Villanova vs Butler Volleyball: Butler Wins 3-0 (Sep 25)

FinalFri, Sep 25, 2026ESPN+

0:3

Butler beat visiting Villanova 3-0 (25-19, 25-16, 27-25) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Butler's Chase Lemming and Raegan Durbin led with 10 kills each, and Jersey Loyer added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 25

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NOVA	19	16	25	0
BUTLER	25	25	27	3

Win probability

Butler above 50 · Villanova below

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Butler — set 3, NOVA 25-27 BUTLER. Butler ace on Marikate Ritterbusch. BUTLER win probability 93% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NOVA 51.3%48.7% BUTLER

Villanova wins

3-0

13.0%

3-1

19.3%

3-2

19.0%

Butler wins

3-0

12.0%

3-1

18.2%

3-2

18.5%

NOVA break %: 41.8% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
ButlerAce+6.8%
Butler ace on Marikate Ritterbusch
Set 3 · NOVA 25-27 BUTLER · BUTLER 93% → 100%
02
Carly SlusserBlock+6.8%
Michelle Eburuoh stuffed by Carly Slusser
Set 3 · NOVA 25-26 BUTLER · BUTLER 86% → 93%
03
Raegan DurbinKill+6.7%
Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Jersey Loyer)
Set 3 · NOVA 24-24 BUTLER · BUTLER 80% → 86%
04
Loren WinnKill+4.8%
Kill by Loren Winn (set by Ava Harris)
Set 3 · NOVA 25-24 BUTLER · NOVA 14% → 18%
05
Raegan DurbinKill+4.8%
Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Sarah Kempf)
Set 3 · NOVA 25-25 BUTLER · BUTLER 82% → 86%
06
Zoe McDonaldKill+3.6%
Kill by Zoe McDonald (set by Marikate Ritterbusch)
Set 1 · NOVA 14-17 BUTLER · BUTLER 56% → 60%
07
Campbell McKinnon&Cat YoungBlock+3.3%
Carly Slusser stuffed by Campbell McKinnon & Cat Young
Set 1 · NOVA 13-14 BUTLER · NOVA 43% → 47%
08
ButlerAce+3.1%
Butler ace on Abby Harrell
Set 1 · NOVA 8-10 BUTLER · BUTLER 52% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Villanovaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Campbell McKinnonMB	3	9	2	16	.438	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	4	13
10Abby HarrellOH	3	7	9	29	-.069	1	0	2	5	1	0	2	1	8
4Taylor LewisOH	3	7	1	20	.300	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	7
44Reagan McGivernMB	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Alyssa NelsonS	3	0	0	0	–	12	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
9Cat YoungOH	2	3	2	11	.091	0	0	2	3	0	0	2	1	4
14Loren WinnOPP	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
8Marikate RitterbuschL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	4	2	0	0	0	1
21Mina DiggsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	0
24Selah O'ConnorS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	10	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Chloe KellyOH	1	1	3	8	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Michelle EburuohMB	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Ava HarrisS	1	0	0	1	.000	5	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		32	20	101	.119	29	3	9	38	7	1	14	8	60

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Chase LemmingOH	3	10	6	28	.143	1	3	2	8	1	1	1	1.5	14.5
8Raegan DurbinOH	3	10	0	26	.385	0	0	0	8	2	1	0	1	11
13Carly SlusserMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	4	3	5.5	10.5
16Elise WardOH	3	5	3	16	.125	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
17Zoe McDonaldMB	3	5	2	9	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
4Ava HunterS	3	1	0	2	.500	17	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
10Maria NixOH	3	4	3	11	.091	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	5
6Aesha VogtDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
1Sarah KempfS	3	0	0	0	–	12	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
5Jersey LoyerDS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	2	12	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	15	101	.248	37	7	6	44	3	6	10	11	77

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 NOVA · BUTLER 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 NOVABUTLER 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 NOVABUTLER 4

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 9 NOVABUTLER 5

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Villanova

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%6/15	40%4/10
2	55%6/11	25%2/8
3	67%6/9	33%3/9
4	60%6/10	67%12/18
5	38%6/16	0%0/6
6	33%5/15	40%4/10
All	46%35/76	41%25/61

