Xavier def. Villanova 3–2
Xavier beat visiting Villanova 3-2 (25-11, 28-30, 21-25, 25-22, 15-11) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Margo Kemp and Charlotte Moriarty led Xavier with 15 kills each; Villanova's Campbell McKinnon had a match-high 23.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOVA | 11 | 30 | 25 | 22 | 11 | 2 |
| XAVIER | 25 | 28 | 21 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 13.2% to Xavier — set 5, NOVA 9-11 XAVIER. Kill by Margo Kemp. XAVIER win probability 66% → 79%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Villanova wins
Xavier wins
- NOVA break %
- 40.6% vs this opp
- XAVIER break %
- 43.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02Ava TildenKill+11.9%
Kill by Ava Tilden (set by Macy Hatkevich)
Set 5 · NOVA 7-8 XAVIER · XAVIER 53% → 65%
- 03Catherine FlahartyKill+11.4%
Kill by Catherine Flaharty (set by Kelsey Niesen)
Set 5 · NOVA 7-7 XAVIER · XAVIER 41% → 53%
- 04Charlotte Moriarty&Margo KempBlock+11.0%
Loren Winn stuffed by Charlotte Moriarty & Margo Kemp
Set 5 · NOVA 10-13 XAVIER · XAVIER 82% → 92%
- 05Margo KempKill+10.4%
Kill by Margo Kemp (set by Macy Hatkevich)
Set 5 · NOVA 10-12 XAVIER · XAVIER 71% → 82%
- 06Ava TildenKill+10.0%
Kill by Ava Tilden (set by Macy Hatkevich)
Set 5 · NOVA 9-10 XAVIER · XAVIER 56% → 66%
- 07Macy HatkevichAttack error+9.8%
Attack error by Macy Hatkevich
Set 5 · NOVA 4-2 XAVIER · NOVA 53% → 63%
- 08VillanovaAce+9.8%
Villanova ace on Kasey Quenichet
Set 5 · NOVA 6-3 XAVIER · NOVA 64% → 73%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 23 | 8 | 51 | .294 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 25.5 | |
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 57 | .193 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 31 | .290 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 25 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | .600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 71 | 28 | 184 | .234 | 67 | 6 | 8 | 73 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 99 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 1 | 20 | .700 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 19.5 | |
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 49 | .184 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 13 | 0 | 20 | .650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 32 | .156 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | .083 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 21 | .190 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 67 | 17 | 162 | .309 | 60 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 114 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
11-25
Set 2
30-28
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
22-25
Set 5
11-15
Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Villanova
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%8/15 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 54%7/13 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 43%6/14 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 75%6/8 | 60%9/15 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 0%0/6 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 57%38/67 | 39%25/64 |
Xavier
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%8/14 | 33%3/9 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 50%8/16 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 45%5/11 |
| 4 | 43%6/14 | 57%8/14 |
| 5 | 100%6/6 | 33%3/9 |
| 6 | 67%6/9 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 61%39/64 | 43%29/67 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
213 rallies
| # | NOVA-XAVIER | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Ace | Xavier | aced Mina Diggs | +2.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Ace | Xavier | aced Mina Diggs | +2.2 |
| 3 | 0-3 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Taylor Lewis | +2.1 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Taylor Lewis | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 0-5 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Reagan McGivern | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | XAVIER | NOVA | Serve err | Xavier | +1.1 | |
| 7 | 1-6 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | +1.2 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.4 |
| 9 | 2-7 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.9 |
| 10 | 2-8 | NOVA | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.0 |
| 11 | 2-9 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Jamison Gordon | +1.1 |
| 12 | 2-10 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Chloe Kelly | +0.9 | |
| 13 | 3-10 | NOVA | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 14 | 3-11 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.6 |
| 15 | 3-12 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Kelsey Niesen | +0.6 |
| 16 | 4-12 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +0.3 |
| 17 | 4-13 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Kasey Quenichet | +0.4 |
| 18 | 5-13 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Loren Winn | set Selah O'Connor | +0.3 |
| 19 | 5-14 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.4 |
| 20 | 6-14 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.3 |
| 21 | 6-15 | NOVA | XAVIER | Blocked | Reagan McGivern | blk Margo Kemp | +0.4 |
| 22 | 7-15 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.2 |
| 23 | 7-16 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.3 |
| 24 | 7-17 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Ace | Xavier | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 8-17 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.1 |
| 26 | 9-17 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Mina Diggs | +0.2 |
| 27 | 9-18 | NOVA | XAVIER×5 | Serve err | Villanova | +0.3 | |
| 28 | 9-19 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 9-20 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Ace | Xavier | aced Chloe Kelly | +0.1 |
| 30 | 9-21 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | · | |
| 31 | 9-22 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | · | |
| 32 | 10-22 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | · |
| 33 | 10-23 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | · |
| 34 | 11-23 | XAVIER | NOVA | Serve err | Xavier | · | |
| 35 | 11-24 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | · |
| 36 | 11-25 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Kelsey Niesen | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | Villanova | aced Kasey Quenichet | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Loren Winn | set Selah O'Connor | +1.6 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +2.2 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.5 |
