Villanova vs Penn State Volleyball: Penn State Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026

1:3

Penn St. beat visiting Villanova 3-1 (25-14, 19-25, 25-23, 25-18) on Tue, Sep 15, 2026. Penn St.'s Gabrielle Nichols led with 13 kills, and Haley Burgdorf added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 15

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
NOVA	14	25	23	18	1
PENNST	25	19	25	25	3

Win probability

Penn St. above 50 · Villanova below

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Villanova — set 3, NOVA 22-22 PENNST. Kill by Taylor Lewis (set by Alyssa Nelson). PENNST win probability 94% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NOVA 2.3%97.7% PENNST

Villanova wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.6%

3-2

1.5%

Penn St. wins

3-0

65.6%

3-1

25.8%

3-2

6.3%

NOVA break %: 33.8% vs this opp
PENNST break %: 49.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Taylor LewisKill+3.8%
Kill by Taylor Lewis (set by Alyssa Nelson)
Set 3 · NOVA 22-22 PENNST · NOVA 6% → 10%
02
Kennedy MartinKill+3.4%
Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Cat Young)
Set 3 · NOVA 22-24 PENNST · PENNST 93% → 96%
03
Kennedy MartinKill+3.1%
Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Alexis Stucky)
Set 3 · NOVA 22-23 PENNST · PENNST 90% → 93%
04
Haley BurgdorfKill+2.7%
Kill by Haley Burgdorf (set by Alexis Stucky)
Set 3 · NOVA 23-25 PENNST · PENNST 95% → 98%
05
Abby HarrellKill+2.5%
Kill by Abby Harrell (set by Cat Young)
Set 3 · NOVA 18-18 PENNST · NOVA 7% → 9%
06
Abby HarrellKill+2.2%
Kill by Abby Harrell (set by Alyssa Nelson)
Set 3 · NOVA 10-7 PENNST · NOVA 10% → 12%
07
Alexis StuckyKill+2.1%
Kill by Alexis Stucky (set by Chloe Kelly)
Set 3 · NOVA 18-20 PENNST · PENNST 93% → 95%
08
Reagan McGivernKill+2.1%
Kill by Reagan McGivern (set by Alexis Stucky)
Set 3 · NOVA 21-22 PENNST · NOVA 4% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Villanovaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Abby HarrellOH	4	13	2	35	.314	0	3	2	6	5	0	0	16
4Taylor LewisOH	4	13	5	27	.296	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
0Campbell McKinnonMB	4	6	3	15	.200	0	1	2	2	0	2	1	8
9Cat YoungOH	4	4	6	22	-.091	1	1	2	11	2	1	0.5	5.5
44Reagan McGivernMB	4	2	3	9	-.111	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
7Alyssa NelsonS	4	0	0	0	–	27	0	1	6	0	0	0	0
6Chloe KellyOH	4	2	3	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
24Selah O'ConnorS	4	0	0	0	–	9	1	1	3	0	0	0	1
8Marikate RitterbuschL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
21Mina DiggsL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
11Michelle EburuohMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	22	118	.153	38	6	8	39	7	8	4	80

Penn St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Gabrielle NicholsMB	4	13	2	19	.579	0	0	2	2	0	2	4	4	17
18Kennedy MartinOH	4	12	6	30	.200	0	0	1	7	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
23Haley BurgdorfOH	4	7	5	16	.125	1	1	3	13	1	0	2	1	9
5Alexis StuckyS	4	4	2	7	.286	43	2	2	7	0	0	0	0	6
26Whitney LauensteinOH	3	5	3	14	.143	1	3	1	2	3	1	0	1	9
7Ryla JonesMB	3	7	1	11	.545	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	2	9
2Ava FaldutoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	12	1	0	0	0	0
11Jocelyn NathanL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
9Lexi GinDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Emmi SellmanOH	2	3	1	12	.167	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	4
42Finley KrystkowiakOH	2	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
1Kendall NorthernMB	1	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Caroline JureviciusOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		57	22	123	.285	50	7	12	52	6	4	12	10	94

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NOVA · PENNST 9

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 NOVAPENNST 9

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 NOVAPENNST 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 NOVAPENNST 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 NOVAPENNST 5

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Villanova

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%10/20	10%1/10
2	48%10/21	44%8/18
3	67%8/12	40%6/15
4	38%8/21	33%4/12
5	64%7/11	27%3/11
6	88%7/8	53%8/15
All	54%50/93	37%30/81