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	65%11/17
2	75%6/8	45%5/11
3	35%6/17	33%3/9
4	75%6/8	45%5/11
5	67%6/9	63%10/16
6	50%5/10	58%7/12
All	59%36/61	54%41/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	NOVA-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+2.5
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+2.5
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+2.5
4	1-3	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.6
5	2-3	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+2.5
6	2-4	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+1.9
7	3-4	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.8
8	3-5	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.9
9	4-5	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.9
10	5-5	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+2.8
11	5-6	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+2.0
12	5-7	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+2.8
13	6-7	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Selah O'Connor	+1.9
14	6-8	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+2.1
15	7-8	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	+2.0
16	8-8	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Selah O'Connor	+3.0
17	8-9	NOVA	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+2.2
18	8-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Abby Harrell	+3.1
19	8-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Selah O'Connor		+2.9
20	8-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+2.7
21	9-12	BUTLER	NOVA	Serve err	Butler		+1.6
22	9-13	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+1.9
23	10-13	BUTLER	NOVA	Serve err	Butler		+1.6
24	11-13	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Elise Ward		+2.8
25	11-14	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+2.3
26	12-14	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.0
27	13-14	NOVA	NOVA	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Campbell McKinnon, Cat Young	+3.3
28	13-15	NOVA	BUTLER	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+2.6
29	14-15	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.4
30	14-16	NOVA	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+2.8
31	14-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Marikate Ritterbusch	+3.6
32	14-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler		+3.0
33	15-18	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	+1.6
34	15-19	NOVA	BUTLER×4	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+2.2
35	15-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Maria Nix	set Jersey Loyer	+2.2
36	15-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Marikate Ritterbusch	+1.4
37	15-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Mina Diggs	+0.7
38	16-22	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Selah O'Connor	+0.2
39	16-23	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
40	17-23	BUTLER	NOVA×3	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Selah O'Connor	+0.1
41	18-23	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.3
42	19-23	NOVA	NOVA×3	Blocked	Maria Nix	blk Reagan McGivern, Abby Harrell	+0.7
43	19-24	NOVA	BUTLER	Blocked	Cat Young	blk Carly Slusser, Maria Nix	+0.9
44	19-25	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.3
Set 2
1	0-1	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+1.8
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Abby Harrell	blk Carly Slusser, Chase Lemming	+2.6
3	1-2	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.8
4	1-3	NOVA	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.9
5	1-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+2.5
6	1-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Cat Young	blk Zoe McDonald	+2.4
7	2-5	BUTLER	NOVA	Serve err	Butler		+1.5
8	2-6	NOVA	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.7
9	2-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Taylor Lewis	blk Chase Lemming	+2.2
10	2-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.9
11	3-8	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.1
12	4-8	NOVA	NOVA	Blocked	Maria Nix	blk Campbell McKinnon, Loren Winn	+1.9
13	4-9	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+1.6
14	5-9	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	+1.3
15	5-10	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+1.6
16	5-11	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser		+1.9
17	6-11	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Loren Winn	set Selah O'Connor	+1.1
18	7-11	NOVA	NOVA	Bad set	Sarah Kempf		+1.9
19	7-12	NOVA	BUTLER×4	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.6
20	7-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.9
21	7-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler		+1.4
22	7-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Blocked	Abby Harrell	blk Carly Slusser, Elise Ward	+1.0
23	8-15	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.5
24	8-16	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+0.7
25	8-17	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+0.6
26	9-17	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
27	9-18	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+0.4
28	10-18	BUTLER	NOVA	Serve err	Butler		+0.2
29	11-18	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Elise Ward		+0.5
30	11-19	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
31	12-19	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.3
32	13-19	NOVA	NOVA	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Cat Young, Campbell McKinnon	+0.6
33	13-20	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+0.7
34	13-21	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Mina Diggs	+0.5
35	14-21	BUTLER	NOVA	Serve err	Butler		+0.2
36	14-22	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.3
37	15-22	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	+0.1
38	15-23	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.2
39	15-24	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.1
40	16-24	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Selah O'Connor	·
41	16-25	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	·
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Chloe Kelly	blk Carly Slusser	+1.7
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Reagan McGivern	blk Carly Slusser	+1.7
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Chloe Kelly		+1.6
4	1-3	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Mina Diggs	+1.1
5	1-4	NOVA	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
6	1-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Elise Ward	+1.6
7	1-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Campbell McKinnon	blk Carly Slusser	+1.4
8	2-6	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.9
9	3-6	NOVA	NOVA	Ace	Villanova	aced Raegan Durbin	+1.4
10	3-7	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
11	4-7	BUTLER	NOVA×9	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.0
12	5-7	NOVA	NOVA×9	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Loren Winn, Campbell McKinnon	+1.6
13	6-7	NOVA	NOVA×9	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Ava Harris	+1.8
14	7-7	NOVA	NOVA×9	Serve err	Villanova		+1.9
15	8-7	NOVA	NOVA×9	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+2.0
16	9-7	NOVA	NOVA×9	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Ava Harris	+2.0
17	10-7	NOVA	NOVA×9	Ace	Villanova	aced Raegan Durbin	+1.9
18	11-7	NOVA	NOVA×9	Kill	Campbell McKinnon		+1.7
19	12-7	NOVA	NOVA×9	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Campbell McKinnon, Abby Harrell	+1.5
20	12-8	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Ava Hunter	set Chase Lemming	+0.9
21	13-8	BUTLER	NOVA	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Campbell McKinnon	+1.1
22	13-9	NOVA	BUTLER×5	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
23	13-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+1.5
24	13-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+1.8
25	13-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Zoe McDonald		+2.1
26	13-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+2.4
27	14-13	BUTLER	NOVA×3	Serve err	Butler		+1.8
28	15-13	NOVA	NOVA×3	Ace	Villanova	aced Chase Lemming	+2.5
29	16-13	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Maria Nix		+2.3
30	16-14	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+1.4
31	16-15	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Abby Harrell	blk Raegan Durbin	+2.4
32	17-15	BUTLER	NOVA×3	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.9
33	18-15	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Abby Harrell	+2.4
34	19-15	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Michelle Eburuoh		+2.0
35	19-16	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
36	20-16	BUTLER	NOVA	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+1.4
37	20-17	NOVA	BUTLER	Attack err	Campbell McKinnon		+1.0
38	20-18	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Chloe Kelly		+2.0
39	21-18	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.0
40	21-19	NOVA	BUTLER	Serve err	Villanova		+1.4
41	21-20	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+2.9
42	22-20	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Ava Harris	+2.8
43	23-20	NOVA	NOVA	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Loren Winn, Campbell McKinnon	+3.0
44	23-21	NOVA	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
45	24-21	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Ava Harris	+2.2
46	24-22	NOVA	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+0.8
47	24-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Abby Harrell	blk Zoe McDonald, Maria Nix	+2.8
48	24-24	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+6.7
49	25-24	BUTLER	NOVA	Kill	Loren Winn	set Ava Harris	+4.8
50	25-25	NOVA	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+4.8
51	25-26	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Michelle Eburuoh	blk Carly Slusser	+6.8
52	25-27	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Marikate Ritterbusch	+6.8

Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Butler def. Villanova 3–0