| 6 | 4-2 | XAVIER | NOVA | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +1.7 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Loren Winn | +2.3 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | XAVIER | NOVA×4 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.7 |
| 10 | 7-3 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Kill | Annika Veurink | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.2 |
| 11 | 8-3 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Kill | Annika Veurink | +2.1 | |
| 12 | 9-3 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Campbell McKinnon | +1.8 |
| 13 | 9-4 | NOVA | XAVIER | Serve err | Villanova | +1.0 | |
| 14 | 10-4 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.3 |
| 15 | 10-5 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.0 |
| 16 | 11-5 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.3 |
| 17 | 11-6 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.0 |
| 18 | 12-6 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +1.3 |
| 19 | 13-6 | NOVA | NOVA | Blocked | Charlotte Moriarty | blk Loren Winn, Reagan McGivern | +1.5 |
| 20 | 13-7 | NOVA | XAVIER | Serve err | Villanova | +0.8 | |
| 21 | 14-7 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +1.0 |
| 22 | 14-8 | NOVA | XAVIER | Serve err | Villanova | +0.7 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +1.0 |
| 24 | 15-9 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.7 |
| 25 | 16-9 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.0 |
| 26 | 16-10 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.6 |
| 27 | 17-10 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Marikate Ritterbusch | +0.9 |
| 28 | 17-11 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.6 |
| 29 | 18-11 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.9 |
| 30 | 18-12 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Charlotte Moriarty | +0.5 |
| 31 | 18-13 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Blocked | Reagan McGivern | blk Charlotte Moriarty | +1.1 |
| 32 | 19-13 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +1.2 |
| 33 | 19-14 | NOVA | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Kelsey Niesen | +0.7 |
| 34 | 19-15 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Bad set | Selah O'Connor | +1.4 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | +2.0 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Loren Winn | set Selah O'Connor | +2.1 |
| 37 | 20-17 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.4 |
| 38 | 21-17 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Loren Winn | set Selah O'Connor | +2.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | NOVA | XAVIER×6 | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | +1.3 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Ace | Xavier | aced Campbell McKinnon | +2.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +3.9 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Kelsey Niesen | +4.9 |
| 43 | 21-22 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +5.6 |
| 44 | 21-23 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Ace | Xavier | +5.2 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | XAVIER | NOVA×3 | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.7 |
| 46 | 23-23 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +6.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Blocked | Ava Tilden | blk Taylor Lewis, Annika Veurink | +8.7 |
| 48 | 24-24 | NOVA | XAVIER | Attack err | Taylor Lewis | +6.3 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Kelsey Niesen | +8.3 |
| 50 | 25-25 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Cat Young | +5.9 |
| 51 | 25-26 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +5.9 |
| 52 | 26-26 | XAVIER | NOVA | Attack err | Ava Tilden | +5.9 | |
| 53 | 27-26 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +8.7 |
| 54 | 27-27 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +6.3 |
| 55 | 28-27 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | +6.3 | |
| 56 | 28-28 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Kelsey Niesen | +6.3 |
| 57 | 29-28 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +6.3 |
| 58 | 30-28 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +9.2 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +2.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Marikate Ritterbusch | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | XAVIER | NOVA×3 | Attack err | Macy Hatkevich | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Jamison Gordon | +2.3 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.6 |
| 10 | 7-3 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +3.5 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | NOVA | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Jamison Gordon | +2.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Jamison Gordon | +3.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Quinci Thomas | set Jamison Gordon | +3.6 |
| 14 | 8-6 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NOVA | XAVIER | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +2.7 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +3.9 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +3.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.9 |
| 19 | 10-9 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Selah O'Connor | +3.1 |
| 20 | 10-10 | NOVA | XAVIER | Serve err | Villanova | +2.9 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Ace | Xavier | +4.2 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +3.0 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NOVA | NOVA | Blocked | Margo Kemp | blk Annika Veurink, Campbell McKinnon | +4.5 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NOVA | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.4 | |||
| 26 | 14-12 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Mina Diggs | +4.8 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NOVA | XAVIER | Serve err | Villanova | +3.2 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.6 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NOVA | XAVIER | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +3.3 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Jamison Gordon | +3.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Selah O'Connor | +4.0 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NOVA | XAVIER | Attack err | Loren Winn | +3.5 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Blocked | Loren Winn | blk Ava Tilden, Gabrielle Semona | +5.6 |
| 35 | 18-17 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +4.4 |
| 36 | 18-18 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | +4.3 |
| 37 | 18-19 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Blocked | Campbell McKinnon | blk Catherine Flaharty, Margo Kemp | +6.3 |
| 38 | 19-19 | XAVIER | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +4.5 |