Penn St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	31%4/13
2	77%10/13	55%12/22
3	50%8/16	40%6/15
4	80%8/10	64%14/22
5	47%7/15	42%5/12
6	64%7/11	22%2/9
All	63%51/81	46%43/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#	NOVA-PENNST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3
2	0-2	PENNST	PENNST	Blocked	Reagan McGivern	blk Whitney Lauenstein	+0.2
3	1-2	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
4	2-2	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Ryla Jones		+0.3
5	2-3	NOVA	PENNST×3	Attack err	Reagan McGivern		+0.2
6	2-4	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3
7	2-5	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Taylor Lewis		+0.2
8	3-5	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
9	3-6	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
10	4-6	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
11	4-7	NOVA	PENNST×9	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
12	4-8	PENNST	PENNST×9	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
13	4-9	PENNST	PENNST×9	Ace	Penn St.	aced Abby Harrell	+0.1
14	4-10	PENNST	PENNST×9	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Selah O'Connor	+0.1
15	4-11	PENNST	PENNST×9	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
16	4-12	PENNST	PENNST×9	Attack err	Campbell McKinnon		·
17	4-13	PENNST	PENNST×9	Attack err	Chloe Kelly		·
18	4-14	PENNST	PENNST×9	Attack err	Chloe Kelly		·
19	4-15	PENNST	PENNST×9	Ace	Penn St.	aced Abby Harrell	·
20	5-15	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		·
21	5-16	NOVA	PENNST	Serve err	Villanova		·
22	6-16	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Selah O'Connor	·
23	7-16	NOVA	NOVA	Blocked	Finley Krystkowiak	blk Chloe Kelly, Reagan McGivern	·
24	7-17	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	·
25	8-17	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Selah O'Connor	·
26	8-18	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	·
27	8-19	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	·
28	9-19	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	·
29	10-19	NOVA	NOVA	Ace	Villanova	aced Whitney Lauenstein	·
30	10-20	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	·
31	11-20	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Alyssa Nelson	·
32	11-21	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Whitney Lauenstein	·
33	12-21	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	·
34	13-21	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		·
35	13-22	NOVA	PENNST×3	Serve err	Villanova		·
36	13-23	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Campbell McKinnon		·
37	13-24	PENNST	PENNST×3	Blocked	Campbell McKinnon	blk Gabrielle Nichols	·
38	14-24	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Selah O'Connor	·
39	14-25	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	·
Set 2
1	0-1	NOVA	PENNST	Serve err	Villanova		+0.1
2	1-1	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.1
3	1-2	NOVA	PENNST	Attack err	Cat Young		+0.1
4	1-3	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
5	2-3	PENNST	NOVA×4	Kill	Cat Young	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.1
6	3-3	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+0.2
7	4-3	NOVA	NOVA×4	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.3
8	5-3	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Gabrielle Nichols		+0.3
9	5-4	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
10	6-4	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.3
11	6-5	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Ava Falduto	+0.2
12	6-6	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Cat Young		+0.3
13	7-6	PENNST	NOVA×3	Serve err	Penn St.		+0.2
14	8-6	NOVA	NOVA×3	Ace	Villanova	aced Jocelyn Nathan	+0.4
15	9-6	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+0.5
16	9-7	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3
17	10-7	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	+0.4
18	10-8	NOVA	PENNST	Serve err	Villanova		+0.3
19	11-8	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		+0.4
20	11-9	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kendall Northern	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3
21	12-9	PENNST	NOVA×3	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.4
22	13-9	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+0.6
23	14-9	NOVA	NOVA×3	Ace	Villanova	aced Whitney Lauenstein	+0.6
24	14-10	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Haley Burgdorf	+0.3
25	15-10	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.5
26	15-11	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3
27	15-12	PENNST	PENNST	Ace	Penn St.	aced Abby Harrell	+0.5
28	16-12	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.5
29	16-13	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3
30	17-13	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		+0.5
31	18-13	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+0.7
32	18-14	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kendall Northern	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3
33	19-14	PENNST	NOVA×3	Serve err	Penn St.		+0.5
34	20-14	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Alexis Stucky		+0.5
35	21-14	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Kendall Northern		+0.4
36	21-15	NOVA	PENNST	Serve err	Villanova		+0.1
37	22-15	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Selah O'Connor	+0.2
38	22-16	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
39	23-16	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		+0.2
40	23-17	NOVA	PENNST×3	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Lexi Gin	·
41	23-18	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Taylor Lewis		+0.1
42	23-19	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols		+0.2
43	24-19	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		+0.3
44	25-19	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.8
2	2-0	NOVA	NOVA	Ace	Villanova	aced Whitney Lauenstein	+1.4
3	2-1	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.8
4	3-1	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.1
5	3-2	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.9
6	3-3	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+1.1
