CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026
Villanova logo

AwayBIG-EAST

1:3
Penn St. logo

HomeBIG-TEN

Penn St. def. Villanova 31

(25-14, 19-25, 25-23, 25-18)
Set1234Sets
NOVA142523181
PENNST251925253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PENNST above 50 · NOVA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100PENNSTNOVABiggest swing +5.8% NOVA · S3 22-22rally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.8% to Villanova — set 3, NOVA 22-22 PENNST. Kill by Taylor Lewis (set by Alyssa Nelson). PENNST win probability 87%81%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NOVA 8.7%91.3% PENNST

Villanova wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
5.0%

Penn St. wins

3-0
46.8%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.1%
NOVA break %
37.2% vs this opp
PENNST break %
47.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Taylor LewisKill+5.8%

    Kill by Taylor Lewis (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 3 · NOVA 22-22 PENNST · NOVA 13%19%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Cat Young)

    Set 3 · NOVA 22-24 PENNST · PENNST 86%91%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 3 · NOVA 22-23 PENNST · PENNST 81%86%

  4. 04

    Kill by Haley Burgdorf (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 3 · NOVA 23-25 PENNST · PENNST 89%94%

  5. 05
    Abby HarrellKill+3.9%

    Kill by Abby Harrell (set by Cat Young)

    Set 3 · NOVA 18-18 PENNST · NOVA 14%18%

  6. 06
    Alexis StuckyKill+3.5%

    Kill by Alexis Stucky (set by Chloe Kelly)

    Set 3 · NOVA 18-20 PENNST · PENNST 85%89%

  7. 07

    Kill by Reagan McGivern (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 3 · NOVA 21-22 PENNST · NOVA 10%13%

  8. 08
    Abby HarrellKill+3.2%

    Kill by Abby Harrell (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 3 · NOVA 10-7 PENNST · NOVA 21%24%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413235.3140326500016
413527.29600010010.513.5
46315.200012200218
44622-.091112112010.55.5
4239-.111000000213
40002701600000
42310-.100000000213
4000911300001
4000100500000
4000000500000
1000000000000
Team totals4022118.153386839708480
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413219.5790022024417
412630.20000170031.513.5
47516.1251131310219
4427.2864322700006
35314.143131231019
37111.545001101229
40004011210000
4000000210000
3000100000000
23112.167011300004
2319.222000200003
1214.250000000002
11011.00000010010.51.5
Team totals5722123.285507125264121094

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NOVA · PENNST 9

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 NOVAPENNST 9

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 NOVAPENNST 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 NOVAPENNST 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 NOVAPENNST 5

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
10%1/10
2
48%10/21
44%8/18
3
67%8/12
40%6/15
4
38%8/21
33%4/12
5
64%7/11
27%3/11
6
88%7/8
53%8/15
All
54%50/93
37%30/81

Penn St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
31%4/13
2
77%10/13
55%12/22
3
50%8/16
40%6/15
4
80%8/10
64%14/22
5
47%7/15
42%5/12
6
64%7/11
22%2/9
All
63%51/81
46%43/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