| 39 | 20-19 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Attack err | Catherine Flaharty | +7.2 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +7.3 |
| 41 | 21-20 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Kelsey Niesen | +4.3 |
| 42 | 22-20 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +5.8 |
| 43 | 22-21 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Jamison Gordon | +4.5 |
| 44 | 23-21 | XAVIER | NOVA×3 | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +6.6 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +6.7 |
| 46 | 25-21 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Ace | Villanova | +2.7 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NOVA | NOVA | Blocked | Ava Tilden | blk Loren Winn, Reagan McGivern | +3.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +3.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NOVA | XAVIER×4 | Bad set | Selah O'Connor | +2.7 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Blocked | Loren Winn | blk Margo Kemp, Charlotte Moriarty | +3.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Ace | Xavier | +3.8 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Ace | Xavier | aced Abby Harrell | +3.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Selah O'Connor | +2.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NOVA | XAVIER | Serve err | Villanova | +2.7 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +2.6 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | XAVIER | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +4.1 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Blocked | Catherine Flaharty | blk Abby Harrell, Annika Veurink | +4.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NOVA | XAVIER | Blocked | Abby Harrell | blk Catherine Flaharty, Gabrielle Semona | +3.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | XAVIER | NOVA | Serve err | Xavier | +3.3 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | NOVA | XAVIER | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +3.2 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +4.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Campbell McKinnon | +3.2 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +3.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | +5.0 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.5 |
| 23 | 11-12 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +4.9 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +3.6 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | Villanova | aced Kelsey Niesen | +5.4 |
| 26 | 13-13 | NOVA | XAVIER×5 | Serve err | Villanova | +3.8 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Jamison Gordon | set Margo Kemp | +5.3 |
| 28 | 13-15 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Blocked | Campbell McKinnon | blk Quinci Thomas, Gabrielle Semona | +5.1 |
| 29 | 13-16 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Jamison Gordon | +4.6 |
| 30 | 13-17 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Quinci Thomas | set Jamison Gordon | +3.8 |
| 31 | 14-17 | XAVIER | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +2.2 |
| 32 | 15-17 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +4.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Annika Veurink | set Alyssa Nelson | +5.2 |
| 34 | 16-18 | NOVA | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +4.3 |
| 35 | 16-19 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | +5.2 |
| 36 | 16-20 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | +4.0 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Marikate Ritterbusch | +2.0 |
| 38 | 18-20 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | Villanova | aced Charlotte Moriarty | +4.2 |
| 39 | 18-21 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +4.0 |
| 40 | 19-21 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.0 |
| 41 | 19-22 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Catherine Flaharty | +4.2 |
| 42 | 19-23 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Blocked | Abby Harrell | blk Catherine Flaharty, Margo Kemp | +3.7 |
| 43 | 20-23 | XAVIER | NOVA×3 | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.3 |
| 44 | 21-23 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Ace | Villanova | aced Ava Tilden | +3.4 |
| 45 | 22-23 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Blocked | Catherine Flaharty | blk Abby Harrell, Reagan McGivern | +6.5 |
| 46 | 22-24 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +7.6 |
| 47 | 22-25 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Selah O'Connor | +4.4 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +6.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Macy Hatkevich | +9.1 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +6.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | +9.0 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | XAVIER | NOVA | Serve err | Xavier | +7.0 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Macy Hatkevich | +9.8 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NOVA | XAVIER | Blocked | Campbell McKinnon | blk Macy Hatkevich, Margo Kemp | +6.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | XAVIER | NOVA | Serve err | Xavier | +7.4 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | Villanova | aced Kasey Quenichet | +9.8 |
| 10 | 6-4 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Kasey Quenichet | +5.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Blocked | Abby Harrell | blk Catherine Flaharty, Gabrielle Semona | +9.7 |
| 12 | 7-5 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +8.2 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NOVA | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | +7.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Kelsey Niesen | +11.4 |
| 15 | 7-8 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +11.9 |
| 16 | 8-8 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +8.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Kelsey Niesen | +9.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | XAVIER | NOVA | Attack err | Ava Tilden | +9.3 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +10.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | +13.2 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | XAVIER | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +8.0 |
| 22 | 10-12 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +10.4 |
| 23 | 10-13 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Blocked | Loren Winn | blk Charlotte Moriarty, Margo Kemp | +11.0 |
| 24 | 11-13 | XAVIER | NOVA | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +4.5 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | NOVA | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +7.9 |
| 26 | 11-15 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +4.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).