7	4-3	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.9
8	5-3	NOVA	NOVA	Ace	Villanova	aced Haley Burgdorf	+1.6
9	5-4	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.9
10	6-4	PENNST	NOVA	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		+1.2
11	6-5	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Ava Falduto	+1.0
12	6-6	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
13	7-6	PENNST	NOVA	Blocked	Whitney Lauenstein	blk Chloe Kelly, Campbell McKinnon	+1.1
14	8-6	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Selah O'Connor	+1.8
15	8-7	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Emmi Sellman	set Alexis Stucky	+1.1
16	9-7	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Cat Young	+1.4
17	10-7	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.2
18	10-8	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
19	11-8	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		+1.7
20	11-9	NOVA	PENNST×4	Serve err	Villanova		+1.3
21	11-10	PENNST	PENNST×4	Ace	Penn St.	aced Abby Harrell	+1.9
22	11-11	PENNST	PENNST×4	Blocked	Taylor Lewis	blk Gabrielle Nichols, Haley Burgdorf	+1.7
23	11-12	PENNST	PENNST×4	Blocked	Cat Young	blk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin	+1.5
24	12-12	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.2
25	12-13	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+1.1
26	13-13	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.3
27	13-14	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+1.1
28	13-15	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Chloe Kelly		+1.4
29	14-15	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	+1.0
30	14-16	NOVA	PENNST×3	Serve err	Villanova		+1.0
31	14-17	PENNST	PENNST×3	Blocked	Abby Harrell	blk Ryla Jones	+1.1
32	14-18	PENNST	PENNST×3	Ace	Penn St.	aced Cat Young	+0.8
33	15-18	PENNST	NOVA×4	Attack err	Alexis Stucky		+0.5
34	16-18	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+1.1
35	17-18	NOVA	NOVA×4	Ace	Villanova	aced Ava Falduto	+1.7
36	18-18	NOVA	NOVA×4	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Cat Young	+2.5
37	18-19	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+1.7
38	18-20	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Chloe Kelly	+2.1
39	19-20	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Selah O'Connor	+1.4
40	19-21	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+1.5
41	19-22	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+1.5
42	20-22	PENNST	NOVA×3	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.8
43	21-22	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alexis Stucky	+2.1
44	22-22	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.8
45	22-23	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+3.1
46	22-24	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Cat Young	+3.4
47	23-24	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.3
48	23-25	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+2.7
Set 4
1	0-1	NOVA	PENNST×5	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.4
2	0-2	PENNST	PENNST×5	Ace	Penn St.	aced Cat Young	+0.5
3	0-3	PENNST	PENNST×5	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+0.4
4	0-4	PENNST	PENNST×5	Ace	Penn St.	aced Abby Harrell	+0.3
5	0-5	PENNST	PENNST×5	Blocked	Reagan McGivern	blk Gabrielle Nichols	+0.2
6	1-5	PENNST	NOVA	Blocked	Kennedy Martin	blk Taylor Lewis, Reagan McGivern	+0.2
7	1-6	NOVA	PENNST×3	Blocked	Cat Young	blk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols	+0.2
8	1-7	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
9	1-8	PENNST	PENNST×3	Blocked	Taylor Lewis	blk Gabrielle Nichols, Haley Burgdorf	+0.1
10	2-8	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		+0.1
11	2-9	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
12	2-10	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Taylor Lewis		+0.1
13	3-10	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	·
14	3-11	NOVA	PENNST	Blocked	Cat Young	blk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin	+0.1
15	4-11	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	·
16	4-12	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
17	4-13	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Emmi Sellman	set Alexis Stucky	·
18	5-13	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		·
19	5-14	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	·
20	6-14	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Marikate Ritterbusch	·
21	6-15	NOVA	PENNST×3	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	·
22	6-16	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Emmi Sellman	set Alexis Stucky	·
23	6-17	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	·
24	7-17	PENNST	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	·
25	8-17	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Gabrielle Nichols		·
26	8-18	NOVA	PENNST	Serve err	Villanova		·
27	9-18	PENNST	NOVA×3	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		·
28	10-18	NOVA	NOVA×3	Blocked	Kennedy Martin	blk Cat Young, Campbell McKinnon	·
29	11-18	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	·
30	11-19	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	·
31	11-20	PENNST	PENNST	Blocked	Cat Young	blk Ryla Jones, Caroline Jurevicius	·
32	12-20	PENNST	NOVA×3	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	·
33	13-20	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		·
34	14-20	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		+0.1
35	14-21	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Caroline Jurevicius	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
36	14-22	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Ava Falduto	·
37	15-22	PENNST	NOVA	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		·
38	15-23	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	·
39	16-23	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		·
40	17-23	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Emmi Sellman		·
41	17-24	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	·
42	18-24	PENNST	NOVA	Serve err	Penn St.		·
43	18-25	NOVA	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Ava Falduto	·

Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Penn St. def. Villanova 3–1