174 rallies

Rally log

#NOVA-PENNSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PENNSTPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+0.9
20-2PENNSTPENNSTAttack errReagan McGivernblk Whitney Lauenstein+0.8
31-2PENNSTNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
42-2NOVANOVAAttack errRyla Jones+1.0
52-3NOVAPENNST×3Attack errReagan McGivern+0.7
62-4PENNSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.8
72-5PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errTaylor Lewis+0.7
83-5PENNSTNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
93-6NOVAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.5
104-6PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
114-7NOVAPENNST×9KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+0.5
124-8PENNSTPENNST×9KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+0.6
134-9PENNSTPENNST×9AcePENNST serveraced Abby Harrell+0.5
144-10PENNSTPENNST×9KillGabrielle Nicholsset Selah O'Connor+0.4
154-11PENNSTPENNST×9KillFinley Krystkowiakset Alexis Stucky+0.3
164-12PENNSTPENNST×9Attack errCampbell McKinnon+0.2
174-13PENNSTPENNST×9Attack errChloe Kelly+0.1
184-14PENNSTPENNST×9Attack errChloe Kelly+0.1
194-15PENNSTPENNST×9AcePENNST serveraced Abby Harrell+0.0
205-15PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+0.0
215-16NOVAPENNSTServe errNOVA server+0.0
226-16PENNSTNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+0.0
237-16NOVANOVAAttack errFinley Krystkowiakblk Chloe Kelly, Reagan McGivern+0.0
247-17NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+0.0
258-17PENNSTNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+0.0
268-18NOVAPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+0.0
278-19PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.0
289-19PENNSTNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.0
2910-19NOVANOVAAceNOVA serveraced Whitney Lauenstein+0.0
3010-20NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.0
3111-20PENNSTNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+0.0
3211-21NOVAPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Whitney Lauenstein+0.0
3312-21PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.0
3413-21NOVANOVAAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+0.0
3513-22NOVAPENNST×3Serve errNOVA server+0.0
3613-23PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+0.0
3713-24PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errCampbell McKinnonblk Gabrielle Nichols+0.0
3814-24PENNSTNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+0.0
3914-25NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.0
Set 2
10-1NOVAPENNSTServe errNOVA server+0.4
21-1PENNSTNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
31-2NOVAPENNSTAttack errCat Young+0.4
41-3PENNSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+0.6
52-3PENNSTNOVA×4KillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
63-3NOVANOVA×4Attack errKennedy Martin+0.7
74-3NOVANOVA×4KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.8
85-3NOVANOVA×4Attack errGabrielle Nichols+0.9
95-4NOVAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.6
106-4PENNSTNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.7
116-5NOVAPENNSTKillFinley Krystkowiakset Ava Falduto+0.6
126-6PENNSTPENNSTAttack errCat Young+0.8
137-6PENNSTNOVA×3Serve errPENNST server+0.7
148-6NOVANOVA×3AceNOVA serveraced Jocelyn Nathan+1.0
159-6NOVANOVA×3Attack errKennedy Martin+1.1
169-7NOVAPENNSTKillFinley Krystkowiakset Alexis Stucky+0.7
1710-7PENNSTNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+0.9
1810-8NOVAPENNSTServe errNOVA server+0.7
1911-8PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+0.9
2011-9NOVAPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+0.7
2112-9PENNSTNOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+0.9
2213-9NOVANOVA×3Attack errWhitney Lauenstein+1.3
2314-9NOVANOVA×3AceNOVA serveraced Whitney Lauenstein+1.2
2414-10NOVAPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Haley Burgdorf+0.7
2515-10PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.0
2615-11NOVAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+0.7
2715-12PENNSTPENNSTAcePENNST serveraced Abby Harrell+1.1
2816-12PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
2916-13NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.8
3017-13PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+1.1
3118-13NOVANOVAAttack errKennedy Martin+1.3
3218-14NOVAPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+0.6
3319-14PENNSTNOVA×3Serve errPENNST server+1.0
3420-14NOVANOVA×3Attack errAlexis Stucky+1.0
3521-14NOVANOVA×3Attack errKendall Northern+0.7
3621-15NOVAPENNSTServe errNOVA server+0.2
3722-15PENNSTNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+0.4
3822-16NOVAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
3923-16PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+0.3
4023-17NOVAPENNST×3KillAlexis Stuckyset Lexi Gin+0.1
4123-18PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errTaylor Lewis+0.2
4223-19PENNSTPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nichols+0.4
4324-19PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+0.7
4425-19NOVANOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.2
Set 3
11-0PENNSTNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
22-0NOVANOVAAceNOVA serveraced Whitney Lauenstein+2.3
32-1NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.5
43-1PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
53-2NOVAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.6
63-3PENNSTPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+2.1
74-3PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
