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Ava Harris | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Kennedey Whitford | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +2.7 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Ava Harris | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Loren Winn | set Ava Harris | +1.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NOVA | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +1.8 |
| 10 | 4-6 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Claire Logeais | +2.8 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Cat Young | +2.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.6 |
| 13 | 5-8 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Brooke Larsen | +1.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | SDAKST | NOVA | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.8 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +2.0 |
| 17 | 7-10 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Chloe Kelly | +2.9 |
| 18 | 8-10 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.7 |
| 19 | 8-11 | NOVA | SDAKST×4 | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +1.9 |
| 20 | 8-12 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Kill | Rylee Martin | set Joslyn Richardson | +2.7 |
| 21 | 8-13 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +2.3 |
| 22 | 8-14 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | +1.8 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +0.8 |
| 24 | 10-14 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +1.7 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +1.5 |
| 26 | 11-15 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Loren Winn | set Ava Harris | +1.1 |
| 27 | 11-16 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.5 |
| 28 | 12-16 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +1.0 |
| 29 | 12-17 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.0 |
| 31 | 13-18 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Brooke Larsen | +1.4 |
| 32 | 14-18 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Taylor Lewis | +0.9 |
| 33 | 14-19 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.4 |
| 34 | 15-19 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.9 |
| 35 | 15-20 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.3 |
| 36 | 16-20 | SDAKST | NOVA | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.8 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +1.3 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Chloe Kelly | +1.1 |
| 39 | 17-22 | SDAKST | NOVA | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.3 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | NOVA | SDAKST | Attack err | Cat Young | blk Brooke Larsen, Hannah Mlsna | +0.5 |
| 41 | 18-23 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +0.2 |
| 42 | 19-23 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | NOVA server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +0.5 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NOVA | SDAKST | Attack err | Taylor Lewis | blk Hannah Klein, Claire Logeais | +0.7 |
| 44 | 20-24 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.2 |
| 45 | 20-25 | NOVA | SDAKST | Attack err | Taylor Lewis | +0.4 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Taylor Lewis, Reagan McGivern | +3.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +2.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | SDAKST | NOVA×3 | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.3 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +3.6 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Ace | NOVA server | aced Brooke Larsen | +3.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +2.0 |
| 9 | 6-3 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.2 |
| 10 | 7-3 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +3.2 |
| 11 | 7-4 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +1.8 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Chloe Kelly | +3.3 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Loren Winn | set Ava Harris | +2.3 |
| 14 | 8-6 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +2.1 |
| 15 | 9-6 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +2.4 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NOVA | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Sylvie Zgonc | +2.2 |
| 17 | 9-8 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Reagan McGivern | +3.9 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Loren Winn | blk Sylvie Zgonc, Claire Logeais | +4.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SDAKST | NOVA×3 | Kill | Loren Winn | set Ava Harris | +2.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Bad set | Brooke Larsen | +4.4 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Attack err | Claire Logeais | +4.1 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | NOVA | SDAKST | Attack err | Chloe Kelly | +2.3 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Cat Young | +4.2 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.0 |
| 25 | 14-11 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Chloe Kelly | +4.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +2.4 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.8 |
| 28 | 16-12 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.7 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NOVA | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +1.8 |
| 30 | 16-14 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +3.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Mlsna | set Rylee Martin | +4.8 |
| 32 | 17-15 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +3.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Ava Harris | +3.7 |
| 35 | 19-16 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +5.1 |
| 36 | 19-17 | NOVA | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +2.5 |
| 37 | 19-18 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Sylvie Zgonc | +5.4 |
| 38 | 19-19 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Cat Young | blk Claire Logeais, Marisa Michaelis | +6.8 |
| 39 | 20-19 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +4.8 |
| 40 | 20-20 | NOVA | SDAKST | Attack err | Loren Winn | blk Hannah Klein, Claire Logeais | +4.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +5.3 |
| 42 | 21-21 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +5.1 |
| 43 | 22-21 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +6.0 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +5.7 |