85-3NOVANOVAAceNOVA serveraced Haley Burgdorf+2.6
95-4NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.7
106-4PENNSTNOVAAttack errHaley Burgdorf+2.0
116-5NOVAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Ava Falduto+1.7
126-6PENNSTPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+2.3
137-6PENNSTNOVAAttack errWhitney Lauensteinblk Chloe Kelly, Campbell McKinnon+1.9
148-6NOVANOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+2.9
158-7NOVAPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+1.9
169-7PENNSTNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Cat Young+2.3
1710-7NOVANOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+3.2
1810-8NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.0
1911-8PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+2.6
2011-9NOVAPENNST×4Serve errNOVA server+2.1
2111-10PENNSTPENNST×4AcePENNST serveraced Abby Harrell+2.9
2211-11PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errTaylor Lewisblk Gabrielle Nichols, Haley Burgdorf+2.8
2311-12PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errCat Youngblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+2.6
2412-12PENNSTNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
2512-13NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.9
2613-13PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
2713-14NOVAPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+2.1
2813-15PENNSTPENNSTAttack errChloe Kelly+2.5
2914-15PENNSTNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+1.9
3014-16NOVAPENNST×3Serve errNOVA server+1.9
3114-17PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errAbby Harrellblk Ryla Jones+2.2
3214-18PENNSTPENNST×3AcePENNST serveraced Cat Young+1.6
3315-18PENNSTNOVA×4Attack errAlexis Stucky+1.0
3416-18NOVANOVA×4Attack errKennedy Martin+2.0
3517-18NOVANOVA×4AceNOVA serveraced Ava Falduto+2.9
3618-18NOVANOVA×4KillAbby Harrellset Cat Young+3.9
3718-19NOVAPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+2.9
3818-20PENNSTPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Chloe Kelly+3.5
3919-20PENNSTNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+2.4
4019-21NOVAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.7
4119-22PENNSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.8
4220-22PENNSTNOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
4321-22NOVANOVA×3KillReagan McGivernset Alexis Stucky+3.5
4422-22NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+5.8
4522-23NOVAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+4.9
4622-24PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Cat Young+5.6
4723-24PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.3
4823-25NOVAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+4.9
Set 4
10-1NOVAPENNST×5KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.9
20-2PENNSTPENNST×5AcePENNST serveraced Cat Young+1.1
30-3PENNSTPENNST×5Attack errAbby Harrell+1.0
40-4PENNSTPENNST×5AcePENNST serveraced Abby Harrell+0.8
50-5PENNSTPENNST×5Attack errReagan McGivernblk Gabrielle Nichols+0.6
61-5PENNSTNOVAAttack errKennedy Martinblk Taylor Lewis, Reagan McGivern+0.4
71-6NOVAPENNST×3Attack errCat Youngblk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols+0.5
81-7PENNSTPENNST×3KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+0.5
91-8PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errTaylor Lewisblk Gabrielle Nichols, Haley Burgdorf+0.4
102-8PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+0.2
112-9NOVAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+0.3
122-10PENNSTPENNSTAttack errTaylor Lewis+0.3
133-10PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.2
143-11NOVAPENNSTAttack errCat Youngblk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin+0.2
154-11PENNSTNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+0.2
164-12NOVAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+0.2
174-13PENNSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+0.2
185-13PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+0.1
195-14NOVAPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+0.1
206-14PENNSTNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Marikate Ritterbusch+0.1
216-15NOVAPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+0.1
226-16PENNSTPENNST×3KillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+0.1
236-17PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.0
247-17PENNSTNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.0
258-17NOVANOVAAttack errGabrielle Nichols+0.0
268-18NOVAPENNSTServe errNOVA server+0.0
279-18PENNSTNOVA×3Attack errHaley Burgdorf+0.0
2810-18NOVANOVA×3Attack errKennedy Martinblk Cat Young, Campbell McKinnon+0.1
2911-18NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.1
3011-19NOVAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+0.1
3111-20PENNSTPENNSTAttack errCat Youngblk Ryla Jones, Caroline Jurevicius+0.1
3212-20PENNSTNOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.0
3313-20NOVANOVA×3Attack errHaley Burgdorf+0.1
3414-20NOVANOVA×3Attack errHaley Burgdorf+0.1
3514-21NOVAPENNSTKillCaroline Jureviciusset Alexis Stucky+0.2
3614-22PENNSTPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Ava Falduto+0.1
3715-22PENNSTNOVAAttack errHaley Burgdorf+0.0
3815-23NOVAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+0.0
3916-23PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+0.0
4017-23NOVANOVAAttack errEmmi Sellman+0.0
4117-24NOVAPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+0.1
4218-24PENNSTNOVAServe errPENNST server+0.0
4318-25NOVAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Ava Falduto+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.