| 45 | 23-22 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +7.1 |
| 46 | 23-23 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +6.6 |
| 47 | 24-23 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +8.7 |
| 48 | 24-24 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +8.7 |
| 49 | 24-25 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Brooke Larsen | +13.8 |
| 50 | 25-25 | SDAKST | NOVA | Serve err | SDAKST server | +8.8 | |
| 51 | 26-25 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +13.6 | |
| 52 | 26-26 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +8.7 | |
| 53 | 26-27 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | +13.8 | |
| 54 | 27-27 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +8.8 |
| 55 | 27-28 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +8.8 | |
| 56 | 28-28 | SDAKST | NOVA | Bad set | Claire Logeais | +8.8 | |
| 57 | 28-29 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +8.8 |
| 58 | 28-30 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +14.1 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +2.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SDAKST | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | blk Chloe Kelly, Campbell McKinnon | +2.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | +3.7 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +3.5 |
| 6 | 5-1 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Ace | NOVA server | aced Team | +3.2 |
| 7 | 6-1 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Ace | NOVA server | aced Team | +2.8 |
| 8 | 6-2 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Loren Winn | blk Brooke Larsen, Hannah Mlsna | +2.9 |
| 10 | 7-3 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Ava Harris | +2.1 |
| 11 | 7-4 | NOVA | SDAKST×3 | Serve err | NOVA server | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +3.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +3.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +2.6 |
| 15 | 9-6 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +3.9 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +2.3 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +4.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | SDAKST | NOVA×5 | Serve err | SDAKST server | +2.8 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | blk Reagan McGivern, Taylor Lewis | +4.1 |
| 20 | 12-8 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.6 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Ace | NOVA server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +3.0 |
| 22 | 14-8 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +2.3 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | NOVA | SDAKST | Attack err | Taylor Lewis | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Lola Buck-Taylor | +1.4 |
| 25 | 15-10 | NOVA | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Chloe Kelly | +1.0 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Chloe Kelly | blk Marisa Michaelis | +2.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +3.0 |
| 28 | 16-12 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.5 |
| 29 | 17-12 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +3.0 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.3 |
| 31 | 17-14 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Cat Young | +3.0 |
| 32 | 18-14 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.5 |
| 33 | 18-15 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Mlsna | set Brooke Larsen | +1.8 |
| 34 | 19-15 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Ava Harris | +2.6 |
| 35 | 20-15 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | NOVA server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +2.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +1.0 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Joslyn Richardson | +2.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +2.5 |
| 39 | 21-18 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.5 |
| 40 | 22-18 | SDAKST | NOVA×3 | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +2.5 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.0 |
| 42 | 24-18 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | blk Cat Young, Reagan McGivern | +0.7 |
| 43 | 24-19 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Rylee Martin | +0.1 |
| 44 | 24-20 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Brooke Larsen | +0.3 |
| 45 | 25-20 | SDAKST | NOVA | Serve err | SDAKST server | +2.2 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SDAKST | NOVA×5 | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +5.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | +9.1 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Campbell McKinnon, Taylor Lewis | +8.4 |
| 4 | 4-0 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Ace | NOVA server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +7.2 |
| 5 | 5-0 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +5.8 |
| 6 | 5-1 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +2.8 | |
| 7 | 6-1 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.7 |
| 8 | 7-1 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | +4.1 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +1.7 |
| 10 | 8-2 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Ava Harris | +2.5 |
| 11 | 8-3 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.6 |
| 12 | 9-3 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Ava Harris | +2.4 |
| 13 | 9-4 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Rylee Martin | +1.4 |
| 14 | 10-4 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Ava Harris | +2.2 |
| 15 | 10-5 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Brooke Larsen | +1.2 |
| 16 | 10-6 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Taylor Lewis | +3.1 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.2 |
| 18 | 12-6 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | NOVA server | aced Kennedey Whitford | +2.6 |
| 19 | 12-7 | NOVA | SDAKST | Serve err | NOVA server | +0.7 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.3 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NOVA | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +0.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +1.4 |
| 23 | 14-9 | SDAKST | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.8 |
| 24 | 15-9 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Ava Harris | +0.6 |
Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.